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HomeMy WebLinkAbout5b_Additional Materials_Opportunity Sites Inventory_Staff PresentationNewport Beach Sites Inventory Update Housing Element Update Advisory Committee Meeting February 17, 2021 Presented By: David Barquist, AICP Kimley-Horn and Associates Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •RHNA Numbers have changed since publishing of memo •Changes will be reflected in future updates •Projections are for discussion purposes only and may change slightly upon final draft of parcel inventory Considerations for PresentationHousing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Determined by Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG) •Provides allocation of housing units by income category •City must plan to accommodate during the planning period (Oct 15, 2021 –Oct 15, 2029) •City must develop an inventory of sites by parcel to prove development capacity for each income category RHNA Allocation 2021-2029 RHNA Growth Need Allocations Income Category Affordability1 Dwelling Units Very Low 0 –50% County MFI 1,453 units Low 51 –80% County MFI 928 units Moderate 81% -120% County MFI 1,048 units Above Moderate >120% County MFI 1,405 units TOTAL 4,834 units Notes: (1) Based on percentage of Orange County Median Family Income, updated annually. Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •SCAG recently released updated RHNA Allocations •These changes are not reflected in this presentation or memo, but will be represented in the next update •The minor changes are reflected in the table below: RHNA Allocation -Updated 2021-2029 RHNA Growth Need Allocations Income Category Affordability1 Dwelling Units Very Low 0 –50% County MFI 1,456 units Low 51 –80% County MFI 930 units Moderate 81% -120% County MFI 1,050 units Above Moderate >120% County MFI 1,409 units TOTAL 4,845 units Notes: (1) Based on percentage of Orange County Median Family Income, updated annually. Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Sites designated to accommodate Low-and Very Low-Income units must meet the following additional criteria: •Zoning appropriate to accommodate lower income units •At least 30 du/ac •Size of site •0.5 acres –10 acres •Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing •No-Net-Loss Law (SB 166) HCD Criteria: Lower Income Sites Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Sites Analysis Baseline Sites Analysis Baseline ADUs Projects “in the pipeline” 5th Cycle Sites (Existing Capacity) Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Accessory Dwelling Units (ADUs) Year Average Projection Approach Planning Period Total 170 2029 21.3 2028 21.3 2027 21.3 2026 21.3 2025 21.3 2024 21.3 2023 21.3 2022 21.3 2018 -2020 Average 21.3 •“Safe Harbor” Assumption: •Future ADU production based on past production history •HCD’s pre-certified methodology Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Used to accommodate RHNA Growth need •Affordability based on SCAG Affordability determinations Accessory Dwelling Units (ADUs) Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Using City’s 2018-2020 average annual production of 21.3 ADUs: Accessory Dwelling Units (ADUs) Safe Harbor Assumption of ADU Production Income Category Percent Share of Estimated ADU Production Total ADUs Very Low 25% of total units 42 ADUs Low 43% of total units 73 ADUs Moderate 30% of total units 51 ADUs Above Moderate 7% of total units 3 ADUs TOTAL 170 ADUs Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Projects “in the pipeline”: •Projects at any stage in the entitlements process •Includes projects under construction but not occupied •Collectively can be counted as credit to accommodate the 6th Cycle RHNA growth need •Must be occupied after June 30th, 2021 Projects in the Pipeline Summary of Projects in the Pipeline by Income Category Very Low Low Moderate Above Moderate Number of Units 43 78 0 2,183 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Projects in the Pipeline Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •HEUAC recommended inclusion of 5th Cycle sites not yet redeveloped •Exclusive of sites being considered for Rezone Opportunities •Counted as credit to accommodate the 6th Cycle RHNA Allocation 5th Cycle Sites –Existing Zoning Capacity 5th Cycle Housing Element Sites Used for the 6th Cycle RHNA Allocation Very Low Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Number of Units 0 0 348 40 388 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Combine baseline to calculate net remaining RHNA need during the 2021 –2029 planning period Net Remaining RHNA Need Net Remaining 2021-2029 RHNA Need (in Units) Very Low Low Moderate Above Moderate Total RHNA Allocation 1,453 928 1,048 1,405 4,834 ADU Projections 42 73 51 3 169 Projects in the Pipeline 43 78 0 2,183 2,815 5th Cycle 0 0 348 40 388 Remaining Need 1,368 777 649 --2,794 Note –projections are for discussion purposes only and are subject to minor changes based on finalized analysis Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •HEUAC and City staff have identified the following Focus Areas: Accommodating Remaining Need Airport Area Coyote Canyon Newport Center Banning Ranch West Newport Mesa Dover- Westcliff Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Locations & strategies to accommodate future growth need Inventory Scenarios Inventory Scenario Building Development % Affordability Projected Density Acreage •Scenario 1: Minimum RHNA •Scenario 2: Minimum RHNA with Buffer Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 1 –Minimum RHNA Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Calculates the minimum inventory of parcels needed to meet unaccommodated 2021-2029 RHNA growth need •Poses risks resulting from no-net-loss provisions •Methodology Assumptions: Scenario 1 –Minimum RHNA Scenario 1 –Minimum RHNA Area % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed DensityLow/Very Low Moderate Airport 30%80%20%50 du/ac West Newport Mesa 15%80%20%45 du/ac Dover-Westcliff 10%0%20%30 du/ac Newport Center 25%5%5%45 du/ac Coyote Canyon 100%10%10%40 du/ac Banning Ranch 0%15%15%30 du/ac Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Assumes “safe harbor” ADU projections •Assumes no Banning Ranch development Scenario 1 –Minimum RHNA Scenario 1 –Minimum RHNA Area Acreage Net Units by Income Category Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Airport 158 ac 1,891 472 0 2,363 West Newport Mesa 37 ac 198 49 0 247 Dover-Westcliff 14 ac 0 8 33 41 Newport Center 152 ac 85 85 1,535 1705 Coyote Canyon 22 ac 88 88 704 880 Banning Ranch 46 ac 0 0 0 0 Total 427 ac 2,262 702 2,272 5,236 Note –projections are for discussion purposes only and are subject to minor changes based on finalized analysis Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 1 –Minimum RHNA Scenario 1 –Summary (in Units) Low/Very Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Remaining RHNA 2,145 649 --2,794 Scenario 1 - Projected Units 2,262 702 2,272 5,236 Target Percentage Over Need 0%0%220%220% Remaining Need -------- Note –projections are for discussion purposes only and are subject to minor changes based on finalized analysis Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Focus area for development •Planned higher-density residential units may accommodate lower-income units •Key strategy of 4th and 5th Cycle Housing Element Update •Proposed Average Density for Area: 50 du/ac Airport Area Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 1 –Minimum RHNA Area Acreage % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Airport 158 ac 30%80%20%50 du/ac 1,891 472 0 2,363 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Identified as area for reinvestment and redevelopment opportunity •Older industrial and smaller-scale development can transition to support future residential development •Partnership opportunities between public and private organizations •Adjacent Hoag hospital and related medical uses creates opportunity to house local workers of various income levels •Assumes 30% residential redevelopment of city-owned parcels •Proposed Average Density for Area: 45 du/ac West Newport Mesa Area Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 1 –Minimum RHNA Area Acreage % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total West Newport Mesa 37 ac 15%80%20%45 du/ac 198 49 0 247 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Identified as an area with opportunity to support increased density that is compatible with surrounding uses •Proposed Average Density for Area: 30 du/ac Dover/Westcliff Area Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 1 –Minimum RHNA Area Acreage % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Dover- Westcliff 14 ac 10%0%20%30 du/ac 0 8 33 41 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Recently had construction of several new residential developments •City expects continuation of development opportunities which create housing adjacent to employment opportunities and support retail •Proposed Density: 45 du/ac Newport Center Area Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 1 –Minimum RHNA Area Acreage % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Newport Center 152 ac 25%5%5%45 du/ac 85 85 1,535 1,705 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Closed landfill with limited opportunities •Portion of area not subject to restrictions and is an ideal opportunity for residential development •Proposed Density: 30 du/ac Coyote Canyon Area Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 1 –Minimum RHNA Area Acreage % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Coyote Canyon 22 ac 100%10%10%40 du/ac 88 88 704 880 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Utilized in prior planning periods to accommodate housing need •Development previously approved by City but denied by Coastal Commission •Considered unlikely for redevelopment in Scenario 1 •Proposed Density: 30 du/ac •Based on previous proposal Banning Ranch Area Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 1 –Minimum RHNA Area Acreage % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Banning Ranch 46 ac 0%15%15%30 du/ac 0 0 0 0 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •The purpose of this scenario is to show the absolute minimum inventory HCD may accept Scenario 1 Summary Scenario 1 –Summary Low/Very Low Moderate Above Moderate Total RHNA Allocation 2,381 1,048 1,405 4,834 ADU Projections (169) (Safe Harbor Approach) 115 51 3 Projects in the Pipeline (2,815)121 0 2,183 5th Cycle Sites (388)0 348 40 Shortfall 2,145 649 --2,794 Rezones –Projected Units 2,262 702 2,272 5,236 Scenario 1 –Total Projected Units 2,383 1,050 4,495 7,928 Target Percentage Over Need 0%0%220% Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Shortfall in Low and Very Low and Moderate Income Categories •Rezones to meet shortfall •Excess of Above Moderate due to: •Pipeline projects (2,183) •Market Units provide ability to develop lower income units Scenario 1 Conclusions Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 2 –Minimum RHNA with Buffer Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Calculates the minimum inventory of parcels needed to meet 2021-2029 RHNA growth need •Addition of a 20-30% buffer to reduce risks resulting from no-net-loss provisions •Methodology Assumptions: Scenario 2 –Minimum RHNA with Buffer Scenario 2 –Minimum RHNA with Buffer Area % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed DensityLow/Very Low Moderate Airport 35%80%20%50 du/ac West Newport Mesa 15%80%20%45 du/ac Dover-Westcliff 10%0%20%30 du/ac Newport Center 25%5%5%45 du/ac Coyote Canyon 100%10%10%40 du/ac Banning Ranch 100%15%15%30 du/ac Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Assumes aggressive ADU projections •Assumes Banning Ranch development Scenario 2 –Minimum RHNA with Buffer Scenario 2 –Minimum RHNA with Buffer Area Acreage Net Units by Income Category Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Airport 158 ac 2,206 551 0 2,757 West Newport Mesa 37 ac 198 49 0 247 Dover-Westcliff 14 ac 0 8 33 41 Newport Center 152 ac 85 85 1,535 1,705 Coyote Canyon 22 ac 88 88 704 880 Banning Ranch 46 ac 206 207 962 1,375 Total 427 2,783 988 3,234 7,005 Note –projections are for discussion purposes only and are subject to minor changes based on finalized analysis Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 2 –Minimum RHNA with Buffer Scenario 2 –Summary (in Units) Low/Very Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Remaining RHNA 2,145 649 --2,794 Scenario 2 – Projected Units 2,783 988 3,234 7,005 Percentage Over Need (Target 20%-30%) 22%27%288%337% Remaining Need -------- Note –projections are for discussion purposes only and are subject to minor changes based on finalized analysis Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 2 –Airport Area Scenario Acreage % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Scenario 2 158 ac 35%80%20%50 du/ac 2,206 551 0 2,757 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 2 –Airport Area Scenario Acreage % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Scenario 2 158 ac 35%80%20%50 du/ac 2,206 551 0 2,757 Scenario 1 158 ac 30%80%20%50 du/ac 1,891 472 0 2,363 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 2 –West Newport Mesa Area Acreag e % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Scenario 2 37 ac 15%80%20%45 du/ac 198 49 0 247 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 2 –West Newport Mesa Area Acreag e % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Scenario 2 37 ac 15%80%20%45 du/ac 198 49 0 247 Scenario 1 37 ac 15%80%20%45 du/ac 198 49 0 247 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 2 –Dover Westcliff Acreage % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Scenario 2 14 ac 10%0%20%30 du/ac 0 8 33 41 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 2 –Dover Westcliff Acreage % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Scenario 2 14 ac 10%0%20%30 du/ac 0 8 33 41 Scenario 1 14 ac 10%0%20%30 du/ac 0 8 33 41 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 2 –Newport Center Area Acreage % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Scenario 2 152 ac 25%5%5%45 du/ac 85 85 1,535 1,705 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 2 –Newport Center Area Acreage % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Scenario 2 152 ac 25%5%5%45 du/ac 85 85 1,535 1,705 Scenario 1 152 ac 25%5%5%45 du/ac 85 85 1,535 1,705 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 2 –Coyote Canyon Area Acreage % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Scenario 2 22 ac 100%10%10%40 du/ac 88 88 704 880 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 2 –Coyote Canyon Area Acreage % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Scenario 2 22 ac 100%10%10%40 du/ac 88 88 704 880 Scenario 1 22 ac 100%10%10%40 du/ac 88 88 704 880 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 2 –Banning Ranch Area Acreag e % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Scenario 2 46 ac 100%15%15%30 du/ac 206 207 962 1,375 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario 2 –Banning Ranch Area Acreag e % Projected to Redevelop Affordability Proposed Density Net Units by Income Category Low/ Very Low Moderate Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Scenario 2 46 ac 100%15%15%30 du/ac 206 207 962 1,375 Scenario 1 46 ac 0%15%15%30 du/ac 0 0 0 0 Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Purpose of this scenario is to show the Inventory including a buffer to help avoid no-net-loss issues during the planning period Scenario 2 -Summary Scenario 2 –Summary Low/Very Low Moderate Above Moderate Total RHNA Allocation 2,381 1,048 1,405 4,834 ADU Projections (334) (Aggressive Approach) 228 100 6 Projects in the Pipeline (2,815)121 0 2,183 5th Cycle Sites (388)0 348 40 Remaining Need 2,032 600 --2,632 Rezones –Projected Units 2,783 988 3,234 7,005 Scenario 2 –Total Projected Units 2,904 1,336 5,457 9,697 Percentage Over Need 22%27%288% Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Shortfall in Low and Very Low and Moderate Income Categories •Rezones to meet shortfall •Buffer helps to avoid no-net-loss provisions •Buffer changes include: •Airport Area (5% redevelopment increase) •Banning Ranch •ADU (aggressive approach) •Excess of Above Moderate due to: •Pipeline projects (2,183) •Banning Ranch (962) •Market Units provide ability to develop lower income units Scenario 2 Conclusions Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Scenario Comparison –1 & 2 Scenario Comparison (in Units) Low/Very Low Moderate Above Moderate Total Scenario 1 Projected Units 2,262 702 2,272 5,236 Target Percentage Over Need 0%0%220% Scenario 2 Projected Units 2,783 988 3,234 7,005 Percentage Over Need (Target 20%-30%) 22%27%288% Note –projections are for discussion purposes only and are subject to minor changes based on finalized analysis Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Proceed conceptually w/ Scenario 2,which would provide highest level of policy and implementation flexibility. •Utilize an “inclusive” policy approach that will explore a variety to site accommodation policies that support Scenario 2. •Conduct additional requisite analysis, per HCD guidance, within each Focus Areas to further justify use of individual parcels. •Present draft framework of sites plan at March HEUAC Committee. Recommended Approach Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft •Housing Opportunity Overlay Zone •New Zone Program –Residential Only •Zone Amendment Program •Inclusionary Housing Program •Affordable Housing Fund/Housing Trust •Accessory Dwelling Unit Incentive Program •Accessory Dwelling Unit Monitoring Program Policy Considerations Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft Questions/Discussion Housing Element Update Advisory Committee - February 17, 2021 Item V(b) Additional Materials Presented at Meeting by Staff Housing Opportunity Sites Inventory Methodology and Progress Draft