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HomeMy WebLinkAboutGPAC_2003_05_1211111111111111111111111111111111111111111,III lill *NEW FILE* GPAC_2003_05_12 I• K] It May 12, 2003 7:00-9:00 p.m. 7:00 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN ADVISORY COMMITTEE AGENDA I. Call to Order 7:05 II. Approval of Minutes April 14, 2003 7:10 III. Attendance Policy Police Department Auditorium 870 Santa Barbara Drive 7:20 IV. Fiscal Impact Analysis of Existing Development 8:30 V. Appointment of Subcommittee to Review LCP 8:40 VI. Discussion of Future Agenda Items 8:50 VII. Public Comments n�. E • CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN ADVISORY COMMITTEE Minutes of the General Plan Advisory Committee Meeting held on Monday, April 14, 2003, at the Police Department Auditorium. Members Present: Phillip Bettencourt Bob Hendrickson Karlene Bradley Mike Ishikawa Gus Chabre Kim Jansma John Corrough Mike Johnson Laura Dietz Bill Kelly Grace Dove Lucille Kuehn Florence Felton Phillip Lugar Nancy Gardner Catherine O'Hara Louise Greeley Carl Ossipoff Members Absent: Roger Alford David Janes Patrick Bartolic Alex Kakavas Dorothy Beek Todd Knipp Carol Boice Donald Krotee Tom Hyans Alan Silcock Ernest Hatchell Staff Present: Sharon Wood, Assistant City Manager Patricia Temple, Planning Director Tamara Campbell, Senior Planner Woodie Tescher, EIP Consultant Carleton Waters, Urban Crossroads Members of the Public Present: Maria White Allen Beek Charles Remley Larry Root John Saunders James Schmiesing Ed Siebel Jackie Sukiasian Jan Vandersloot Jennifer Wesoloski Ron Yeo I. Welcome and Introductions • Nancy Gardner called the meeting to order at 7:00 p.m. II. Approval of Minutes Phillip Lugar commented that the minutes were brief and requested that staff prepare the minutes a little more descriptive. Ms. Wood responded that typically the minutes have been more descriptive but because the main event was a presentation by Woodie Tescher and copies of the slides were attached to the minutes. Mr. Lugar felt that the questions and answers would have been interesting to read. Phillip Bettencourt moved to approve the March 24, 2003 minutes. Mr. Lugar seconded the motion. Motion passes. III. Communication between GPAC & Planning Commission/City Council Ms. Wood commented that the Update Committee and Scoping subcommittee discussed this item. The Scoping subcommittee had a joint meeting with the Planning Commission, and a lot of questions were raised about how are GPAC and GPUC going to • keep the Planning Commission and City Council apprised of what they are doing so the process does not potentially take off down some track that the Commission and Council are not comfortable with. The recommendation that has been made by the General Plan Update Committee is to have some study sessions of the City Council and the Planning Commission at key decision points in the process so that they can hear what the recommendations and discussion of the two committees have been to that point. For example, one of the key points is when we select which alternatives are going to be analyzed, using both the traffic model and the fiscal impact model. IV. Traffic Model Results for Existing Development & Existing General Plan Buildout - Woodie Tescher of EIP Associates and Carleton Waters of Urban Crossroads — [Slide presentation attached to minutes.] Mr. Tescher commented that there are two perspectives of traffic in the City. The first is sort of analogous to flying over the City, taking a snap shot and describing and documenting what you see on the ground in terms of existing traffic conditions. The first part of the presentation is what is there today, what is happening today, and what are the characteristics and conditions of traffic in the City. The second part that is the perspective of asking "what if." What if the existing General Plan that is in place is the adopted policy of the City of Newport Beach and carried to its conclusion. What happens to traffic if build -out to what is currently permitted under • that plan occurs. The second perspective is also asking what happens with all the current General Plan recommendations for transportation improvements. If they are implemented with that additional increment of growth, how will traffic change. 2 • This will provide us with a couple of benchmarks as we go further through this General Plan process during which we will be identifying some alternatives. Some of the alternatives may ask what happens if we don't build all those roadways or improvements or what happens if we build some other improvements? We may test those in the subsequent stages of this planning process. We may also ask ourselves, what if that is not a realistic projection of the amount of growth we are going to accommodate in the City? How will that affect the conclusions? The second General Plan analysis is required by State law. The California Environmental Quality Act requires that in the General Plan process, one of the benchmarks you measure any modification of the General Plan against is the current General Plan. By State law, it is technically known as the "no -project" alternative under the California Environmental Quality Act. These should indicate the starting points and is not a conclusion or the final analysis but a beginning to frame the discussion we are moving toward in the next few months. Mr. Tescher reiterated again that this is an Executive Summary document and there is voluminous research that backs up what you are hearing here today. Carlton Waters explained what things look like from a traffic perspective in the City today with traffic count data based on surveys that have been performed, such as • following vehicles from key locations that are in the City to see whether they are going through the City or they are ending up someplace within the community. Mr. Waters explained the primary study area for the updated Newport Beach Traffic Model includes all of the City of Newport Beach and its sphere of influence, and it also includes key portions of adjacent communities, such as parts of Huntington Beach, Costa Mesa and Irvine, as well as communities that are farther away that directly affect traffic conditions in the City of Newport Beach. Mr. Waters began the PowerPoint presentation. Following are the some of the questions posed during the trip generation portion of the presentation: Trips are typically 20 percent of the total trips and the data for Newport Beach is consistent with the region • Home to Other (social/recreational/any activity that does not fall into a strict shopping category or a work trip) are nearly twice as many as anything else. Is. this is also typical, Mr. Waters responded yes. All of the percentages are within the normal ranges of the kinds of trips that people are making. • If you work at home, where are you driving? They are all trips that relate to what kind of mode of transport. In the City of Newport Beach there is a relatively high non -motorized home to work trip component, which is probably related to a very . high number home business or a business that is located near to the home. • How radically do you think this will change in 12 years? One of the basic premises of travel demand model building is that behavior is expected to change slowly; 3 • therefore, Mr. Waters said that these are fairly consistent percentages and should stay fairly consistent. • Trip generation, what type of trips is referred to? These are trips relating to Newport Beach that could have started "at-home" in Newport Beach or may have started at a "commercial establishment." • Work at Home clarification — At one time it was very common for shop keepers to live upstairs from the shop, and over time there got to be a very, very few people that were actually working at home. In today's information and technology age, the regional surveys ask the question so they can gauge whether or not there is a significant change in that kind of activity occurring. Technically, the question is, "do they really travel anywhere?" The answer is no, they did not travel to work but after they were done with their work, they might have embarked on a home/other. • Home to Other — Does that include Home to School if you use a car pool lane to go to day care or pre-school? Yes, that is Home to Other. • Was demographic information considered and would your, forecast include the changing demographics for the City? Aging population will add more trips to doctors and not trips to work so how is that included in this chart? — This is an existing travel pattern, and the that type of demographic change could effect these statistics in the future forecasting but right now, assuming we are going to have less traffic because we have a higher proportion of retired population, in a sense you could say these forecasts might be a little conservative if you see this huge change in the • demographic. • What is not typical in this chart? — This is a fairly typical chart. People might ask if Newport Beach is an unusual community but this chart says that Newport Beach is in fact a typical community and there are not a lot of retired people that do not have to work. • Would we be similar to our neighbors, Huntington Beach, Costa Mesa, and Laguna Beach? Would you expect the chart to be the same? Mr. Waters responded that he would expect the chart to be very similar although they have not done an of analysis for the other communities. Looking at the more generalized statistics from the region wide, as well as basic background on travel behavior, these types of statistics of home to other is very important, home to shop trips — very typical statistics. • You would expect them to have similar situations? — Similar — There is one table that was dropped out of the Executive Summary package, which dealt with a lot of obscure time of day relationships that are not that important but they describe what proportion of the AM peak hour trips occur during the 3-hour AM peak period, what proportion of daily trips are the AM peak hour trips. That table shows that the City of Newport Beach has a very traditional traffic peaking characteristic. Twenty years ago, the rule of thumb was that you PM peak hour traffic volume would be around 10 percent of the total daily traffic. In most of the Southern California Region, traffic is spread a bit more than that because of things like congestion effects or the need to live farther from your job. • How was this information actually gathered? — This information is based on the • home survey data that was collected as part of this origin destination survey. There is a statistically significant sampling of people in each community in the region. This particular data is originating in Newport Beach, at least for the home -based trips. IH • The following slides are the reverse, people that started from other points and were destined for the City of Newport Beach. • How did you count the people coming to Newport Beach? — This survey was conducted region -wide. There were several thousand surveys conducted in Ventura County, even more in Los Angeles County because the survey is weighted to try and capture a statistically valid sampling throughout the region. There are surveys that were done for people that live in Costa Mesa and were asked about their travel behavior for that particular day. Irvine, Newport Beach and another location. • Re the Pie Chart — If you were to provide a good local transportation system, you may be able to lessen the amount of traffic. — Mr. Waters said that the issue for us as transportation planners or as people trying to facilitate an efficient transportation system is that you have to have good local coverage and be able to compete with the automobile. The automobile is ready to leave whenever you are; you never have to stand to wait for it to show up. Because we set our standards fairly high in terms of mobility, a level of service is needed for the City and so a very efficient alternative transportation is needed. Mr. Waters agreed that the thought that you could provide good local transport of some sort would potentially satisfy a lot of demands. Where does Riverside County fit in the pie chart? — Other • Los Angeles County? — Los Angeles County is a larger percentage than the combination of Riverside and San Bernardino County. Riverside and San Bernardino • Counties combined account for perhaps 1.5 million population. Los Angeles County alone accounts for 10 million. Proportionately to the number of people, there is more interaction on a percentage basis with the population of those two counties since it is only one -tenth of Los Angeles. If it were a proportionate population, then the other category which is San Bernardino, Riverside, Ventura, would be 0.3%. • Did your firm do the survey? — No, this is data that is available from the Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG). We went through the process of analyzing those records that are specific to the City of Newport Beach. • How current is the survey that SCAG did? This was based on a 1991 Origin - Destination Survey. • Is this chart what is referred to as regional traffic? These trips are strictly trips that were destined for a location in the City of Newport Beach. They have nothing to do with regional traffic. Does that include beach traffic? Yes. So the only thing it would not cover is the trips through traffic to Huntington Beach, Laguna Beach, Irvine, etc. — Correct. There are separate slides for those. • Is it correct that this is a shoulder season survey — so beach traffic that we are used to in the summer time is not reflected here? — Mr. Waters responded that he could not say for sure when they did the survey. — Some of the committee members responded that it does include fall and spring. Mr. Waters responded that this data may have been collected any time during the course of the year. They tend not to like doing the survey during the summer months when people are not doing their • normal routine. A committee member responded that beach traffic is a normal routine for Newport Beach residents every year. • The information in this study says that these surveys were done in the fall and spring. Is the data that you accumulated also in the fall and spring? — Mr. Waters 5 . responded that all the data that they have been responsible for was collected during those shoulder seasons. This data is a large-scale survey done throughout the region and feels that it would not be the summer but would be reflective of those shoulder seasons because they like to do these surveys when they get a typical travel pattern. They would most likely not reflect the beach travel. • When you say "through -traffic," does that mean, except maybe stopping for gas, they are going directly through the community? — If they stop for gas, they stop in the community. That would be an internal trip as well. A through trip is travel on through without stopping. • One of the questions that came up at the GPUC meeting is, what were your statistical contents in these percentages? — Mr. Waters made a guess and promised to get this information into the final version of this Executive Summary. • In response to a committee member's question — We were directed to purposely point our sampling towards periods when we thought we would capture maximum through traffic so we collected 30 of those samples in the AM peak period, 30 in the PM peak period, and the remaining 40 percent during the middle of the day sometime. We did that for all three survey locations. It could be considered to be somewhat conservative because we tried to capture times when the regional people would be most likely to choose this route. • Where were you picking up the people north of Newport Coast Drive? — South of Newport Coast Drive. This diagram does not tell you exactly what route people took . to get someplace. • Is the volume of traffic on Pacific Coast Hwy expected to change at the mid -point where the volume is 51,000? We can use the model to answer that question — This is an actual survey and tried to follow a mix of all the different vehicles that were crossing those points. When looked at how it validated against this data, results suggest that the model is very close to the same type of statistic today. Mr. Waters said he would not expect that percentage to change a lot. The growth of the City is lower than the growth County -wide. • In response to a committee member's inquiry — Mr. Waters pointed on the slide that the going back again from that direction has a similar percent. 7 percent of the traffic crossing the Santa Ana River on Coast Highway southbound was destined for someplace beyond the City limit at the south end of town. Unlike the cordon they were just looking at, the lines for external or the through traffic going elsewhere are much smaller — no 5 or 7 percents as in the last slide. Everything is one and two percents. The total traffic crossing for Santa Ana River into town, perhaps 15 percent of that traffic is through traffic bound for someplace outside the City of Newport Beach, and everybody else is ending up in Newport Beach. Regarding the incidental increase in trips question — Ms. Gardner suggested that because, some of these questions require judgments and might be evaluated better at the end of the presentation to focus the questions on areas where an explanation is needed as to what we are seeing in the slides. This is definitely shoulder season data . and trying to understand a little bit about what the summary is important to this community, and in discussions with staff, we recognize that importance. Those topics 2 come under the heading of special issues. This kind of data collection analysis might be very appropriate for the summer time. Peak time — have we done anything about the rush hour? — This data is 60 percent collected during the peak time and about 40 percent collected during the off peak. There are tables that break data down by repeat in the off peak areas. That kind of information is available. How long did it take to conduct this 3-point survey? — We probably spent about two to three weeks of having staff technicians go out and collect this data depending on the availability of our technicians. It was collected over a period of two or three weeks. We tend to survey during Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday conditions because we do not think Monday and Friday is representative of the typical week day. Summer impacts — Ms. Gardner suggested this is an item for the end of the presentation. Delineate the six intersections? — Listed on page 37 of Executive Summary. Statistical average or estimate as to what might be likely to be built -out? - Question for end of presentation • Mr. Waters finished the presentation and discussion was opened. John Saunders questioned the 100 percent buildout projection. Doesn't that overstate what will really happen in the future? Ms. Temple responded by introducing the start of a thought process to begin trying to help the GPUC come up with what the planners and consultants will be looking for by way of what kinds of alternatives to look at because what John is alluding to is the basic data structure of this part of this exercise. One of our mandates based on CEQA and other parts of State Planning law is that projecting our existing General Plan buildout, both land use and circulation system improvements is something that we are required to do and that is one of our first base line analysis. In terms of what that particular component of this traffic modeling process means is that it is full build out of Newport Beach land use and roadways. The projected growth, both land use growth and transportation improvement growth, for the rest of the region (the entire six county SCAG region) to the year 2025. They do not go all the way to build out, they go to a planning horizon currently 2025. In terms of what John's question is, as we as local planners know, there is little likelihood that every single house will be built that could be built under the zoning and general plan and not ever will there be 100 percent of all those square feet built. There is always going to be a property owner that elects to use his property differently. Case in point — what is our greatest trend on Balboa Island? Each lot is allowed two houses. What are most people building? One. 7 • One thing to start thinking about by way of alternatives is whether one alternative to assess is one that does not really look at actual changes to entitlements but looks at looking at a projection based on our current trends. In other words, if we are only growing by x-houses per year citywide and we know the concentration is in these four geographic areas to look at pushing that projection out to 2025 is going to be substantially less than what the General Plan numbers are. That may be an interesting point of beginning just to get a handle for what we technically would call the planning horizon. We are working with a 2025 horizon at this time. The General Plan is supposed to be fluid and when we next update this plan 5 to 10 years after this one, we will be throwing the horizon out again another 25 years so that we are not getting behind the game but are dealing within a planning universe that one might actually be able to reasonably project. The committee members might want to think about this even before thinking about land use alternatives in terms of lets rezone this or change this from commercial to residential, try and get this area open space, etc., which are important but there may be a progression of alternatives that will help this committee as well as Planning Commission, City Council and the community to see what the opportunities are. One other thing that Carlton wanted me to help you understand was the issue of the • projected growth, where some of that is so that you might get a handle on how likely it is to actually occur. One thing that some members of GPUC were questioning, is if you look at it on a Citywide basis, there are about 2 million square feet of un-built non- residential development, and they are going where? Most of the un-built entitlement in Newport Beach is in areas that I call the older on -street commercial districts. Ms. Temple commented that if she had to pick out the four that constitute the majority of that number, well over half, probably almost three quarters, it is four areas: Mariners Mile (from Dover to Arches bridge), Old Newport Boulevard (the old Newport Boulevard on the easterly side of Newport Boulevard across from Hoag Hospital), the industrial area behind Hoag Hospital, and an area by the airport that I call Campus tract, which is an old Irvine industrial subdivision between Birch and Campus, Bristol and Macarthur Boulevard. Those areas all have several hundred thousand square feet of non -yet implemented General Plan entitlement. Therefore we are looking at areas that are somewhat geographically diverse although three of them are in the West Newport area and one by the Airport but we are also not talking Newport Center, Koll Center Newport, and those areas that, in the past, were the primary sources of our commercial and jobs growth. When you look at the charts and you see x-percentage of job growth, and you think about where that growth can occur right now, one might think, "you know, I'm not sure that projection is reasonable for the next 25 years." As John said, maybe it is only 10 or 15 percent of that and we can look at some of those scenarios to help get a grasp as to where we are headed. • Carl Ossipoff observed that this is frightening if they are trying to accommodate traffic and the growth. He said his idea was to try and make Mariners Mile more pedestrian than mixed use. Mr. Ossipoff asked if they are just creating a conduit to run vehicles 1.1 through, doesn't that create bottle necks in places like Corona del Mar or Mariners Mile? is Ms. Temple responded there is a good thing and a bad thing about widening a road. As Carlton noted, by widening the road you may relieve some of your congestion inthe short-term but you may also be creating a more attractive road for more people to use, and would they go another route if there was more congestion? Ms. Temple noted that is a judgment call for the community. Mr. Corrough referred to the uniqueness of this community as a desirable destination place the region, it tends to get a tremendously asymmetrical loadings on a very limited number of access routes to the beach. Mr. Corrough commented that he knows they are not anticipating building out beaches and that is probably why beaches are not listed but beaches are a trip generator in the sense of being a destination point and eventually a larger point for the home -bound route. Mr. Corrough said that he is presuming they are not covered under part or any other use but somehow hopes they are covered under the total list of trip generating categories. Ms. Temple commented that is a question, and once again, they are stepping aside from the summer season for this purpose, but are not going to avoid it altogether. Basically, trips to the beach otherwise tend to be covered within the actual other uses in areas like the Peninsula. When you look in the first shoulder seasons and how much commercial we have down there, what we are probably doing is sort of assigning it to • all of the commercial uses even though they might be under performing or even closed during those times. But basically what happens from a modeling point, is we try to get the model to reflect the actual trips that are on the road regardless of their purpose, and I think that what we have found is by using usually more typical generation factors for the other uses in the area, including the beaches and the homes and everything else, that it tends to account so the numbers come out okay because it is really hard to figure out whether that trip is going to B.J.'s or whether they are going to the beach. They're probably doing both. Mr. Corrough commented that we tend to count the trips coming down to the water's edge for things like our commercial vessels and use in terms of the primary use that contains the operator so for that so we look at it as an office use, in which there are four to six people and maybe two or three others on -site and is that properly parked' and how many trips to they generate? Also Mr. Corrough said that he is not sure that they are counting the average number of people and trips generated by the commercial vessels and the persons on each of those vessels. The problem with peak and off peak shoulder season, etc. is the Chamber of Commerce and the business community is praying for those shoulder seasons. The traditional effort of any community like this with a moderate climate as opposed to colder climates that have a very discreet summer season and gets boat usage of over 60-percents of boats going out on any week -end day, we are lucky if we get 15 percent usage here. The problem is we tend to stretch out the impacts on these amenities, on transportation systems, demands on the public services, etc. Even though we have a tremendous peak in the summer, we are pushing these shoulder seasons out, and it is the tendency for that industry and those communities to have to deal with this extending now not over 3 to 4 months but 0 • 6 to 7 months. We get other people coming into the area, we are in the right season and they are freezing somewhere else, we get those peaks around Christmas and New Years that belies the question. We get not only the Christmas shopping but we also get the Christmas visitors. All of these key areas, the beaches, commercial boats and the Harbor itself hinge on a couple of very important gateways and essentially a dead-end transportation system and limited capacity out on the Peninsula and Pacific Coast Highway corridor. Catherine O'Hara — What is a realistic analysis for General Plan Build -out? Improvements that were assumed, are they realistic? Executive Summary — Exhibit E, page 16, ways we can try to change traffic patterns —It looks like if we did not charge money for Newport Coast road, that traffic is 7 percent per 62,000 trips, 37,000 trips — could we get rid of those trips off our streets by just having no toll. The question is it worth it to evaluate each of those hundred and narrow it down to something that is acceptable. Or is it political. Do we have a chance to get the TCA to agree to getting rid of the toll. Mr. Tescher responded to Catherine's question about the evaluation of alternatives, and said he thought he raised the question about, that happens if not all those roadway improvements get constructed." The alternatives will look at, not just land use, but will address those kinds of issues as well, so what are the alternatives, the consequences of • removing a lane off of Pacific Coast Highway or any other improvement that is there. That is part of the testing that will occur during the next phases of this process as well. Ms. Wood commented that they will be looking for input from this committee, as well as the Update Committee to help define which alternatives we are going to analyze both with this model and with the fiscal impact model. Ms. O'Hara turned to page 20 and asked if those trips originated inside or outside of Newport Beach. Mr. Waters commented that these are trips that originated outside of Newport Beach or could actually have originated in Newport Beach but are already destined definitely for locations in Newport Beach. Fifty percent of these trips both started and ended in Newport Beach, but all of them ended in Newport Beach. Ms. O'Hara commented that compared with other cities, this seems very untypical. Mr. Water said that within the City of Newport Beach, that home to other trip purpose that was doubled in size of any other part of the pie is more than double the trips that are destined for Newport Beach from Newport Beach. The first column areas, the trips that were 50 percent that were both starting and ending in Newport Beach, the next step of ours is related to that 28 percent that were destined to Newport Beach from the adjacent cities. The home to other trips is not as important proportionately as the home to work trip. The home to work bar for the adjacent cities has now become the second largest of the bars. If you go to places even farther away from the City the home to work bar becomes dominant. The reason for the majority of those people to 0 come to Newport Beach is to go to work. 10 Mr. Bettencourt commented that he understood the condition of the debt service on the San Joaquin Hills corridor segment is already at least less than satisfactory from the standpoint of bond holders. Any further erosion of their revenues would probably look at in a very unfavorable light, not that there couldn't be some sort of a buy-out or subsidy because it does affect travel patterns. Also from the standpoint of Newport Coast residents, Mr. Bettencourt said he thought they were servicing about 70 million dollars of debt to pay for the road that other Newport Beach property owners are not paying for. Mr. Bettencourt felt that most Coast residents would take a dim view of being a dumping ground for regional traffic. Mr. Chabre referred to page 22 where 53 percent of the traveling within the City and others adjacent 28 percent is not typical. Is that correct? Mr. Waters responded that he did not know if he would say it is not typical but it might be slightly higher and that professional judgment on his part is based on the fact that the longest trip purpose is home to work trips. Because the community has nice quantity of jobs, it is a high possibility that the citizens of Newport Beach are employed within the City. In response to inquiry, Mr. Waters commented that the model itself definitely deals with the automobile mode of transport but this survey data is multi -mobile. All of these pie charts are looking at all modes of transport. Jennifer Wesoloski referred to page 40 and commented on the build -out for day care, • pre-school for children under the age of 2 and then referred to page 40 where they are expecting 58 hundred and 20 thousand employees in our City and thought that was something that, at some point, would have to be looked at. Ms. Gardner agreed that was an issue for another evening. Ron Yeo asked what does staff and consultants expect the committee to do in terms of what direction they want to review. Mr. Tescher responded that tonight was just informational for background but in subsequent meetings they would be looking at alternative patterns of land uses and alternative transportation systems. Ms. Gardner noted that there were a couple of comments from the committee that were particularly interested in "summer" aspects of it so we do not totally ignore the special impacts of summer, and the "beaches" and the fact that we are on the beaches. Kim Jansma commented that the question of Mariners Mile keeps coming and thought it is a problem area. Ms. Jansma wondered if that would be something the committee would have any input in and it is definitely something that needs to come up. Ms. Gardner agreed that is something the committee will definitely want to get into, identifying those areas that they feel most need to be address and what they want to do with them. Mike Ishikawa commented that Newport Heights is within three of the four major build - out areas and thought there was a traffic study being done. Ms. Gardner asked if there is a separate traffic study being done in Newport Heights? Rich Edmonston responded that there is going to be one that has not officially started yet. They have a lot of data 11 already on the amount of traffic, the speed of traffic on different streets in the Heights • and that project will look at what sorts of things might be done in the Heights to discourage cut -through traffic, control speeds and behaviors of people. It is not directed correlated with this project. There will be a series of public meetings and notices will be sent to all the homeowners and business in the area in about six weeks. Ms. Gardner commented that this is not the last time they will be talking about traffic so they do not need to cover everything tonight. Mr. Waters commented that there are a couple of other issues that he heard tonight as the discussion took place. What is the shoulder season, how broad is that shoulder season and how different is it from the summer. Mr. Waters said what he also heard was that typically we focus on week -day conditions because it is the week -day commute that drives traffic issue and we need to have a little knowledge about week -day versus week -end traffic patterns. We have issues with week -end traffic patterns that we need to be sensitive to because they are worse than the week -day. Part of the issue from the Traffic Engineering standpoint is that when we design a roadway for the one highest day of the year because no one can afford to pay for a traffic system that accommodates the maximum but week -days, something that occurs 200 or 252 days a year and everybody knows you have to design for that. • But one of the things we might try to think through is, if it is a week -end something that we do somehow have to be concerned with. Mr. Chabre questioned the reliability of the date, some of it is really old. V. Discussion of Futures Agenda Items Ms. Gardner noted that rather than spending a lot of time discussing Future Agenda Items, it is important, however, that we bring these up because we want to shape the agenda and be sure that we are touching the issues, not only that staff brings to us but that the committee feels are important to discuss. GPUC has a list of things that they feel they want to get discussed too. Mixing and matching these global briefings with a work shop sessions where committee members feel more fulfilled in the process. Ms. Wood commented that the next meeting will be May 12t', and we will be having a similar presentation to tonight's but this will be from the fiscal consultant on the Fiscal Impact Model and what it shows for our existing development. VI. Public Comments • Ms. Wood commented on the Brown Act for the benefit of the newer members of the committee. A memo from the City Attorney on the Brown Act was included in the "welcome packet" to the new members. Ms. Wood commented on the most important 12 things to remember. The Brown Act is a State law that required that the public conduct • its business in public and that is why we need to prepare agendas and post them ahead of the meeting. They are always posted at City Hall the week before, and that is why we can only discuss what has been put on the agenda. If somebody has an idea of something to talk about and we have not put it on the agenda, it has to wait until the next meeting so that it could be noticed to the public. Ms. Wood noted that committee members could unwittingly cause an unnoticed meeting to happen if a few committee members get together to talk about an issue or if Laura calls Phil who calls Florence who calls Jim because that is what is then called a serial meeting. What you cannot do is have a meeting that consists of a quorum of this committee without proper public notice and this committee has 38 members so it takes a while until you actually get to a quorum and you would be in violation of the law. Ms. Wood said she felt they should be more careful about because it should be happening in the public and that is the whole point of this process, and also because you never know if you talk to two or three people, how many people are going to have the same conversation, so you could without knowing it cause a meeting to happen that is improper. Ms. Wood said that she expected as they got further along in this process they would be having some subcommittees working on specific issues and so they will have to be careful on those of the number of people we have on the subcommittee and cautioning even more not to then be discussing those issues with other people on this • committee who are not on your subcommittee. Ms. Gardner adjourned the meeting at 9:05 p.m. 40 13 f E URBAM cno�snonos 2 URBANcnosanonom 3 N 4 I E CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH LAND USE BASED 2002 SOCIOECONOMIC DATA SUMMARY VARIABLE QUANTITY Occupied Single Family Dwelling Units 13,842 Occupied Multi -Family Dwelling Units 20,409 Total Dwelling Units 34,251 Group Quarters Population 661 P o ulation 75,817 Employed Residents 44,379 Retail Employee 10,198 Service Employees 24,594 Other Employees 36,246 Total Employees 71,038 Elem/Hi h School Students 9,164 5 13�L i U1RBAIM cnossnonos CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH 2O02TRIP GENERATION Y4 TRIP PURPOSE PRODUCTIONS -ATTRACTIONS PRODUCTIONS - ATTRACTIONS PRODUCTIONS /ATTRACTIONS Home Based Work 57,568 88 618 -31050 0.65 Home Based School 11424 8,730 2,694 1.31 Home Based Other" 125,826 107,619 18 207 1.17 Work Based Other 55,625 59,778 -4153 0.93 Other - Other 91946 90 492 1454 1.02 TOTAL 342,3891 355,2371 -12 848 0.96 OVERALLTOTAL 697626 1 Home -Work includes Home -Work and Home -University trips, consistentwith OCTAM mode choice output " Home -Other includes Home -Shop and Home -Other trips, consistentwith OCTAM mode choice output 11 b 0 URBAN URBAN cnommno^Mm Adjacent 289 North Orange Cot 11% South Orai 4 Lc 3% Other 2% L, Newport Beach 52% 4P URBAN CROSSRO AOS WORKAT HOME 1% OTHER -WORK 17% OTHER -OTHER 14% HOME -WORK 22% HOME -OTHER 38% URBAIM cnornowo� Adjacent 2&% North Orange Cou 10°% South Oran 0 Los 3% 2% 10 Newport Beach 53% I � W URBANcno�sno nos M NEWPOHFOFA0ITPAFFICTAODELVMATEN ottffF CMNi•0046014 IK 11 URBAN c nossnonas 12 U CA URBANc nossnonns Q r M 13 URBAN 1 14 Y� Pw C 1T055K0J1D5 � _- � � • . i � • 29 9 ft 13 Y 40 1 4 u ps µ ' 0 16 30 S' all, 1 18 3 6 xr 5 iO* i Inu bn 34 6 r.O t9 O 64 E ..W.4T 4x 35 48 49 i 20 55 e 36 S� o+a 3 40 > 21 41 50 56 60 i wvlm 38 —M 23 •• 4Y 53 �1 2A 5 4 yF ` ,ml 1 snm a - 65 !� M. 39 Ha"A.V i Cy 6t �4 4 5257 um v. Y t Y IIIN , 5 d 4 2 LEGEND: 5 • - INTERSECTION COUNT LOCATION \ tl 6 PAC{FU: 65 -INTERSECTION ID \S`R 3 °u�nq N n[H-BEACH TIWHCMODEL UPDATE Ne.P d Bead,, C01d N-00450-28 03114(03 15 b URRAPJ c rto�sno�os 16 .4 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN BURDOUT LAND USE SUMMARY NBTM CODE DESCRIPTION UNITS 2002 QUANTITY BUILDOUT QUANTITY GROWTH %GROWTH 1 Low Density Residential DU 14,841 15,213 372 2.51% Dens' Residential DU 12,939 17,723 4,784 36.97% A artment DU 7,622 8,468 846 11.10% Elder Residential DU 348 348 - 0.00% Mobile Home DU 894 749 -145 -16.22% EMedium Motel ROOM 210 256 46 21.90% Hotel ROOM 2,745 2,799 54 1.97% Re ionalCommercial TSF 1,259.000 1,633.850 374.850 29.77% General Commercial TSF 2,926.160 3,692.980 766.820 26.21% Commercial/Recreation ACRE 5.100 5.100 - 0.00% 13 Restaurant TSF 640.520 850.900 210.380 32.85% 15 Fast Food Restaurant TSF 78.031 94.540 16.509 21.16% Auto Dealer/Sales TSF 288.320 323.290 34.970 12.13% Yacht Club TSF 54.580 73.060 18.480 33.86% Health Club TSF 63.500 100.940 37.440 58.96% 020 Tennis Club CRT 60 60 - 0.00% Marina SLIP 1,055 1,055 - 0.00% Theater SEAT 5,489 5,475 -14 -0.26% Ne ortDunes ACRE 64.00 64.00 - 0.000/c 23 1 General Office TSF 10,900.190. 11,760.423 860.233 FYI URB,AIM cnommno^M= NBTM CODE DESCRIPTION UkvS 2002 QUANTITY BUILDOUT QUANTITY GROWTH %GROWTH 24 MedicalOffice TSF, 761A59 895.420 133.961 17.59% 25 Res e arch &Development TSF 327.409 809.330 481.921 147.19% 26 Industrial TSF 1,042.070 1,060.762 18.692 1.79% 27 Mini-Storage/Warehouse TSF 199.750 199.750 - 0.00% 28 Pre-school/Day Care TSF 55.820 56.770 0.950 1.70% 29 Elementary/Private School STU 4,399 4,455 56 1.27% 30 1 Junior/HighSchool STU 4,765 4,765 - 0.00% 31 Cultura I/Le a ming Center TSF 35.000 40.000 5.000 14.29% 32 Library TSF 78.840 78.840 - 0.00% 33 PostOffice TSF 53.700 73.700 20.000 37.24% 34 Hospital BED 351 1,265 914 260.40% 35 Nurs ing/Conv. Home BEDS 661 661 - 0.00% 36 1 Church TSF 377.760 467.210 89.450 23.68% 37-1 Youth Ctr./S e rvice TSF 149.560 155.410 5.850 3.91% 38 Park ACRE 113.970 94.910 -19.060 -16.72% 39 RegionalPark ACRE - 45.910 45.910 N/A 40 GolfCourse ACRE 305.330 1 298.330 -7.000 -2.29% m cu URBANcnon�nonos CITy OF 'NEWP6RT BEACH LAND US-E 'BASED SOCIOECONOMIC DATA COMPARISON VARIABLE „; 2002 QUANTITY BUILDOUT QUANTITY GROWTH % GROWTH Occupied Single Family Dwelling Units 13,842 14,250 408 3% Occupied Multi-FamilyDwelling Units 20,409 25,453 5 044 25% Total Occupied Dwelling Units 34,251 39,703 51452 16% Group Quarters Population 661 661 0 0% P opulation 75,817 87,886 12,069 16% Employed Residents 44,379 51,268 6,889 16% Retail Employee 10,198 12,675 2,477 24% Service Employees 24,594 28,442 3,848 16% Other Employees 36,246 40,040 -3,794 10% Total Employees 61,038 81,157 20,119 33% Elem/High School Students 9,164 9,220 56 1% 19 CV N URBANcnosnnono- CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN BULDOUT TRF GENERATM TRIP PURPOSE PRODUCTIONS ATTRACTIONS PRODUCTIONS - ATTRACTIONS PRODUCTIONS / ATTRACTIONS Home Based Work' 70,469 103,146 -32 677 0.68 Home Based School 14,125 8,845 5,280 1.60 Home Based Otherz 167,202 133,461 33,741 1.25 Work Based Other 66,150 70,850 -4 700 0.93 Other - Other 113,964 112,461 1503 1.01 TOTAL 431,9101 428,7631 3,147 1.01 OVERALL TOTAL 860,673 ' Home -Work includes Home -Work and Home -University trips, consistentwith OCTAM mode choice output 2 Home -Other includes Home -Shop and Home -Other trips, consistent with OCTAM mode choice output 20 I'd • URBAIM cnosnno^Mn CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH TRIP GENERAT>ON COMPARISON TRIP PURPOSE DAILY TRIP ENDS GROWTH PERCENT GROWTH W EXISTING GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT Home Based Work Productions' 57,568 70,469 12,901 22.41% Home Based Work Attractions 88,618 103,146 14,528 16.39% Home Based School Productions 11,424 14,125 2,701 23.64% Home Based School Attractions 8,730 8,845 115 1.32% Home Based Other Productions2 125,826 167,202 41,376 32.88% Home Based Other Attractions 107,619 133,461 25,842 24.01 % Work Based Other Productions 55,625 66,150 10,525 18.92% Work Based Other Attractions 59,778 70,850 11,072 18.52% Other - Other Productions 91,946 113,964 22,018 23.95% Other - Other Attractions 90,492 112,461 21,969 24.28% TOTAL PRODUCTIONS 342,3891 431,9101 89,5211 26.15% TOTAL ATTRACTIONS 355,2371 428,763 73-,5261 20.70% OVERALL TOTAL 697,6261 860,6731 163,0471 23.37% Home -Work includes Home -Work and Home -University trips, consistent with OCTAM mode choice output. 2 Home -Other includes Home -Shop and Home -Other trips, consistent with OCTAM mode choice output. 21 NEWPORT BEACH TRAFFICMODEL UPDATE, Newport Bead, Caldorna-00400`42 rev.04(11/03 Seen 22 FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS AND MODEL NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE May 2003 Prepared for the City of Newport Beach Prepared by Applied Development Economics, Inc. 2029 University Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94704 (510) 548-5912 1029 J Street, Suite 310, Sacramento. CA 95814 u 0 CONTENTS INTRODUCTION................................................................................................................................... 1 APPROACHTO THE ANALYSIS ....................................................................................................... 2 ExistingLand Uses ....................................................................................................................... 3 BudgetOverview ......................................................................................................................... 4 BudgetAdjustments ....................................................................................................... 5 Revenue and Cost Calculations by Land Use ........................................................................... 7 MajorRevenues............................................................................................................... 7 OtherRevenues ............................................................................................................. 12 MajorCost Categories .................................................................................................. 13 CapitalImprovement Prograrn. .................................................................................. 18 PerCapita Costs and Revenues ................................................................................... 19 ANALYSIS OF FISCAL IMPACTS BY LAND USE TYPE .........................................................21 21 CitywideSummary ..................................................................................................................... 21 Revenues..................................................................................................... 22 Costs........................................................................................................... 26 Hospitalityand Visitor Sector .................................................................................................. • Marine Industry .......................................................................................................................... 27 PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS OF NEWPORT COAST FISCAL IMPACTS 33 Introduction............................................................................................................ 33 ProjectDescription .................................................................................................. 34 FireProtection Services ................................................................................ 35 PoliceServices ............................................................................................. 35 Summary of Fiscal Impact ........................................................................................ 36 GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT ........................................................................................ 41 APPENDIX Appendix A: Land Use Definitions by SIC and NAICS ......................................................45 Appendix B: Distribution of Use of Property Revenues By Land Use .............................47 • LIST OF TABLES 1. Land Use Descriptions..........................................................................................................................4 2.2002-03 Budget Revenues Included in Fiscal Analysis.....................................................................6 3.2002-03 Budget Expenditures Included in Fiscal Analysis..............................................................7 4. Assessed Value and Property Tax Estimates by Land Use..............................................................8 5. Sales Tax Revenues by Land Use.........................................................................................................9 6. Transient Occupancy Tax by Lodging Type....................................................................................11 7. Business License Revenue by Land Use...........................................................................................12 8. Police Department Budget 2002-2003..............................................................................................14 9. Police Department Cost Analysis......................................................................................................15 10. Analysis of Summer Peak Demand for Police Services...............................................................16 11.2002-03 CIP Expenditures Included in Fiscal Analysis...............................................................19 12. Unit Costs and Revenues..................................................................................................................20 13. Summary of Fiscal Analysis..............................................................................................................24 14. Retail Employment and Fiscal Impacts...........................................................................26 15. Fiscal Impact of Visitors to Newport Beach.................................................................................28 16. Newport Coast Development: Year 2000 and 2025.........................................................23 17. Newport Coast Impact Year 2000.................................................................................. 37 • 18. Newport Coast Impact at Full Buildout..........................................................................39 19 Growth Rates, 2002 — Buildout.......................................................................................41 20 Fiscal Impact of Existing General Plan Buildout..............................................................43 LIST OF FIGURES 1. Sales Tax Revenue by Land Use Type...............................................................................22 2. Gross Revenues by Land Use...........................................................................................22 3. Economic and Fiscal Relationships in Newport Beach......................................................27 INTRODUCTION This report discusses how various land uses and business types contribute to the revenues and costs for city government. The focus of this discussion is on the existing land use mix in Newport Beach, although it also includes an analysis of the future buildout of the existing General Plan. As the General Plan update process moves forward, a similar analysis will be conducted to determine the potential fiscal impact of future land use alternatives. It is important to recognize that the point of this analysis is to understand how the mix of land uses in Newport Beach contributes to the revenues needed for municipal services for both residents as well as businesses. For purposes of the General Plan, the goal of the fiscal analysis is to identify the best mix of land uses to balance the revenues generated with the cost for municipal services in the City. Therefore, the fiscal "performance" of individual land uses should be viewed from an overall citywide perspective. The report is written to provide a detailed explanation of the methodology, • assumptions, and data sources used to estimate fiscal impacts for each land use. This analysis is intended to serve as a planning tool for decision makers in the General Plan update process. Based on this analysis, ADE will develop an interactive software program for the City to use in estimating fiscal impacts, not only for General Plan land uses, but also for individual development projects that may be proposed in the future. • APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 1 APPROACH TO THE ANALYSIS City government uses a variety of revenue sources to fund the operation of local services and the construction of public facilities. Some of these revenue sources are more affected by the land use mix in the City than are others. For example, property taxes and sales taxes are directly related to the type of property and the business mix in the City. On the other hand, the City s federal entitlement of Community Development Block Grant funds is affected by the population size of the City but is otherwise not a function of the land use mix in the City. Also, because Newport Beach is a Charter City (as opposed to a "General Law' city) the Newport Beach City Council has the ability to set certain tax rates and fees, such as the business license tax rate or building permit fees. However, the Council has only limited authority to set other tax rates, such as the property tax or the sales tax, or to apply additional taxes or fees, without the consent of a simple majority or a supermajority of electors responding in an election. In considering the effect of existing and future land uses on the City budget, it is important to sort out the types of revenue and costs that are most pertinent. . In general, it is most important to isolate the effect of development on revenues which the City has less ability to raise, such as general taxes, than on direct charges for services which can be increased to meet rising costs as necessary. Consequently, the analysis is focused more on services funded by general tax revenues, such as the property tax and the sales tax among others, than on services funded by direct charges such as the water and sewer enterprise funds, building permit and plan check fees, or other fees charged directly to customers at City Hall. At this point, our assumption is that fees charged for specific services are adequate to cover the costs of those services.' At this stage in the process, the fiscal analysis addresses the effect of land use, including related population and business activity, on municipal operating costs and revenues. In the present report, such costs are primarily estimated on an average basis with only a brief discussion of the marginal costs to serve future development. As we move forward with a projection of the effects of potential future land uses, it ' A more in-depth study of City operations would be necessary to verify this assumption. However, if • it is not the case, it is within the authority of the City Council to adjust the fee schedules. DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 2 • will be important to consider the existing capacity in the city's service system and determine whether or not the incremental, or marginal, cost of serving new development is the same as the average cost of serving existing development. That analysis will likely depend to some degree on the location of the proposed new development in addition to the type of land use. This chapter begins with an overview of land uses in Newport Beach, followed by a discussion of the City budget to help clarify some of the distinctions between costs and revenues raised above. EXISTING LAND USES Newport Beach's physical setting encompasses about 25 square miles of land, of which approximately three-quarters is developed into a mix of residential (70 percent of developed land) and non-residential (30 percent of developed land) uses. The remaining one quarter of undeveloped land, including the City's coastal beaches, is primarily used for recreation and open space 2. Currently, the City is estimated to have about 36,600 dwelling units. Approximately • 40 percent of housing units are single-family units and 60 percent are multi -family units. The average assessed valuation for existing housing is $625,000 for single- family units ($814,000 in Newport Coast) and $431,000 for multi -family units. In 2001, the median price of "for sale" housing in Newport Beach was $718,400.' While residential development is treated as a single land -use category for purposes of this fiscal analysis, non-residential uses were split into seven distinct categories: office, retail, light industrial, lodging, marine -related, service commercial, and institutional. Newport Beach businesses were segmented into one of these categories based on their standard industrial classification (SIC) code through an analysis of the City's business license records. Appendix A shows the detailed SIC code definitions for each category, and a general description of the business types included in each category is provided in Table 1 below. 2 NwpoitBrw& Csmvu Condition, Haan GY o es, November 2001, p. 26. . 3 Ibid. p. 28. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 3 TABLE 1 Land Use Descriptions Land Use Category Description Al retail stores (including auto dealerships) and eating and drinking places, Retail except those that are included in one of the categories below Business and professional services, financial institutions, health care services, Office etc. Construction contractors, wholesale distributors, manufacturing, Industrial transportation, public utilities, etc. Primarily includes personal services (e.g. beauty salons, dry cleaners), repair Service Commercial services, entertainment e.. movie theaters), and recreation e.. health clubs Lodging Hotels, motels, B&Bs, vacation rentals, etc. Institutional Schools, churches, social services, membership organizations, etc. Several detailed business types that would otherwise fall within one of the categories above, but which have a direct relationship with activity along the Marine Newport Beach coast. Examples include yacht building and maintenance, boat dealers and repair services, marinas, equipment manufacturers for marine vessels, sport fishing outfitters, etc. The most significant component of this category is the beaches, which attract Public most of the visitors to Newport Beach. • BUDGET OVERVIEW The total budgeted expenditures according to the 2002-2003 budget for the City of Newport Beach are $158.9 million, of which $34.5 million are for Capital Improvement Projects. Estimated General Fund expenditures for the current fiscal year are $94.5 million, while revenues are estimated at $95.5 million ('Table 2). The top three revenue categories — property tax ($36.8 million), sales tax ($19.8 million), and transient occupancy tax ($8.3 million) — account for nearly seventy percent of total General Fund revenues. On the expenditure side, Police ($30.6 million), Fire ($20.1 million), and Public Works ($20.3 million) account for three-quarters of all service costs (Table 3). The General Fund also includes about $4 million of appropriations for projects within the City's Capital Improvement Program (CIP), excluding rebudgets. In addition to the General Fund, three other major funds are of importance for the fiscal analysis. The first is the Tidelands Fund (also known as the 'ride and Submerged Lands Fund'), which collects revenue from the use of public property 4 Rebudgeted funds for ClP projects appear in Table 3 as adjustments to expenditures, since the fiscal • analysis is intended to match revenues from the current fiscal year with current year expenditures. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 4 • that the State of California designates as "tidelands" (i.e. land once under water or currently below the mean high tide line). The Tidelands Fund has total 2002-03 revenues of about $6.5 million and expenditures of $3 million, including C1P projects but excluding transfers to the General Fund. The Tidelands Fund provides about $3.4 million to the General Fund in 2003-03 to pay for Tidelands -qualified city services in the coastal area. The second fund is the Gas Tax, which is funded from the State based on primarily population in each city. According to State law, these funds must be accounted for separately and used exclusively for repair, construction, and maintenance of the street and highway system. Newport Beach has a total of 2002-03 Gas Tax revenues of approximately $1.5 million. Finally, the Measure M Fund is funded in part from the county sales tax for transportation programs and in part from competitive grants from the countywide pool of Measure M funds. Measure M revenues for 2002-03 are approximately $2.2 million. Of these, however, only the annual "turn back" revenues are included in the fiscal analysis as net revenues. Both the Gas Tax and Measure M funds are used exclusively for projects within the • City s CIP. Budget Adjustments Some adjustments were made to the original budget figures, as shown in tables 2 and 3, in order to account for budget items that are not annually recurring. On the revenue side, these include intergovernmental grants (e.g. `competitive' Measure M funds), fees for zoning and building activities, and construction -related permits. On the cost side, the value of development —related fees and permits are deducted from the budgets of the planning and building departments.' These adjustments are made for development -related costs and revenues because they typically occur at the building, planning and construction phase and do not represent an ongoing cost of government services once the buildings are completed. 5 Adjustment include the following budget accounts: Intergovernmental: 4824-4827,4858, 4862, 4893, 4896-4898; Charges for service: 5000-5004, 5007, 5023; Licenses and permits: 4610, 4612, 4614, 4616, • 4618, 4622. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 5 • The total estimated General Fund Budget after adjustments (i.e. net revenue) is approximately $92.3 million for 2002-03, with another $9.2 million of revenue in the Tidelands, Gas Tax, and Measure M Funds, for total revenues of $101.5 million. Adjusted General Fund Expenditures are $96.2 million, plus $5.3 million in expenditures within the other three funds included in the analysis. The overall budget figure upon which this analysis is based is approximately $101 million. TABLE 2 2002.03 Budget Revenues Included In Fiscal, Analysis REVENUE ADJUSTMENTS NET BASIS General Fund Property Tax $36,880,101 $36,880,101 Sales Tax 19,841,351 19,841,351 transient Occupancy tax 8,08,000 8,298,000� Franchises 2,390,000 2;390,000 Business Licenses 2,365,000 2,365,000 Motor Vehicle -In -Lieu 1,700,000 1,700,000 Other Intergovernmental 1,990,127 426,174 1,563,9531 Charges for Service 9,515,855 1,048,300 8,467;5551 Fines, Forfeitures, Penalties 3,125,250 3,125,250 Licenses/Permits 1,819,860 1,446,200 373,660 Use of Property 5,284,288 5,284,288! • Other Revenue 730,435 175,000 555;4351 Interest Income 1,500,000 1,500,000 General Fund Subtotal 95,440,267 3,095,674 92,344,593 T delands Fund — ' m_ Y_ I LicenseslPeimitslFees 1,153,000 1,153;000, Charges for Service 33,500 33,500 Use of Money and Property 5,359,492 5,359,492 State Gas TaxFund 1',457,000 1,4-5-7,0001 Measure M Fund 2,2051580 110051580 1,200,000,' Subtotal Other Funds 10,209,072 1,110,580 8,047,492 Source: ADE, Inc., based on City of Newport Beach, Ffual year2002.03 Btx*Detad. DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 6 TABLE 3 2002.03 Budget Expenditures Included In Fiscal Analysis COST ADJUSTMENTS NET BASIS GENERALFUND General Government $9,368,986 $9,368,986 Police 30,132,466 30,132,466 Fire 21,525,002 21,525,602 Public Works [a] 20,3891515 20,389,515 Community Development 4,747,238 2,494,500 2,252,738 Community Services 8,293,665 8,293,665 CIP -Streets 2,366,000 1,061,000 1,T05;0001 Other CIP Projects 4,766,265 1,873,115 21893,1501 General Fund Subtotal 1011596,546 8,127,868 96,167,931 TIDELANDS FUND Harborkesources 1,282,138' 1,282,138j Oil and Gas 351,887 351,8871 CIP Projects 1,466,442 400,785 1,065,657 GAS TAX FUND 2,274,721 716,334 1,558,387 MEASURE'M'FUND 2'DR,665 1y005,580 1,056,62N Subtotal Other Funds 7,436,793 2,122,699 5,314,094i TOTAL 109,033,339 10,250,567 101,482,025 Source: ADE, Inc., based on City of Newport Beach, Ftscalyazr 2002.03 BudgetLWad- . [a] Includes public Works, General Services and Ut ides. REVENUE AND COST CALCULATIONS BY LAND USE Major Revenues The major revenue categories of property tax, sales tax, transient occupancy tax ('TOT) and business license tax were allocated among the various land uses based on actual 2001 data provided by the City Revenue Division. Each of these revenues and how they were distributed across land uses is described below. Property Tax In general, the City receives about 17 cents of every property tax dollar paid by property owners within the city's boundaries. The distribution of property tax revenue across the various land uses was based on an analysis of assessed valuation (AV) data obtained from the Orange County Assessor. This data set includes over 29,000 records with detailed parcel information such as owner name and address, site address, valuation, and a set of land use codes used by the Orange County Assessor. The analysis involved sorting the data by land use and, in some cases, site address in is order to calculate the total assessed valuation by land use and then the local share of APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE? the property tax revenue. e The results of this analysis are summarized in the table below: TABLE 4 Assessed Valuation And Property Tax Estimates By Land Use Assessed Property Tax % of Land Use Category g ry Valuation Estimate Total (millions) (millions) Residential 15,740 29.31, 79.5% Office 1,697 3.16 8.6% Service Commercial 761 1.42 3.Ro I Light Industrial 690 1.28 3.5% Marine Industry 282 6.62 1.4% Lodging 236 0.44 1.2% Institutional 2066 0.38 1.06/0 Retail 192 0.36 1.0% Total 19,803 36.88 100% Source: ADE, Inc, based on data provided by the City of Newport Beach Revenue Division. Significantly, residential properties — which account for about 70 percent of developed land in Newport Beach - generate nearly eighty percent of the property tax for the City. At under 10 percent of property tax revenue, office development is a • distant second. Sales Tax The city receives one cent of every dollar spent within the city's boundaries on taxable products. Taxable transactions occur not only at retail stores, but at a wide variety of commercial locations throughout the city. For example, many taxable business -to -business transactions, in which products are sold to end users rather than to entities with resale permits, occur at office and light industrial locations. Examples of non -retail businesses that generate sales tax revenue in Newport Beach include parts manufacturers for marine vessels, food processing equipment distributors, landscaping product wholesalers, medical equipment suppliers, and software developers. In addition, many service commercial businesses generate sales tax by carrying products related to their service, such as beauty salons that sell shampoos and cosmetics. This category also includes auto rental firms. Large hotels also have G For properties within Newport Beach, the City receives approximately 17 percent of the one percent • property tax levy. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 8 • ancillary retail shops and food services that generate sales tax revenue. The marine category includes a number of sales tax generating businesses that are both retail and industrial in nature, including sales of new and used boats, marine fuels, and manufacturing and sales of boat parts. Finally, sales tax revenue that is attributed to the residential category is the result of taxable sales that occur at home -based businesses in Newport Beach.' The sales tax revenue that accrues to the city was distributed across the various land uses through an analysis of 2001 sales tax data provided by the Revenue Division! TABLE 5 Sales Tax Revenue By Land Use Estimated Sales '/o of Land Use Category Tax Revenue Total (1,000s) Retail 13,922,674 70.2% Office 1,938,437 9.8% gervice Commercial 1,438,043 7:20/o Marine Industry _ _ 978 688 _ 4.9% Light Industrial 892,789 4.5% Lodging 594,391 3.0% Residential 76,329 0.4% ; Institutional, • 0 0,0% Total 19,841,351 100% Source: ADE, Inc., based on data provided by the City of Newport Beach Revenue Division. Table 5 displays the results of the analysis of this important revenue source. Over 70 percent of Newport Beach's sales tax revenue is derived from retail establishments, and nearly 10 percent are from taxable transactions at office -based businesses. The remaining 20 percent is divided into the other categories as shown. 7 Sales taxes are distributed to cities based on the location of the point of sale, not the residency of the buyer. Thus, Newport Beach gets a portion of all the sales generated by Fashion Island and other retail businesses in the City, whether or not the customers are Newport Beach residents. Conversely, if residents shop outside the City, Newport Beach receives none of that sales tax. For this reason, residential uses generate sales tax revenue indirectly, through resident spending at Newport Beach businesses, as well as directly, through taxable sales at home -based businesses. 8 Annual audit report of Newport Beach sales tax prepared by NIBIA. All Newport Beach businesses that generate sales tax are assigned a State Board of Equalization (BOE) business code, which was the primary basis for the sales tax analysis. The data was cross-referenced with the other primary data . sourced used in the fiscal analysis for consistency. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 9 • It is important to note that the figures in Table 5 reflect the direct impact of each type of business, and not the indirect impact of their employees. For example, in the office category, the figures include only the actual sales taxes generated by office - based businesses. In addition, office employees spend money at retail establishments, which could be considered an indirect benefit of office development in Newport Beach. However, the analysis treats this revenue as the direct impact of the retail businesses, not the office businesses. Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT) The TOT, also known as the Hotel Bed Tax, accrues to the City at the rate of 9 percent of room charges (with an additional 1 percent going to the Newport Beach Conference and Visitors Bureau). The City separates TOT into two land use categories: lodging and residential. Newport Beach has several major hotels such as the Four Seasons and the Hyatt Newporter, as well as numerous smaller inns and motels. Altogether, these lodging facilities provide a total of about 2,600 guestrooms. In addition, there are approximately 625 seasonal vacation rental properties that also generate TOT if they are rented for less than a month at a time.' A detailed analysis of the Cit/ s 2001 TOT revenue is shown in Table 6 below. For • the current 2002-03 budget year, the City's is expecting this revenue source to decline somewhat and has projected revenues of about $7.45 million in TOT from hotels and motels/inns, plus $840,000 from vacation rentals. Business Licenses Total annual business license revenue is approximately $2.4 million according to the 2002-03 budget. Nearly half the business license revenues are derived from residential -based businesses and out of town businesses.10 Business license revenue from home -based businesses is about $358,000 (15 percent of the total), while out- of-town businesses generate about $685,000 (29 percent). Revenues from out-of- town businesses and in -town residential businesses are of particular benefit to the 9 Importantly, "timeshare" units, many of which already exist or are planned for development in the Newport Coast area, are not subject to TOT unless the timeshare operator rents the unit(s) on a nightly basis. io "Out of town" businesses are those that provide services in Newport Beach but have no permanent is physical or mailing address in the City DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 10 • Citybecause such businesses do not carry the same service costs that are associated with commercial locations within the City. The total amount of business license tax revenue from all commercial land uses within Newport Beach is approximately $1.7 million. These revenues were distributed among the various land uses based on SIC code. The full results of the analysis of the City's business license tax revenues are displayed in Table 7 below. TABLE 6 2001 Transient Occupancy Tax By Lodging Type Name Address Number of Rooms 2001TOT Amount Inns and Motels Newport Classic Inn 2300 Coast Hwy W 50 Newport Beach Inn/Best Western 6208 Coast Hwy W 46 BalboaTnn 105 3vIain St, Balboa CA 34 Newport Channel Inn 6030 W Coast Hwy_ 30 Bay Shores Inn 1800 Balboa Blvd. 24 Little Inn by the Bay 2627 Newport Blvd 18 Portofino Beach hotel 2306 Ocean -Front -Way 15 Dotyman's Oceanfront Inn 2102 Ocean Front West 10' Marriott Suites 500 Bayview Circle 250 Balboa Bay Club 1221 W Coast Hwy 123 • Subtotal, 600 $1r78b,42O1 Major Hotels Marriott Hotel & Tennis 900 Newport Center Dr. 570 The Sutton Place 4500 Macarthur Blvd. 435 'Hi ate Newpoiter '1107 ree Rd_ Jambo . ­ " 405 V Radisson Hotel 4545 Macarthur Blvd. 335 Four Seasons 690 Newport Center 295 Subtotal 2,040 $ 6,588,259 Vacation Rentals 625 Units $958,771 Grand Total 2,640rooms, $9,333,450 625 vac. rentals Source: ADE, Inc., based on data provided by the City of Newport Beach Revenue Division. is APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 11 TABLE 7 Business License Revenue By Land Use No. of Business Land Use Category Active License Tax % of Total Businesses Revenue Office 4,055 742,200 30.9% Retail 1,145 240,299 10.0% Service Commercial 951 210,064 8.7%, Light Industrial 630 112,668 4.7% Marine Industry 100 26,993 1.1% Institutional 85 18,417 0.8% Lodging 39 10,585 " 0:4% Subtotal 7,045 1L718,733 56:6% Residential -based 3,388 357,567 14.9% Out-of-town 4,174 684,641 28.5% Total 14,607 $2A M11ion 100% Source: ADE, Inc., based on data provided by the City of Newport Beach Revenue Division. Other Revenues All of the other recurring general fund revenues included in Table 13 were calculated based on employment and population factors, with the following exceptions: ❑ Franchise fees were estimated on a per capita basis (not including visitors, however), with the additional assumption that 60 percent of these revenues are generated by business uses and the remainder by residents." This split reflects the typical distribution of utility usage for a city like Newport Beach. ❑ Revenues categorized under "Use of Money or Property" in both the General Fund and the Tidelands Fund were categorized based on the nature of the activity associated with the revenue. A table summarizing each of these revenues is provided in Appendix B. City parking lot revenues were allocated to both public and commercial land uses based on the business types located in the ll Franchise fees are paid to the city by private companies that have contracts with the City to provide services such as gas, electricity, cable TV and solid waste disposal. The company that provides towing services for the Police Department also pays a franchise fee; however, these fees are included in the Lia-ims and Fermis category. The 60/40 split between non-residential and residential uses is based on analysis of franchise revenues in other California communities in lieu of specific data pertaining to • Newport Beach. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS 12 • vicinity of each lot, as well as their proximity to visitor -serving public areas such as the beaches. ❑ The Marine category also included an estimate of property tax revenue derived from boats that are moored in Newport Beach marinas. According to data provided by the Revenue Division, there are 3,535 boats from which the City currently receives unsecured property tax revenue. The total assessed valuation of these vessels is approximately $133 million. ❑ Interest income was estimated at a rate of 1.6% of all other revenues, based on the ratio of total interest income to all other revenues for the current budget year. Major Cost Categories In general, costs were calculated on a per capita basis as described in the next section, with the following exceptions or refinements: General Government • The General Government category, with a total budget amount of approximately $9.4 million, was allocated among the various land uses in proportion to each land use's share of all other expenditures. The underlying assumption of this approach is that general government services are essentially administrative overhead and a direct function of the costs of services provided by the City's various departments. Fire and Lifeguards Eighty percent of Fire Department costs (less the $2.7 million cost for lifeguards, which was wholly ascribed to public uses) were distributed on a per -capita basis; the remaining 20 percent of fire costs were allocated among the various land uses in proportion to their assessed valuation. This approach is based on information provided by the NBFD that indicates that, aside from the lifeguarding function, 80 percent of their activity is associated with responding to EMS calls and 20 percent is 'for fire fighting and prevention. Police The Police Department is organized into four divisions, in addition to the office of the Chief of Police: Traffic, Patrol, Detective and Support Services (Table 8). In order to estimate the distribution of police activities by land use category, we • reviewed police records on the types of services provided both citywide and by APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 13 • reporting district. Most of the Police Department reporting districts contain a mix of land uses. Therefore, in order to isolate the services provided to specific types of development, it was necessary to use a modified per -capita approach. Table 9 summarizes this analysis. TABLE 8 Police Department Budget 2003.2003 Division Budget Police Chief $1,387,010 Traffic Division $3,769,036 Patrol Division $12,106,233 Detective Division $5,295,066 Support Services $7,582,531 Total $30,139,876 Source: ADE, Inc., based on City of Newport Beach, Rndyav 2002.03 BudgzDetad In the left hand column of Table 9, the resident population, the average visitor population, and the number of employees by business type are presented. The • employment figures are further allocated to visitor -serving and non -visitor serving business activity. The total average "daytime population" in Newport Beach is 151,732, including all of these resident, visitor and worker groups.12 Of the total daytime population, residents comprise about 50 percent, visitors (on average) are 13 percent, workers serving visitors are four percent and the remaining workers are 33 percent. An important consideration in Newport Beach is the extent to which police services are related to visitor activity and visitor -serving businesses. As shown in Table 9, visitors represent 13 percent of the daytime population on an average basis,.but visitorship peaks heavily in the summer months. The change in demand for police services during the summer months may be expected to indicate the effect of visitors on police services overall. Table 10 shows five main types of police activity. calls for service, citations, crimes, arrests, and traffic accidents. The table shows the monthly average for each type of activity for the September to May (non peak) period and the June to August (peak) period. In every case, there is a measurable peak during the summer months. For example, calls for service are 28 percent higher during the 12 In actuality, some Newport Beach residents commute out of the city to work, but for the purposes • of standard fiscal impact methodology, the term "daytime' population includes all residents. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 14 • summer months while other citations are more than doubled. This peak effect, when measured against the annual service load, represents about 7 percent of total police activity (and more than 30% of non -vehicle code citations)." TABLE 9 Police Department Cost Analysis Per Capita Per Cap Traffic Patrol Detective Land Use Factors Share Division Division Division Other Total Percent Residential Pop. 75,662 48.4% $1,753,582 $5,939,544 $2,445,043 $4,295,384$14,433,553 47.9% Visitors 19,671 12.6% 216,564 995,136 580,341 759,260 2,551,301 8.5% Employees Visitor Serving 5,456 3.5% 161,216 823,471 480,205 620,652 2,085,545 6.9% Retail 3,317 2.1% 98,013 719,180 419,410 523,930 1,760,533 5.8% Lodging 2,139 1.4% 63,203 104,29i 60,M' 96,723 325,012 1:10%,, Non -Visitor Serving 55,.423 35.5% 11637,630 4,34&096 , 1,7891484 3,294,235 11,069,445 _ 36.7% Office 30,802 19.7% 910,134 1,631,296 671,252 1,361,164 4,573,846 15.2% Retail 7,740 5.0% 228,698 1,822,770 750,35_2 1,187,088 3,988,908 13.2% Industrial 11,332 7.3% 334,837 600,151 246,953 500,770 1,682,710 5.60/4 Service Commercial 3,039 1.9% 891796 160t948 661227 1542296 451,267 1.5 Marine 1,152 0.7% 34,039 61,011 25,105 50,908 171,063 0.6% Institutional 1,358 0.9% 40,126 71,921 29,594 60,011 201,652 0.7% Total Employment 60,879 39.0% 1,798,846 5,171,567 2,269,689 3,914,887 13,154,990 0 Total 156,212 100.0% $3,769,036 $12,106,233 85,295,066 $8,969,541$30,j39,879 100.00/q • Total Visitor -Serving 25,127 16.1% $377,780 $1,818,607 $1,060,546 $1,379,912 $4,636,846 15.4% Residential 46.5% 49.1% 46.2% 47.9% 47.9% Visitor -Serving 10.0% 15.0% '20.0% 15.4% 15.4% Business (non-Vis) 43.5% 35.9% 33.8% 36.7% 36.7% Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Source: Applied Development Economics, Inc Although not nearly in similar numbers, many visitors do come to Newport Beach during off-peak seasons. Business travelers alone represent 21 percent of total visitors to the city. Assuming their trips are more evenly distributed throughout the year, it is likely that visitors represent at least 6-8 percent of the average daytime population during non -peak months. Thus, the impact of visitors appears to represent about 13-15 percent of total police services." This is about the same as the 13 This calculation measures the additional incremental service load during the three summer months against what the service load would be for 12 months if there were no peak 14 With the exception of lifeguards, neither the Police Department nor the Fire Department add staff . during summer months to handle peak service demands. Existing staff are re -distributed to activities APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 15 • per capita share that visitors, plus visitor -serving employment, represent of the daytime population. TABLE 10 Analysis Of Summer Peak Demand For Police Services Monthly Averages Calls for Veh. Code Other Total Part 1 and Part Total Time Period Service Citations Citations Citations 2 Crimes la] Arrests Accidents Sep -May 4,253 1,595 278 5,612 538 306 117 Jun -Aug 5,433 1,854 674 7,208 739 431 150 Peak Effect 27.8% 16.3% 142.3% 28.4% 37.4% 40.7% 28.5% Peak as Percent of Annual 6.9% 4.1% 31.4% 7.1% 9.3% 10.4% 7.2% Source: ADE, Inc., based on data provided by Newport Beach Police Department [a] As defined by the FBI, Part 1 crimes are the 8 most serious crimes (homicide, forcible rape, robbery, aggravated assault, burglary, larcenTtheft, auto theft, and arson). Part 2 crimes are all other lesser offenses such as forgery, &mud, embezzlement, vandalism, prostitution, etc The following sections address the cost estimates for each division. Traffic Division: The Traffic Division includes the parking enforcement, animal control, accident investigations and other moving vehicle violations. (The Patrol • Division also issues vehicle code citations and responds to traffic related incidents). Based on the distribution of labor costs for parking enforcement, this function is estimated to require 21 percent of the Traffic Division budget. Parking enforcement records indicate that about 53 percent of this activity occurs in residential neighborhoods and 47 percent in commercial areas, and the parking enforcement costs have been attributed in this analysis accordingly. (parking meter revenue is attributed solely to business and public uses since few meters exist in residential neighborhoods). All animal control costs are attributed to residential land uses, about 11 percent of the Division budget. The remaining budget for the Traffic Division is distributed on the basis of estimated traffic generation in the City. Based on the land use mix in the City and the trip generation rates used in the General Plan Update traffic model, it is estimated that approximately 36 percent of all vehicle trips in the City are generated by that require more attention during the summer. Therefore, the annual averages are suitable indicators • of cost impacts on these departments. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 16 • residential uses, and 64 percent by business and public land uses.15 This is clearly an approximate split. There is some overlap between trips from residents to retail stores and employment centers and these figures do not account for through -traffic that is unrelated to land use in Newport Beach. However, the 36/64 percent split provides a reasonable basis for allocating the $2.56 million in non -parking and animal control enforcement costs for the Traffic Division. In the calculations, visitors were limited to 10 percent of total cost for this division, to reflect the lower effect on vehicle citations, as shown in Table 10. Patrol Division: This is the largest division and is responsible for maintaining beat patrols as well as responding to traffic incidents, enforcing traffic laws and responding to most other incidents or calls for service. The costs for this division have generally been allocated on a straight per capita basis, with one exception. Retail businesses on average tend to generate more police activity than do other kinds of businesses. Certain kinds of retail, such as restaurants and bars, generate a disproportionate amount of alcohol -related incidents. Retail shopping centers create more opportunity for burglary and theft. The effect of this activity can be seen in comparing the crime statistics for the Newport Center area and the Airport area. Both areas have approximately the same total employment, but the Newport Center • area has three times as many retail employees and a corresponding 20 percent reduction in other kinds of jobs. Yet the Newport Center area registers twice as many crimes and three times as many arrests as does the Airport Area. On a per - employee basis, the disparity between retail and other kinds of business activity is even greater. Therefore, in the analysis in Table 9, retail businesses are given a weighting of three times the per capita cost compared to other businesses. Overall, 49 percent of the cost of the division activities is distributed to residences, 15 percent to visitor -serving uses and 36 percent to other business and public uses. Looking at the land area distribution in the City, 52 percent of the area is devoted to residential uses, with 22 percent in business uses and 26 percent in open space. The per capita allocation fairly well represents the geographic coverage of the patrol function of this division. Detective Division: This division is primarily responsible for investigating non - traffic related crimes that occur in the City and also performs a number of crime is Trip generation rates were provided by Urban Crossroads, Inc., per a City of Newport Beach study. • ADE prepared the estimates of the distribution of total trips. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE • prevention and proactive criminal pursuit activities. In terms of the activities shown in Table 10, this division is most involved with investigation of the Part 1 and Part 2 crimes, as well as following up on arrests. Both of these activities show substantial increases during the summer peak months. Based on the peak effect figures in Table 10 and the additional visitor activity during non -peak months, 20 percent of the costs for this division have been allocated to visitor -serving uses, 46 percent to residences and 34 percent to other businesses. As with the Patrol Division costs, retail businesses are assigned a weighting of three compared to other businesses in the per capita cost calculations. Support Activities: The office of the Police Chief includes a number of functions such as community relations, legal affairs and crime prevention. The Support Services Division includes communications, records, fleet maintenance, personnel and a variety of other functions. All of these services and activities represent about 30 percent of the total Police Department budget, or 42.4 percent above the budgets of the other three divisions. The allocation of costs for this division has been treated as an overhead function based on the distribution of costs for the other divisions. Summary. As shown in Table 9, the total police cost allocation by land use works • out to about 47 percent for residential, nearly 25 percent for visitor serving uses and less than one-third for other business uses. Capital Improvement Program In addition to providing services, the City also incurs annual `capital outlay' costs associated with the provision of public improvements, on -going projects, and maintenance programs. The Capital Improvement Program (CIP) serves as a plan for meeting the City's long-term capital needs as well as ongoing maintenance activities. Projects in the CIP include the construction, repair, and maintenance of arterial highways and local streets; storm drains; bay and beach improvements; park and facility improvements; water and wastewater system improvements; and planning programs. The FY 2002-03 CIP, including rebudgets of revenue from prior years, totals $34.5 million and consists of over 150 projects.16 Funding for these projects comes from a variety of sources, including the General Fund, enterprise funds, grant programs such as CDBG, State subventions, etc. • 16 City of Newport Beach Capital Improvement Program, pg. I.17. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 18 As shown in Table 11 below, the four funds that are included in the fiscal analysis contribute a total of approximately $13 million to the 2002-03 CIF. However, since the fiscal analysis is intended to match revenues from the current fiscal year with current year's costs (and then distribute these costs and revenues by land use), funds that were rebudgeted from 2001-02 have been subtracted from the CIP appropriations as shown, resulting in approximately $7.9 million in net CIP expenditures for the current fiscal year. TABLE 11 2002.03 CIP Expenditures Included In Fiscal Analysis Total CIP Rebudget Net Appropriation Amount Appropriation General Fund - Streets 2,366,000 1,061,000 1,305,000 General Fund - Other 4,766,265 1,873,115 2,893,150 Tidelands Fund 1,466,442 400,785 1,065,657 Gas Tax Fund 2,274,721 716,334 1,558,387 Measure M Fund 2,061,605 1,005,580 1,056,025 Total 12,935,033 5,056,814 7,878,219 Source: ADE, Inc., based on City of Newport Beach, FL-d Ywr 2002.03 Capital hnpownanAugnVM These CIP expenditures that relate directly to traffic/circulation improvements — . including the street projects under the general fund and all of the Gas Tax and Measure M projects - were distributed across the various land uses on the basis of trip generation data cited in the discussion above regarding police costs for the Traffic Division. For the Tidelands Fund, those CIP expenditures that related directly to beach and other public uses (e.g. lifeguard towers replacement or pier repair) were attributed to the `public' category, while costs relating directly to boating activity (e.g. Balboa Yacht Basin Facilities) were attributed to the `Marine' category. The remaining Tidelands Fund CIP expenditures, as well as CIF spending under the General Fund that does not relate to traffic/circulation, was distributed across land uses on a per capita basis, as described in the discussion below. Per Capita Costs And Revenues In cases where specific information about the land use origin of certain revenues or costs could not be determined, we developed unit cost and revenue factors to apply to each land use. Unless otherwise indicated, the per capita factors shown in Table 12 are based on the three population segments which generate revenues (via spending on goods and services, payment of fees and fines, etc.) while simultaneously exerting demand for City services: residents, employees, and visitors. As described above in the police cost analysis, these groups comprise a total APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 19 • 0 constituency of approximately 156,000 persons. This estimate is based on the current population of approximately 76,000, plus a citywide employment estimate of 60,879, and an average of 19,671 daily visitors to Newport Beach.17 TABLE 12 Unit Costs And Revenues UNIT REVENUES Per Capita UNIT COSTS Per Capita ,c% rGl Motor Vehicle -in -Lieu $22.47 Public Works $59.98 Other Intergovernmental $10.01 Community Development $14.42 Charges for Service $54.21 Community Services* $109.61 Fines, Penalties, and Forfeitures $20.01 Licenses and Permits $2.39 Other Revenue $3.56 Gas Tax Fund* $19.26 Measure M Fund* $15.86 Source: ADE, Inc *Based on residential population only. 17 According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the City of Newport Beach had a population of 70,032 in 2000. The Resource Allocation Plan indicates a January 1, 2002 population of 75,662, which includes newly annexed Newport Coast and is the figure used in this analysis. The employment figures come from the California Employment Development Department (EDD), adjusted to include an estimate of self-employment (excluding home -based businesses) . The average daily visitors is based on estimates obtained from a 2001 study prepared for the Newport Beach Conference and Visitors Bureau, which indicates that there are 7.2 million visitors to Newport Beach annually. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE • ANALYSIS OF FISCAL IMPACTS BY LAND USE TYPE CITYWIDE SUMMARY Based on the current land use mix in the city of Newport Beach as described above, Table 13 shows the full results of the fiscal impact analysis, which are summarized below. This analysis represents the average, existing cost of services for existing land uses. The incremental cost to serve new development in Newport Beach may be different. Revenues ❑ Residential land uses generate about 80 percent of property tax revenues. ❑ Seventy percent of sales taxes, the second largest city revenue, are generated by retail uses. Table 14 provides a detailed summary of the fiscal impacts of the retail category. Eating and drinking places (i.e. restaurants) generate the most sales tax revenue (over $3 million per year) among the various retail categories • shown in Table 14. However, due primarily to the high employment associated with restaurants and the number of police incidents associated with some of these establishments, the net fiscal impact of eating and drinking places is slightly negative. Besides restaurants, the top retail categories in terms of the sales tax revenue produced are automobile dealerships, grocery stores, and department stores. Together, these three categories account for almost half of all the sales taxes, and all three also result in a significant fiscal benefit to the City" ❑ The remaining 30 percent of the CiVs sales tax revenues are generated by taxable transactions at Newport Beach businesses as follows: office (10% of sales tax revenues); service commercial (70/o); boat and marine equipment sales (50/6); light industrial (40/6); hotels (30/o); and home -based businesses (less than 10/o) (Figure 1). ❑ The transient occupancy tax equals about eight percent of revenues in the analysis and is primarily generated by lodging facilities in Newport Beach (i.e. to Approximately 65% of the net revenues from the retail land use category is derived from auto dealerships, grocery stores, and department stores (Table 14). APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 2• • n hotels and motels). However, residential properties which are leased as vacation rentals (of less than 31 days) also generate significant TOT revenue (nearly $1 million annually). ❑ Residential uses generate 40 percent of franchise fees and 100 percent of the motor vehicle in lieu subvention from the state. ❑ Other revenues are generated approximately in proportion to the population and employment supported by each land use. ❑ Overall, residential land uses create about 44 percent of the revenues. Retail uses generate 18 percent followed by office uses at 9.5 percent and lodging at 8.7 percent (Figure 2). FIGURE I Sales Tax Revenue by Land Use Type Hote6 tlYMlridutrk� a Nomo-buW Dulnen Dart i Marine Equlpmem M Swke CommcmW Rate" ]D% (FT=14) FIGURE 2 Grass Revenues by Land Use Home•beud BuYncu <S% NduaHY Scalar CemmrYY +°"'�"� Marine 5% RerldrntlY Costs ❑ Residential uses require about 48 percent of both police and fire department services, which constitute the largest expenditures for the City (followed closely by street and facility maintenance performed by the public works department). ❑ Retail businesses require about one -fifth of total police services, while public land uses, mainly the beaches serving visitors, require about 8 percent. Lodging facilities are estimated to require just one percent of total police services. ❑ The beaches and other visitor -serving public land uses require about 21 percent of fire department costs, primarily because of the City's lifeguard services. Net Impact ❑ In total, residential uses require about 51 percent of municipal services, while generating slightly less than half the revenue needed to operate city government. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 22 This results in an annual net cost for residential uses of about $6.7 million per year for Newport Beach. This is normal for most cities in California, and in fact is probably much worse in many other communities that do not enjoy the higher housing values found in Newport Beach. ❑ The lodging sector generates the largest net revenue, at $7.8 million, followed by the retail sector at about $7.1 million. ❑ The marine industry, including boat sales and manufacturing, generates about $2.7 million in net revenue, followed by service commercial uses at $1.8 million. ❑ Institutional uses essentially break even, contributing very modest net revenues. ❑ Industrial and office uses currently generate a negative impact ($1.5 million and -$5.1 million, respectively) due to their high employment, which adds to municipal costs. However, these uses also create jobs and income that contribute significantly to the city's economic base, as discussed in more detail below. ❑ Public land uses also reflect a negative impact due to the lack of direct revenues. However, this should be viewed in the context of the overall visitor impact as discussed below and summarized in Table 15. • As mentioned at the outset, the key point in this analysis is to identify how the mix of land uses in the City provides a balance of revenues to fund services for residents and businesses alike. Although the analysis indicates that residential, office, and industrial uses create a negative fiscal impact for the City, this one-dimensional view does not tell the whole story. Land uses within the City are linked economically and do not function in isolation of each other. In a broad sense, the city economy is driven by land uses that draw dollars into the community by selling goods and services to the outside world (see Figure 3). This includes hospitality and retail businesses that serve tourists, but office and industrial businesses generate an even larger share of the City's "economic base." These businesses' create jobs and incomes for people living in Newport Beach who in turn buy retail goods locally. As Figure 3 illustrates, while retail and visitor -serving businesses generate net tax revenue to help provide services to other land uses, particularly residential, those land uses ultimately generate the tax dollars by patronizing Newport Beach businesses. The primary goal, again, is to maintain a well-balanced land use mix that can support the level of services desired by residents and businesses alike. The following discussion focuses on certain prominent economic sectors in Newport Beach. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 23 Property Tax Sales Tax Transient Occupancy Tax Franchise Fees Business Licenses Motor Vehicle -in -Lieu Other Intergovernmental Charges for Senn • Fines, Penalties, and Forfeitures Licenses and Permits Use of Property Other Reyenue� Interest Income SUBTOTAL GENERAL FUND TIDELANDS FUND iLicenses,Perni(s, and -Fees Charges for Service Use of Money and Property STATEGASTAXFUND MEASURE9IUND • TOTAL REVENUE TABLE 13 Summary Of Fiscal Analysis Total Residential Office Retail Industrial 36,879,169 29,311,725 3,160,525 357,210 1,284,735 439,521 524,860 1,416,413 384,180 0 19,841,351 76,329 1,938,437 13,922,674 $92,789 594,391 978,688 -- 1,438,043 -- - 0 _ 0 8,298,C00 8'40,000 0 - 0 0 7,458,000 0 0- 0 0 d 2,347„625 963,878 723z649 239,587 266229 0 _ 27,065 ._ _ _ 95,313 _ _ 311904 2,377,807 357,507 742,200 240,299 112,668 10,585 26,993 210,064 18,417 12,807 1,700,000 1,570;193 1,700,000 763,778 0 367,762 0 f01,895 0 113,725 0 21,371 0 113f0 0 40;536 0 13,569 0 196,545 8,501,340 4,135,248 1,666,257 551,678 613,024 1151713 .6L3319 , . 219,470 , 71463 1,064,136 3,137,719 1,526,259 615,002 203,616 226,258 42,708 23,001 81,003 27,114 392,757 375,151 192,482 73,531 24,345 27,052 5,106 2,750 9,685 3,242 46,959 6284,188• 1,027,671 407,215 675,B& 154,480 53,747 _ 991,6S6 _ 51,-S53', 91;268 1,832;54i 732r651 271,254 109,101 36188 40T212 7,590 179,088 _ , , 14,196 4;819 69;800 1,420,769 646,827 153,141 257,015 58,634 137,501 44,436 56,207 10,184 56,824 92,466,063 41,802,359 9,897,050 16,610,063 3,789,305 8,886,234 2,871,767 3,632,484 658,160 3,672,373 1,153,o 0 0 51066 d - - - -- 0 S33,n00 ' 6 0 33,500 0 0 0 0 0 33,500 0 0 _ 0 _ 5,359,492 2,285,629 6 166,514 6 _ 0 997,896 61,800 110,000 1,797,754 1,472,496 1,472,496 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ 1,200,000 4,6 6 117,236 S42'040 53,996 35;949 54191 __ 86,972 0 GG 9,218,488 3,762,640 117,236 1,469,554 53,996 35,949 1,723,587 148,772 110,000 1,797,754 01.684.551 45,565,00010,014,287 18,078,617 32843,301 8,922,183 4,595,353 3,781,257 768,160 5,470,127 APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 24 TABLE 13 (continued) Summary Of Fiscal Analysis Service EXPENDITURES Total Residential Office Retail Industrial Lodging Marine Commercial Institutional Public GENERALFUND General Government 9,375,524 4,992,066 1,398,235 935,033 515,871 100,576 57,172 179,015 64,582 1,132,973 30,139,845 14,433,553 4,573,846 5,749,441 1,682,710 171,063 451,267 201,652 _ 2,551,301 _Police Fire 21;582,7bb 1'0,S'1Y,64T8 3297,912 1,019,002 1=,195 __325,012 252,287 _ 166,345 _ _ 540 6 '171,289 4i591,952 Public Works 20,389,453 9,876,089 42012,349 1,328,418 1,476,136 278,632 156,063 528,475 176,897 2,562,396' Community Development 2,252,731 1,091,161 443,305 146,770 163,691 30,785 16,580 58,30 19,544 283,107 0Community Services CIP- Streets 8,293,639 1560 006 8,293,639 475, 220 0 224,460 0 506,340 0 13,050 0 27,405 0 b,525 _ 0 _ 32,625 0 ' 6,525 0 13,050, Other ClP projects 2i893;141 1,401,358 569,328 188,495 209,455 39,536 211293 74,987 25,101 363,589 SUBTOTAL GENERAL FUND 96,232,099 50,880,533 14,519,435 9,873,40 5,286,506 1,054,233 589,040 1,864,894 665,590 11,498,367 TIDELANDS FUND HarborResourcesNvisfon 1,282,198 0 0 0 0 _ 0 1,2'82,138 0 - 6 - 0 Oil and Gas 351,887 0 0 0 0 0 0 '46,06' 0 0 351,88), _ CIP 1,065,05 404,495 152,146 50,373 55,04 f0,566 20,639 6,708 324,664 STATE GAS TAX FUND 1,558,388 567,253 268,043 6D4,654 15,584 32,726 7,792 38,960 7,792 15,584 MEASURE FUND SUBTOTAL OTHER FUNDS 1,056,024 5,314092 384,393 1,356,14E 181,636 6601,825 409,737 1,dA,7�i4 10,560 82118' , _ 22,177 65,469 5,280 1,33 -900 26,401 iW( 5,280 1`9,780 10,560 702,695 TOTAL EXPENDITURES 101,546:191 52,236,67415,121,260 10,938,263 5,368,626 1,119,701 1,924,940 1,950,294 685,370 12,201,063 NET(COST)IREVENUE 138360 (6671675) (5106973) 7140354 (1525325) 7,802,482 2,670,413 1,830,963 82,790 (6,730,936) • APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE25 • • TABLE 14 Retail Employment And Fiscal Impacts NAICS Description No. of Brunk; Percent Sales Tax Revenue Percent Other Revenue Costs Net Revenue Percent 4411 Automobile Dealers 613 5.5% 2,345,749 16.8% 219,505 619,895 1,945,359 29.0% 4412 Other Motor Vehicle Dealers 207 1.8% 616,017 4.4% 74,170 209,461 480,726 7.2% f 442 Furniture an&Home Furnlshings Stores 235 2.1% 520,694 3.7,0/o 84,258 _ _ 237,950 367,00Z 5.5% 4431 Electronics and Appliance Stores 148 1.39/. 174,080 1.3% 53,159 150,123 77,116 1.2% 4441 Building Material and Supplies Dealers 67 0.6% 59,919 0.4% 23,867 67,402 16,385 0.2% 4' 4442 Lawn& Garden Equipment and Supplies, Stores 25 0.2% 164,727 1,;% 9,041 25,531, 148,Z37 2.2% 4451 Grocery Stores 786 7.1% �1,828;051 13,1°k 281,343 794,528 1,314,86fi 19i6N° _ _ 99 0.9% 69,680 0.5% 35,439 100,082 5,037 0.1% 4452 Specialty Food Stores 4453 Beer, Wine, and Liquor Stores 24 0.20/0 68,566 O.S% 8,679 24,510 52,735 0.8% V 4461 R Health and Personal'Care Stores 419 3.8% 314,269 2.3% 150,074 423,816 40,526 061 N 4471 Gasoline Stations 115 1.0% 500�0,0114 3.6%, g1,225 ^ 116,422 924;614 6.3% 574 µ 5.2/. -700,350 5.0% 205,402 580,067 325,685 4.9% 4481 Clothing Stores 4482 Shoe Stores 21 0.2% 58,350 0.4% 7,594 21,446 44,498 0.7% 4463 Jewelry,'Luggage, and Leather Goods Stores 130 1.2% 184,697 1.3% 46;649 �131,741 99,606 1.5% L_ 4511 Sporting Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores 89 0.8% 186,6� 18 1.3% 31,823 89,869 128,571 1.0% 4512 Book, Periodical, and Music Stores 88 0.8% 112,427 0.8% 31,461 88,848 55,040 0.8% 4521 Department Stores and Other General Merchandise 1,295 11.7% 1,989,761 14.3% 463,601 1,309,235 1,144,126 17.1% 4531 Florists 59 0.5% 40,504 0.3% 20,974 59,232 2;246 0.0% f' 4532 Offlce Supplies, Stationary; and Gift Stores 144, _ 1.9% I 104;900 0:8% $11712 146,031 10,1 4 p.2°LL° 4533 Used Merchandise Stores 24 0.2% 26,120 0.2% 8,679 24,510 10,289 0.2 0 4539 Other Miscellaneous Retailers 194 1.0% 655,425 4.6% 69,412 196,023 ' 528,814 8.0% �'-8,1%d 722 a Eadng and Drinking Places _ 5,77 552.2°/a52.2°/a 3,226,259' 23.2% 2;067,038 58,37,432 -544,335 Total 11,057 100.0% 13,922,674100.00/a 3,959,774 11182625 6,699,823 100.0% Source: California Economic Development Department, California Board of Equalization, and Applied Development Economics APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 26 • • Figure 3 Economic and Fiscal Relationships in Newport Beach u �Worker_.'earnings =from biresses µ6ii6RIENewpotEBeach== Purchase Newport Beach products and services ♦ Net Tax Dollars for5ervices lobs& Net Tax Dallas M-....._. Income for Services Regional $ Shopping trseach I Households Income !— local Purchases lobs& Net Tax Dalian Income for Services Low[ _1 Purchases APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS Visitor Spending Jobs & Income Net Tax Dollars for Services r Business to Business Transactions and Visitor Spending i h I PAGE 27 J • TABLE 15 Fiscal Impact Of Visitors In Newport Beach REVENUES Total Residential Office Retail Industrial Lodging Marine Commercial Institutional Public rcucom mimn Property Tax 1,273,612 Sales Tax 4,771,193 Transient Occupancy,Tax 80-9,000 Franchise Fees 79,757 Business Licenses 99,078 Motor Vehicle•in•Lieu 0 'Other Intorgovemmental 248,486 Chargesforgervlce 1,37 1@ Fines, Penalties, and 509,029 Forfeitures Licenses and Permits 59,368 UseofProperty 2,490,233 OlherRaton ua 90,467 Interest Income 303,149 SUBTOTAL GENERAL FUND 19,591,535 TIDELANDS FUND Licenses, Permits, and Fees 520;000 ,Charges for Service 33,500 l ten M Mnnov and PrnnaMv 1,188,814 TOTAL REVENUE 726,928 0 107,163 0 439,521 0 0 0 0 0 0 4,176,802 0 594,391 0 0 0 0 _ 840,000 6 0 0 7,458,000 6_ 0 6 0 7,881 0 71',876 0 0 _ 0 _ 01 0 0 0 0 72,090 0 10,595 0 0 6 6,403 0 0 0 0 0_ 0 0 0 0 0 6 36,'0 0 21,372 -6 0 0 196,545 33810 0 165,503 115i713 _ _0 _ _0 _ 0 12064,1313 12,479 6 61,085 _ __0' 0 42,708 0 0 0 392,757 0 0 7,303 0 5,106 0 0_ 0 46,959 6 0 $67,556 0 53;747 120,036 _ 5f,353 6 1,597,54'1 2�218 0 10,856 0 7,,590 0 0 0 69,803 25,513 0 84,411 0 137,501 1,80 il& 0 53,030 1,648,829 0 5,455,215 0 8,886,234 121,923 52,160 0 3,427,175 0 6 520,006 0 ' 0' jd 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33,500 _ 0 0 0 0 0 98,900 0 0 37,410 61,806 0 990,704 12,015 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 .0 0 252;612 0 0 0 0' _ 0 tents 0 _ 871.512 _ _ _35;949 6 35.949 _ 70.910 _ _ 61,80 0 0 99004 APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 28 • TABLE 15 (continued) Fiscal Impact Of Visitors In Newport Beach EXPENDITURES Total Residential Office Retail Industrial Lodging Marine Commercial Institutional Public GENERALFUND General Government 1,584,400 66,292 6 284;559 0' T00;576i 6 0 0' 0 ._ _ 0' 6 1,f32,973 2i551,301� Police 4,925,517 288,671 0 1,760,533 _ 0 325,0012 _ _ _ _ _ Fire 5,286,946 137,006 0 305,701 0 252,287 0 0 0 4,591,952 Public Works 3,320,967 81,414 0 398,525 0 278,632 0 0 0 2,562,396 Community Development 366,917 8,995 0 44§31 0 3085 0 0 6 283,f07 community Services 68,369' 68,369 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 CIP • Streets 204,129 11,772 6 151,062' 6 27,405 0 0 0 13,050 Other CIP Projects SUBTOTAL GEAERAAL FUND 15,553,117 11,552 650;747 0 0 56,548 2,793,3%(9 0 0 39,536 987,291 _ _0 �0 _ 0 0, _ 0 0 363,589 31,121,729 TIDELANDS'FUND HarhorResourcesDivision 0 0 0 0 6 6 _ 0 0 _ 0 0 Oil and Gas 351,887 0 0 0 0 - f5,ff2 _ 0 0 0 f0,5r 0 0 _ 0 0 0 0 351,887 324,664 CIF 353;429 3;087 STATE GAS' FUND 243,763 14,0V 0 181,396 0 32�726 0 0 '0 15,584 MEASURE M FUND 165,184 9,526 0 M,921 6 22,177 0 0 0 16,566 enarnrnr nruracuerne 1114.263 26.670 0 319.429 0 65,469 0 0 0 702,695 APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 29 • HOSPITALITY AND VISITOR SECTOR According to a recent report presented by the Newport Beach Conference and Visitors Bureau, the city attracts about 7.18 million visitors per year, of which 81 percent are here on leisure trips.19 Of this number, 86 percent are day visitors, 7 percent stay in local hotels and the balance stay in private homes. About 64% of the visitors reported visiting the beaches during their stay. This would amount to about 4.6 million visitors, or an annual average of 12,500 per day. During the peak summer season, this average figure climbs to 100,000. Non -beach goers likely include many business travelers and other Southern California residents coming to Newport Beach to shop. From an economic standpoint, visitors bring substantial income to Newport Beach. Visitors spend an estimated $1 billion in the city each year, of which about $449 million are retail purchases and $83 million are lodging expenses. These two categories of spending alone generated about $4.8 million in sales taxes and $8.3 million in Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT) for the City budget in 2001. Visitors generate other revenues as well, including indirect business license and property taxes, revenues from use of public property, and others. Table 15 summarizes the comprehensive revenues and cost impact on local government by visitors to • Newport Beach. Overall visitors generate about $21.6 million per year against $16.7 million in service costs. The service costs include $4.9 million in police services, $2.7 million for beach lifeguards included in the fire department budget, as well as other emergency medical calls made by the fire department. The net positive fiscal impact of visitor business activity in Newport Beach, then is about $4.9 million per year, not counting the net fiscal benefit of the marine industry, discussed below. These are revenues that contribute toward City services provided to residents and businesses in the community. 19 CIC Research, Inc. Pmfrleof Kuiton to Neupmt &dor FY2001. November 16, 2001. For purposes of the study, visitors were defined as persons who lived outside of Newport Beach and were not in the City for purposes of daily employment. About 18 percent of the survey respondents live in Orange or Los Angeles counties. An additional 15 percent live in Riverside or San Bernardino counties. Overall, about 8 percent listed shopping as the main purpose of their trip to Newport Beach. Although this is not broken down by place of origin, it is likely that many of the visitors from elsewhere in Southern California come to Newport Beach solely for shopping and would not be considered "tourists" in the • commonly understood meaning of that term. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE • MARINE INDUSTRY As noted above, marine industries in Newport Beach, which include marina slip rentals, boat sales, chartered vessels for events and sport fishing, boat repair, and boat maintenance and manufacturing, account for over 1,000 jobs and generate nearly $2.7 million in net revenues This positive fiscal result is largely due to property tax derived from boats moored in Newport Beach matins, sales tax generation among boat dealers and other marina -related businesses, a marine charter fee, and lease income from coastal property owned by the State of California but that the City operates as the State's trustee. For purposes of the fiscal analysis we have included the City's Harbor Resources Division in the costs associated with this industry. However, as noted above, there is significant overlap between the marine industry and the hospitality industry. The marine industries that manufacture, sell, and service the boats have undergone a significant transformation in the past twentyyears. There are issues today about the continued viability of the marine industry in Newport Beach that should be recognized in the general plan update process. • Twentyyears ago, there were five to six major boat manufacturers in Southern California, and a number of smaller outfits. Since that time, all of the major manufacturers have left California, mostly to Florida. While a few of the smaller manufacturers remain, others have moved inland to Riverside County. This has largely been due to increased environmental regulation in California affecting fiberglass manufacturing processes, as well as real estate price inflation in coastal communities. There has been a consolidation among boat supply and servicing companies as well. As costs have risen, fewer firms are now serving the demand for specialty boat parts, and boat repair and servicing. Those that do not have to be on the water have moved to inland locations. Some have found locations in the West Newport industrial areas, but many have gone further inland to the Costa Mesa, Huntington Beach, and Long Beach industrial areas, as well as locations in Riverside and San Diego counties and Mexico. Those businesses still in the industry report very strong demand for their goods and services. Although the total number of slips in Southern California is not growing dramatically, there is a lot of "move up" sales activity as existing boaters purchase • larger and more expensive boats that require a greater level of support and servicing. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 31 . Businesses throughout the industry have expressed concern about the real estate pressure on their locations near the water. This is an issue that continues to affect businesses leasing space, particularly in the Cannery and Mariner's Mile areas of town. As noted above, many businesses have moved inland and service boats in the harbor from more remote locations. If this issue reduces the availability of boat services in Newport Beach sufficiently, it may cause the consumer market in boats to shift as well to other locations. Currently, the city realizes significant sales and property tax revenues from boats and related industries. • 0 The indirect benefit of the boating industry could also be improved by increasing access for visiting boats to dock and launch facilities in Newport Harbor. This issue is complicated by the fact that over 90% of the harbor frontage is in private ownership. This leaves little opportunity for the City to increase the availability of public facilities. However, if private entrepreneurs could add to the available facilities, it would help increase the capture of visitor spending in Newport Beach on restaurants and other retail goods and services. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 32 PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS OF NEWPORT COAST FISCAL IMPACTS INTRODUCTION This chapter demonstrates how the fiscal model can be used to analyze future development in the City by presenting an example of existing and projected development in the Newport Coast area. The analysis primarily illustrates the distinction between marginal service costs and average service costs, which will be important in considering the impacts of future development in other areas of the City as well. Marginal costs represent the actual incremental costs of providing services to a new proposed development. In contrast, an average cost approach would treat the proposed development the same as existing development in the City and assume that the costs to serve it are similar on a per capita basis as the costs to serve all other development in the City. The analysis in the previous chapter is done on an average cost basis, because the intent is to show the levels of cost the City incurs to provide for the existing residents and businesses. The true marginal costs, on the other hand, can be either higher or lower than the average depending on the levels of available service capacity. This can be most easily illustrated with fire services, as the Newport Coast analysis shows. If the existing fire stations in the City can serve a proposed development, then the incremental cost of providing service is likely to be lower than the average since existing facilities, equipment and manpower can be used. If a new station is needed, then the marginal cost of that is likely to be higher than the average unless the development is so large that it supports the need for a fire station all by itself. As the City considers future development options in the General Plan Update process, the location of the development and the status of existing services at those locations will play a role in the fiscal impact analysis. PROJECT DESCRIPTION The land use data for the analysis is taken from the traffic model database for the year 2000 and the projection for the year 2025. The fiscal analysis evaluates the year 2000 as APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 33 • • the existing land use case and the year 2025 as full buildout of the area. As shown in Table 16, buildout is about double the development levels in the year 2000. The traffic model tracks non-residential development in terms of three employment categories: retail, services and other. It was necessary for us to make assumptions about the more specific business types this would entail in Newport Coast, as shown in the table. The assessed value estimates for both scenarios are based on residential unit values of $815,000 for single-family units and $600,000 for the condominiums. These values are based on a review of property tax data in the Newport Coast area, and are higher than the values obtained for the City of Newport Beach as a whole. TABLE 16 Newport Coast Development: Year 2000 and 2025 Year2000 Year 2025 Land Use Units Population Assessed Value Units Population Assessed Value RESIDENTIAL Single Family Condominium Apartment High Density Total Residential NON-RESIDENTIAL Office Retail 1,264 3,001 $1,030,160,000 3,063 7,378 $2,496,345,000 1,136 2,697 $681,600,000 1,763 4,223 $1,057,800,000 0 0 $0 0 0 $0 0 0 $0 0 0 $0 2,400 5,699 $1,711,760,000 4,826 11,601 $3,554,145,000 Sq. Ft. Employment 15,000 50 68,600 196 Sq. Ft. Employment $1,995,000 45,000 150 $5,985,000 $6,311,200 68,600 196 $6,311,200 Industrial 0 0 $0 0 0 $0 Lodging 150,000 250 $15,600,000 297,600 496 $30,950,400 Marine 0 0 $0 0 0 $0 Service Commercial 835,000 835 $100,200,000 1,329,000 1,329 $159,480,000 Institutional 100,000 100 $7,200,000 150,000 150 $10,800,000 Total Nan -Residential 1,168,600 1,431 $131,306,200 1,890,200 2,321 $213,526,600 COST ANALYSIS At the time of the annexation, City departments made estimates of expected service costs, both for the initial development levels and for ultimate buildout. In some cases the full service cost for buildout was funded initially, and in other cases the costs were deferred until further development occurs. This situation raises the opportunity to consider both the marginal cost of the initial annexation and the average cost of serving the area at full buildout. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 34 • Fire Protection Services Newport Coast has an existing fire station, designated No. 8 by the City, which was in place at the time of annexation. At that time, the City estimated the cost of operating the station at $1.39 million peryear.20 This is less than the average cost of operating other stations in Newport Beach, estimated at about $2 million, but more than the incremental per capita cost of adding the amount of development in Newport Coast in 2000. Since the City assumed operation of the station, we have shown $1.39 million as the cost of fire protection services in 2000 in Table 17. As Newport Coast develops further, the City's plan is to move the existing Station No. 5 in Corona del Mar further south to obtain better response times to Newport Coast as well as CdM. Thus, at buildout the City will serve Newport Coast from two stations. However, based on the amount of development at buildout and the fact that Station No. 8 would also serve development west of Newport Coast, the net cost effect would be approximately equal to the cost of one full station. This is estimated by the fiscal model at nearly $1.9 million (Table 18), not including the cost of moving Station No. 5. Therefore, the marginal cost of the initial annexation —at $1.39 million —was higher than • the average per capita cost would have been but, conversely, the marginal cost of completing buildout of the area —at $487,000—is much less than the average cost. Police Services In the case of police services, part of the departmental expansion needed to serve full buildout of the Newport Coast area was made at the time of annexation, and part was deferred until a later time. Specifically, the detective division received the entire complement of personnel needed to serve full development of the area", while the patrol and traffic divisions received an incremental increase that reflected immediate service demands at the time of annexation." In estimating the costs of service, the full detective division cost —estimated at 25 percent of the total police services cost —was included in Table 17, along with the incremental cost of the traffic and patrol division as estimated by the fiscal model. This results in a 20 Terry, Ulaszewski, Fiscal/Information Services Manager, Newport Beach Fire and Marine Department. 21 Captain Tim Newman, Detective Division Commander, Newport Beach Police Department 22 Captain Paul Henisey, Traffic and Patrol Division Commander, Newport Beach Police Department. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 35 • slightly higher cost for police services in Table 17, reflecting the year 2000, than would be commensurate with the amount of development alone. As with the fire services, the net increase at full buildout is accordingly less than it would be otherwise, estimated at $944,000 compared to nearly $1.7 million to serve about the same amount of development currently. • SUMMARY OF FISCAL IMPACT Overall, the analysis suggests that the year 2000 development generates about $770,000 per year in net revenues, while doubling the development to achieve full buildout would add another $1.1 million per year. Because the marginal costs of the annexation were higher than the average cost, the second half of buildout of the areagenerates 40 percent more in net revenue for the City than does the first half. Overall, Newport Coast does very well for the City —including the residential land uses at buildout—primarily because of the higher property values obtained in the area. APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 36 TABLE 17 Newport Coast Impact Year 2000 Revenues Total Residential Office Retail Industrial Lodging Marine Commercial aeIrne Institutional Public GENERALFUND Property Tax $3,133,213 $2,909,992 $3,392 $10,729 $0 Sales Tax 720,283 5,749 3J f7 246,798 0 Transient Occupancy Tax 1,046,603 6 0 0 0 Franchise Fees 105,712 72,(% 1,178 4,6ll 0 Business Licenses 55,591 0 1,942 7,614 6 ,Motor Vehicle-in-Ueu 128792 128,042 6 0 6- Other Intergovernmental 71,381 57,054 501 1,962 0 Cliarg-as for Service 386,471 308,903 - 2,716 10,624 6 Fines, Penalties, and Forfeitures 142,641 114,012 1,000 3,921 0 L_icen_ ses and Permits 17,054 13,631 120 10 0 _ Use of Property 241,183 192,775 1,691 6,630 0 Other Revenue 25,351 z0,263 178 6 _ Interesllncome 112 90 _ 1 _6.97 3_ -6 SUBTOTAL GENERAL FUND 6,073,036 3,822,516 15,859 294,065 0 TIDELANDS FUND Ucenses, Permits, and Fees 0 0 0 0 0 Charges for Service 0 - 0 0 0 0 Use o_f_Mon_ey_ Property 0 0 _ 0 _ _ 0- 0 _and ;OAS TAX - 137,343 109,777 963 3,776 0 MEASURE M 54,770 43777 384 1,506 0 SUBTOTAL OTHER FUNDS 192,112 153,554 1,347 5,281 0 $26,520 $0 $170,340 $12,240 $0 69,471 0 %J19 0 0 1,046,003 0 _ 0 6 0 5,889 0 19,668 2 355 6 9,712 6 32,438 3,995 0 6 6 0 0 0 2,503 6 8,360 1,001 0 13351 -6-- 45,262 5,421 0 5,002 0 16,705 2,001 0 598 0 1,997 239 6 8,457 6 28,246 3,383 0 889 0 2,969 356 6 4 0 13 2 _ 0 1,188,598 0 721,117 30,882 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4,816 6 16,085 1,926 0 - 1,920 0 6,414 768 0 6,736 0 22,499 2,695 0 APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 37 TABLE 17 (continued) Newport Coast Impact Year 2000 Expenditures Total Residential Office Retail Industrial Lodging Marine Service Commercial Institutional Public GENERALFUND General Government 452,745 375,990 2,272 16,979 0 11,153 0 41,590 4,761 0 Police 1,688,017 1,369,595 11,137 101,916 0 44S31 0 142,330 16,7'OS 6 Fire 1,390,000 1,124,915 7,764 28,033 0 34,891 0 176,110 18,287 0 _ Public Works 936,607 943,827 6416 255,583 6 32,631 0 108,988 'f3,052 - -0-Community Development 104818 82,182 721 2,827 0 3,605 0 12,642 1,442 6 Community §a ces 624,667 62-4,667 6 6 0 0- 0 6 0 6 CIP Streets 37,765 35,778 364 8,976 0 3,203 0 8,964 480 0 Other CIP Projects 152,048 105,545 926 3;630 6- 4,630 6 15,465- 1,852 0 _ SUBTOTAL GENERAL FUND 5,378,668 4,461,500 20,711 187,943 0 137,444 0 565,489 _ 56,581 0 TIDELANDS FUND Harbor Resources 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Oil and Gas 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CIP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GAS TAX 68,981 42,725 435 10,718 0 3,825 0 10,705 574 0 MEASURE M 46,745 28,952 295 7,263 0 2,592 0 7,254 389 0 SUBTOTAL OTHER FUNDS 115,726 71,677 730 17,981 0 6,417 0 17,959 963 0 TOTAL EXPENDITURES 5,494,394 4,533,177 30,441 205,925 0 143,861 0 523,447 57,543 0 NET (COST)IREVENUE $770,754 ($557,107) ($13,234) $93,421 $0 $1,051,473 $0 $220,169 ($23,967) $0 APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 38 TABLE 18 Newport Coast Impact at Full Buildout Revenues Total Residential Office Retail Industrial Lodging Marine Service Commercial Institutional Public GENERALFUND Property Tax Sales Tax Transient Occupancy Tax Franchise Fees Business Licenses Motor Vehicle -in -Lieu Other Intergovernmental Charges for -Service.- Fines, Penalties, and Forfeitures Licenses and Permits Use of Property Other Revenue Interest Income SUBTOTAL GENERAL FUND TIDELANDS FUND $6,405,042 $6,042,047 $10,175 $10,729 $0 $52,616 $0 $271,116 $18,360 $0 1,034 648 f1,703 9,446 146,798 0 137,570 0 628,9f8 6 0 ip,t6003 0 6 0 0 1,o46,603 0_ 0 0- 6 201,251 146 580 3,533 4,617 0 11,683 0 - - _ R S64 3,5533 0 90,165 0 5,827 7,614 0 19,268 0 51,628 5,827 0 266,695 266,695 6 0 0 6 0 - 0 0 0 139,383 116,146 1,502 1,962 0 4,966 0 13,306 1,502 0 754,64-9 628,837 $,131 10,624 _ 0 2'6,886 6 72,039 8,131 6 278,530 232,095 3,001 3,921 0 _ 9,923 0 26,589 3,001 6 33,301 27,756 359 469 6 1,186 0 3,f79 3-59 0 476,948 392,434 5,074 6,630 0 16,778 0 44,957 5,074 0 49,502 41,10 533 697 0 1,764 0 _ 4,725 533 0 10,175 124,154 _ 748 4,622 _ 0 20,886 6 18,638 728 6 10,933,252 8,023,650 48,322 298,683 0 1,349,789 0 1,165,759 47,048 0 Licenses, Permits, and Fees 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ Charges for Service 0 - 0 ---0 0 0 --�- o -0- - - -- 0 -- 0 0 Use of Money and Property 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 0 GAS TAX 89,117 89,1-17_ 0 0 0 T 0 0 0 0 0 _ MEASURE M 106,947 89,117 _ _� 1,152 1,506 6 _ _ 3,810 0 10,209 1,152 0 SUBTOTAL OTHER FUNDS 196,064 178,234 1,152 1,506 -0 3,810 0 10,209 1,152 0 TOTAL REVENUE 11,129,316 8,201,884 49,475 300,189 0 1,353,599 0 1,175,969 48,200 0 APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 39 0 TABLE 18 (continued) Newport Coast Impact at Full Buildout Expenditures Total Residential Office Retail Industrial Lodging Marine"""` Institutional Public Commercial GENERALFUND Police 2,632,223 2,213,648 2P,274 16016 6 .75,365 6 197,346 22;274 0 Fire 1,977,786 1,581,931 16,089 19,365 0 47,820 _ 0 193,632 18,949 0 Public Works 1,817,161 1,514,214 19,579 25,583 d 64;74b 6 173,467 19,579 d Community Development 200,769 167,298 2,163 2,827 _ 0 _ 7,153 0 19,166 2,163 0 Community Services 3,271,640 1,271,6i40 0 0 0 6 6 0 0 6 _ CIP Streets 104,245 72,833 1,093 8,976 0 _ 6,355 0 14,267 721 0 Olher&Pmjects 247,844 114,858 2,778 3,616� 6 9,186 -6 24,614 Z71 6 _ SUBTOTAL GENERAL FUND 9,046,335 7,861,228 70,793 179,275 0 _ _ 232,746 0 688,687 73,605 _ 6 TIDELANDS FUND Harbor Resources 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Oil and Gas 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CIP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GAS TAX 124,486 86,975 1,305 10,718 0 7,589 0 17,038 861 0 MEASURE M 84,357 58,938 885 7,263 0 5,142 0 11,546 583 0 SUBTOTAL OTHER FUNDS 208,842 145,913 2,190 17,981 0 12,731 0 28,583 1,444 0 TOTAL EXPENDITURES 9,255,177 7,947,141 72,983 197,257 0 245,477 0 717,270 75,049 -6- NET (COST)/REVENUE $1,874,139 $254,743 ($23,509) $102,932 $0 $1,108,123 $0 $458,698 ($26,849) $0 APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 40 • GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT Buildout of the existing General Plan would maintain an overall positive fiscal balance for the City, in terms of annual operating costs and revenues. As summarized in the Table 19, the City s housing units, population and total employment would all grow about 16 percent. However, within these broad averages are some important variations. TABLE 19 Growth Rates 2002 - Buildout PERCENT VARIABLE GROWTH Occupied Single -Family Dwelling Units 3% Occupied Multi -Family Dwelling Units 25% Total Occupied Dwelling Units 16% Group Quarters Population 0% Population 16% i Employed Residents 16% y Retail Employees 24% • Service Employees 16% Other Employees 10% Total Employees 16% Elementary/High School Students 1% Lodging Rooms ig% Future residential growth is projected to focus heavily on multi -family development, which will tend to shift the tax base to slightly lower cost housing. However, as noted in the analysis of Newport Coast, housing prices for all types of units in Newport Beach are rapidly reaching levels that can generate sufficient property tax to support public services. For the buildout analysis we assumed a modest 5 to 10 percent real growth in housing prices, which had a marked positive effect on the net cost of residential uses as shown in Table 20. Within the employment figures, the buildout projection shows higher growth for retail and lodging employment, at 24 percent and 19 percent, respectively. As discussed in the earlier section of this report, these two business sectors are particularly strong net revenue generators. Along with the growth in hotels rooms and regional population, we have assumed a 20 percent growth in visitors to Newport Beach over the 20 to 25 years time period needed to achieve buildout. The increased visitors add sales tax and transient occupancy tax (TOT) to the City's revenues but would also increase costs for police • protection and emergency response among others. We have not assumed, however, a APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 41 commensurate increase in the marine industry or the number of boats moored in Newport is Harbor. The general plan buildout projection does not include additional marina berths, and as discussed earlier, some elements of the marine industry are under pressure from rising real estate prices and may not be able to expand readily in Newport Beach. l_ J E As shown in Table 20, the individual land uses perform about the same as in the existing land use scenario earlier, but the total net revenue is higher as a percent of revenue due to the increased proportion of sales tax, TOT tax and property tax from residential units. The analysis also includes the assumption that City would see increased revenues from the use of public property, as uses on these sites intensify to serve the increased resident and visitor population. It should further be noted that this analysis only addresses the annual costs of providing services and does not include any capital costs or improvements to public facilities needed to support the growth in the buildout projection. Due to the long time frame (20-25 years) to achieve buildout, we have not attempted to estimate the marginal costs of expanding or upgrading city facilities. As these costs are identified through subsequent analysis in the General Plan Update process, a discussion of financing for public improvements will be included in the fiscal analysis. APPLIED DEVELOP) TABLE 20 Fiscal Impact of Existing General Plan Buildout REVENUES Total Residential Office Retail Industrial Lodging Marine Commercial Institutional Public GENERALFUND Property Tax 44,455,553 Sales Tax 23,850,491 Transient Occupancyiax 9,863,350 Franchise Fees _ 2,779,920 Business Licenses 2,752,379 MotorVehicle4n•Lieu 1,970,612 Otherintergovemmental ' 1;824,956 Chargesfar Service: 9�88Q680 Fines, Penalties, and Forfeitures 3,646,813 Licenses and Permits 436,019 Use of Property 6,234,562 Other Revenue 823,130 Interest income 1,694,369 SUBTOTAL GENERAL FUND 110,212,634 TIDELANDS FUND licenses; Permits, and Fees 11X 303 �chari;2 forService 33,500 Use of Money and Property 6,248,790 STATEGASTAXFUND 1,689,510 _ MEASURE M FUND 1;453,263 35,821,978 3,768,367 444,014 1,286,946 524,349 524,860 1,631,708 88,479 2,312,702 17,125,217 910,645 709,108 978,688 1,725,652 965;756 0 6 0 8,107,394 6 0 1,108,,179 863,368 297,781 271,554 59,952 27,065 114,376 414,408 885,501 298,665 114,921 12,628 26,993 252,077 1,970,612 0 0 0 0 0 0 878123 367,184 _UZ2 644' 115,490 25,497 11,510 48,643 4,754,333 1,9%OM 685,676 625,284 138,045 62,319 263,364 1,754,754 733,744 253,073 230,783 50,951 23,001 97,204 209,801 87,728 30,258 27,593 6,092 2,750 11,622 1,191,404 __ 472,369 837,689 157,570 9,49-6 1,1'49,625 _ 56,488 311;864 130,405 44,977 41,016 9 O55 179,088 17;276 777,497 182,460 316,596 59,437 164,986 46,928 66,299 50,247,18811,791,833 20,460,590 3,841,238 10,662,553 3,032,828 4,284,709 0 b 646,303 0 0 633,000 --0- 0 0 6 0 0 33f500 0 2,651,212 0 132,077 6 0 1,157,559 _ _ 67,980 1,689,510 0 0 0 0 0 0 5,307 139,872 1;046;5 55,077 42,887 59;191 104,367 453,332 0 0 0 "o 6 37,,_647 0 21,732 14,566 0 0 16,011 235,855 86,687 1,276,964 31,995 471,309 3,825 56,350 105,871 2,199,049, 5,686 83,763 11,099 68,176 774,775 4,406,027 0 0 127,600 2,114361 0 0 0 0 TOTAL REVENUE 120,917,000 54,59391811,931,704 22,285,534 3,896,31410,705,440 4,916,078 4,457,056 902,375 6,518,388 APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE43 TABLE 20 (continued) Fiscal Impact of Existing General Plan Buildout EXPENDITURES Total Residential Office Retail Industrial Lodging Marine Commercial Institutional Public GENERALFUND General Government 10,977,855 5,804,127 1,666,611 1,161,960 525,374 113,698 57,172 213,326 76,019 1,359,569 Police 35,450,255 16,731,187 5,456,944 7,145,927 1,716,364 387,739 171,063 541,520 237,949 3,061,561 Fire _ 25,300,159 12,11'3,389 3,920,645 1,264,891 L 3,53-6 245,531 166,345 635,51 _ 200,446 5,510,342 Public Works 23,792,259 11,448,233 4,787,035 1,651,079 1,505,659 332,408 150,063 634,170 208,738 3,074,875 Community Development 2,628,691 1,264,859 528,996 182,420 166,353 36,726 16,580 70,066 23,062 33%M community Services 9,613,878 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ CIP- Streets _9,613,878 1362;806 550,637 267,798 629,325 13,311' 32,694 63B 39,150 7,700 15,666 _ OthergIPPrjects _ 3,375,979 1,624,436 679,252 234,278 213,fM 47,167 _ 21,293 89,985 _ 29z619 _ 436,306 SUBTOTAL GENERAL FUND 112,701,876 59,150,747 17,307,180 12,269,880 5,384,240 1,195,962 589,040 2,223,233 783,553 13,798,041 TIDELANDS FUND 0 HarborResourcesDivisio6 _ 1,2824138 -0 -66 -_ 0- 6 1,282,138 6 0 _ 6 Oil and Gas_ _ 422,264 0 0 0 0_ 0 0 0 0 422,264 CIP 1,244,962 468,885 __ 181,521 62,608 __ _ 57,094 _ _ 12,605 _ _ _ _ 46,690 _ 24,047 _ 7,915 389,597 STATEGASTAXFUND 1,866,244 657,552 319,796 751,519 15,896 39,042 7,792 46,752 9,195 18,701 MEASURE M FUND 1,264,639 445,583 216,705 509,258 10,771 26,457 5,280 31,681 6,230 12,672 SU TOTALOTHERFUND3 6,080,248 1,572,021 718,022 1323385 83J60 78,104 1,335,9 00 102,481 23,340 843,234 TOTAL EXPENDITURES 118,782,124 60722,76818,025,20213,593,265 5,468,001 1,274,066 1,994,940 2,325,713 806,893 14,641,275 APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 44 • 0 APPENDIX A LAND USE DEFINITIONS BY SIC AND NAICS SIC DESCRIPTION NAICS DESCRIPTION INDUSTRIAL 01 thin 09 Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishing 15 thin 17 Construction 20 thin 39 Manufacturing 40 thru 49 TCPU 50 — 51 Wholesale RETAIL 52 Building Materials and Garden Supplies 53 General Merchandise Stores 54 Food Stores 55 Automobile Dealers and Service Stations 56 Apparel and Accessory Stores 57 Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores 58 Eating and Drinking Places 59 Miscellaneous Retail OFFICE 60 Depository Institutions 61 NondepositoryInstitutions 62 Security and Commodity Brokers 63 Insurance Carriers 64 Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service 65 Real Estate 67 Holding and Investment Companies 73 Business Services 80 Health Services 81 Legal Services 87 Engineering and Management Services SERVICE COMMERCIAL 72 ' Personal Services 75 Auto Repair, Services, and Parking 76 Miscellaneous Repair Services 78 Motion Pictures 79 Amusement &Recreation Services INSTITUTIONAL 82 Educational Services 83 Social Services 84 Museums, Botanical, Zoological Gardens 86 Memberships Organizations 91 thru 97 Public Administration 11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing 21 Mining 22 Utilities 23 Construction 31-33 Manufacturing 42 Wholesale Trade 48.49 Trans and Warehousing 44-45 Retail Trade 722 Food Service & Drinking Places 52 Finance and Insurance 53 Real Estate 54 Professional, Scientific, &Technical Services 621.623 Health Care 51 Information 561 Administrative and Support Services 81 Other Services 71 Arts, Entertainment' and Recreation 51213 Motion Picture & Video Exhibition 61 Educational Services 624 Social Assistance APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 45 LAND USE DEFINITIONS BY SIC AND NAICS SIC DESCRIPTION NAICS DESCRIPTION MARINE 2394 Mfg Of Canvas &Related Products 441222 Boat Dealers, New and Used 2499 Miscellaneous Wood Products Mfg 713930 Marinas 3663 Mfg Of Radio & TV Communications Equip 334220 Marine Radio Comm Equip Mfg 3731 Slip Building & Repairing 336612 Boat yards (Le. boat mfg facilities) 3732 Boat Building & Repairing 811490 Boat, Pleasure, Repair & Maim Services 3993 Mfg Of Signs & Advertising Specialties 713990 Boating Clubs w/o Marinas 4422 Coastwise Transportation - Water 4469 Miscellaneous Water Transportation Services 4489 Water Passenger Transportation 4491 Marine Cargo handling 4492 Towing & Tugboat Service 4493 Marinas 4499 Yacht Maintenance 5063 Electrical Apparatus & Equipment 5091 Sporting&Recreation Goods & Supplies 5099 Miscellaneous Durable Goods Wholesalers 5146 Fish &Seafood 5551 Boat Dealers 7699 Miscellaneous Repair Services LODGING • 7011 Hotels & Motels 721 Accommodation GOVERNMENT '=z, ° wSiJiare NA Not vrdrrdaias ca&M in Bris Lic File NA camks, a umity yofdyrtBaxNAICrb darnf' talmro a urriety of din en NAI LS cixla 0 DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE46 APPENDIX B DISTRIBUTION OF `USE OF PROPERTY' REVENUES BY LAND USE GENERALFUND Properties Residen Office Retail Lightlnd. Lodging Marine Service Inst. Public ioiai Visitor -Serving 0 0 667,556 0 53,747 120,636 51,353 0 1,547,5412,490,232 W.J. Carden Telescopes 2,000 2,000 Temp. Slip rentals 1,500 1,500 Galley cafe 20,000 20,000 Orange Co. Dock 40,000 40,000 Garages 36,096 36,096 Pay Telephones 25,000 25,000 CDM Concession 90,000 90,000 Misc. Concessions 2,600 2,600 Parkina Meter Income 344,249 28,573 41,751 26,236 767,5671,208,376 YG�YV„ YV� v+v,vvv Balboa Yacht Basin 806,520 806,520 Basin Marine Shipyard 60,000 60,000 Electricity 10,000 10,000 Heritage Yacht Brok. 8,000 8,000 Balboa Yacht Club 4,500 4,500 Apartments 27,072 27,072 Intercity Bus Shelters 60,000 60,000 City facility Fees 55,000 55,000 OASIS 108,000 108,000 Library facility 2,000 2,000 Parking Motor Income 216,481 82,124 48,520 347,124 City Parking Lots 190,734 72,357 42,749 305,840 Marinapark 350,000 350,000 APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 47 • TIDELANDS FUND Properties Res Office Retail Light Ind. Lodging Marine Service Inst. Pub. Total Visitor -Serving 0 0 98,900 0 0 37,410 61,800 0 990,704 1,188,814 W J Carden Telescopes 1,800 1,800 Temp. Slip rentals 1,410 Galley cafe 20,000 Garages Orange Co. Dock 36,000 Balboa Island Ferry Balboa Pier Conc. 50,000 Newport Pier Conc. 25,000 Harbor Bait Barge 3,900 Balboa Em 40,704 1,410 20,000 40,704 36,000 60,000 50,000 25,000 3,900 950,000 ------------ - - Amer. Legion 110,000 110,000 Beacon Bay 650,000 650,000 Balboa Yacht Basin 900,486 900,486 Basin Marine Shipyard 60,000 60,000 Electricity 7,050 7,050 Bayside Yacht Sales 7,614 7,614 Apartments 30,528 30,528 Balboa Bay Club 1,605,000 1,605,000 •Petroleum Royalty 750,000 750,000 Sale of gas 50.000 50,000 APPLIED DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS PAGE 48 0 RESOLUTION NO. 2003. 20 A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH ADOPTING AN ATTENDANCE POLICY FOR THE GENERAL PLAN ADVISORY COMMITTEE WHEREAS, at its meeting on March 25, 2003, the City Council considered the importance of regular attendance of members of the General Plan Advisory Committee during the General Plan Update process, and recommended the adoption of an attendance policy. NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED that the City Council of the City of Newport Beach hereby adopts the following attendance policy for the General Plan Advisory Committee: Section 1. If a member of the General Plan Advisory Committee is absent from (3) three meetings within one year, this fact shall be reported to the Mayor so that replacement of the appointee can be considered. ADOPTED this 25th day of March, 2003. 1* "04 "Steven Bror&erg MAYOR 61 ATTEST: PO CITY CLERK $ a` �r �41 FORS CJ I08 FUTURE GPAC/GPUC AGENDASS/1/O3 DATE GPUC GPAC MAY 12, 2003 a) Fiscal Impact Analysis of existing development b) Review of EIP Contract c) Appointment of GPAC member a) Attendance Policy b) Fiscal Impact Analysis of existing development JUNE 9, 2003 Local Coastal Program JUNE 23, 2003 Housing Element JULY 7, 2003 a) Biological Resources Report b) Hazards Report JULY 21, 2003 AUG. 11, 2003 AUG. 25, 2003 SEPT.8, 2003 SEPT. 22, 2003 OCT. 13, 2003 OCT. 27, 2003 NOV. 10, 2003 NOV. 24, 2003 DEC. 8, 2003 • GENERAL PLAN ADVISORY COMMITTEE Monday, May 12, 2003 Roger Alford Patrick Bartolic Dorothy Beek Phillip Bettencourt Carol Boice Karlene Bradley Gus Chabre John Corrough Laura Dietz Grace Dove Florence Felton Nancy Gardner Louise Greeley Ernie Hatchell Bob Hendrickson Tom Hyans Mike Ishikawa David Janes Kim Jansma Mike Johnson Alex Kakavas Bill Kelly Todd Knipp Donald Krotee Lucille Kuehn Philip Lugar 1 • Catherine O'Hara Carl Ossipoff Charles Remley Larry Root )ohn Saunders lames Schmiesing Ed Siebel Jackie Sukiasian Tan Vandersloot Jennifer Wesoloski Ron Yeo • • Philip L. Arst 2601 Lighthouse Lane Corona del Mar, CA 92625 (949)721-1272 Mrs. Sharon Wood Deputy City Manager City of Newport Beach Newport Beach, CA Subject: Review of City Draft Traffic Model Executive Summary Newport Beach General Plan Update, Existing Conditions and Currently Adopted General Plan Buildout Forecasts" dated March 26, 2003. Answers are requested for the following major questions about the subject. It is requested that corrective actions needed be incorporated into the next draft of the traffic study. 1. Has growth in air traffic out of John Wayne Airport to the 10.8 MAP level been considered? There appear to be mismatches with the data provided EIR 582 "John Wayne Airport Settlement Agreement Amendment Appendix E: Traffic Technical Report" issued by the County of Orange and this study. • Please provide a comparison between the EIR and the new traffic study. It is understood that the County EIR projections only go to 2006. For that time LOS F is shown as the service level on a part of Route 73 approaching Route 55. LOS FFFF is forecast for at least one ramp with others at LOS F in the stretch along Bristol. Please state ensuing mitigating measures to compensate for these predictions plus growth in traffic as of 2025. 2. Route 73 Freeway LOS and on/off ramp V/C's need to be provided to demonstrate that the calculations for Bristol, McArthur, Jamboree, Campus and Irvine have taken the freeway into consideration. This is particularly relevant because Route 73 traffic loads are shown as doubling by 2025 in the sections within the Newport Coast section of Newport Beach. Per the comments of the study consultant, this will force traffic to seek other routes (i.e. possibly city streets.) 3. Peak summer traffic levels need to be supplied to serve the publics right to know the traffic situation in the city during the summer months. While it is understood that a circulation system cannot be designed around this seasonal peak, good design requires knowledge of them. 4. A section of Costa Mesa is shown as being apart of the NB traffic study. Newport . Blvd, Route 55 freeway and Route 55 LOS's and Route 55 on/off ramp V/C's for both the present and extended routes need to be provided to demonstrate that their extremely high volumes of traffic (double today's traffic loads) have been taken into consideration. 5. As the 190' Street bridge project is already moribund and the Route 55 Freeway extension mayor may not be built, please provide alternative forecasts leaving them out of the model. 6. The 2 million square feet of existing commercial entitlements in the city need definition. 7. There area number of other unexplained assumptions in the report but these highlights should be sufficient to show that both a revision of the report is needed, to cover alternatives and a major revision of the GPAC Vision Statement will probably result. 8. Staff commented at the last GPUC meeting that some currently unused entitlement may never be used and should be taken out of the traffic forecast. These entitlements must be permanently taken off the General Plan, as there is nothing to prevent the present property owners from selling and.then some.new owner will use the entitlement to the detriment of our traffic situation. Thank you for your attention to these comments Philip Arst • 0 • Ernest L. Hatchell, Jr. 19 la Rochelle Newport Beach, CA 92660 (949) 721-1272 Mrs. Sharon Wood Deputy City Manager City of Newport Beach Newport Beach, CA Subject: "Fiscal Impact Analysis and Model, Newport Beach General Plan Update," May 2003 I have a problem understanding the fiscal analysis approach supporting the General Plan Update. I suspect others do as well. Perhaps you can provide the GPAC members with a copy of these comments. There appears to be no coherence to the fiscal analysis —I'm unable to put it in any perspective. There is no baseline reference to what is presented in the subject document nor any obvious alternatives to a continued increase in city income. Reference (baseline) numbers could result from an analysis of the funding needs of the city government to maintain current services and • infrastructure for a relatively stable population, and as compared and contrasted to other cities. In my view, such a baseline number would be a useful addition to any Fiscal Impact analysis rather than one that presented merely a myopic, though useful, presentation of the income generators and consumers. Obvious alternatives to increasing income includes cost reduction. The city saved money by privatizing tree trimming. Perhaps privatizing other city services would result in additional city efficiencies —at least a comprehensive fiscal analysis would quantify those suspected efficiencies and take the arguments out of the opinion mode. The Fiscal Impact Analysis shows that only Retail and Lodging Land Uses produce revenues that exceed the costs, while office buildings are among the largest cost burdens. Arguing for office buildings as jobs producers is not persuasive since the city has a huge job surplus of almost two jobs for every working resident. Office buildings do add to the congestion and traffic problems. As 60% of Newport Beach dwelling units are multi -family, and considering that they increase congestion and traffic and generate less tax when compared to single family units, it seems clear that multi -family development could be profitably avoided. • Sincerely, GENERAL PLAN ADIAORY COMMITTEE Monday, May 12, 2003 PUBLIC SIGN -IN NAME ADDRESS/PHONE E-MAIL ADDRESS -41,t-A l �E�K GENERAL PLAN AD&ORY COMMITTEE • Monday, May 12, 2003 PUBLIC SIGN -IN NAME ADDRESS/PHONE E-MAIL ADDRESS CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN ADVISORY COMMITTEE Minutes of the General Plan Advisory Committee Meeting held on Monday, May 12, 2003, at the Police Department Auditorium. Members Present: Roger Alford Florence Felton Patrick Bartolic Nancy Gardner Dorothy Beek Louise Greeley Phillip Bettencourt Ernest Hatchell Carol Boice Bob Hendrickson Karlene Bradley Mike Ishikawa Gus Chabre Kim Jansma John Corrough Mike Johnson Laura Dietz Bill Kelly Grace Dove Lucille Kuehn Members Absent: Tom Hyans Catherine O'Hara David Janes John Saunders Alex Kakavas Jackie Sukiasian Todd Knipp Jennifer Wesoloski Donald Krotee Staff Present: Sharon Wood, Assistant City Manager Tamara Campbell, Senior Planner George Berger, Senior Planner Debbie Lektorich, Executive Assistant Woodie Tescher, EIP Consultant Members of the Public Present: Allan Beek Coralee Newman 0 Phillip Lugar Carl Ossipoff Charles Remley Larry Root James Schmiesing Ed Siebel Jan Vandersloot Ron Yeo I. Call to Order • Phillip Lugar called the meeting to order. He pointed out that the agenda for this evening had times listed next to each item and this will be the format with future meetings. He stated he would like to stay within those times during the meetings so it may be necessary to cut discussions short in order to do so. II. Approval of Minutes Mr. Lugar asked for comments on the minutes from the last meeting. Louise Greeley had comments regarding typographical and grammatical errors. Sharon Wood asked Ms. Greeley to submit the changes in writing. The minutes of the April 14, 2003 meeting were approved with Ms. Greeley's recommended corrections. III. Attendance Policy Ms. Wood referred to the City Council Resolution 2003-20. The Council recognizes the importance of this Committee and asked for an attendance policy to insure continuity in the group. The policy is flexible and the Council realizes there are circumstances when members may miss more than 3 meetings. In that case you should talk to staff who will, in turn, discuss the situation with the Mayor. Mr. Lugar also stressed the importance of attendance at the meetings and asked that everyone try to be on time. • IV. Fiscal Impact Analysis of Existing Development Doug Svensson, Applied Development Economics, Inc., reviewed a Power Point presentation summarizing the Fiscal Impact Analysis Report. The presentation is attached. After the presentation he opened the floor for questions. Jim Schmiesing asked when we will see the breakdown of residential units (single family vs. multi -family). Mr. Svensson advised that level of detail will be provided when we start looking at land uses for General Plan alternatives. Mr. Schmiesing also asked about the method of sharing fire costs between older and newer housing areas due to newer/remodeled housing brings in more tax revenue and requires less service. Mr. Svensson acknowledged the point however pointed out that assessed value doesn't necessarily track the current condition of the property. Mr. Lugar asked if short-term rentals are included in the amount of TOT reported. The answer is yes, vacation rentals pay TOT amounting to approximately $875,000. Gus Chabre asked how dynamic the model is in terms of looking at alternatives. Mr. Svensson stated the model will allow a whole range of changes that can looked at one at a time or simultaneously. The City will also be able to use it on individual development projects as well as the General Plan. Ms. Wood pointed out that it may come down to budget, how much are we willing to spend on how many alternatives we • are going to analyze. Carl Ossipoff asked which is our highest margin asset. Mr. 2 Svensson responded that it is lodging (TOT) followed by retail. Phillip • Bettencourt asked about the public works allocations in the Newport Coast area, since the area is made up of mostly private streets, has a private storm drain network and private street light system. Mr. Svensson stated they used average costs, however they are still working through the question of how to treat the private streets in the City. John Corrough asked if there would be alternatives looked at utilizing the water areas where we could add revenue without adding more costs. Mr. Tescher said the capability to look at this area is there and he would discuss it with Mr. Svensson. Grace Dove asked about the effect AB1221 (sales tax/property tax) would have if it passed. Ms. Wood said we have not looked at this because we don't know if it will pass; however if it does we will make the necessary adjustments. Nancy Gardner asked about Table 16, development and retail remain static; however Crystal Cove Promenade is open now and wasn't in 2000. Mr. Svensson will check into this; they worked with the same database as the Traffic Model and the categories used were not as detailed as needed in the fiscal analysis. Lucille Kuehn asked about Table 17 and wanted to know how a library would be funded in the Newport Coast area. Mr. Svensson explained that the money listed in Community Services is not just for libraries; however if the City decided to build a library funding could be found in many sources if revenue was not enough to cover costs. For example general fund, bonds, assessment districts, etc. Patrick Bartolic thought there had been money set aside for community services in Newport Coast. Ms. Wood said she believed • there was a commitment in the annexation agreement for a community center using money gained from allowing IRWD to continue to provide water in the area. Carol Boice stated she remembered hearing funds went to South County for a library that would serve the Newport Coast area. Mr. Bettencourt pointed out that the annexation agreement is still posted on the City's website and maybe this is a good question to have the consultant review. Laura Dietz asked for a definition of the terms "incremental costs" and "marginal costs". Mr. Svensson explained the terms mean the same, the technical term is "marginal cost", and "incremental" was used at times to help the reader understand the meaning. • V. Appointment of Subcommittee to Review LCP Mr. Lugar asked for volunteers for a subcommittee of any size to review the LCP. The list below indicates the members who agreed to participate in the subcommittee. Nancy Gardner, Mike Ishikawa, Phillip Lugar, Ron Yeo Section 2 Review - Karlene Bradley, Ed Siebel Section 3 Review - John Corrough, Laura Dietz, Louise Greeley Section 4 Review - Gus Chabre, Jan Vandersloot 3 Mr. Lugar would like the subcommittee to meet at least once before the June 9th • meeting just to get some initial thoughts from the group. Ron Yeo asked when the document would go to the Coastal Commission. Ms. Wood indicated the document given to this group (LCP Land Use Plan) was also given to the Coastal Commission staff. This is only the first half of the LCP, the second part is the Implementation Plan and can't really be started until comments on the Land Use Plan are received. It will probably be another year before the whole package is formally submitted to the Commission. Mr. Bettencourt asked when the environmental documents would be submitted. Ms. Wood stated the document is the equivalent of an EIR so additional documentation is not required. Louise Greeley asked when the comment period closes. Ms. Wood said the period was extended to accommodate both the GPAC and EQAC meeting schedules, it will close June 20th. Ms. Dietz asked to have Patrick Alford at the subcommittee's meeting. Ms. Wood stated he will attend the June 9th meeting and if he was available, he would probably attend the subcommittee meeting. VI. Discussion of Future Agenda Items Ms. Wood referred to the last sheet in the agenda packet, which lists the topics for the next few meetings. The main topic on June 9th will be the LCP, June 23`d the Housing Element and July 7th will cover the Biological Resources Report and Hazards Report. Future meetings may also include guest speakers and discussions on how other communities, deal with issues that were raised in the . visioning process. VII. Public Comments No public comments offered. • IN