Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAbout25 - Water Utility Financial Plan and Water Rate IncreaseCITY OF NEWPORT BEACH CITY COUNCIL STAFF REPORT Agenda Item No. 25 September 8, 2009 TO: HONORABLE MAYOR AND MEMBERS OF THE CITY COUNCIL FROM: Utilities Department George Murdoch, Utilities Director 949 - 718 -3401 or gmurdoch @newportbeachca.gov SUBJECT: Water Utility Financial Plan and Water Rate Increase ISSUE Should the City Council approve the Water Utility Financial Plan and direct staff to begin the Proposition 218 rate increase notification process with the rates proposed in the financial plan? RECOMMENDATION 1. Approve the Water Utility Financial Plan; 2. Set public hearing on water rate increase for November 10, 2009; and 3. Direct staff to send rate increase notices as required by Proposition 218 with the rates proposed in the Financial Plan. DISCUSSION: Background: The increasing cost and scarcity of water has been in the news more and more over the past several years and the City has not been immune to the effects of this situation. The City has not raised its water rates since 2005. Since then the City has seen a 29% increase in the average unit cost of purchased water from the Municipal Water District of Orange County (MWDOC) and a 37% increase in the average unit cost of purchased water from the Orange County Water District (OCWD). In order to provide a plan to ensure the adequate funding of the Water Enterprise Fund, the City retained the services of Red Oak Consulting to complete a five -year Financial Plan and a Water Rate Study (Attachment A). This staff report briefly summarizes their findings. A representative of Red Oak will be present at the Council Meeting to present their analysis and recommendations, as well as to answer questions. Water Rate Increase September 8, 2009 Page 2 Current Financial Outlook Based on the City's increasing operations and maintenance (O &M) expenditures, capital financing needs, and proposed reserve requirements, current water revenues are insufficient. Under the current rate structure, the Water Fund will be unable to maintain a positive cash balance by fiscal year 2010 -11. By 2013 -14, the fund deficit is projected to grow to nearly $30 million. Financial Plan: As the basis for the rate study, Department staff and Red Oak developed a five -year financial plan (FY 2010 - 2014). This plan includes an estimate of the Department's annual projected operating expenses, a funding plan for the updated Water Master Plan (on the September 8 study session agenda) and recommended Reserve Policy revisions for City Council consideration. Projected Operating Expenses The Financial Plan revealed that anticipated operating expenses will increase from $16.7 million in 2009 to $24.1 million by 2014, an increase of approximately 45 %, as illustrated in the following table: Projected Operations & Maintenance Expenditures (in thousands) Current 1 2 3 4 5 Description FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Purchased Water- MWDOC $ 3,354 $ 4,931 $ 5,991 $ 6,440 $ 6,762 $ 7,100 Purchased Water- OCWD $3,857 $3,922 $3,947 $4,081 $4,232 $4,351 Utilities $1,325 $1,322 $1,440 $1,549 $1,692 $1,851 Salaries & Benefits $4,152 $4,319 $4,491 $4,671 $4,858 $5,052 Equipment Maintenance & Replacement $423 $444 $467 $490 $514 $540 Other O &M $3,579 $3,856 $4,159 $4,491 $4,853 $5,250 Total $ 16,690 $18,794 $ 20,494 $ 21,722 $ 22,911 $ 24,144 Capital Improvement Plan (C1P) Funding The City has developed a 30 -year capital improvement plan as part of the 2009 Water Master Plan. The contemplated CIP totals approximately $168 million, which includes a project cost escalation assumption of 4% per annum. Due to the long -term funding demands of an improvement plan of this magnitude, the financing plan contemplates a capital charge (assessed by meter size) as the primary source of revenue for the capital plan. Effective July 1, 2009 the City created a subsidiary Water Capital Fund to more fully segregate the resources dedicated to water capital improvements separate and apart from Water Division operating activities. Water Rate Increase September 8, 2009 Page 3 Reserve Policy Recommendations To insulate the Water Fund from financial volatility, City staff and Red Oak recommend the City maintain an Operating Stabilization Reserve equivalent to 180 days of its operating budget, or 50 %. This reserve level also provides a buffer period of 24 months at a 25% loss rate. Funds collected in excess of the operations stabilization reserve target would be available to offset future rate adjustments while extended reserve shortfalls would be recovered from future rate increases. Although it is difficult to determine an appropriate level for a Capital Contingency reserve without conducting an expensive and extensive criticality assessment of system facilities which are particularly at risk to catastrophic failure, Red Oak has evaluated a contingency reserve level contemplated by staff that parallels the annual contribution requirement necessary to fund the Water Master Plan. Red Oak concurs that this amount should provide a sufficient reserve against unanticipated replacements or repairs. By fiscal year 2013 -14, the target contingency reserve will be approximately $4 million. In total, the reserve policy recommendations change reserve levels from 60% of operations to approximately 65% of operations. Finance Committee Review: This information was presented to the City's Finance Committee on March 20h and April 24th of 2009. The Committee directed staff and Red Oak to adjust the Financial Plan and rate increase structure to accommodate three issues: 1) minimize "rate shock" to customers with a rate increase, 2) investigate financing the CIP using cash (pay -as- you -go) or optional debt issuance (General fund loan), and 3) fully fund reserves by 2014. As directed by the Finance Committee, staff and Red Oak investigated two scenarios in an attempt to reduce rate shock and compare debt issuance or cash financing. Scenario one was to borrow funds from the General Fund or issue debt in the amount to equal at least two years of CIP funding. Scenario two was to use cash financing or a pay -as- you -go method. Although adding funds to the reserves in scenario one initially did bring the rates down for the first year, by 2014 the rates would actually be higher due to the additional interest cost burden (example below). Additionally, due to potential State budget actions, the General Fund loan option seems less plausible than when originally contemplated in April of 2009. Staff recommends scenario two be selected. The rates proposed in this report meet the Finance Committee's goals and fully fund the reserves by 2014. Example: Scenario one — Commodity rate FY2010 $2.18 /HCF by FY 2014 $3.22 Scenario two — Commodity rate FY2010 $2.20 /HCF by FY 2014 $3.08 Water Rate Increase September 8, 2009 Page 4 Rate Increase: There are three elements to the water rates: 1) the commodity or "variable" charge, 2) the meter or "fixed" charge, and 3) the capital charge. The rate study looked at each of these charges and determined jointly at what level they should be set, and how they should be structured, in order to fairly and equitably recover the cost of providing water to our customers. As directed by the Finance Committee, the rate study also includes means of mitigating "rate shock" to customers. The commodity charge is geared primarily towards recovering the cost of the water itself; this charge currently generates about 90% of the. water enterprise's revenue. The rate study revealed that not only does this charge need to increase from the current rate of $2.08 per hundred cubic feet (HCF or 748 gallons), but the percentage of revenue generated by this charge needs to decrease from 90% to 70% of total revenue. This means that the commodity charge would increase to $2.20 immediately, and then, so as to avoid "rate shock ", continue to increase each year until it reaches $3.08 in 2014 as follows: Current & Proposed Commodity Charges (cost per HCF) Current 1 2 3 4 5 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Commodity Charge $2.08 $2.20 $2.46 $2.73 $2.96 $3.08 The fixed charge was designed to recapture the costs of reading, maintaining and replacing the various sizes of meters. Presently the remaining 10% of the revenue received doesn't cover these costs, a situation that is partially due to the basis upon which the charges are allocated. As a result of the rate study, staff is recommending a significant restructuring of the fixed charge structure. This new structure would shift an additional 20% of the revenue requirements onto the fixed charge. After a slight decrease in 2010 in order to mitigate "rate shock ", customers would see an increase in the fixed charge. The majority of customers (those with %" meters) would see an increase of less than $1.50 per month due to this charge. However, customers with meters sized 2" and above would see larger increases to their fixed charges — in most cases the charges would be tripled. Staff is also proposing the establishment of a capital charge that would also be assessed based upon the size of the customer's meter. The capital charge funds the repair, replacement and/or construction of expensive facilities such as pipelines, reservoirs and wells. Again, for the large diameter meter customer, these increases will be substantial; however, the average customer will realize a $7.00 -$8.00 a month increase. Water Rate Increase September 8, 2009 Page 5 Below is the summary table of the combined fixed rates proposed: Combined Fixed C' 578" or 314" 1" 1 1/2" 2" 3" 4" 6" 8" 10" 12" Current & Proposed Combined Fixed Charges Current 1 2 3 4 5 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 $4.50 $8.27 $13.09 $15.11 $16.63 $17.27 $5.50 $13.78 $21.82 $25.19 $27.72 $28.79 $7.00 $27.55 $43.64 $50.38 $55.43 $57.58 49.50 $44.08 $69.82 $80.61 $88.69 $92.12 $18.00 $82.65 $130.91 $151.14 $166.30 $172.73 $25.50 $137.75 $218.18 $251.90 $277.16 $287.88 $38.50 $275.50 $436.37 $503.81 $554.32 $575.76 $45.00 $440.80 $698.19 $806.09 $886.91 $921.22 $45.00 $792.34 $1,254.99 $1,448.95 $1,594.22 $1,655.90 $45.00 $1,274.47 $2,018.64 $2,330.61 $2,564.27 $2,663.48 It is important to note that under this proposal, 67% of our customers will realize an increase in their monthly bill of less than $10; however there will be significant increases for the remaining 33 %. Proposition 218 Requirements Proposition 218 amended the California Constitution, Articles XIIIC and XIIID, to require property owner notification of proposed increases in property related fees and give property owners the right to protest. Attachment B is a draft Proposition 218 Notice that would be sent to all property owners and non - property owning customers of the City. The notice provides background information, advises customers of the proposed water rates described in this report, notifies customers of the public hearing, and describes the protest procedure. Environmental Review: Staff recommends the City Council finds that approving the financial plan is not subject to the California Environmental Quality Act ( "CEQA ") pursuant to Sections 15060(c)(2) (the activity will not result in a direct or reasonably foreseeable indirect physical change in the environment) and 15060(c)(3) (the activity is not a project as defined in Section 15378) of the CEQA Guidelines, California Code of Regulations, Title 14, Chapter 3, because it has no potential for resulting in physical change to the environment, directly or indirectly. Funding Availability: Funding for the Proposition 218 Notice will come from the water enterprise fund. Water Rate Increase September 8, 2009 Page 6 Prepared and Submitted by: neorgvNurd6ch, Utilities Director Attachments: Attachment A — Draft Water Utility Financial Plan Attachment B — Draft Proposition 218 Notice City of Newport Beach, CA 949 W 16th Street • Newport Beach, CA 92663 Water Utility Financial Plan August 2009 Report Prepared By: REBDAK • •' CONSULTING w omsiox ar w•�co�x wax¢ 888 W 6th Street Third Floor 5317004 Los Angeles, CA 90017 (213) 326 -1600 Contents Executive Summary ....... Table of Contents ............. ............................... ES -1 1. Introduction ...................................................................... ............................1 -1 1.1. Scope........................... ................................................................................................. 1 -1 1.2. Background .......... ............................... ................................... ............................... .1 -1 2. Financial Plan ............................................................... ............................... 2 -1 2.1. Funds ......................................................................................... ............................... 2 -1 2.2. Revenue Requirement .................................................. ............................... ..............2 -1 2.2.1. Operations & Maintenance ........................ ............................... ..............2 -1 2.2.1.1. Purchased Water Costs ..................... ............................... ..............2 -2 2.2.1.2. Utilities ..................................................................... ............................2 -3 2.2.1.3. Other O &M ........................................................... ............................... 2 -3 2.2.1.4. Projected Operations & Maintenance Expenditures ...........................2 -3 2.2.2. Capital Improvement Program Financing ......................... .............................2-4 2.2.2.1. Historical Capital Improvement Program Financing ............................ 2.4 2.2.2.2. Water Master Plan ................................................ ............................... 2-4 2.2.2.3. Future Capital Improvement Program Financing . ............................... 2 -5 2.2.2.4. Historical and Future Debt Service Payments ..... ............................... 2 -5 2.3. Reserve Requirements ...................................................................... ............................2 -6 2.3.1. Operating Stabilization Reserve (Operating Fund) ........... ............................2 -6 2.3.2. Contingency Reserve (Capital Fund) ............................. ............................... 2 -7 2.4. Five -Year Financial Plan ............................................................... ..................- ............ 2 -7 2.4.1. Current Financial Outlook .................................................. ............................2 -7 2.4.2. Proposed Five -Year Financial Plan ................................ ............................... 2 -8 3. Current Water Rates ........................................................ ............................3 -1 3.1. Monthly Service Charge ............................................ ............................... . .............. 3 -1 3.2. Commodity Charge ......................... .............................................................................. 3 -1 4. Fixed ! Variable Revenue ................................................ ............................4 -1 4.1. Current Fixed /Variable Rate Revenue ......................................... ............................... 4 -1 4.2. California Urban Water Conservation Council Best Management Practice 11 .............4 -1 4.3. Proposed Fixed / Variable Revenue .............................................. ............................... 4 -1 5. Monthly Service Charge Meter Equivalency 5.1. Current Meter Equivalency Schedule ................... 5.2. Proposed Meter Equivalency Schedule ............... 6. Proposed Water Rates 7. Bill Comparisons & Impacts....... t REE DAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water utility Financial Plan ......... .. 5317004 5 -1 ......................... ............................... 5 -1 ........................................................ 5 -1 `c°' 6 -1 7 -1 Table of Contents List of Tables Table 2 -1: Historical Operations & Maintenance Expenditures (in thousands) ....... Table 2 -2: Historical Average Unit Cost of Purchased Water per AF ...................... Table 2 -3: Projected Average Unit Cost of Purchased Water per AF ...................... Table 2-4: Projected Operations & Maintenance Expenditures (in thousands)......., Table 2 -5: Historical Capital Improvement Program Financing (in thousands) ....... Table 2.6: 30 -Year Capital Improvement Program (in thousands ) ........................... Table 2 -7: Capital Improvement Program Financing (in thousands ) ........................ Table 2 -8: Debt Service Payments (in thousands) .................... ............................... Table 2 -9: Projected Debt Service Payments (in thousands) .... ............................... Table 2 -10: Operating Fund Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands) ..................... Table 2 -11: Capital Fund Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands ) .......................... Table 2 -12: Combined Water Fund Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands).......... Table 3 -1: Current Monthly Service Charge by Meter Size ....... ............................... Table 4 -1: Current (FY2009) Fixed / Variable Rate Revenue ($ in thousands) ....... Table 4 -2: Proposed Fixed /Variable Revenue ($ in thousands ) ............................. Table 5 -1: Current Monthly Service Charge & Meter Equivalency Schedule........... Table 5 -2: Current & Proposed Meter Equivalency Schedules . ............................... Table 6 -1: Current & Proposed Commodity Charges ................ ............................... Table 6 -2: Current & Proposed Monthly Service Charges ........ ............................... Table 6 -3: Proposed Capital Charges ..................................._.. ............................... Table 64: Current & Proposed Combined Fixed Charges ........ ............................... List of Figures ............. 2 -2 ............. 2 -2 ......... 2 -3 ............. 24 ............. 2-4 ............. 2 -5 ............. 2 -5 ............. 2-6 ............. 2-6 ............. 2 -9 - .......2 -10 ..........2 -11 ............. 3-1 ............ 4 -1 ............ 4 -2 ............ 5 -1 ............ . 5 -2 ............ 6 -1 ------------ 6 -1 ......6 -2 . 6 -2 Figure 2 -1: Five -Year Financial Outlook with No Revenue Increases (in thousands) .................. 2-8 Figure 2 -2: Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands) ....................................... ...........................2 -12 Figure 5 -1: Meter Equivalency Schedule Regional Comparison ( FY2009) ... ............................... 5 -2 Figure 7 -1: FY2010 Single Family Residential Customer Monthly Bill Impact ............................. 7 -1 Figure 7 -2: Monthly Regional Bill Comparison - 18 HCF ............................... ............................... 7 -2 REj3DAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING water utility Financial Plan ii ...., >. o, ....o.. .,.... 5317004 Acronyms Used in the Report AF Acre Feet AWWA American Water Works Association BMP Best Management Practice BPP Basin Pumping Percentage CUWCC California Urban Water Conservation Council CIP Capital Improvement Program ENR Engineering News Record FY Fiscal Year HCF Hundred Cubic Feet MET Metropolitan Water District of Southern California MWDOC Municipal Water District of Orange County OCWD Orange County Water District O &M Operations & Maintenance : RE[1DAK City of Newport Beach, CA ••' CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan .... ...... 5317004 Executive Summary Executive Summary Scope The City of Newport Beach Utilities Division (the City) retained Red Oak Consulting to conduct a water rate study (the Study). This study includes the development of a five- year financial plan, cost -of- service analysis, and development of a conservation rate structure. For purposes of expediting the adoption of new rates, the Study has been divided into two phases: 1. The development of the financial plan, the allocation of fixed and variable revenue, and the proportioning of the monthly service charge by meter size; and 2. The redesign of the commodity charge from a uniform rate to a conservation rate structure. This report documents the first phase of the Study, including the methodology used to develop the financial plan, the policy decisions reached, the proposed water rates, and the customer bill impacts. A separate report will be prepared for the second phase of the study upon its completion. Financial Plan In order to maintain the financial viability of the City water system, Red Oak, with the assistance of City staff, prepared a financial plan for the five -year period from fiscal year ending (FY) 2010 through FY2014. This financial plan includes the development of the City's annual revenue requirement, a financing plan for its capital improvement program (CIP), and review and recommendations for the City's reserve policies. Red Oak used its proprietary electronic financial planning model, eForecast, to determine the appropriate amount of revenue necessary for the City to meet all of the above requirements. Funds The City currently maintains a single fund for its water operations, capital improvement financing, and reserves. Based on direction from the City's staff, Red Oak created a separate fund for capital- related expenditures, which is referred to as the `Capital Fund.' The financial planning model isolates this fund from the City's Operating Fund in order to evaluate the financial viability of each fund separately. The City, with the assistance of RE@DAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan [ES-1] . e,... •. I-- 5317004 Executive Summary Red Oak, has developed target reserve levels for each fund, which will be explained in detail below. Revenue Requirement The City's revenue requirement is the total amount of revenue it must collect in order to meet its operations and maintenance (O &M) expenditures, debt service payments, and cash - financed capital expenditures. This revenue is collected through water rates and does not include revenue from incidental fees, charges, or other non - operating revenue. The City's O &M expenditures are accounted for in the Operating Fund while debt service payments and cash - financed capital are accounted for in the Capital Fund. Operations & Maintenance The City's operations & maintenance expenditures have steadily increased over the past four years, since its most -recent rate increase in FY2005. Table ES -1 presents the City's historical O &M expenditures for FY2005 through FY2008. Table ES -1: Historical Operations & Maintenance Expenditures (in thousands) Description FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 Purchased Water - MWDOC $ 3,350 $ 3,800 $ 3,350 $ 3,400 Purchased Water- OCWD 2,929 2,880 3,280 3,280 Utilities 1,094 922 872 922 Salaries & Benefits 3,302 3,712 3,827 3,799 Equipment Maintenance & Replacement 345 341 348 417 Other O &M 3,013 3,453 3,444 3,593 Total $14,033 $15,108 $15,121 $15,411 The City has seen a 29% increase in the average unit cost of purchased water from the Municipal Water District of Orange County (MWDOC) and a 37% increase in the average unit cost of purchased water from the Orange County Water District (OCWD) since 2005. O &M expenditures apart from purchased water and utilities include salaries and benefits, equipment maintenance and replacement, and other O &M. Other O &M includes the general fund service charge, minor capital expenditures, chemicals, and other supplies. Table ES -2 presents the projected O &M expenditures for the City for the current fiscal year and the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. REBDAK. city of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan ES -2 •. •' .o..,.,e. ,....�,,.. w, 5317004 Executive Table: ES -2: Projected Operations & Maintenance Expenditures (in thousands) Current 1 2 3 4 5 Description FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Purchased Water - MWDOC $ 3,354 $ 4,931 $ 5,991 $ 6,440 $ 6,762 $ 7,100 Purchased Water- OCWD 3,857 3,922 3,947 4,081 4,232 4,351 Utilities 1,325 1,322 1,440 1,549 1,692 1,851 Salaries & Benefits 4,152 4,319 4,491 4,671 4,858 5,052 Equipment Maintenance & Replacement 423 444 467 490 514 540 Other O&M 3,579 3,856 4,159 4,491 4,853 5,250 Total $16,690 $ 18,794 $ 20,494 $ 21,722 $ 22,911 $ 24,144 The City's O &M expenditures are projected to increase by over $7 million, or 45 %, from FY2009 to FY2014. Purchased water costs alone account for 57% of this increase. Purchased water costs are projected to increase by $3.7 million from MWDOC and $0.5 million from OCWD from FY2009 through FY2014. These costs, combined with Other O &M, which is partially determined by the total amount of water purchased, account for nearly 80% of the total increase. Capital Improvement Program Financing Since FY2005, the City has cash - financed all of its capital improvement needs. The City has developed a 30 -year capital improvement program as part of its 2009 Water Master Plan. This CIP totals approximately $167.6 million in escalated dollars at 4% per annum. The City will continue to finance its CIP on a pay -as- you -go basis during the financial plan period. Table ES -3 presents the financing plan for the City's CIP for the current fiscal year and the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. Future capital financing will be accounted for in the City's Capital Fund. An additional monthly capital charge will be assessed by meter size. This capital charge will be the primary source of revenue for the Capital Fund and be used to pay for cash - financed capital and debt service. Table ES -3: Capital Improvement Program Financing (in thousands) Current 1 2 3 4 5 Description FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Capital Projects $ 1,600 $ 3,210 $ 1,830 $ 3,542 $ 2,700 $ 1,033 Cash - Financed Capital Projects 1,600 3,210 1,830 3,542 2,700 1,033 Debt- Financed Capital Projects - - - - - Total Capital Projects Funded $ 1,600 $ 3,210 $1,830 $ 3,542 $ 2,700 $1,033 Table ES -4 presents the two remaining debt service payments for the 1999 Refunding of Water Revenue Bonds for the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. . •.; REFDAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan -^ [ES-3] .......... 5317004 `.�../ Executive Sum Table ES-4: Projected Debt Service Payments (in thousands) Current 5 Description FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Debt Service $ 1,618 $ 130 Reserve Requirements The following reserves are commonly maintained by utilities, and are recommended by Red Oak —at a minimum —to insulate the City from financial volatility. Operating Stabilization Reserve (Operating Fund) The City does not currently maintain an operating stabilization reserve. Red Oak recommends that the City maintain a reserve equivalent to 180 days of its operating budget, or 50 %. This reserve level also provides a buffer period of 24 months at a 25% loss rate. Funds collected in excess of the operations stabilization reserve target would be available to offset future rate adjustments while extended reserve shortfalls would be recovered from future rate increases. Contingency Reserve (Capital Fund) The City currently maintains a contingency reserve equivalent to 35% of its annual budget, which is based on a historical approximation of capital replacement needs in the event of a catastrophe. In order to determine the appropriate level of emergency capital replacement reserves, the City should conduct a criticality assessment of its system facilities. This assessment involves quantifying the probability of its facilities being impaired, the level of impairment, and the cost of replacement should a catastrophe occur. Red Oak recommends that the City conduct such an assessment; however, if resources are limited, the City may wish to set its contingency reserve level based on an alternative method. Based on direction from the City's staff, Red Oak has evaluated a contingency reserve that parallels the annual revenue anticipated to be recovered through the proposed capital charge. Red Oak believes this amount may provide a sufficient reserve against unanticipated replacements or repairs. By FY2014, the target contingency reserve will be approximately $4 million. Current Financial Outlook Based on the City's increasing O &M expenditures, capital financing needs, and proposed reserve requirements, current revenue are insufficient. Figure ES -1 presents the current fiscal year and the five -year financial outlook for FY2010 through 2014 with no rate revenue increases. Under current rate revenue, the City will be unable to maintain a positive balance in the combined Operating Fund and Capital Fund by FY2011. REMAK City of Newport Beach, CA •• • �' CONSULTING water Utility Financial Pla<.. n ES-0 • • .. • ..,..,,......,....... 5317004 4O0Lt£S -e.-. ' ua� le!oueu!� L1)n �aeM JNLigf$NO� yo •yoeag POdMON 40 �� -)(V®gu ; • ' -saseaxaui anuanax alex bussaaau aql grim paitposse xaogs alux aql aziwluiw of xapxo ui 0 OZAA Ptw 600ZAd ui umop umuxp WE sanxasold - I I OZAA (q Souasogap lunuue sill somuiwila ueld lupueug posodoid aqs •..ma i leosg luauno aql io3 uoillit? q•Z$ ,flaluwixoxddu jo Aouatogap lunute uu 5uiledioque si ,ilto oqy •uuld letouuug xua f -ang s,pun3 xaleAk pauigwoD xg sluasaxd Z-Sg azaid 'b I OZAd Xq law are sanxasax pue `gsuo gSnoxgl ,fluo paoueug axe sloa[oxd lelidea `luwiuiw si siawolsno of loogs alux lugl Bons padolanap uaaq suq told lupuuug sill `aalliunuoD aauetij s fl a;o uop powip aql uo posug •tiI0ZA3 q ,9nonp OIOZA3 Pouad oql xo3 uuld luiouuug mk -ang u padolanap seq `,guts s,,flia agl3o aouelsisse all gllm `)Wo po-d usld leioueuld IUOA -OAld posodoJd 01U 086UTV3 y_ somos yNd.j — &— 00UMW-AIWM-4 -nd— WCO- WWAPa -4-M mnuaraa ��— samq+uadx30upa..dp� R noz sLaz ZLoZ i[rc IWde0V.Wni -qs 0. 000'ors- aao'oes- Dwozs-. 000 OW otoz 600z of 000,{4 owozs ow,00 (spuesno4; ul) seseaxaul anuanaa ON 41!m)ioopno Ieiaueu!j xeaA -aAij :� -S3 axnBij tiewwnS 9Ailn39x3 535.0:0 530.0:0 525.000 520.000 S15,oro S10.000 $5.000 $0 Executive Summary Figure ES -2: Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands) 2G09 ®Cash.FundwdCaptlal —Op.re n9EVpnndM . –r- i 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Etk$n9Dahl Svnica Purchased Watat -OCvVD Pmchasad Wat« -MW000 �F Ra•Mnuec ��� TWQA Racetvae Endngaalance Current Fixed / Variable Rate Revenue The City currently collects approximately 90% of its rate revenue through its commodity charge and the remaining 10% through its monthly service charge. Table ES -5 presents the current composition of the City's rate revenue. A high proportion of variable revenue is potentially favorable in terms of affordability and conservation as customers that use less water are rewarded with lower bills. A high proportion of variable revenue, however, is less favorable in terms of revenue stability as less revenue is secure when water use is volatile. Table ES -5: Current (FY2009) Fixed I Rate Variable Revenue Rate Revenue Source FY2009 Percent Share Commodity Charge Monthly Service Charge $14,938 90% 1,640 10% Total Rate Revenue $ 16,578 Proposed Fixed /Variable Revenue The City is currently exceeding the requirements of California Urban Water Conservation Council's (CUWCC) Best Management Practice (BMP) 1 l by 20 %. BMP 11 states that RE ®AK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan ES-6 . ,...e. o....�......... 5317004 Executive Summary in order for water rates to qualify as `conservation rates,' variable revenue must be at least 70% of total rate revenue. Red Oak recommends that in order to reduce revenue instability generated by the City's disproportionate share of variable revenue, the City should gradually reduce the commodity charge's share of total rate revenue to slightly more than 70% by FY2014.1 Table ES -6 presents the proposed blend of fixed and variable rate revenue for the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. The proposed blends of fixed and variable revenue will help the City maintain revenue stability while still meeting the requirements of California CUWCC's BMP 11. Further, by increasing the proportion of revenue that is collected through fixed charges, the City can reduce its reliance on revenue collected through more aggressive conservation -based rates that it is planning to adopt in the future. Table ES -6: Proposed Fixed I Variable Revenue ($ in thousands) Rate Revenue Total Rate Revenue Fixed Revenue Share Variable Revenue Share Fixed Revenue - Monthly Service Charge Variable Revenue - Commodity Charge Projected Water Sales (Million HCF) Current FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 $ 16,578 $ 19,479 $ 23,723 $ 26,569 $ 28,916 10% 21 % 27% 28% 28% 90% 79% 73% 72% 72% $ 1,640 $ 4,084 $ 6,469 $ 7,469 $ 8,218 $ 14,938 $ 15,394 $ 17,253 $ 19,100 $ 20,698 7.182 Variable Rate ($ /HCF) $ 2.08 Note: Projected Water Sates assumes 6% water loss rate. 7,002 7,002 7,002 7,002 $2.20 $2.46 $2.73 $2.96 $ 30,130 28% 72% $ 8,536 $ 21,594 7,002 $ 3.08 Variable revenue projections rely on the City's projected sales of approximately 7 million HCF for FY2010 through FY2014. Projected sales, however, will be revised to account for a conservation rate structure, during the second phase of the Study. Adjustments to these projections will vary according to how aggressive the conservation rate structure is. Proposed Meter Equivalency Schedule The current meter equivalency schedule for the City's monthly service charge does not adequately reflect the relative costs of reading, maintaining, and replacing different meter sizes. Further, the current schedule does not account for the relative flow capacities of different meter sizes, which often serves as a basis for the relative amounts of meter - based charges. Red Oak recommends using the American Water Works Association's (AW WA) estimate of meter flow capacity from the M6 manual as the basis for the City's meter equivalency schedule. These flow estimates indicate the relative amounts of water To meet the requirements of BMP 11, the City should closely monitor its revenue to ensure that fixed charges do not exceed 30 percent of its revenue. This is important since the effects of conservation will reduce volume - related charges. As the City implements tiered water rates, it may consider requesting and exemption from the requirements of KE ®AK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan ES -7 ...... . 5317 004 Executive Summary that can flow through each meter size, expressed in gallons per minute. These relative capacities serve as an empirical basis for allocating costs among different meter sizes and provide a more defensible rationale for the determination of relative meter charges. California's Proposition 218 and Government Code §54999 both require proportionality in the determination of water rates, which the proposed meter equivalency schedule helps to address. Table ES -7 presents the current and proposed meter equivalency schedules. Table ES -7: Current & Proposed Meter Equivalency Schedules Meter Size Number of Meters Meter Equivalency Ratio Current Proposed 314" 17,445 1.00 1.00 1" 6,762 1.22 1.67 1112" 495 1.56 3.33 2" 1,373 2.11 5.33 3" 48 4.00 10.00 4" 80 5.67 16.67 6" 28 8.56 33.33 8" 14 10.00 53.33 10" 0 10.00 95.87 12" 0 10.00 154.20 Proposed Rates In order to implement the proposed financial plan, the City should adjust its current monthly service charge and commodity charge to the rates presented below for the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. These rates will allow the City to meet the revenue targets presented in the five -year financial plan, which will cover its rising expenditures for purchased water and other O &M items, capital improvement financing needs, and proposed reserve requirements. These rates will also meet the proposed transition to a composition of rate revenue in which fixed charges account for slightly less than 30% of total rate revenue, allowing for more revenue stability. Tables ES -8 through ES -11 present the proposed rates for the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. Note that.these rates are anticipated to be implemented on January 1 of each year. Table ES-8: Current & Proposed Commodity Charges Current 1 2 3 4 5 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Commodity Charge $ 2.08 $ 2.20 $ 2.46 $ 2.73 $ 2.96 $ 3.08 RE13DAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan F��] . --i.. o .............. 5317004 Executive Summary Table ES -9: Current & Proposed Monthly Service Charges Table ES -11: Current & Proposed Combined Fixed Charges Current 1 2 3 4 5 Monthly Service Charge FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 3/4" $ 4.50 $ 1.18 $ 5.76 $ 7.53 $ 8.78 $ 9.15 1" 5.50 1.97 9.60 12.55 14.63 15.24 11/2" 7.00 3.94 19.20 25.09 29.26 30.49 2" 9.50 6.31 30.72 40.14 46.81 48.78 3" 18.00 11.83 57.61 7527 87.77 91.46 4" 25.50 19.71 96.01 125.45 146.28 152.43 6" 38.50 39.42 192.02 250.91 292.57 304.85 8" 45.00 63.07 307.23 401.45 468.10 487.76 10" 45.00 113.36 552.25 721.60 841.42 876.75 12" 45.00 182.34 888.28 1,160.69 1,353.41 1,410.24 Table ES -10: Proposed Capital Charges Current 1 2 3 4 5 Capital Charge FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 314" - $7.08 $7.33 $7.59 $7.85 $8.13 1" - 11.80 12.22 12.65 13.09 13.55 11/2" - 23.61 24.43 25.29 26.18 27.09 2" - 37.77 39.10 40.46 41.88 43.35 3" - 70.83 73.30 75.87 78.53 81.27 4" - 118.04 122.17 126.45 130.88 135.46 6" - 236.09 244.35 252.90 261.75 270.91 8" - 377.74 390.96 404.64 418.80 433.46 10" - 678.98 702.75 727.34 752.80 779.15 12" - 1,092.13 1,130.35 1,169.92 1,210.86 1,253.24 Table ES -11: Current & Proposed Combined Fixed Charges Current 1 2 3 4 5 Combined Fixed Charges FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 314" $ 4.50 $ 8.27 $ 13.09 $15.11 $ 16.63 $ 17.27 1" 5.50 13.78 21.82 25.19 27.72 28.79 11/2' 7.00 27.55 43.64 50.38 55.43 57.58 2" 9.50 44.08 69.82 80.61 88.69 92.12 3" 18.00 82.65 130.91 151.14 166.30 172.73 4" 25.50 137.75 218.18 251.90 277.16 287.88 6" 38.50 275.50 436.37 503.81 554.32 575.76 8" 45.00 440.80 698.19 806.09 886.91 921.22 10" 45.00 792.34 1,254.99 1,448.95 1,594.22 1,655.90 12" 45.00 1,274.47 2,018.64 2,330.61 2,564.27 2,663.48 RE®AlC CONSULTING City of Newport Beach. CA Water Utility Financial Plan [ES-9] '.. •' . a...e... ...<o........ 5317004 Executive Summary Customer Bill Impact Figure $S -3 presents the single— family residential monthly bill impact distribution for FY2010 rates. This bill distribution is based on the City's calendar year 2007 consumption history. The blue columns indicate the percentage of single - family residential monthly bills that will increase by the corresponding amount on the horizontal axis, assuming consumption is similar to calendar year 2007. The red line indicates the cumulative percentage of monthly bills at each amount of change in bill. For example, the figure shows that 67% of monthly bills will increase by no more than $10. It also shows that approximately 15% of monthly bills will increase by between $4 and $5. Note that over 90% of monthly bills will increase by no more than $15. Figure ES-3: FY2010 Single - Family Residential Customer Monthly Bill Impact 16% IDO-A 14% 12% 10% m 4 N a e% O C u 6% 6 4% 2%%. 0% 00% 60% 70% 67% of mondity bills will inaeasaby nolnaetlian 60% 510 s0Y 40% 30% 20% II�I�IIe■..._ -- --- -._� 0% o% .o ��unammnm �mm N N VVl N T N N tlV1 N N' N N N N N N N N N N N mange Inmomhry Bin u C e 6 i U RE ®AK City of Newport Beach. CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan ES -10 ' • _ . • , I ... 1. 5317004 Section 1 Introduction 1. Introduction 1.1. Scope The City of Newport Beach Utilities Division (the City) retained Red Oak Consulting to conduct a water rate study (the Study). This study includes the development of a five- year financial plan, cost -of- service analysis, and development of a conservation rate structure. For purposes of expediting the adoption of new rates, the Study has been divided into two phases: L The development of the financial plan, the allocation of fixed and variable revenue, and the proportioning of the monthly service charge by meter size; and 2. The redesign of the commodity charge from a uniform rate to a conservation rate structure. This report documents the first phase of the Study, including the methodology used to develop the financial plan, the policy decisions reached, the proposed water rates, and the customer bill impacts. A separate report will be prepared for the second phase of the study upon its completion. 1.2. Background The City of Newport Beach Utilities Division currently serves a population of over 86,000 within a service area of approximately fifty square miles. It is located on the Pacific coast of California, in Orange County, and surrounded by Huntington Beach and Costa Mesa to the north, Laguna Beach to the South, and Irvine to the east. The City currently has over 26,300 active connections and delivers over 18,000 acre feet (AF) of water per year on average. The City owns and operates three reservoirs: Big Canyon Reservoir (600 AF), Spyglass Hill Reservoir (45 AF), and 16'h Street Reservoir (9.2 AF). REIIDAK City of Newport Reach. CA "•• CONSULTING Water utility Financial Plan 1 -1 ..,.,.......... ... 5317004 Section 2 Financial Plan 2. Financial Plan In order to maintain the financial viability of the City's water system, Red Oak, with the assistance of the City's staff, has prepared a financial plan for the five -year period from fiscal year ending (FY) 2010 through FY2014. This financial plan includes the development of the City's annual revenue requirement, a financing plan for its capital improvement program (CIP), and review and recommendations for the City's reserve policies. Red Oak used its proprietary electronic financial planning model, eForecast, to determine the appropriate amount of revenue necessary for the City to meet all of the above requirements. 2.1. Funds The City currently maintains a single fund for its water operations, capital improvement financing, and reserves. Based on direction from the City's staff, Red Oak has created a separate fund for capital- related expenditures, which will be referred to as the `Capital Fund.' The financial planning model isolates this fund from the City's Operating Fund in order to evaluate the financial viability of each fund separately. The City, with the assistance of Red Oak, has developed target reserve levels for each fund, which will be explained in detail below. 2.2. Revenue Requirement The City's revenue requirement is the total amount of revenue it must collect in order to meet its operations and maintenance (O &M) expenditures, debt service payments, and cash - financed capital expenditures. This revenue is collected through water rates and does not include revenue from incidental fees, charges, or other non- operating revenue. The City's O &M expenditures are accounted for in the Operating Fund while debt service payments and cash - financed capital are accounted for in the Capital Fund. 2.2.1. Operations & Maintenance The City's operations & maintenance expenditures have steadily increased over the past four years, since its most - recent rate increase in FY2005. Table 2 -1 presents the City's historical O &M expenditures for FY2005 through FY2008: RE ®AK City of Newport Beach, CA • CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 2 -1 • .. • .., >. >........>........ 5317004 Section 2 Financial Plan Table 2 -1: Historical Operations & Maintenance Expenditures (in thousands) Description. FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 Purchased Water - MWDOC $ 3,350 $ 3,800 $ 3,350 $ 3,400 Purchased Water -OCWD 2,929 2,880 3,280 3,280 Utilities 1,094 922 872 922 Salaries & Benefits 3,302 3,712 3,827 3,799 Equipment Maintenance & Replacement 345 341 348 417 Other O &M 3,013 3,453 3,444 3,593 Total $14,033 $15,108 $ 15,121 $15,411 2.2.1.1. Purchased Water Costs The largest components of the City's O &M expenditures are its purchased water costs and associated O &M, which are encompassed by the `Other O &M' category in Table 2 -1. The City currently obtains its water from two major sources: the Municipal Water District of Orange County ( MWDOC), which imports its water from the State Water Project and the Colorado River Aqueduct through the Metropolitan Water District of Southern California (MET), and the Orange County Water District (OCWD), which manages the Orange County groundwater basin. Variations in purchased water costs occur year -to -year based on the City's basin pumping percentage (BPP), which is the percentage of the City's annual demand that can be pumped from the basin; weather conditions; and to a lesser extent, the economy and growth. Table 2 -2 presents the average unit cost of purchased water per AF by the City's two major sources for FY2005 through FY2008. Note that the average cost per AF is the total amount of charges paid to each agency, divided by the amount of water purchased. The total amount of annual charges for MWDOC includes the cost of treated water, the capacity charge, the readiness -to -serve charge, and the meter charge. The total amount of annual charges for OCWD includes the cost of the replenishment assessment and annexation fee. Table 2 -2: Historical Average Unit Cost of Purchased Water per AF Description FY2005 FY2006- FY2007 FY2008 Purchased Water - MWDOC ($ /AF) $ 492 $ 514 $ 616 $ 597 Purchased Water- OCWD ($ /AF) 233 255 344 279 The City has seen a 29% increase in the average cost of purchased water from MWDOC and a 37% increase in the average cost of purchased water from OCWD since 2005. Based on information obtained from MWDOC and OCWD, Red Oak projects the following average unit costs of purchased water per AF in Table 2 -3. These projected unit costs are based on a projected purchased water amount of 17,100 AF per year. REBQAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utifity Financial Plan 2 -2 ......... ar ...call .�..�. 5317004 Section 2 Financial Plan Table 2-3: Projected Average Unit Cost of Purchased Water per AF Current Description FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Purchased Water— MWDOC ($ /AF) $ 633 $ 759 $ 922 $ 966 $1,014 $ 1,065 Purchased Water —CCWD ($ /AF) 319 361 364 382 397 408 Note that the projected unit cost of purchased . water from MWDOC increases by over 65% and the projected unit cost of purchased water from OCWD increases by over 25% from FY2009 through FY2014. Rising MWDOC costs can partially be attributed to the State of California's third consecutive year of drought and diminished supplies from the Bay Delta as part of efforts to protect endangered species. Purchased water costs from OCWD vary year -to -year based on the City's BPP, which is a function of the Orange County Groundwater Basin's rate of recharge. The unit costs also fluctuate due to the proportions of total water purchased from each of the City's two sources. 2.2.1.2. Utilities Utilities costs include electricity costs and telecommunications costs. The majority of these costs depend on the total amount of water pumped from the Orange County groundwater basin and have therefore been projected based on the projected amount of water that will be pumped. 2.2.1.3. Other O &M O &M expenditures apart from purchased water and utilities include salaries and benefits, equipment maintenance and replacement, and other O &M. Other 0 &M includes the general fund service charge, minor capital expenditures, chemicals, and other supplies. Based on the historical changes in costs for these items and discussion with City staff, Red Oak estimates the following annual escalation factors for these O &M expenditures: • Salaries & Benefits — 4% • Equipment Maintenance & Replacement — 5% • Other O &M • General Fund Service Charge — 4% • Minor Capital Expense — 0% • Chemicals & Supplies— 11% 2.2.1.4. Projected Operations & Maintenance Expenditures Table 2 -4 presents the projected O &M expenditures for the City for the current fiscal year and the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. REIIDA K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 2 -3 . ,...e. e...,�e,..,..,. 5317004 Section 2 Financial Plan Table 24: Projected Operations & Maintenance Expenditures (in thousands) Description Current FY2009 1 FY2010 2 FY2011 3 FY2012 4 FY2013 5 FY2014 Purchased Water - MWDOC $ 3,354 $ 4,931 $ 5,991 $ 6,440 $ 6,762 $ 7,100 Purchased Water- OCWD 3,857 3,922 3,947 4,081 4,232 4,351 Utilities 1,325 1,322 1,440 1,549 1,692 1,851 Salaries & Benefits 4,152 4,319 4,491 4,671 4,858 5,052 Equipment Maintenance & Replacement 423 444 467 490 514 540 Other O &M 3,579 3,856 4,159 4,491 4,853 5,250 Total $ 16,690 $18,794 $ 20,494 $ 21,722 $ 22,911 $ 24,144 The City's O &M expenditures are projected to increase by over $7 million, or 45 %, from FY2009 to FY2014. Purchased water costs alone account for 57% of this increase. Purchased water costs are projected to increase by $3.7 million from MWDOC and $0.5 million from OCWD from FY2009 through FY2014. These casts, combined with Other O &M, which is partially determined by the total amount of water purchased, account for nearly 80% of the total increase. 2.2.2. Capital Improvement Program Financing 2.2.2.1. Historical Capital Improvement Program Financing Since FY2005, the City has cash - financed all of its capital improvement needs. Table 2 -5 presents a summary of capital improvement financing from FY2005 through FY2008. Table 2 -5: Historical Capital Improvement Program Financing (in thousands) Description FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 Capital Projects $ 8,634 $ 7,794 $ 4,924 $ 5,363 Cash - Financed Capital Projects 8,634 7,794 4,924 5,363 Debt - Financed Capital Projects - - - - Total Capital Projects Funded $ 8,634 $ 7,794 $ 4,924 $ 5,363 2.2.2.2. Water Master Plan The City has developed a 30 -year capital improvement program as part of its 2009 Water Master Plan. Table 2 -6 presents the 30 -year CIP for the City as indicated in the 2009 Water Master Plan. The CIP is presented in annually escalated dollars to account for rising construction costs. Red Oak believes that the escalation rate of 4 %, used by the City to develop its CIP is reasonable and consistent with Engineering New Record (ENR) construction cost index. Note the average annual capital expenditure for the 30 -year CIP is approximately $5.6 million compared with $2.5 million for the five -year financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. RE ®AK city of Newport Beach, CA • CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 2 4 �.............. 5317004 Section 2 Financial Plan Table 2-6: 30 -Year Capital Improvement Program (in thousands) Year Capital Expenditure Year Capital Expenditure FY2009 $ 1,600 FY2024 $ 5,279 FY2010 3,210 FY2025 7,905 FY2011 1,830 FY2026 7,090 FY2012 3,542 FY2027 10,534 FY2013 2,700 FY2028 1,643 FY2014 1,033 FY2029 12,458 FY2015 3,610 FY2030 7,694 FY2016 8,408 FY2031 5,518 FY2017 4,890 FY2032 7,255 FY2018 5,382 FY2033 - FY2019 5,597 FY2034 4,315 FY2020 5,821 FY2035 - 7,645 FY2021 4,933 FY2036 7,950 FY2022 4,975 FY2037 8,268 FY2023 7,584 FY2038 8,599 15 -Year Total $ 65,115 30 -Year Total $167,268 Note: Project costs are escalated at a rate of 4% annually 2.2.2.3. Future Capital Improvement Program Financing The City will continue to finance its CIP on a pay -as- you -go basis during the financial plan period. Table 2 -7 presents the financing plan for the City's CIP for the current fiscal year and the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. Future capital financing will be accounted for in the City's Capital Fund. An additional monthly capital charge will be assessed by meter.size. This capital charge will be the primary source of revenue for the Capital Fund and be used to pay for cash - financed capital and debt service. Table 2 -7: Capital Improvement Program Financing (in thousands) Current 1 2 3 4 5 Description FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Capital Projects $ 1,600 $ 3,210 $1,830 $ 3,542 $ 2,700 $ 1,033 Cash - Financed Capital Projects 1,600 3,210 1,830 3,542 2,700 1,033 Debt - Financed Capital Projects - - - - - Total Capital Projects Funded $1,600 $ 3,210 $ 1,830 $ 3,542 $ 2,700 $1,033 2.2.2.4. Historical and Future Debt Service Payments Table 2 -8 presents the City's debt service payments from FY2005 through FY2008. These payments are among the six final payments for the 1999 Refunding of Water Revenue Bonds. REQDAK City of Newport beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 25 ..,.,..... .., 5317004 Section 2 Financial Plan Table 2-8: Debt Service Payments (in thousands) Description FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 Debt Service $ 1,653 $ 1,650 $ 1,649 $ 1,619 Table 2 -9 presents the two remaining debt service payments for the 1999 Refunding. Table 2 -9: Projected Debt Service Payments (in thousands) Current Description FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Debt Service $1,618 $ 130 - - - - 2.3. Reserve Requirements Reserve requirements are funds set aside for precautionary purposes such as for revenue stabilization, rate stabilization, or emergency capital replacement. These funds are typically required to maintain a predetermined balance or an amount based on annual operating results. The City currently maintains two reserves and a minimum capital contribution, referred to as the `designated reserve': • System Reserve– 35% of annual budget • Stabilization Reserve – 25% of annual budget • Designated Reserve –10% of annual budget The following reserves are commonly maintained by utilities, and are recommended by Red Oak —at a minimum —to insulate the City from financial volatility. 2.3.1. Operating Stabilization Reserve (Operating Fund) An operating stabilization reserve is established primarily to maintain adequate levels of cash between the time expenses are incurred and revenue are received. It may also be used to insulate a utility from volatility in some operating expenditures such as for energy, and provide time for the utility to adjust rates. Utilities that bill monthly typically maintain a reserve equivalent to 45 to 90 days of operating expenditures, while utilities that bill bimonthly typically maintain a reserve equivalent to 90 to 180 days of operating expenditures. Seasonality is also a factor in determining the appropriate reserve level; utilities that have strong seasonal influences to their demand typically maintain larger reserves. The City does not currently maintain an operating stabilization reserve. Red Oak recommends that the City maintain a reserve equivalent to 180 days of its operating budget, or 50 %. This reserve level also provides a buffer period of 24 months at a 25% loss rate. Funds collected in excess of the operations stabilization reserve target would be available to offset future rate adjustments while extended reserve shortfalls would be recovered from future rate increases. RE ®AK city of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water utility Financial Plan 2 -6 ... . ,,.. .... ............. 5317004 Section 2 Financial Plan 2.3.2. Contingency Reserve (Capital Fund) A contingency reserve is established to fund the replacement or repair of system facilities in the event that these facilities are impaired due to a catastrophe. The reserve may also be used to insulate against early and/or unanticipated capital replacement costs. The City currently maintains a contingency reserve equivalent to 35% of its annual budget, which is based on a historical approximation of capital replacement needs in the event of a catastrophe. In order to determine the appropriate level of emergency capital replacement reserves, the City should conduct a criticality assessment of its system facilities. This assessment involves quantifying the probability of its facilities being impaired, the level of impairment, and the cost of replacement should a catastrophe occur. Red Oak recommends that the City conduct such an assessment; however, if resources are limited, the City may wish to set its contingency reserve level based on an alternative method. Based on direction from the City's staff, Red Oak has evaluated a contingency reserve that parallels the annual revenue anticipated to be recovered through the proposed capital charge. Red Oak believes this amount may provide a sufficient reserve against unanticipated replacements or repairs. By FY2014, the target contingency reserve will be approximately $4 million. 2.4. Five -Year Financial Plan 2.4.1. Current Financial Outlook Based on the City's increasing O &M expenditures, capital financing needs, and proposed reserve requirements, current revenue are insufficient. Figure 2 -1 presents the current fiscal year and the five -year financial outlook for FY2010 through FY2014 with no rate revenue increases. Each column is broken into individual annual expenditures, indicated by a different color (see legend). The red line represents annual revenue, the black line represents ending balances, and the orange line represents target reserves. Under current rate revenue, the City will be unable to maintain a positive balance in the combined Operating Fund and Capital Fund by FY2011. RE ®AK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 2 -7 . ,...... , ......... 5317004 Section 2 Financial Plan Figure 2 -1: Five -Year Financial Outlook with No Revenue Increases (in thousands) $30.000 120.000 $10.000 $0 410,000 -E20p00 - $30.000 -f40.000 2009 2010 2W11 2012 2013 2014 r� 'E —C.5MFuiWedCapital Eckdng Debt S_wice �PerchoadWatsr -OCM eeee mhpsed VVt -MWDOO �Operating Erpendtures y— P,r+enues — ►— Tergdaesenes —t Endm913^1ence 2.4.2. Proposed Five -Year Financial Plan Red Oak, with the assistance of the City's staff, has developed a five -year financial plan for the period FY2010 through FY2014. Based on the direction of the City's Finance Committee, this financial plan has been developed such that rate shock to customers is minimal, capital projects are financed only by cash, and reserves are tnct by FY2014. Table 2 -10 presents the five -year financial plan for the City's Operating Fund. RE ®AK City of Newport Beach, CA • CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan F2 8 .. ,...1., ......... 5317004 Section 2 Financial Plan Table 2 -10: Operating Fund Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands) Current 1 2 3 4 5 Operating Fund FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Commodity Charge Revenue $ 14,938 $ 15,394 $ 17,253 $ 19,100 $ 20,698 $ 21,594 Monthly Service Charge Revenue 1,640 584 2,847 3,720 4,337 4,519 Miscellaneous Revenue 439 439 439 439 439 439 Interest Income 291 117 120 143 239 377 Total Revenue 17,309 16,535 20,660 23,403 25,714 26,930 Operations & Maintenance 9,480 9,941 10,557 11,201 11,917 12,693 Purchased Water- MWDOC 3,354 4,931 5,991 6,440 6,762 7,100 Purchased Water -OCWD 3,857 3,922 3,947 4,081 4,232 4,351 Total O &M 16,690 18,794 20,494 21,722 22,911 24,144 Capital Contribution (3,300) - - - - - Annual Surplus / (Deficiency) (2,682) (2,258) 166 1,681 2,803 2,785 Beginning Balance 9,665 6,983 4,725 4,891 6,572 9,374 Ending Balance $ 6,963 $ 4,725 $ 4,891 $ 6,572 $ 9,374 $ 12,160 Target Reserves $ 8,345 $ 9,397 $ 10,247 $ 10,861 $ 11,456 $ 12,072 Note that cash - financed capital and debt service are accounted for in the Capital Fund. The removal of these items has a corresponding decrease in the rate revenue required and accounted for in the Operating Fund, as seen in FY2010. Total rate revenue for the combined Operating Fund and Capital Fund, however, increases year -to -year to meet increasing O &M expenditures, capital improvement financing needs, and the proposed reserve requirements. The City's proposed Operating Stabilization reserve is met by FY2014. Table 2 -11 presents the five -year financial plan for the City's Capital Fund. REQDAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 2 -9 ...... ., ....... ... .,, 5317004 0 F Section 2 Financial Plan Table 2 -11: Capital Fund Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands) Current 1 2 3 4 5 Capital Fund FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Capital Charge Revenue - $ 3,500 $ 3,623 $ 3,749 $ 3,881 $ 4,016 Capital Contribution 3,300 - - - Interest Income 1 3 29 55 89 181 Total Revenue 3,301 3,503 3,651 3,804 3,969 4,198 Cash - Funded Capital 1,600 3,210 1,830 3,542 2,700 1,033 Existing Debt Service 1,618 130 - - - - New Debt Service - - Total Debt Service 1,618 130 - Annual Surplus /(Deficiency) 84 163 1,821 262 1,269 3,165 Beginning Balance - 84 247 2,069 2,331 3,601 Ending Balance $ 84 $ 247 $ 2,069 $ 2,331 $ 3,601 $ 6,765 Target Reserves $ 4,000 $ 3,500 $ 3,623 $ 3,749 $ 3,881 $ 4,016 Rate Revenue generated by the proposed Capital Charge is accounted for in the Capital Fund. This source of revenue, which begins in FY2010, is collected to recover the costs of cash - financed capital projects and debt service for the 1999 Refunding of Water Revenue Bonds. The target contingency reserve, which is met by FY2014, is based on the anticipated annual capital charge revenue, which will be approximately $4 million in FY2014. Table 2 -12 presents the five -year financial plan for the City's combined water fund. REBDAK City of Newport Beach, CA - ' CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 2 -10 .......o. o . ... ......... 5317004 �/ Section 2 Financial Plan Table 2 -12: Combined Water Fund Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands) The City anticipates an annual deficiency of approximately $2.6 million for the current fiscal year. The proposed financial plan eliminates this annual deficiency by FY2011. Reserves are drawn down in FY2009 and FY2010 in order to minimize the rate shock associated with the necessary rate revenue increases. Figure 2 -2 presents a graphical representation of the Combined Water Fund's five -year financial plan. Each column is separated into individual annual expenditures, indicated by a different color (see legend). The red line represents annual revenue, the black line represents ending balances, and the orange line represents target reserves. Note that target reserves are not met until FY2014. Rate revenue is gradually increased throughout the five -year financial plan such that `rate shock' to customers is reduced. : RE ®AK City of Newport Beach, CA • CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 2 -11 . ,� .1- e ............. 5317004 Current 1 2 3 4 5 Combined Water Fund FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Rate Revenue $ 16,578 $ 19,479 $ 23,723 $ 26,569 $ 28,916 $ 30,130 Miscellaneous Revenue 439 439 439 439 439 439 Interest Income 293 120 149 198 328 558 Total Revenue 17,310 20,039 24,311 27,207 29,683 31,127 Operations & Maintenance 9,480 9,941 10,557 11,201 11,917 12,693 Purchased Water - MWDOC 3,354 4,931 5,991 6,440 6,762 .7,100 Purchased Water- OCWD - 3,857 3,922 3,947 4,081 4,232 4,351 Total O&M 16,690 16,794 20,494 21,722 22,911 24,144 Cash - Funded Capital 1,600 3,210 1,830 3,542 2,700 1,033 Existing Debt Service 1,618 130 - - New Debt Service - - - - - - Total Debt Service 1,618 130 0 0 0 0 Total Expenditures 19,908 22,133 22,324 25,264 25,611 25,177 Annual Surplus / (Deficiency) (2,598) (2,095) 1,987 1,943 4,072 5,950 Beginning Balance 9,665 7,067 4,973 6,960 8,903 12,975 Ending Balance $ 7,067 $ 4,973 $ 6,960 $ 8,903 $12,975 $18,925 Target Reserves $ 12,345 $12,897 $ 13,870 $ 14,610 $ 15,336 $ 16,088 The City anticipates an annual deficiency of approximately $2.6 million for the current fiscal year. The proposed financial plan eliminates this annual deficiency by FY2011. Reserves are drawn down in FY2009 and FY2010 in order to minimize the rate shock associated with the necessary rate revenue increases. Figure 2 -2 presents a graphical representation of the Combined Water Fund's five -year financial plan. Each column is separated into individual annual expenditures, indicated by a different color (see legend). The red line represents annual revenue, the black line represents ending balances, and the orange line represents target reserves. Note that target reserves are not met until FY2014. Rate revenue is gradually increased throughout the five -year financial plan such that `rate shock' to customers is reduced. : RE ®AK City of Newport Beach, CA • CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 2 -11 . ,� .1- e ............. 5317004 505.000 $30,000 525.000 520.070 S150A S1o,0o0 $5,070 $0 Figure 2 -2: Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands) Section 2 Financial Plan 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2016 —Cash .0 edCapM - &kMp DebtSenkc Ptacha: Wata -0%VD NrdlasMVkter -MW000 .0pemtn9EKp dwrce �Rvmuaa — +•— TafgHReurves Endin9Bahnce RE ®AK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan [2 -121 ...... ............. 5317604 Section 3 Current Water Rates 3. Current Water Rates As part of the first phase of the Study, Red Oak reviewed the City's current water rates. These rates must be adjusted in order to follow Red Oak's proposed financial plan as they are currently insufficient to meet the City's rising O &M expenditures, capital improvement needs, and the proposed reserve requirements. 3.1. Monthly Service Charge Table 3 -1 presents the current monthly service charge for water accounts by meter size. Table 3 -1: Current Monthly Service Charge by Meter Size Meter Size Monthly Service Charge 314" $ 4.50 1" 5.50 1 112" 7.00 2" 9.50 3" 18.00 4" 25.50 8" 38.50 a" 45.00 10" 45.00 12" 45.00 3.2. Commodity Charge The current commodity charge is $2.08 per HCF. The City's commodity charge is a uniform rate and does not vary by meter size, customer class, or season. RE ®AK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING water Utility Financial Plan 3 -1 '...� .,..,. o...,<........ 5317004 Section 4 Fixed / Variable Revenue 4. Fixed / Variable Revenue 4.1. Current Fixed / Variable Rate Revenue The City currently collects approximately 90% of its rate revenue through its commodity charge and the remaining 10% through its monthly service charge. Table 4 -1 presents the current composition of the City's rate revenue. A high proportion of variable revenue is potentially favorable in terms of affordability and conservation as customers that use less water are rewarded with lower bills. A high proportion of variable revenue, however, is less favorable in terms of revenue stability as less revenue is secure when water use is volatile. Table 4 -1: Current (FY2009) Fixed f Variable Rate Revenue ($ in thousands) Rate Revenue Source FY2009 Percent Shan: Commodity Charge $14,938 90% Monthly Service Charge 1,640 10% Total Rate Revenue $16,578 4.2. California Urban Water Conservation Council Best Management Practice 11 The California Urban Water Conservation Council (CUWCC) has developed fourteen best management practices (BMPs) to reduce long -term urban water demand in California. Implementation of these BMPs can aid water agencies in receiving regional and/or state grants, in addition to reducing long -term demand. CUWCC's BMP 11 concerns retail water service rates. It states that in order for water rates to qualify as `conservation rates,' variable rate revenue must be at least 70% of total rate revenue. BMP 11 clarifies that uniform rates, seasonal rates, tiered rates, and allocation -based rates are all types of rates that can be used to meet its requirements. 4.3. Proposed Fixed / Variable Revenue The City is currently exceeding the requirements of CUWCC's BMP I 1 by 20 %. Red Oak recommends that in order to reduce revenue instability generated by the City's disproportionate share of variable revenue, the City should gradually reduce the commodity charge's share of total rate revenue to slightly more than 70% by FY2014. t To meet the requirements of BMP 11, the City should closely monitor its revenue to ensure that fixed charges do not exceed 30 percent of its revenue. This is important since the effects of conservation will reduce volume - related : REQDAK City of Newport Beach, CA ' CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 4 -1 ' • .. ...................�..�. 5317004 Section 4 Fixed / Variable Revenue Table 4 -2 presents the proposed blend of fixed and variable rate revenue for the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. The proposed blends of fixed and variable revenue will help the city maintain revenue stability while still meeting the requirements of BMP 11. Further, by increasing the proportion of revenue that is collected through fixed charges, the City can reduce its reliance on revenue collected through more aggressive conservation -based rates that it is planning to adopt in the future. Table 4 -2: Proposed Fixed f Variable Revenue ($ in thousands) Rats Revenue Current FY2009 1 FY2010 2 FY2011 3 FY2012 4 FY2013 5 FY2014 Total Rate Revenue $ 16,578 $ 19,479 $ 23,723 $ 26,569 $ 28,916 $ 30,130 Fixed Revenue Share 10 °/U 21% 2r /a 28% 28% 28% Variable Revenue Share 90% 79% 73% 72% 72% 72% Fixed Revenue - Monthly Service Charge $1,640 $ 4,084 $ 6,469 $ 7,469 $ 8,218 $ 8,536 Variable Revenue - Commodity Charge $ 14,938 $15,394 $ 17,253 $ 19,100 $ 20,698 $ 21,594 Projected Water Sales (Million HCF) 7,182 7,002 7,002 7,002 7,002 7,002 Variable Rate ($1HCF) $ 2.08 $ 2.20 $ 2.46 $ 2.73 $ 2.96 $ 3.08 Note: Projected Water Safes assumes 61Y. waterless rate Note that the total rate revenue in the. above table matches the rate revenue presented in Table 2 -12. Variable revenue projections rely on the City's projected sales of approximately 7 million HCF for FY2010 through FY2014. Projected sales, however, will be revised to account for a conservation rate structure, during the second phase of the Study. Adjustments to these projections will vary according to how aggressive the conservation rate structure is. charges. As the City implements tiered water rates, it may consider requesting and exemption from the requirements of BMP 11. •�,� ; RH DAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 4 -2 ,...,.e...,.... 5317004 Section 5 Monthly Service Charge Meter Equivalency 5. Monthly Service Charge Meter Equivalency 5.1. Current Meter Equivalency Schedule Table 5 -1 presents the current monthly service charge and the corresponding meter equivalency ratio for each meter size. Table 5 -1: Current Monthly Service Charge & Meter Equivalency Schedule Meter Size Monthly Service Charge Meter Equivalency Ratio 314" $ 4.50 1.00 V 5.50 1.22 1 112" 7.00 1.56 2" 9.50 2.11 3" 18.00 4.00 4" 25.50 5.67 61, 38.50 8.56 8" 45.00 10.00 W.. 45.00 10.00 12" 45.00 10.00 5.2. Proposed Meter Equivalency Schedule The current meter equivalency schedule for the City's monthly service charge does not adequately reflect the relative costs of reading, maintaining, and replacing different meter sizes. Further, the current schedule does not account for the relative flow capacities of different meter sizes, which often serves as a basis for the relative amounts of meter - based charges. Red Oak recommends using the American Water Works Association's (AWWA) estimate of meter flow capacity from the M6 manual as the basis for the City's meter equivalency schedule. These flow estimates indicate the relative amounts of water that can flow through: each meter size, expressed in gallons per minute. These relative capacities serve as an empirical basis for allocating costs among different meter sizes and provide a more defensible rationale for the determination of relative meter charges. California's Proposition 218 and Government Code §54999 both require proportionality in the determination of water rates, which the proposed meter equivalency schedule helps to address. Table 5 -2 presents. the current and proposed meter equivalency schedules. �• • ; RE@DA K City of Newport Beach, CA • CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 5 -1 5317004 •.. Section 5 Monthly Service Charge Meter Equivalency Table 5 -2: Current & Proposed Meter Equivalency Schedules Meter Size Number of Meters Meter Equivalency Ratio Current Proposed 314" 17,445 1.00 1.00 1" 6,762 1.22 1.67 11/2" 495 1.56 3.33 2" 1,373 2.11 5.33 3" 48 4.00 10.00 4" 80 5.67 16.67 6" 28 8.56 33.33 8" 14 10.00 53.33 10" 0 10.00 95.87 12" 0 10.00 154.20 Figure 5 -1 presents the current and proposed meter equivalency schedules in comparison to other utilities within the region. Note that the current meter equivalency schedule for the City is conservative in its escalation compared to other water agencies in the region, with the exception of the City of Anaheim. 140 120 100 80 60 Figure 5 -1: Meter Equivalency Schedule Regional Comparison (FY2009) 40 2D B —A NewpW Beach Newpcd Beach A.4em Irvine Ranch Laguna Beach (Qmem) (Proposed) .3J4' .1' .111T .Y •3' •4' .T .6 RE ®A K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 53171H14 Huntinglm M"a Beach cm cidaw Carden Grove � Section 6 Proposed Water Rates 6. Proposed Water Rates In order to implement the proposed financial plan, the City should adjust its current monthly service charge and commodity charge to the rates presented below for the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. These rates will allow the City to meet the revenue targets presented in the five -year financial plan, which will cover its rising expenditures for purchased water and other O &M items, capital improvement financing needs, and proposed reserve requirements. These rates will also meet the proposed transition to a composition of rate revenue in which fixed charges account for slightly less than 30% of total rate revenue, allowing for more revenue stability. Tables 6 -1 through 6 -4 present the proposed rates for the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. Note that these rates are anticipated to be implemented on January 1 of each year. Table 6 -1: Current & Proposed Commodity Charges Current FY2009 1 2 3 4 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 5 FY2014 Commodity Charge 2.08 2.20 2.46 2.73 2.96 3.08 Table 6 -2: Current ,& Proposed Monthly Service Charges Current 1 2 3 4 5 Monthly Service Charge FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 314" $ 4.50 $ 1.18 $ 5.76 $ 7.53 $ 8.78 $ 9.15 V 5.50 1.97 9.60 12.55 14.63 15.24 1112" 7.00 3.94 19.20 25.09 29.26 30.49 2" 9.50 6.31 30.72 40.14 46.81 48.78 3" 18.00 11.83 57.61 75.27 87.77 91.46 4" 25.50 19.71 96.01 125.45 146.28 152.43 6" 38.50 39.42 192.02 250.91 292.57 304.85 8" 45.00 63.07 307.23 401.45 468.10 487.76 10" 45.00 113.36 55225 721.60 841.42 876.75 12" 45.00 182.34 888.28 1,160.69 1,353.41 1,410.24 REIIDAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Mlity Financial Plan 641 . >,.,• >. o ............. 5317004 - Section 6 Proposed Water Rates Table 6 -3: Proposed Capital Charges RERDAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Ulilily Financial Plan 6 -2 .....,.., 5317004 Current 1 2 3 4 5 Capital Charge FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 314" - $7.08 $7.33 $7.59 $7.85 $8.13 1•' - 11.80 12.22 12.65 13.09 13.55 11/2" - 23.61 24.43 2529 26.18 27.09 2" - 37.77 39.10 40.46 41.88 43.35 3" - 70.83 73.30 75.87 78.53 81.27 4" - 118.04 122.17 126.45 130.88 135.46 6" - 236.09 244.35 252.90 261.75 270.91 8" - 377.74 390.96 404.64 418.80 433.46 10•1 - 678.98 702.75 727.34 752.80 779.15 12" 1,09213 1,130.35 1,169.92 1,210.86 1,253.24 Table 6-4: Current & Proposed Combined Fixed Charges Current 1 2 3 4 5 Combined Fixed Charges FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 314" $4 .50 $ 8.27 $ 13.09 $ 15.11 $ 16.63 $ 17.27 1" 5.50 13.78 21.82 25.19 27.72 28.79 11/2' 7.00 27.55 43.64 50.38 55.43 57.58 2•• 9.50 44.08 69.82 80.61 88.69 92.12 3" 18.00 82.65 130.91 151.14 166.30 172.73 4" 25.50 137.75 218.18 251.90 277.16 287.88 6" 38.50 275.50 436.37 503.81 554.32 575.76 8" 45.00 440.80 698.19 806.09 886.91 92122 101, 45.00 792.34 1,254.99 1,448.95 1,594.22 1,655.90 12" 45.00 1,274.47 2,018.64 2,330.61 2,564.27 2,663.48 RERDAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Ulilily Financial Plan 6 -2 .....,.., 5317004 Section 7 Bill Comparisons & Impacts 7. Bill Comparisons & Impacts Figure 7 -1 presents the single family residential monthly bill impact distribution for FY2010 rates. This bill distribution is based on the City's calendar year 2007 consumption history. The blue columns indicate the percentage of single family residential monthly bills that will increase by the corresponding amount on the horizontal axis, assuming consumption is similar to calendar year 2007. The red line indicates the cumulative percentage of monthly bills at each amount of change in bill. For example, the figure shows that 67% of monthly bills will increase by no more than $10. It also shows that approximately I S% of monthly bills will increase by between $4 and $5. Note that over 90% of monthly bills will increase by no more than $15. Figure 7 -1: FY2010 Single Family Residential Customer Monthly Bill Impact 1646 1 - 100% 14% `12% 1G°b W m 3 15- ax O L V 4 °m 2 °.b 0% 67% of monthly bills will increase by no more em $10 w0.-Nq NY NO FO,WOe- '!1 "O'wW0 Nt"Y���VVVVOtiNWOrN mAN��6W0V N N g q q N N q w w q q w w N N q K w M N N w q p w q L4 N N N w w w w N M H N Change In monitdy 6111 90% 80% 70% m 60% `o a Z s0% Y 6 40% F� 3 u 3W, 20% 10% Figure 7 -2 presents the current monthly bill for %" meters that consume 18 HCF per month, compared with the bill under the proposed rates for FY2010, and the bills at other agencies within the region. Note that it is anticipated that several, if not all of the regional agencies presented below, will likely increase their rates in FY2010 to address rising purchased water costs. KE ®AK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING water Utility Financial Plan 7 1 .— ..... o..... °....w,. 5317004 ;Q^ }} 2 \} �\ - (; { } ! ! . ! ` � { � � M \ 0 ) j B MR, IR /\ City of Newport Beach f P.O. Box 1768 r Newport Beach, CA 92658 -8915 °glnMi`e City of Newport Beach Information and Notice of Public Hearing And Protest Procedure Proposed Water Rate Charges TO: Doe, John & Jane 12345 Main Street Newport Beach, CA 94590 Attachment B - --------- - - - - -- - - - - -- - -- --- - - - - -- - -- - - - -- - ----- - - - - -- -------------- - - - - -- ----------- - - - - -- - -- - -- - -- - - - -- - -- - -- --- - - - - -- - -- - -- - - - - -- ------ - - - - -- EXTRA SPACE Notice of Public Hearing and Protest Procedure NOTICE IS HEREBY GIVEN that on Tuesday, November 10, 2009, at 7:0013M, a public hearing will be conducted in the City Council Chambers (Building A) at 3300 Newport Boulevard, Newport Beach. This will be a Public Hearing before the City Council to allow public testimony and discussion of the proposed water rate increases described below. The City Council will take written and oral comments, and will consider all written protests against the proposed charges, determine if a majority protest exists, and consider resolutions to adopt the water rate charges. Written protests must be filed with the City of Newport Beach City Clerk. Written protests may be hand delivered or mailed to the City Clerk at 3300 Newport Boulevard, Newport Beach, California 92663. To be valid, written protests must state opposition to the proposed water rate increase, identify the Parcel (by assessor's parcel number or street address), and include the original signature of the record water service customer or parcel owner. A written protest may be submitted up to the conclusion of the public testimony at the public hearing. About Proposition 218 In November 1996, California voters approved Proposition 218. As a result, California agencies must comply with its requirements in setting utility rates. One provision requires that a noticed public hearing on utility rates be held and that rates not be increased if a majority of affected utility customers protest the increased rates in writing. Frequently Asked Questions Q. What does my water bill pay for? A. Your water bill covers the following categories costs and services: Annual operation and maintenance of the water system. Including well and pump station operations, water treatment and testing, and water system employee salaries. City water purchase costs. The City purchases water from the Municipal Water District of Orange County and from the Orange County Water District. Capital improvement projects to repair and replace facilities and equipment to improve the water system safety, efficiency and reliability. No additional debt for this purpose is proposed and all improvements will be paid for with rate revenue. Q. Why do the rates need to be raised? A. Newport Beach is not immune to the increasing cost and scarcity of water over the past several years. Operating expenses, including chemical and electrical costs, have increased by an average of 6% over the last four years. In the last year alone, the cost of imported water increased by 20% on September 1st and will increase by another 22% on January 1, 2011. In addition, capital expenditures are required to maintain the water delivery system. The City has not raised its Water Rates since 2005. The existing rates do not provide enough revenue to meet the expenses necessary to operate the water system to provide a safe and reliable water supply to City customers for the next 5 years. Q. How is my water bill calculated? A. A customer's water bill (which is a component of the municipal services statement sent to City water customer's periodically) is calculated by the sum of a fixed service charge, which is based on the customer's meter size, and the water usage fee, which is calculated based on the amount of water used by the customer. See rate tables below. The rate structure in the table below is designed to spread the costs of providing water system among the system's users fairly and equitably. The costs associated with City's water system are made up of expenses associated with operating and maintaining the system, capital costs associated with rehabilitating and expanding the system, and commodity charges associated with acquiring water supplies. The City's rate structure is designed to encourage conservation by including a portion of operations and maintenance costs in the commodity charge, even though many of these expenses may not be directly dependent on water usage. Thereby, a greater proportion of a customer's bill reflects water usage, which encourages conservation because a customer can reduce his or her bill by using less water. This proposed blend of the costs between variable and fixed revenues (70% fixed / 30% variable) ensures revenue stability while also encouraging conservation. The following is a breakdown of each component: 1. Water Usage Fee (Variable): Shown on the bill as "Water Usage HCF ", this charge is geared primarily towards recovering the costs associated with City water purchases, treatment, and distribution costs. In the proposed rate, 70% of the total revenue will come from this charge. This charge is based on the amount of water used and is calculated by multiplying the number of hundred cubic feet units (HCF) of water used by the unit rate per HCF. 2. Water Service Charge (Fixed): This charge is designed to recover (a) the costs of reading, maintaining, and replacing the meters and (b) the costs of capital improvements. The revenues derived from the capital component are to be used for repairs and improvements to the water system identified in the water master plan. In the proposed rate, 30% of the total revenue will come from this charge. The charge is based on the customer's water meter size. Most single - family residential properties have a 5/8 -inch or 3/4 -inch meter. Proposed Water Rates Current & Proposed Water Usage Fee (cost per HCF) Current 1 2 3 4 5 FY2DD9 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Commodity Charge $2.08 $2.20 $2.46 $2.73 $2.96 $3.08 Combined Fixed C 5/8" or 3/4" 1" 1 1/2" 2" 3" 4" 6" 8" 10" 12" Current & Proposed Water Service Charge Current 1 2 3 4 5 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 $4.50 $8.27 $13.09 $15.11 $16.63 $17.27 $5.50 $13.78 $21.82 $25.19 $27.72 $28.79 $7.00 $27.55 $43.64 $50.38 $55.43 $57.58 49.50 $44.08 $69.82 $80.61 $88.69 $92.12 $18.00 $82.65 $130.91 $151.14 $166.30 $172.73 $25.50 $137.75 $218.18 $251.90 $277.16 $287.88 $38.50 $275.50 $436.37 $503.81 $554.32 $575.76 $45.00 $440.80 $698.19 $806.09 $886.91 $921.22 $45.00 $792.34 $1,254.99 $1,448.95 $1,594.22 $1,655.90 $45.00 $1,274.47 $2,018.64 $2,330.61 $2,564.27 $2,663.48 Need More Information? If you have questions, please call George Murdoch, Utilities Director at the following number: (949)644- 30111287778.1 City of Newport Beach Water Utility Financial Plan September 8, 2009 Pathways to Lasting Solutions Why do we need to increase rates? ":. Last rate increase was in 2005 Operating expenses have increased on average by ~6% annually for the last 4 years ■ Chemicals and electricity are a major driver s 2009 through 2014 CIP totals $13.9 million 2 Pathways to tasting Solutions Why do we need to increase rates? == : Purchased water costs are rising rapidly ■ Imported Water (MWDOC) • Average unit cost of imported water has risen 29% since last rate increase • 20% MET rate increase 9/09, 22% 1/11 ■ Groundwater (OCWD) • Average unit cost of groundwater has risen 38% since last rate increase ■ Basin Pumping Percentage to be reduced • City will have to rely on more expensive imported water 3 Pathways to Lasting Solutions Projected Purchased Water Average Unit Costs MWDOC ($ /AF) $ 633 $ 759 $ 922" . $ 965 $ 1,014:1 $ 1;065 OCWD ($ /AF) 319 361 364 382 397 408 Weighted Average 59% AF = Acre Feet; 325,850 gallons El Pathways to Lasting Solutions Projected Operating Expenditures Purchased Water - MWDOC Purchased Water - OCWD Utilities Salaries & Benefits Equipment Maintenance & Replacement Other O &M Total Percent Change $ in thousands 5 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2613 IFY2014 $ 3,354 $ 4,931 $ 5,991 $ 6,440 $ 6,762 $ 7,100 3,857 3,922 3,947 4,081 4;232 4,351. 1,325 1,322 1,440 1,549 1,692 1,851 4,152 4,319 4;491. 4,671 4,858 5,052 423 444 467 490 514 540 3,579 3;856 41159 4,491 4,853 5,250 $ 16,690 $ 18,794 $ 20,494 $ 21,722 $ 22,911 $ 24,144 6% -5% Pathways to Lasting Solutions Current Financial Outlook $30,.000 $20.000 $10.000 $0 2009 - $10,000 - $20.000 - $30,000 - $40.000 s Cash - Funded Capital M_ Operating Expenditures $ in thousands 2010 "Ali 2012 2013 2014 .y `may Existing Debt Service t Revenues ($27.9 million) asp Purchased Water. OCWD Purchased Water -MWDOC .. — Target Reserves —! Ending Balance 6 Pathways to Lasting Solutions Current. Financial Outlook *r $2.6 million loss anticipated for FY2009 Reserves will be exhausted by end of FY2011 a CIP not adequately funded 7 Pathways to Lasting Solutions Financial Planning Objectives Directed by Finance Committee to: ■Draw down reserves to minimize "rate shock" ■ Meet reserves by FY2014 ■Increase fixed charge revenue to improve revenue stability Ensure CIP is adequately funded ■Establish dedicated capital charge 8 Pathways to Lasting Solutions Proposed Financial Plan $35.000 $30,000 $25.000 $20,000 $5,000 $0 $ in thousands 1s on; pj,,g� 2009 2010 2011 maswee Cash-Funded Capital Exisfing Debt Service � Operating Expenditures 18.9 million 2012 2013 2014 Purchased Water- OCVVD Purchased Water. MVVDOC Target Reserves —A— EndingBalance 9 Pathways to Lasting Solutions Proposed Financial Plan * Loss is eliminated by FY2011 Target reserves are met by FY2014 on CIP adequately funded beyond 5- year financial plan 10 Pathways to Lasting Solutions Proposed Rates FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Commodity Charge $ 2.08 $ 2.20 $ 2.46 $ 2.73 $ 2.96 $ 3.08 $ 16.63 $ 17.27 V. 5.50 13.78 21.82 Monthly Meter Charge FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 3/4" $ 4.50 $ 8.27 $ 13.09 $ 15.11 $ 16.63 $ 17.27 V. 5.50 13.78 21.82 25.19 27.72 28.79 1 1/2" 7.00 27.55 43.64 50.38 55.43 57.58 2" 9.50 44.08 69.82 80.61 88.69 92.12 3" 18.00 82.65 130.91 151.14 166.30 172.73 4" 25.50 137.75 218.18 251.90 277.16 287.88 6" 38.50 275.50 436.37 503.81 554.32 575.76 8" 45.00 440.80 698.19 806.09 886.91 921.22 10" 45.00 792.34 1,254.99 1,448.95 1,594.22 1,655.90 12" 45.00 1,274.47 2,018.64 2,330.61 2,564.27 2,663.48 Effective January 1 of each year 11 Pathways to Lasting Solutions Single Family Bill Impact 16% 14% 12% 10% m 4 N N H 8% 0 `C U d 6% 4% 2% o% 100% 12 Pathways to Lasting Solutions T m 0 a m m d V 90% 80% 70% 67% of monthly bills will increase by no more than 60% $10 50% 40% 30% 20% % 0% --------- h W W O N M N N N N N m O N O O N M O N O� O O N N N N N N N N lh M (") f'1 Cl C'! Cl ['1 CJ �'1 C O !A M (A f9 q M fA f9 fA lA N.M W Vf W N A f9 fA fA (9 W f9 fR f9 IR fR W W tlf f9 $"' Change in Monthly Bill 12 Pathways to Lasting Solutions T m 0 a m m d V Regional Water Bill Comparison $70 $65.97 $01.07 $60 13 Pathways to Lasting Solutions Questions &Answers September 8, 2009 Pathways to Lasting Solutions • • • Attachment A City of Newport Beach, CA 949 W 16th Street • Newport Beach, CA 92663 Water Utility Financial Plan August 2009 Report Prepared By: ' RE ®A K CONSULTING • A OIVILION 01 MALLOL. IIIINIL 888 W 6th Street Third Floor Los Angeles, CA 90017 5317004 (213) 326 -1600 Table of Contents Contents • ExecutiveSummary ...................................................... ............................... ES -1 1. Introduction ...................................................................... ............................1 -1 1.1. Scope ............................................................................................. ............................... 1 -1 1.2. Background ....................................................................................... ............................1 -1 2. Financial Plan .................................................................. ............................2 -1 2.1. Funds ............................................................................................. ............................... 2 -1 2.2. Revenue Requirement ...................................................................... ............................2 -1 2.2.1. Operations & Maintenance ................................................ ............................2 -1 2.2.1.1. Purchased Water Costs .......................................... ............................2 -2 2.2.1.2. Utilities ..................................................................... ............................2 -3 2.2.1.3. Other O &M ........................................................... ............................... 2 -3 2.2.1.4. Projected Operations & Maintenance Expenditures ...........................2 -3 2.2.2. Capital Improvement Program Financing .......................... ............................2 -4 2.2.2.1. Historical Capital Improvement Program Financing ...........................2 -4 2.2.2.2. Water Master Plan .................................................. ............................2 -4 2.2.2.3. Future Capital Improvement Program Financing .... ............................2 -5 2.2.2.4. Historical and Future Debt Service Payments ........ ............................2 -5 2.3. Reserve Requirements .................................................................. ............................... 2.3.1. Operating Stabilization Reserve (Operating Fund) ........... ............................2 2 -6 -6 2.3.2. Contingency Reserve (Capital Fund) ................................ ............................2 -7 2.4. Five -Year Financial Plan ................................................................... ............................2 -7 2.4.1. Current Financial Outlook .................................................. ............................2 -7 2.4.2. Proposed Five -Year Financial Plan ................................... ............................2 -8 3. Current Water Rates ........................................................ ............................3 -1 3.1. Monthly Service Charge ................................................................. ............................... 3 -1 3.2. Commodity Charge.. ..................................................................................................... 3 -1 4. Fixed / Variable Revenue ................................................ ............................4 -1 4.1. Current Fixed/ Variable Rate Revenue ............................................ ............................4 -1 4.2. California Urban Water Conservation Council Best Management Practice 11 .............4 -1 4.3. Proposed Fixed / Variable Revenue .............................................. ............................... 4 -1 5. Monthly Service Charge Meter Equivalency ................. ............................5 -1 5.1. Current Meter Equivalency Schedule ............................................... ............................5 -1 5.2. Proposed Meter Equivalency Schedule ............................................ ............................5 -1 6. Proposed Water Rates .................................................... ............................6-1 7. Bill Comparisons & Impacts ........................................... ............................7 -1 . ; REBDA K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan O •..• ..�.,,�............,.... 5317004 Table of Contents • List of Tables Table 2 -1: Historical Operations & Maintenance Expenditures (in thousands) ............................2 -2 Table 2 -2: Historical Average Unit Cost of Purchased Water per AF ............ ............................... 2 -2 Table 2 -3: Projected Average Unit Cost of Purchased Water per AF ........... ............................... 2 -3 Table 2 -4: Projected Operations & Maintenance Expenditures (in thousands) ............................2 -4 Table 2 -5: Historical Capital Improvement Program Financing (in thousands) ............................2 -4 Table 2 -6: 30 -Year Capital Improvement Program (in thousands) ................... ............................2 -5 Table 2.7: Capital Improvement Program Financing (in thousands) ................ ............................2 -5 Table 2 -8: Debt Service Payments (in thousands) ........................................... ............................2 -6 Table 2 -9: Projected Debt Service Payments (in thousands) ........................... ............................2 -6 Table 2 -10: Operating Fund Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands) ............. ............................2 -9 Table 2.11: Capital Fund Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands) ................. ...........................2 -10 Table 2.12: Combined Water Fund Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands) . ...........................2 -11 Table 3 -1: Current Monthly Service Charge by Meter Size ........................... ............................... 3-1 Table 4.1: Current (FY2009) Fixed / Variable Rate Revenue ($ in thousands) ........................... 4 -1 Table 4.2: Proposed Fixed / Variable Revenue ($ in thousands) .................. ............................... 4 -2 Table 5.1: Current Monthly Service Charge & Meter Equivalency Schedule ............................... 5 -1 Table 5.2: Current & Proposed Meter Equivalency Schedules ........................ ............................5 -2 Table 6 -1: Current & Proposed Commodity Charges .................................... ............................... 6 -1 Table 6 -2: Current & Proposed Monthly Service Charges ............................ ............................... 6 -1 Table 63: Proposed Capital Charges ........................................................... ............................... 6 -2 Table 6 -4: Current & Proposed Combined Fixed Charges ............................ ............................... 6 -2 List of Figures • Figure 2 -1: Five -Year Financial Outlook with No Revenue Increases (in thousands) .................. 2 -8 Figure 2 -2: Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands) ................................................ .................. 2 -12 Figure 5 -1: Meter Equivalency Schedule Regional Comparison ( FY2009) ...... ............................5 -2 Figure 7 -1: FY2010 Single Family Residential Customer Monthly Bill Impact . ............................7 -1 Figure 7 -2: Monthly Regional Bill Comparison - 18 HCF .................................. ............................7 -2 • R ®AK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan Ij ... 5317004 Acronyms Acronyms Used in the AF Acre Feet AWWA American Water Works Association BMP Best Management Practice BPP Basin Pumping Percentage CUWCC California Urban Water Conservation Council CIP Capital Improvement Program ENR Engineering News Record FY Fiscal Year HCF Hundred Cubic Feet MET Metropolitan Water District of Southern California MWDOC Municipal Water District of Orange County OCWD Orange County Water District O &M Operations & Maintenance REIDA K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan Eiii • .. • . ,.. ................... 5317004 • • • Executive Summary Executive Summary Scope The City of Newport Beach Utilities Division (the City) retained Red Oak Consulting to conduct a water rate study (the Study). This study includes the development of a five - year financial plan, cost -of- service analysis, and development of a conservation rate structure. For purposes of expediting the adoption of new rates, the Study has been divided into two phases: 1. The development of the financial plan, the allocation of fixed and variable revenue, and the proportioning of the monthly service charge by meter size; and 2. The redesign of the commodity charge from a uniform rate to a conservation rate structure. This report documents the first phase of the Study, including the methodology used to develop the financial plan, the policy decisions reached, the proposed water rates, and the • customer bill impacts. A separate report will be prepared for the second phase of the study upon its completion. • Financial Plan In order to maintain the financial viability of the City water system, Red Oak, with the assistance of City staff, prepared a financial plan for the five -year period from fiscal year ending (FY) 2010 through FY2014. This financial plan includes the development of the City's annual revenue requirement, a financing plan for its capital improvement program (CEP), and review and recommendations for the City's reserve policies. Red Oak used its proprietary electronic financial planning model, eForecast, to determine the appropriate amount of revenue necessary for the City to meet all of the above requirements. Funds The City currently maintains a single fund for its water operations, capital improvement financing, and reserves. Based on direction from the City's staff, Red Oak created a separate fund for capital- related expenditures, which is referred to as the 'Capital Fund.' The financial planning model isolates this fund from the City's Operating Fund in order to evaluate the financial viability of each fund separately. The City, with the assistance of . ; REMA K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan E :l ........................ 5317004 Executive Summary Red Oak, has developed target reserve levels for each fund, which will be explained in • detail below. Revenue Requirement The City's revenue requirement is the total amount of revenue it must collect in order to meet its operations and maintenance (O &M) expenditures, debt service payments, and cash - financed capital expenditures. This revenue is collected through water rates and does not include revenue from incidental fees, charges, or other non - operating revenue. The City's O &M expenditures are accounted for in the Operating Fund while debt service payments and cash-financed capital are accounted for in the Capital Fund. Operations & Maintenance The City's operations & maintenance expenditures have steadily increased over the past four years, since its most - recent rate increase in FY2005. Table ES -1 presents the City's historical O &M expenditures for FY2005 through FY2008. Table ES-1: Historical Operations & Maintenance Expenditures (in thousands) Description FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 Purchased Water - MW DOC $ 3,350 $ 3,800 $ 3,350 $ 3,400 Purchased Water -OCWD 2,929 2,880 3,280 3,280 Utilities 1,094 922 872 922 Salaries & Benefits 3,302 3,712 3,827 3,799 Equipment Maintenance & Replacement 345 341 348 417 Other O &M 3,013 3,453 3,444 3,593 Total $14,033 $15,108 $15,121 $15,411 The City has seen a 29% increase in the average unit cost of purchased water from the Municipal Water District of Orange County (MWDOC) and a 37% increase in the average unit cost of purchased water from the Orange County Water District (OCWD) since 2005. O &M expenditures apart from purchased water and utilities include salaries and benefits, equipment maintenance and replacement, and other O &M. Other O&M includes the general fund service charge, minor capital expenditures, chemicals, and other supplies. Table ES -2 presents the projected O &M expenditures for the City for the current fiscal year and the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. •; RE13DA K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan ES-2 ....,.....1.. a ... ...... 5317004 u • The City's O &M expenditures are projected to increase by over $7 million, or 45%, from FY2009 to FY2014. Purchased water costs alone account for 57% of this increase. Purchased water costs are projected to increase by $3.7 million from MWDOC and $0.5 million from OCWD from FY2009 through FY2014. These costs, combined with Other O &M, which is partially determined by the total amount of water purchased, account for nearly 80% of the total increase. Capital Improvement Program Financing Since FY2005, the City has cash - financed all of its capital improvement needs. The City • has developed a 30 -year capital improvement program as part of its 2009 Water Master Plan. This CIP totals approximately $167.6 million in escalated dollars at 4% per annum. • The City will continue to finance its CIP on a pay -as- you -go basis during the financial plan period. Table ES -3 presents the financing plan for the City's CIP for the current fiscal year and the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. Future capital financing will be accounted for in the City's Capital Fund. An additional monthly capital charge will he assessed by meter size. This capital charge will be the primary source of revenue for the Capital Fund and be used to pay for cash - financed capital and debt service. Table ES-3: Capital Improvement Program Financing (in thousands) Current 1 2 3 4 5 Description FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Capital Projects $1,600 $ 3,210 $ 1,830 $ 3,542 $ 2,700 $ 1,033 Cash - Financed Capital Projects 1,600 3,210 11830 3,542 2,700 1,033 Debt - Financed Capital Projects - - - - - - Total Capital Projects Funded $1,600 $ 3,210 $1,830 $ 3,542 $ 2,700 $1,033 Table ES-4 presents the two remaining debt service payments for the 1999 Refunding of Water Revenue Bonds for the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. • .' REIDA K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan [ES-3] • ..• ..,.,.�.......<. <..,. 5317004 -..... Executive Summary • Table: ES-2: Projected Operations & Maintenance Expenditures (in thousands) Current 1 2 3 4 5 Description FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Purchased Water- MWDOC $ 3,354 $ 4,931 $ 5,991 $ 6,440 $ 6,762 $ 7,100 Purchased Water - OCW D 3,857 3,922 3,947 4,081 4,232 4,351 Utilities 1,325 1,322 1,440 1,549 1,692 1,851 Salaries & Benefits 4,152 4,319 4,491 4,671 4,858 5,052 Equipment Maintenance & Replacement 423 444 467 490 514 540 Other O &M 3,579 3,856 4,159 4,491 4,653 5,250 Total $ 16,690 $18,794 $ 20,494 $ 21,722 $ 22,911 $ 24,144 The City's O &M expenditures are projected to increase by over $7 million, or 45%, from FY2009 to FY2014. Purchased water costs alone account for 57% of this increase. Purchased water costs are projected to increase by $3.7 million from MWDOC and $0.5 million from OCWD from FY2009 through FY2014. These costs, combined with Other O &M, which is partially determined by the total amount of water purchased, account for nearly 80% of the total increase. Capital Improvement Program Financing Since FY2005, the City has cash - financed all of its capital improvement needs. The City • has developed a 30 -year capital improvement program as part of its 2009 Water Master Plan. This CIP totals approximately $167.6 million in escalated dollars at 4% per annum. • The City will continue to finance its CIP on a pay -as- you -go basis during the financial plan period. Table ES -3 presents the financing plan for the City's CIP for the current fiscal year and the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. Future capital financing will be accounted for in the City's Capital Fund. An additional monthly capital charge will he assessed by meter size. This capital charge will be the primary source of revenue for the Capital Fund and be used to pay for cash - financed capital and debt service. Table ES-3: Capital Improvement Program Financing (in thousands) Current 1 2 3 4 5 Description FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Capital Projects $1,600 $ 3,210 $ 1,830 $ 3,542 $ 2,700 $ 1,033 Cash - Financed Capital Projects 1,600 3,210 11830 3,542 2,700 1,033 Debt - Financed Capital Projects - - - - - - Total Capital Projects Funded $1,600 $ 3,210 $1,830 $ 3,542 $ 2,700 $1,033 Table ES-4 presents the two remaining debt service payments for the 1999 Refunding of Water Revenue Bonds for the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. • .' REIDA K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan [ES-3] • ..• ..,.,.�.......<. <..,. 5317004 -..... Executive Su Table ES -4: Projected Debt Service Payments (in thousands) • Current 1 2 3 4 5 Description FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Debt Service $ 1,618 $ 130 Reserve Requirements The following reserves are commonly maintained by utilities, and are recommended by Red Oak —at a minimum —to insulate the City from financial volatility. Operating Stabilization Reserve (Operating Fund) The City does not currently maintain an operating stabilization reserve. Red Oak recommends that the City maintain a reserve equivalent to 180 days of its operating budget, or 50 %. This reserve level also provides a buffer period of 24 months at a 25% loss rate. Funds collected in excess of the operations stabilization reserve target would be available to offset future rate adjustments while extended reserve shortfalls would be recovered from future rate increases. Contingency Reserve (Capital Fund) The City currently maintains a contingency reserve equivalent to 35% of its annual budget, which is based on a historical approximation of capital replacement needs in the event of a catastrophe. In order to determine the appropriate level of emergency capital • replacement reserves, the City should conduct a criticality assessment of its system facilities. This assessment involves quantifying the probability of its facilities being impaired, the level of impairment, and the cost of replacement should a catastrophe occur. Red Oak recommends that the City conduct such an assessment; however, if resources are limited, the City may wish to set its contingency reserve level based on an alternative method. Based on direction from the City's staff, Red Oak has evaluated a contingency reserve that parallels the annual revenue anticipated to be recovered through the proposed capital charge. Red Oak believes this amount may provide a sufficient reserve against unanticipated replacements or repairs. By FY2014, the target contingency reserve will be approximately $4 million. Current Financial Outlook Based on the City's increasing O &M expenditures, capital financing needs, and proposed reserve requirements, current revenue are insufficient. Figure ES -1 presents the current fiscal year and the five -year financial outlook for FY2010 through 2014 with no rate revenue increases. Under current rate revenue, the City will be unable to maintain a positive balance in the combined Operating Fund and Capital Fund by FY2011. • • �.; R ®AK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan ES-4 '..•' 5317004 1] • Ll Executive Su Figure ES -1: Five -Year Financial Outlook with No Revenue Increases (in thousands) sa0.)-C s2oaw s10a00 $o - st0.000 -s2o.oc0 530.000 - 540 .)CT. 2049 '',? _ 2012 2013 2014 A. � IL � y ..�G.e CundeEC.Ift E.13• ,NWZ5 1.e PwchooedWma OCWD .....•Purcha • W -MWDOC O.,.tng E:pena ,a, Ending9•I•nw Proposed Five -Year Financial Plan Red Oak, with the assistance of the City's staff, has developed a five -year financial plan for the period FY2010 through FY2014. Based on the direction of the City's Finance Committee, this financial plan has been developed such that rate shock to customers is minimal, capital projects are financed only through cash, and reserves are met by FY2014. Figure ES -2 presents the Combined Water Fund's five -year financial plan. The City is anticipating an annual deficiency of approximately $2.6 million for the current fiscal year. The proposed financial plan eliminates this annual deficiency by FY2011. Reserves are drawn down in FY2009 and FY2010 in order to minimize the rate shock associated with the necessary rate revenue increases. • •' R DAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 5317004 �Pii ®I Executive Su Figure ES -2: Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands) $35.000 *Y Aoo $25000 $20.000 $15.000 $1,000 ?'. 000 50 2009 201) 2a1/ �Caah =unded Capual EeIRnq Debt Sanka aaaaa� pp.wng Ex PendN- �Pe+enuec 2012 i lj – 2013 2014 —PUrelneadWrtr -OCWD —Purchawd Wear -MWOOC — • —T.,qw R"awas —� En0119B619n. Current Fixed / Variable Rate Revenue The City currently collects approximately 90% of its rate revenue through its commodity charge and the remaining 10% through its monthly service charge. Table ES -5 presents the current composition of the City's rate revenue. A high proportion of variable revenue is potentially favorable in terms of affordability and conservation as customers that use less water are rewarded with lower bills. A high proportion of variable revenue, however, is less favorable in terms of revenue stability as less revenue is secure when water use is volatile. Table ES -5: Current (FY2009) Fixed / Rate Variable Revenue Rate Revenue Source FY2009 Percent Share Commodity Charge Monthly Service Charge $ 14,938 90% 1,640 10% Total Rate Revenue $ 16,578 • 0 Proposed Fixed /Variable Revenue The City is currently exceeding the requirements of California Urban Water Conservation Council's (CUWCC) Best Management Practice (BMP) 11 by 20 %. BMP 11 states that • RE ®A K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan ES66 . _•• ..••.. 5317004 Executive Summary . in order for water rates to qualify as `conservation rates,' variable revenue must be at least 70% of total rate revenue. Red Oak recommends that in order to reduce revenue instability generated by the City's disproportionate share of variable revenue, the City should gradually reduce the commodity charge's share of total rate revenue to slightly more than 70% by FY2014.1 Table ES -6 presents the proposed blend of fixed and variable rate revenue for the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. The proposed blends of fixed and variable revenue will help the City maintain revenue stability while still meeting the requirements of California CUWCC's BMP 11. Further, by increasing the proportion of revenue that is collected through fixed charges, the City can reduce its reliance on revenue collected through more aggressive conservation -based rates that it is planning to adopt in the future. Table ES-6: Proposed Fixed / Variable Revenue ($ in thousands) Current 1 2 3 4 5 Rate Revenue FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 E Total Rate Revenue Fixed Revenue Share Variable Revenue Share Fixed Revenue - Monthly Service Charge Variable Revenue - Commodity Charge Projected Water Sales (Million HCF) $ 16,578 10% 90% $ 19,479 $ 23,723 $ 26,569 $ 28,916 $ 30,130 21% 79% $ 1,640 $ 4,084 $ 14,938 $ 15,394 27% 28% 73% 72% $ 6,469 $ 7,469 26% 28% 72% 72% $ 8,218 $ 8,536 $ 17,253 $19,100 $ 20,698 $ 21,594 7,182 7,002 7,002 7,002 7,002 7,002 Variable Rate ($/HCF) $ 2.08 $ 2.20 $ 2.46 $ 2.73 $ 2.96 $ 3.08 Note: Projected Water Sales assumes 6% water loss rate. Variable revenue projections rely on the City's projected sales of approximately 7 million HCF for FY2010 through FY2014. Projected sales, however, will be revised to account for a conservation rate structure, during the second phase of the Study. Adjustments to these projections will vary according to how aggressive the conservation rate structure is. Proposed Meter Equivalency Schedule The current meter equivalency schedule for the City's monthly service charge does not adequately reflect the relative costs of reading, maintaining, and replacing different meter sizes. Further, the current schedule does not account for the relative flow capacities of different meter sizes, which often serves as a basis for the relative amounts of meter - based charges. Red Oak recommends using the American Water Works Association's (AWWA) estimate of meter flow capacity from the M6 manual as the basis for the City's meter equivalency schedule. These flow estimates indicate the relative amounts of water To meet the requirements of BMP 11, the City should closely monitor its revenue to ensure that fixed charges do not exceed 30 percent of its revenue. This is important since the effects of conservation will reduce volume - related • charges. As the City implements tiered water rates, it may consider requesting and exemption from the requirements of BMP 11. R ®A K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan ES-7 ,...... 5317004 Executive Summary that can flow through each meter size, expressed in gallons per minute. These relative • capacities serve as an empirical basis for allocating costs among different meter sizes and provide a more defensible rationale for the determination of relative meter charges. California's Proposition 218 and Government Code §54999 both require proportionality in the determination of water rates, which the proposed meter equivalency schedule helps to address. Table ES -7 presents the current and proposed meter equivalency schedules. Table ES -7: Current & Proposed Meter Equivalency Schedules Meter Equivalency Ratio Meter Size Number of Current Proposed Meters 3/4" 17,445 1.00 1.00 1" 6,762 1.22 1.67 11/2" 495 1.56 3.33 2" 1,373 2.11 5.33 3" 48 4.00 10.00 4" 80 5.67 16.67 6" 28 8.56 33.33 8" 14 10.00 53.33 10" 0 10.00 95.87 12" 0 10.00 154.20 • Proposed Rates In order to implement the proposed financial plan, the City should adjust its current monthly service charge and commodity charge to the rates presented below for the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. These rates will allow the City to meet the revenue targets presented in the five -year financial plan, which will cover its rising expenditures for purchased water and other O &M items, capital improvement financing needs, and proposed reserve requirements. These rates will also meet the proposed transition to a composition of rate revenue in which fixed charges account for slightly less than 30% of total rate revenue, allowing for more revenue stability. Tables ES -8 through ES -11 present the proposed rates for the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. Note that these rates are anticipated to be implemented on January 1 of each year. Table ES-8: Current & Proposed Commodity Charges Current 1 2 3 4 5 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Commodity Charge $ 2.08 $ 2.20 $ 2.46 $ 2.73 $ 2.96 $ 3.08 • REMA K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING water Utility Financial Plan ES -8 5317004 Executive Summary • Table ES -9: Current & Proposed Monthly Service Charges Current 1 2 3 4 5 Monthly Service Charge FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 3/4" $ 4.50 $ 1.18 $ 5.76 $ 7.53 $ 8.78 $ 9.15 11. 5.50 1.97 9.60 12.55 14.63 15.24 11/2" 7.00 3.94 19.20 25.09 29.26 30.49 2" 9.50 6.31 30.72 40.14 46.81 48.78 3" 18.00 11.83 57.61 75.27 87.77 91.46 4" 25.50 19.71 96.01 125.45 146.28 152.43 V. 38.50 39.42 192.02 250.91 292.57 304.85 8" 45.00 63.07 307.23 401.45 468.10 487.76 10" 45.00 113.36 552.25 721.60 841.42 876.75 12" 45.00 182.34 888.28 1,160.69 1,353.41 1,410.24 Table ES -10: Proposed Capital Charges Current 1 2 3 4 5 Capital Charge FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 3/4" $ 7.08 $ 7.33 $ 7.59 $ 7.85 $ 8.13 1 " 11.80 12.22 12.65 13.09 13.55 11/2" 23.61 24.43 25.29 26.18 27.09 • 2" 37.77 39.10 40.46 41.88 43.35 3" i 70.83 73.30 75.87 78.53 81.27 4" 118.04 122.17 126.45 130.88 135.46 6" 236.09 244.35 252.90 261.75 270.91 8" - 377.74 390.96 404.64 418.80 433.46 10" - 678.98 702.75 727.34 752.80 779.15 12" 1,092.13 1,130.35 1,169.92 1,210.86 1,253.24 Table ES -11: Current & Proposed Combined Fixed Charges Current 1 2 3 4 5 Combined Fixed Charges FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 314" $ 4.50 $ 8.27 $ 13.09 $ 15.11 $ 16.63 $ 17.27 1 " 5.50 13.78 21.82 25.19 27.72 28.79 1112" 7.00 27.55 43.64 50.38 55.43 57.58 2" 9.50 44.08 69.82 80.61 88.69 92.12 3" 18.00 82.65 130.91 151.14 166.30 172.73 4" 25.50 137.75 218.18 251.90 277.16 287.88 6" 38.50 275.50 436.37 503.81 554.32 575.76 8" 45.00 440.80 698.19 806.09 886.91 921.22 10" 45.00 792.34 1,254.99 1,448.95 1,594.22 1,655.90 12" 45.00 1,274.47 2,018.64 2,330.61 2,564.27 2,663.48 • R MA K CONSULTING City of Newport Beach, CA Water Utility Financial Plan � ES-9 ' .. . ,,.,,,,. "....<,...,..,. 5317004 Executive Customer Bill Impact Figure ES -3 presents the single — family residential monthly bill impact distribution for FY2010 rates. This bill distribution is based on the City's calendar year 2007 consumption history. The blue columns indicate the percentage of single- family residential monthly bills that will increase by the corresponding amount on the horizontal axis, assuming consumption is similar to calendar year 2007. The red line indicates the cumulative percentage of monthly bills at each amount of change in bill. For example, the figure shows that 67% of monthly bills will increase by no more than $10. It also shows that approximately 15% of monthly bills will increase by between $4 and $5. Note that over 90% of monthly bills will increase by no more than $15. Figure ES -3: FY2010 Single - Family Residential Customer Monthly Bill Impact 16% _ - - - _ _ _ - = 100% 14% 12% 10% c a E A -% b 4 i 6% 4% 2% 0% O fV P Y N O h N< N N N N N N N N N 1 ?0% 80% 70% 67% of nwntllly bills will increase by w more Dian 60% S10 '0% 40 -A 30% 20% 1 0 Ml 1 N O A 9 P O M O N A m (qy O N {y.1 N ro 0 O V 1 N P N N N P N N 'Jl N N N N A N P Nr N NV N N 51 2 VI N N 4 (^'1 N N 2 change in Mordity Bill m e q m 6 u �.; RERDA K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING water Utility Financial Plan O ES-10 .. �. �. �...1.... ... ...... 5317004 E 1] • Section 1 Introduction • 1. Introduction 1.1. Scope The City of Newport Beach Utilities Division (the City) retained Red Oak Consulting to conduct a water rate study (the Study). This study includes the development of a five - year financial plan, cost -of- service analysis, and development of a conservation rate structure. For purposes of expediting the adoption of new rates, the Study has been divided into two phases: 1. The development of the financial plan, the allocation of fixed and variable revenue, and the proportioning of the monthly service charge by meter size; and 2. The redesign of the commodity charge from a uniform rate to a conservation rate structure. This report documents the first phase of the Study, including the methodology used to develop the financial plan, the policy decisions reached, the proposed water rates, and the • customer bill impacts. A separate report will be prepared for the second phase of the study upon its completion. • 1.2. Background The City of Newport Beach Utilities Division currently serves a population of over 86,000 within a service area of approximately fifty square miles. It is located on the Pacific coast of California, in Orange County, and surrounded by Huntington Beach and Costa Mesa to the north, Laguna Beach to the South, and Irvine to the east. The City currently has over 26,300 active connections and delivers over 18,000 acre feet (AF) of water per year on average. The City owns and operates three reservoirs: Big Canyon Reservoir (600 AF), Spyglass Hill Reservoir (4.5 AF), and 16'h Street Reservoir (9.2 AF). •,• RE®AK City of Newport Beach, CA % CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 1 -1 ..,.,.•. ,..... ... ...... 5317D04 Section 2 Financial Plan • 2. Financial Plan In order to maintain the financial viability of the City's water system, Red Oak, with the assistance of the City's staff, has prepared a financial plan for the five -year period from fiscal year ending (FY) 2010 through FY2014. This financial plan includes the development of the City's annual revenue requirement, a financing plan for its capital improvement program (CIP), and review and recommendations for the City's reserve policies. Red Oak used its proprietary electronic financial planning model, eForecast, to determine the appropriate amount of revenue necessary for the City to meet all of the above requirements. 2.1. Funds The City currently maintains a single fund for its water operations, capital improvement financing, and reserves. Based on direction from the City's staff, Red Oak has created a separate fund for capital- related expenditures, which will be referred to as the 'Capital Fund.' The financial planning model isolates this fund from the City's Operating Fund in order to evaluate the financial viability of each fund separately. The City, with the assistance of Red Oak, has developed target reserve levels for each fund, which will be explained in detail below. 2.2. Revenue Requirement The City's revenue requirement is the total amount of revenue it must collect in order to meet its operations and maintenance (O &M) expenditures, debt service payments, and cash - financed capital expenditures. This revenue is collected through water rates and does not include revenue from incidental fees, charges, or other non - operating revenue. The City's O &M expenditures are accounted for in the Operating Fund while debt service payments and cash - financed capital are accounted for in the Capital Fund. 2.2.1. Operations & Maintenance The City's operations & maintenance expenditures have steadily increased over the past four years, since its most- recent rate increase in FY2005. Table 2 -1 presents the City's historical O &M expenditures for FY2005 through FY2008. • • RE ®A K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 2 -1 • . ..,.,...... ..,.....,... 5317004 2.2.1.1. Purchased Water Costs The largest components of the City's O &M expenditures are its purchased water costs and associated O &M, which are encompassed by the `Other O &M' category in Table 2 -1. The City currently obtains its water from two major sources: the Municipal Water District of Orange County ( MWDOC), which imports its water from the State Water Project and the Colorado River Aqueduct through the Metropolitan Water District of Southern California (MET), and the Orange County Water District (OCWD), which manages the Orange County groundwater basin. Variations in purchased water costs occur year -to -year based on the City's basin pumping percentage (BPP), which is the percentage of the City's annual demand that can be pumped from the basin; weather • conditions; and to a lesser extent, the economy and growth. Table 2 -2 presents the average unit cost of purchased water per AF by the City's two major sources for FY2005 through FY2008. Note that the average cost per AF is the total amount of charges paid to each agency, divided by the amount of water purchased. The total amount of annual charges for MWDOC includes the cost of treated water, the capacity charge, the readiness -to -serve charge, and the meter charge. The total amount of annual charges for OCWD includes the cost of the replenishment assessment and annexation fee. Table 2 -2: Historical Average Unit Cost of Purchased Water per AF Description FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 Purchased Water — MWDOC ($/AF) $ 492 $ 514 $ 616 $ 597 Purchased Water — OCWD ($ /AF) 233 255 344 279 • The City has seen a 29% increase in the average cost of purchased water from MWDOC and a 37% increase in the average cost of purchased water from OCWD since 2005. Based on information obtained from MWDOC and OCWD, Red Oak projects the following average unit costs of purchased water per AF in Table 2 -3. These projected unit costs are based on a projected purchased water amount of 17,100 AF per year. REBDA K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan F2--2] •.••.. 5317004 Section 2 Financial Plan • Table 2 -1: Historical Operations & Maintenance Expenditures (in thousands) Description FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 Purchased Water - MWDOC $ 3,350 $ 3,800 $ 3,350 $ 3,400 Purchased Water -OCWD 2,929 2,880 3,280 3,280 Utilities 1,094 922 872 922 Salaries & Benefits 3,302 3,712 3,827 3,799 Equipment Maintenance & Replacement 345 341 348 417 Other O &M 3,013 3,453 3,444 3,593 Total $ 14,033 $ 15,108 $ 15,121 $ 15,411 2.2.1.1. Purchased Water Costs The largest components of the City's O &M expenditures are its purchased water costs and associated O &M, which are encompassed by the `Other O &M' category in Table 2 -1. The City currently obtains its water from two major sources: the Municipal Water District of Orange County ( MWDOC), which imports its water from the State Water Project and the Colorado River Aqueduct through the Metropolitan Water District of Southern California (MET), and the Orange County Water District (OCWD), which manages the Orange County groundwater basin. Variations in purchased water costs occur year -to -year based on the City's basin pumping percentage (BPP), which is the percentage of the City's annual demand that can be pumped from the basin; weather • conditions; and to a lesser extent, the economy and growth. Table 2 -2 presents the average unit cost of purchased water per AF by the City's two major sources for FY2005 through FY2008. Note that the average cost per AF is the total amount of charges paid to each agency, divided by the amount of water purchased. The total amount of annual charges for MWDOC includes the cost of treated water, the capacity charge, the readiness -to -serve charge, and the meter charge. The total amount of annual charges for OCWD includes the cost of the replenishment assessment and annexation fee. Table 2 -2: Historical Average Unit Cost of Purchased Water per AF Description FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 Purchased Water — MWDOC ($/AF) $ 492 $ 514 $ 616 $ 597 Purchased Water — OCWD ($ /AF) 233 255 344 279 • The City has seen a 29% increase in the average cost of purchased water from MWDOC and a 37% increase in the average cost of purchased water from OCWD since 2005. Based on information obtained from MWDOC and OCWD, Red Oak projects the following average unit costs of purchased water per AF in Table 2 -3. These projected unit costs are based on a projected purchased water amount of 17,100 AF per year. REBDA K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan F2--2] •.••.. 5317004 Section 2 Financial Plan Table 2 -3: Projected Average Unit Cost of Purchased Water per AF Note that the projected unit cost of purchased water from MWDOC increases by over 65% and the projected unit cost of purchased water from OCWD increases by over 25% from FY2009 through FY2014. Rising MWDOC costs can partially be attributed to the State of California's third consecutive year of drought and diminished supplies from the Bay Delta as part of efforts to protect endangered species. Purchased water costs from OCWD vary year -to -year based on the City's BPP, which is a function of the Orange County Groundwater Basin's rate of recharge. The unit costs also fluctuate due to the proportions of total water purchased from each of the City's two sources. 2.2.1.2. Utilities Utilities costs include electricity costs and telecommunications costs. The majority of these costs depend on the total amount of water pumped from the Orange County groundwater basin and have therefore been projected based on the projected amount of water that will be pumped. 2.2.1.3. Other O &M O &M expenditures apart from purchased water and utilities include salaries and benefits, equipment maintenance and replacement, and other O &M. Other O &M includes the general fund service charge, mirror capital expenditures, chemicals, and other supplies. Based on the historical changes in costs for these items and discussion with City staff, Red Oak estimates the following annual escalation factors for these O&M expenditures: • Salaries & Benefits — 4% • Equipment Maintenance & Replacement — 5% • Other O &M • General Fund Service Charge — 4% • Minor Capital Expense — 0% • Chemicals & Supplies — 11% 2.2.1.4. Projected Operations & Maintenance Expenditures Table 2-4 presents the projected O &M expenditures for the City for the current fiscal year and the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. ::• RE®A K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 2 -3 .................,..,, 5317004 • r1 LJ \J Current 1 2 3 4 5 Description FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Purchased Water - MWDOC ($ /AF) $ 633 $ 759 $ 922 $ 966 $ 1,014 $ 1,065 Purchased Water- OCWD($ /AF) 319 361 364 382 397 408 Note that the projected unit cost of purchased water from MWDOC increases by over 65% and the projected unit cost of purchased water from OCWD increases by over 25% from FY2009 through FY2014. Rising MWDOC costs can partially be attributed to the State of California's third consecutive year of drought and diminished supplies from the Bay Delta as part of efforts to protect endangered species. Purchased water costs from OCWD vary year -to -year based on the City's BPP, which is a function of the Orange County Groundwater Basin's rate of recharge. The unit costs also fluctuate due to the proportions of total water purchased from each of the City's two sources. 2.2.1.2. Utilities Utilities costs include electricity costs and telecommunications costs. The majority of these costs depend on the total amount of water pumped from the Orange County groundwater basin and have therefore been projected based on the projected amount of water that will be pumped. 2.2.1.3. Other O &M O &M expenditures apart from purchased water and utilities include salaries and benefits, equipment maintenance and replacement, and other O &M. Other O &M includes the general fund service charge, mirror capital expenditures, chemicals, and other supplies. Based on the historical changes in costs for these items and discussion with City staff, Red Oak estimates the following annual escalation factors for these O&M expenditures: • Salaries & Benefits — 4% • Equipment Maintenance & Replacement — 5% • Other O &M • General Fund Service Charge — 4% • Minor Capital Expense — 0% • Chemicals & Supplies — 11% 2.2.1.4. Projected Operations & Maintenance Expenditures Table 2-4 presents the projected O &M expenditures for the City for the current fiscal year and the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. ::• RE®A K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 2 -3 .................,..,, 5317004 • r1 LJ \J The City's O &M expenditures are projected to increase by over $7 million, or 45 %, from FY2009 to FY2014. Purchased water costs alone account for 57% of this increase. Purchased water costs are projected to increase by $3.7 million from MWDOC and $0.5 million from OCWD from FY2009 through FY2014. These costs, combined with Other O &M, which is partially determined by the total amount of water purchased, account for nearly 80% of the total increase. 2.2.2. Capital Improvement Program Financing 2.2.2.1. Historical Capital Improvement Program Financing • Since FY2005, the City has cash - financed all of its capital improvement needs. Table 2 -5 presents a summary of capital improvement financing from FY2005 through FY2008. Table 2 -5: Historical Capital Improvement Program Financing (in thousands) Description FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 Capital Projects $ 8,634 $ 7,794 $ 4,924 $ 5,363 Cash - Financed Capital Projects 8,634 7,794 4,924 5,363 Debt - Financed Capital Projects - - - - Total Capital Projects Funded $ 8,634 $ 7,794 $ 4,924 $ 5,363 E 2.2.2.2. Water Master Plan The City has developed a 30 -year capital improvement program as part of its 2009 Water Master Plan. Table 2 -6 presents the 30 -year CIP for the City as indicated in the 2009 Water Master Plan. The CIP is presented in annually escalated dollars to account for rising construction costs. Red Oak believes that the escalation rate of 4% used by the City to develop its CIP is reasonable and consistent with Engineering New Record (ENR) construction cost index. Note the average annual capital expenditure for the 30 -year CIP is approximately $5.6 million compared with $2.5 million for the five -year financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. ,•� R)r ®ill'` City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 72-4] ..,. ..... ..... ...... 5317004 Section 2 Financial Plan • Table 2-4: Projected Operations & Maintenance Expenditures (in thousands) Current 1 2 3 4 5 Description FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Purchased Water - MW DOC $ 3,354 $ 4,931 $ 5,991 $ 6,440 $ 6,762 $ 7,100 Purchased Water -OCWD 3,857 3,922 3,947 4,081 4,232 4,351 Utilities 1,325 1,322 1,440 1,549 1,692 1,851 Salaries & Benefits 4,152 4,319 4,491 4,671 4,858 5,052 Equipment Maintenance & Replacement 423 444 467 490 514 540 Other O&M 3,579 3,856 4,159 4,491 4,853 5,250 Total $16,690 $18,794 $ 20,494 $ 21,722 $ 22,911 $ 24,144 The City's O &M expenditures are projected to increase by over $7 million, or 45 %, from FY2009 to FY2014. Purchased water costs alone account for 57% of this increase. Purchased water costs are projected to increase by $3.7 million from MWDOC and $0.5 million from OCWD from FY2009 through FY2014. These costs, combined with Other O &M, which is partially determined by the total amount of water purchased, account for nearly 80% of the total increase. 2.2.2. Capital Improvement Program Financing 2.2.2.1. Historical Capital Improvement Program Financing • Since FY2005, the City has cash - financed all of its capital improvement needs. Table 2 -5 presents a summary of capital improvement financing from FY2005 through FY2008. Table 2 -5: Historical Capital Improvement Program Financing (in thousands) Description FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 Capital Projects $ 8,634 $ 7,794 $ 4,924 $ 5,363 Cash - Financed Capital Projects 8,634 7,794 4,924 5,363 Debt - Financed Capital Projects - - - - Total Capital Projects Funded $ 8,634 $ 7,794 $ 4,924 $ 5,363 E 2.2.2.2. Water Master Plan The City has developed a 30 -year capital improvement program as part of its 2009 Water Master Plan. Table 2 -6 presents the 30 -year CIP for the City as indicated in the 2009 Water Master Plan. The CIP is presented in annually escalated dollars to account for rising construction costs. Red Oak believes that the escalation rate of 4% used by the City to develop its CIP is reasonable and consistent with Engineering New Record (ENR) construction cost index. Note the average annual capital expenditure for the 30 -year CIP is approximately $5.6 million compared with $2.5 million for the five -year financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. ,•� R)r ®ill'` City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 72-4] ..,. ..... ..... ...... 5317004 Section 2 Current FY2009 Financial Plan 2 FY2011 Table 2 -6: 30 -Year Capital Improvement Program (in thousands) • Year Capital Year Capital Capital Projects Expenditure Expenditure $ 3,210 FY2009 $ 1,600 FY2024 $ 5,279 $ 3,542 FY2010 3,210 FY2025 7,905 $ 1,033 FY2011 1,830 FY2026 7,090 1,600 FY2012 3,542 FY2027 10,534 1,830 FY2013 2,700 FY2028 1,643 2,700 FY2014 1,033 FY2029 12,458 Debt - Financed Capital Projects FY2015 3,610 FY2030 7,694 - FY2016 8,408 FY2031 5,518 - FY2017 4,890 FY2032 7,255 - FY2018 5,382 FY2033 $1,600 FY2019 5,597 FY2034 4,315 $1,830 FY2020 5,821 FY2035 7,645 $ 2,700 FY2021 4,933 FY2036 7,950 FY2022 4,975 FY2037 8,268 FY2023 7,584 FY2038 8,599 15 -Year Total $ 65,115 30 -Year Total $167,268 Note: Project costs are escalated at a rate of 4% annually 2.2.2.3. Future Capital Improvement Program Financing • The City will continue to finance its CIP on a pay -as- you -go basis during the financial plan period. Table 2 -7 presents the financing plan for the City's CIP for the current fiscal year and the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. Future capital financing will be accounted for in the City's Capital Fund. An additional monthly capital charge will be assessed by meter size. This capital charge will be the primary source of revenue for the Capital Fund and be used to pay for cash - financed capital and debt service. Table 2 -7: Capital Improvement Program Financing (in thousands) Description Current FY2009 1 FY2010 2 FY2011 3 FY2012 4 FY2013 5 FY2014 Capital Projects $ 1,600 $ 3,210 $ 1,830 $ 3,542 $ 2,700 $ 1,033 Cash - Financed Capital Projects 1,600 3,210 1,830 3,542 2,700 1,033 Debt - Financed Capital Projects - - - - - - Total Capital Projects Funded $1,600 S3,210 $1,830 $ 3,542 $ 2,700 $1,033 2.2.2.4. Historical and Future Debt Service Payments Table 2 -8 presents the City's debt service payments from FY2005 through FY2008. These payments are among the six final payments for the 1999 Refunding of Water Revenue Bonds. E • •.' RE®AIC City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING water Utility Financial Plan 2-5 ..• 5317004 O Section 2 Financial Plan • Table 2 -8: Debt Service Payments (in thousands) Description FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 Debt Service $ 1,653 $ 1,650 $ 1,649 $ 1,619 Table 2 -9 presents the two remaining debt service payments for the 1999 Refunding. Table 2 -9: Projected Debt Service Payments (in thousands) Current Description FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Debt Service $ 1,618 $ 130 - - - 2.3. Reserve Requirements Reserve requirements are funds set aside for precautionary purposes such as for revenue stabilization, rate stabilization, or emergency capital replacement. These funds are typically required to maintain a predetermined balance or an amount based on annual operating results. The City currently maintains two reserves and a minimum capital contribution, referred to as the `designated reserve': • System Reserve – 35% of annual budget • Stabilization Reserve – 25% of annual budget • • Designated Reserve– 10% of annual budget The following reserves are commonly maintained by utilities, and are recommended by Red Oak —at a minimum —to insulate the City from financial volatility. 2.3.1. Operating Stabilization Reserve (Operating Fund) An operating stabilization reserve is established primarily to maintain adequate levels of cash between the time expenses are incurred and revenue are received. It may also be used to insulate a utility from volatility in some operating expenditures such as for energy, and provide time for the utility to adjust rates. Utilities that bill monthly typically maintain a reserve equivalent to 45 to 90 days of operating expenditures, while utilities that bill bimonthly typically maintain a reserve equivalent to 90 to 180 days of operating expenditures. Seasonality is also a factor in determining the appropriate reserve level; utilities that have strong seasonal influences to their demand typically maintain larger reserves. The City does not currently maintain an operating stabilization reserve. Red Oak recommends that the City maintain a reserve equivalent to 180 days of its operating budget, or 50 %. This reserve level also provides a buffer period of 24 months at a 25% loss rate. Funds collected in excess of the operations stabilization reserve target would be available to offset future rate adjustments while extended reserve shortfalls would be • recovered from future rate increases. • .' RMA K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan F27-6 • . ........................ 53170114 Section 2 Financial Plan 2.3.2. Contingency Reserve (Capital Fund) • A contingency reserve is established to fund the replacement or repair of system facilities in the event that these facilities are impaired due to a catastrophe. The reserve may also be used to insulate against early and/or unanticipated capital replacement costs. The City currently maintains a contingency reserve equivalent to 35% of its annual budget, which is based on a historical approximation of capital replacement needs in the event of a catastrophe. In order to determine the appropriate level of emergency capital replacement reserves, the City should conduct a criticality assessment of its system facilities. This assessment involves quantifying the probability of its facilities being impaired, the level of impairment, and the cost of replacement should a catastrophe occur. Red Oak recommends that the City conduct such an assessment; however, if resources are limited, the City may wish to set its contingency reserve level based on an alternative method. Based on direction from the City's staff, Red Oak has evaluated a contingency reserve that parallels the annual revenue anticipated to be recovered through the proposed capital charge. Red Oak believes this amount may provide a sufficient reserve against unanticipated replacements or repairs. By FY2014, the target contingency reserve will be approximately $4 million. 2.4. Five -Year Financial Plan 2.4.1. Current Financial Outlook Based on the City's increasing O &M expenditures, capital financing needs, and proposed reserve requirements, current revenue are insufficient. Figure 2 -1 presents the current fiscal year and the five -year financial outlook for FY2010 through FY2014 with no rate revenue increases. Each column is broken into individual annual expenditures, indicated by a different color (see legend). The red line represents annual revenue, the black line represents ending balances, and the orange line represents target reserves. Under current rate revenue, the City will be unable to maintain a positive balance in the combined Operating Fund and Capital Fund by FY2011. • .' RE ®A K City of Newport Beach, CA ,- CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 2 -7 • .. .... ..... .I ............1 5317004 • • • • • Section 2 Financial Plan Figure 2 -1: Five -Year Financial Outlook with No Revenue Increases (in thousands) 530.000 S20,000 510.0.0 $0 - 510,000 - S20A00 - 530,000 540.000 2i {5 2010 gym" _gin_ 2019 2014 ` IL . cllh- FUn]a: Pur- hII3tlVplal OCAM PurehaWMt*,_WVDoc �Jpmetng L:�sneYN =a— Fevenuea -•-`ayetFnervee —t EOtliny Beinee 2.4.2. Proposed Five -Year Financial Plan Red Oak, with the assistance of the City's staff, has developed a five -year financial plan for the period FY2010 through FY2014. Based on the direction of the City's Finance Committee, this financial plan has been developed such that rate shock to customers is minimal, capital projects are financed only by cash, and reserves are met by FY2014. Table 2 -10 presents the five -year financial plan for the City's Operating Fund. �.' RE®AK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING water Utility Financial Plan ....... ........,.., 5317004 Section 2 Financial Plan Table 2 -10: Operating Fund Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands) Operations & Maintenance Current 1 2 3 4 5 Operating Fund FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Commodity Charge Revenue $ 14,938 $ 15,394 $ 17,253 $ 19,100 $ 20,698 $ 21,594 Monthly Service Charge Revenue 1,640 584 2,847 3,720 4,337 4,519 Miscellaneous Revenue 439 439 439 439 439 439 Interest Income 291 117 120 143 239 377 Total Revenue 17,309 16,535 20,660 23,403 25,714 26,930 Operations & Maintenance 9,480 9,941 10,557 11,201 11,917 12,693 Purchased Water -MWDOG 3,354 4,931 5,991 6,440 6,762 7,100 Purchased Water - OCWD 3,857 3,922 3,947 4,081 4,232 4,351 Total O&M 16,690 18,794 20,494 21,722 22,911 24,144 Capital Contribution (3,300) Annual Surplus / (Deficiency) (2,682) (2,258) 166 1,681 2,803 2,785 Beginning Balance 9,665 6,983 4,725 4,891 6,572 9,374 Ending Balance $ 6,983 $ 4,725 S4,891 $ 6,572 $ 9,374 $12,160 Target Reserves $ 8,345 $ 9,397 $ 10,247 $ 10,861 $ 11,456 $ 12,072 Note that cash- financed capital and debt service are accounted for in the Capital Fund. The removal of these items has a corresponding decrease in the rate revenue required and accounted for in the Operating Fund, as seen in FY2010. Total rate revenue for the combined Operating Fund and Capital Fund, however, increases year -to -year to meet increasing O &M expenditures, capital improvement financing needs, and the proposed reserve requirements. The City's proposed Operating Stabilization reserve is met by FY2014. Table 2 -11 presents the five -year financial plan for the City's Capital Fund. •'� .' R EDDA K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 2 -9 ,..,.,..., ............. 5317004 • u • • Annual Surplus / (Deficiency) 84 163 1,821 262 1,269 Section 2 Beginning Balance - 84 247 2.069 2,331 Financial Plan • Table 2 -11: Capital Fund Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands) $ 2,069 Current 1 2 3 4 5 Capital Fund FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Capital Charge Revenue $ 3,500 $ 3,623 $ 3,749 $ 3,881 $ 4,016 Capital Contribution 3,300 - - - Interest Income 1 3 29 55 89 181 Total Revenue 3,301 3,503 3,651 3,804 3,969 4,198 Cash - Funded Capital 1,600 3,210 1,830 3,542 2,700 1,033 Existing Debt Service 1,618 130 - - - - New Debt Service - - - - - - Total Debt Service 1,618 130 • Annual Surplus / (Deficiency) 84 163 1,821 262 1,269 3,165 Beginning Balance - 84 247 2.069 2,331 3,601 Ending Balance $ 84 $ 247 $ 2,069 $ 2,331 S3,601 $ 6,765 Target Reserves $ 4,000 $ 3,500 $ 3,623 $ 3,749 $ 3,881 $ 4,016 Rate Revenue generated by the proposed Capital Charge is accounted for in the Capital Fund. This source of revenue, which begins in FY2010, is collected to recover the costs of cash - financed capital projects and debt service for the 1999 Refunding of Water Revenue Bonds. The target contingency reserve, which is met by FY2014, is based on the anticipated annual capital charge revenue, which will be approximately $4 million in FY2014. Table 2 -12 presents the five -year financial plan for the City's combined water fund. ,•.; R QAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING 'Hater Utility Financial Plan • 5317004 2 -10 Section 2 Financial Plan Table 2 -12: Combined Water Fund Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands) Current 1 2 3 4 Combined Water Fund FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Rate Revenue $ 16,578 $ 19,479 $ 23,723 $ 26,569 $ 28,916 $ 30,130 Miscellaneous Revenue 439 439 439 439 439 439 Interest Income 293 120 149 198 328 558 Total Revenue 17,310 20,039 24,311 27,207 29,683 31,127 Operations & Maintenance 9,480 9,941 10,557 11,201 11,917 12,693 Purchased Water - MWDOC 3,354 4,931 5,991 6,440 6,762 7,100 Purchased Water - OCWD 3,857 3,922 3,947 4,081 4,232 4,351 Total O&M 16,690 18,794 20,494 21,722 22,911 24,144 Cash - Funded Capital 1,600 3,210 1,830 3,542 2,700 1,033 Existing Debt Service 1,618 130 - - - - New Debt Service - - - - - Total Debt Service 1,618 130 0 0 0 0 Total Expenditures 19,908 22,133 22,324 25,264 25,611 25,177 Annual Surplus / (Deficiency) (2,598) (2,095) 1,987 1,943 4,072 5,950 • Beginning Balance 9,665 7,067 4,973 6,960 8,903 12,975 Ending Balance $ 7,067 $ 4,973 $ 6,960 $ 8,903 $12,975 $18,925 Target Reserves $ 12,345 $ 12,897 $ 13,870 $ 14,610 $ 15,336 $ 16,088 The City anticipates an annual deficiency of approximately $2.6 million for the current fiscal year. The proposed financial plan eliminates this annual deficiency by FY2011. Reserves are drawn down in FY2009 and FY2010 in order to minimize the rate shock associated with the necessary rate revenue increases. Figure 2 -2 presents a graphical representation of the Combined Water Fund's five -year financial plan. Each column is separated into individual annual expenditures, indicated by a different color (see legend). The red line represents annual revenue, the black line represents ending balances, and the orange line represents target reserves. Note that target reserves are not met until FY2014. Rate revenue is gradually increased throughout the five -year financial plan such that 'rate shock' to customers is reduced. • RMAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 2 -11 5317004 • • Figure 2 -2: Five -Year Financial Plan (in thousands) $35.000 $30.000 325.000 $20000 -� 315.000 $10000 $5.000 so 2009 ]aa FundWophol agar• JP*,.09 E.Pendbrm Section 2 Financial Plan 201) 2_11 ExlAn9 )ept:er: ke Rvsnuea REIIDAK City of Newport Beach, CA • CONSULTING water Utility Financial Plan 5317004 2012 2013 2014 Purahaaa9V*tx -OCAL �Purdmsei Waler -Mw00C — —Targe Raoarvaa —a- Enamp BPbrPs 2 -12 Section 3 Current Water Rates 3. Current Water Rates As part of the first phase of the Study, Red Oak reviewed the City's current water rates. These rates must be adjusted in order to follow Red Oak's proposed financial plan as they are currently insufficient to meet the City's rising O &M expenditures, capital improvement needs, and the proposed reserve requirements. 3.1. Monthly Service Charge Table 3 -1 presents the current monthly service charge for water accounts by meter size. Table 3-1: Current Monthly Service Charge by Meter Size Meter Size Monthly Service Charge 3/4" $ 4.50 1" 5.50 1 1/2" 7.00 2" 9.50 3" 18.00 4" 25.50 6" 38.50 8" 45.00 10" 45.00 12" 45.00 3.2. Commodity Charge The current commodity charge is $2.08 per HCF. The City's commodity charge is a uniform rate and does not vary by meter size, customer class, or season. ' •: R ®Ali City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 3-1 ..................... 5317004 ._ • • E Section 4 Fixed / Variable Revenue • 4. Fixed / Variable Revenue 4.1. Current Fixed / Variable Rate Revenue The City currently collects approximately 90% of its rate revenue through its commodity charge and the remaining 10% through its monthly service charge. Table 4 -1 presents the current composition of the City's rate revenue. A high proportion of variable revenue is potentially favorable in terms of affordability and conservation as customers that use less water are rewarded with lower bills. A high proportion of variable revenue, however, is less favorable in terms of revenue stability as less revenue is secure when water use is volatile. Table 4 -1: Current (FY2009) Fixed / Variable Rate Revenue ($ in thousands) Rate Revenue Source FY2009 Percent Share Commodity Charge $ 14,938 90% Monthly Service Charge 1,640 10% Total Rate Revenue $ 16,578 4.2. California Urban Water Conservation Council Best Management Practice 11 The California Urban Water Conservation Council (CUWCC) has developed fourteen best management practices (BMPs) to reduce long -term urban water demand in California. Implementation of these BMPs can aid water agencies in receiving regional and/or state grants, in addition to reducing long -term demand. CUWCC's BMP 11 concerns retail water service rates. It states that in order for water rates to qualify as 'conservation rates,' variable rate revenue must be at least 70% of total rate revenue. BMP 11 clarifies that uniform rates, seasonal rates, tiered rates, and allocation -based rates are all types of rates that can be used to meet its requirements. 4.3. Proposed Fixed / Variable Revenue The City is currently exceeding the requirements of CUWCC's BMP 11 by 20 %. Red Oak recommends that in order to reduce revenue instability generated by the City's disproportionate share of variable revenue, the City should gradually reduce the commodity charge's share of total rate revenue to slightly more than 70% by FY2014.1 . I To meet the requirements of BMP 11, the City should closely monitor its revenue to ensure that fixed charges do not exceed 30 percent of its revenue. This is important since the effects of conservation will reduce volume - related ,'� P- REIIDA K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water utility Financial Plan 4 -1 > ... ............. 5317004 Section 4 Fixed / Variable Revenue Table 4 -2 presents the proposed blend of fixed and variable rate revenue for the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. The proposed blends of fixed and variable revenue will help the city maintain revenue stability while still meeting the requirements of BMP 11. Further, by increasing the proportion of revenue that is collected through fixed charges, the City can reduce its reliance on revenue collected through more aggressive conservation -based rates that it is planning to adopt in the future. Table 4 -2: Proposed Fixed / Variable Revenue ($ in thousands) Current 1 2 3 4 5 Rate Revenue FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Total Rate Revenue $ 16,578 $ 19,479 $ 23,723 $ 26,569 $ 28,916 $ 30,130 Fixed Revenue Share 10% 21% 27% 28% 28% 28% Variable Revenue Share 90% 79% 73% 72% 72% 72% Fixed Revenue - Monthly Service Charge $ 1,640 $ 4,084 $ 6,469 $ 7,469 $ 8,218 $ 8,536 Variable Revenue - Commodity Charge $ 14,938 $ 15,394 $ 17,253 $ 19,100 $ 20,698 $ 21,594 Projected Water Sales (Million HCF) 7,182 7,002 7,002 7,002 7,002 7,002 Variable Rate ($ /HCF) $ 2.08 $ 2.20 $ 2.46 $ 2.73 $ 2.96 $ 3.08 Note: Projected Water Sales assumes 6% water loss rate. Note that the total rate revenue in the above table matches the rate revenue presented in Table 2 -12. Variable revenue projections rely on the City's projected sales of approximately 7 million HCF for FY2010 through FY2014. Projected sales, however, will be revised to account for a conservation rate structure, during the second phase of the Study. Adjustments to these projections will vary according to how aggressive the conservation rate structure is. charges. As the City implements tiered water rates, it may consider requesting and exemption from the requirements of BMP 11. ,••� It ®AK City of Newport Beach, CA • • • CONSULTING Water Ublity Financial Plan 4-2 ' • . •' ..,.,,,................. 5317004 • • J Section 5 Monthly Service Charge Meter Equivalency • 5. Monthly Service Charge Meter Equivalency • 5.1. Current Meter Equivalency Schedule Table 5 -1 presents the current monthly service charge and the corresponding meter equivalency ratio for each meter size. Table 5 -1: Current Monthly Service Charge & Meter Equivalency Schedule Meter Size Monthly Service Charge Meter Equivalency Ratio 314" $ 4.50 1.00 1 " 5.50 1.22 11/2" 7.00 1.56 2" 9.50 2.11 3" 18.00 4.00 V 25.50 5.67 6" 38.50 8.56 8.. 45.00 10.00 10" 45.00 10.00 12" 45.00 1 0.00 5.2. Proposed Meter Equivalency Schedule The current meter equivalency schedule for the City's monthly service charge does not adequately reflect the relative costs of reading, maintaining, and replacing different meter sizes. Further, the current schedule does not account for the relative flow capacities of different meter sizes, which often serves as a basis for the relative amounts of meter - based charges. Red Oak recommends using the American Water Works Association's (AWWA) estimate of meter flow capacity from the M6 manual as the basis for the City's meter equivalency schedule. These flow estimates indicate the relative amounts of water that can flow through each meter size, expressed in gallons per minute. These relative capacities serve as an empirical basis for allocating costs among different meter sizes and provide a more defensible rationale for the determination of relative meter charges. California's Proposition 218 and Government Code §54999 both require proportionality in the determination of water rates, which the proposed meter equivalency schedule helps to address. Table 5 -2 presents the current and proposed meter equivalency schedules. '•,• RMAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water utility Financial Plan 5-1 5317004 Figure 5 -1 presents the current and proposed meter equivalency schedules in comparison to other utilities within the region. Note that the current meter equivalency schedule for the City is conservative in its escalation compared to other water agencies in the region, with the exception of the City of Anaheim. Figure 5 -1: Meter Equivalency Schedule Regional Comparison (FY2009) ,4c uo 100 80 60 40 20 sIDC 0 Newport Reach Newport Beech Anaheim icurrent) (Proposed) "a Ranch Laguna Beach Hun ingtm Beads •314" a1' a11r2' •2• 03' 64' 6" .8' Mesa Garden Grove Cmsdidated i FMA K City of Newport Beach, CA 4 CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 5-2 '•. •' 5317004 • is Section 5 Monthly Service Charge Meter Equivalency Table 5 -2: Current & Proposed Meter Equivalency Schedules . Meter Equivalency Ratio Meter Size Number of Current Proposed Meters 3/4" 17,445 1.00 1.00 1" 6,762 1.22 1.67 11/2" 495 1.56 3.33 2" 1,373 2.11 5.33 3" 48 4.00 10.00 4" 80 5.67 16.67 6" 28 8.56 33.33 a" 14 10.00 53.33 10" 0 10.00 95.87 12" 0 10.00 154.20 Figure 5 -1 presents the current and proposed meter equivalency schedules in comparison to other utilities within the region. Note that the current meter equivalency schedule for the City is conservative in its escalation compared to other water agencies in the region, with the exception of the City of Anaheim. Figure 5 -1: Meter Equivalency Schedule Regional Comparison (FY2009) ,4c uo 100 80 60 40 20 sIDC 0 Newport Reach Newport Beech Anaheim icurrent) (Proposed) "a Ranch Laguna Beach Hun ingtm Beads •314" a1' a11r2' •2• 03' 64' 6" .8' Mesa Garden Grove Cmsdidated i FMA K City of Newport Beach, CA 4 CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 5-2 '•. •' 5317004 • is • Section 6 Proposed Water Rates 6. Proposed Water Rates In order to implement the proposed financial plan, the City should adjust its current monthly service charge and commodity charge to the rates presented below for the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. These rates will allow the City to meet the revenue targets presented in the five -year financial plan, which will cover its rising expenditures for purchased water and other O &M items, capital improvement financing needs, and proposed reserve requirements. These rates will also meet the proposed transition to a composition of rate revenue in which fixed charges account for slightly less than 30% of total rate revenue, allowing for more revenue stability. Tables 6 -1 through 6 -4 present the proposed rates for the financial plan period FY2010 through FY2014. Note that these rates are anticipated to be implemented on January 1 of each year. L I �.' RMAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Rnancial Plan 5317004 6 1 ..,.,................. Table 6 -1: Current & Proposed Commodity Charges Current 1 2 3 4 5 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Commodity Charge 2.08 2.20 2.46 2.73 2.96 3.08 • Table 6-2: Current & Proposed Monthly Service Charges Current 1 2 3 4 5 Monthly Service Charge FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 3/4" $ 4.50 $ 1.18 $ 5.76 $ 7.53 $ 8.78 $ 9.15 1 " 5.50 1.97 9.60 12.55 14.63 15.24 11/2" 7.00 3.94 19.20 25.09 29.26 30.49 2" 9.50 6.31 30.72 40.14 46.81 48.78 3" 18.00 11.83 57.61 75.27 87.77 91.46 4" 25.50 19.71 96.01 125.45 146.28 152.43 6" 38.50 39.42 192.02 250.91 292.57 304.85 8.. 45.00 63.07 307.23 401.45 468.10 487.76 10° 45.00 113.36 552.25 721.60 841.42 876.75 12" 45.00 182.34 888.28 1,160.69 1,353.41 1,410.24 L I �.' RMAK City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Rnancial Plan 5317004 6 1 ..,.,................. Section 6 Proposed Water Rates Table 6-3: Proposed Capital Charges Current 1 2 3 4 5 Capital Charge FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 3/4" $ 7.08 $ 7.33 $ 7.59 $ 7.85 $ 8.13 ill - 11.80 12.22 12.65 13.09 13.55 11/2" 23.61 24.43 25.29 26.18 27.09 2" 37.77 39.10 40.46 41.88 43.35 3" - 70.83 73.30 75.87 78.53 81.27 4" - 118.04 122.17 126.45 130.88 135.46 6" - 236.09 244.35 252.90 261.75 270.91 8" - 377.74 390.96 404.64 418.80 433.46 10" - 678.98 702.75 727.34 752.80 779.15 12" 1,092.13 1,130.35 1,169.92 1,210.86 1,253.24 Table 6-4: Current & Proposed Combined Fixed Charges • •.' R ®%K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 6 -2 5317004 • E Current 1 2 3 4 5 Combined Fixed Charges FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 3/4" $ 4.50 $ 8.27 $ 13.09 $ 15.11 $ 16.63 $ 17.27 1" 5.50 13.78 21.82 25.19 27.72 28.79 11/2" 7.00 27.55 43.64 50.38 55.43 57.58 2" 9.50 44.08 69.82 80.61 88.69 92.12 3" 18.00 82.65 130.91 151.14 166.30 172.73 4" 25.50 137.75 218.18 251.90 277.16 287.88 6" 38.50 275.50 436.37 503.81 554.32 575.76 8" 45.00 440.80 698.19 806.09 886.91 921.22 10" 45.00 792.34 1,254.99 1,448.95 1,594.22 1,655.90 12" 45.00 1,274.47 2,018.64 2,330.61 2,564.27 2,663.48 • •.' R ®%K City of Newport Beach, CA CONSULTING Water Utility Financial Plan 6 -2 5317004 • E Section 7 Bill Comparisons & Impacts • 7. Bill Comparisons & Impacts • • Figure 7 -1 presents the single family residential monthly bill impact distribution for FY2010 rates. This bill distribution is based on the City's calendar year 2007 consumption history. The blue columns indicate the percentage of single family residential monthly bills that will increase by the corresponding amount on the horizontal axis, assuming consumption is similar to calendar year 2007. The red line indicates the cumulative percentage of monthly bills at each amount of change in bill. For example, the figure shows that 67% of monthly bills will increase by no more than $10. It also shows that approximately 15% of monthly bills will increase by between $4 and $5. Note that over 90% of monthly bills will increase by no more than $15. Figure 7 -1: FY2010 Single Family Residential Customer Monthly Bill Impact 16% 100% N 3 m 'c m e' 4 9 U Figure 7 -2 presents the current monthly bill for 3/4" meters that consume 18 HCF per month, compared with the bill under the proposed rates for FY2010, and the bills at other agencies within the region. Note that it is anticipated that several, if not all of the regional agencies presented below, will likely increase their rates in FY2010 to address rising purchased water costs. •'• ; RE ®,q K City of Newport Beach, CA • CONSULTING water Utility Financial Plan F7-1 so% 14% 80% 12% 70% 10% 67" of monlhl' tills vnl mcreasebv no mope flan 60% � S'0 N 7 t sew w'w y 40% y e96 30% 4% 20% IIIII 0% • - - - - - - _ - ......I 0% o —n nxnArorne —nn +m m2 me nwenX AR n,oAm -AAA NMNN N NNMNNNNNNNNNNNM NMN MNNNNN� NN M..NMNNP ChwW inYoMlly Yll N 3 m 'c m e' 4 9 U Figure 7 -2 presents the current monthly bill for 3/4" meters that consume 18 HCF per month, compared with the bill under the proposed rates for FY2010, and the bills at other agencies within the region. Note that it is anticipated that several, if not all of the regional agencies presented below, will likely increase their rates in FY2010 to address rising purchased water costs. •'• ; RE ®,q K City of Newport Beach, CA • CONSULTING water Utility Financial Plan F7-1 4 (�\ !j ;z :s )cz co � � 0 0 0 * & cn \m CD 0 Ew � £ !I — k= \ ƒ , ! % co ` i $ G \ ¥ { \ { 0 0 0 * & cn \m CD 0 Ew esCity of Newport Beach P.O. Box 1768 Newport Beach, CA 92658-8915 City of Newport Beach Information and Notice of Public Hearing And Protest Procedure Proposed Water Rate Charges TO: Doe, John & Jane 12345 Main Street Newport Beach, CA 94590 E Attachment B ---------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- EXTRA SPACE - ---------------------------------------------- ------ --------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------