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HomeMy WebLinkAboutSS3 - Pension Progress, Debt Service, Bond Ratings - PowerPoint (Staff)Agenda Item No. SS3 September 23, 2014 About Pension Liabilities City Council Study Session 9/23/2014 How We Fund Facilities General Fund Contributions Development Impact Fees 4 1 FT Investment Earnings Reasonable Amount of De bt (if Necessary) All Project i Expenditures If we didn't issue some debt, what might not be built new? Sunset Ridge Park Marina Park West Newport Community Center Replacing Fire Stations 2 (Lido) & 5 (CdM) Replacing CdM Library Police HQ Replacement Reasonable debt is part of our history '41. SitiC Lg How Rating Agencies View the City "Low Debt Profile" - Fitch r "Superior Financial Management" - Fitch "Very Strong Reserves" - S &P "Very strong Economic base" S &P S &P Affirmed Rating - March 2014 Fitch Affirmed Rating - August 2014 Debt Affordability 2015 Debt Service as a % of General Fund Revenues ■ Net Debt Service ■ GF Revenues `...debt service and retiree benefit contributions, remain affordable. " -Fitch Ratings, August 2014 Debt Affordability $200,000,000 $175,000,000 $150,000,000 $125,000,000 $100,000,000 $75,000,000 $50,000,000 $25,000,000 63 Debt Service as % of GF Revenues Trend 5.5% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Budgeted Projected Projected Projected Net Debt Service General Fund Revenues 2019 Projected Q: Why not retire the Civic Center debt now? It costs more. Triggers a $44M early redemption premium Loss of Build America Bond (BAB) subsidy Opportunity Cost: Deplete strategic savings plans and rainy day funds Limits flexibility to build community driven projects Q: So is it $232M or $126M? _ ° � i �_ _ IAA �y _,,. a „ s a a . a i • � J Time Value of Money - Present Value Present Value $ 3000 $ 3000 $ 3000 0 1 2 3 $2679 $2392 $2135 $1906 $1702 # 10,814 Future Value $ 3000 $ 3000 $15,000 4 Is it $126M or $232M? p °F-a i vc A r year "'M yea r c I 2 3 4 Present Value $126M Future Value $232M year 30 Assumes 4.44% Growth Rate Impact of Investment Losses $900 $800 $700 $600 - $500 c 0 $400 $300 $200 $100 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Fiscal Year Unfunded Pension Liability Trend $300,000,000 $250,000,000 $200,000,000 $150,000,000 $100,000,000 $50,000,000 5- $40.41M increase is <— due to changes in mortality and other actuarial assumptions of 6 -30, $255M 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Fiscal Year 2014 Pension Progress Employees contribute- $7.4M this year New pension tiers 2nd Tier 3rd Tier (State Pension Reform Act tier) 100 fewer FT employees since 08 -09 Fixed amortization period ( "Fresh Start ") Pay more now, save $1 13M in interest /30 years Safety UAL retired in 25 years Misc UAL retired in 21 years "Rose" Award from OC Tax Pension Costs and Employee Contributions then and now 2004 Payment to PERS Estimated Payment PERS I Paid by City I Paid by employees Pension Progres�lm Employees contribute- $7.4M this year 100 fewer FT employees since 08 -09 New pension tiers • 2nd Tier • 3rd Tier (State Pension Reform Act tier) Fixed amortization period ( "Fresh Start ") Pay more now, save $1 13M in interest /30 years Safety UAL retired in 25 years Misc UAL retired in 21 years "Rose" Award from OC Tax About a "Fresh Start "? xtg000 14x000 160,000 t44600 114000 164666 SM 60AM 44600 AM Outstanding Balance of Amortization Base Unfunded Liability Yew 1 Yew 6 Yea 11 Yew 16 Yen 71 Year 16 Yen 31 Yea 36 Yen 41 Yea, 46 — CwrmtPbIkV — Newvdky The example chart is for illustrative purposes only and is not reflective of the City's unfunded pension obligation. t Savings= 1/30 years OCTax.org Orange County Taxpayers Association What more can be done? Another Fresh Start? Alternatively, more discretionary payments Thoughtful outsourcing Continue partnership with employees Still need to stay competitive w /other agencies Reform at the State level PIERS Board and specialty pays ► Not practical or legal: 0 "Get out of PERS entirely" ".Just move everyone to a 401 K plan" Discretionary Payments Option iity. For more information DanM@newportbeachca.gov 949- 644 -3123 Dkiff @newportbeachca.gov 949- 644 -3001