HomeMy WebLinkAboutP0 - Air Quality Management Plan`rCA�;EA)-M,bA�
Overview
• Regional Blueprint to Meet Air Quality Standards
• Integrated Plan to Address Both PM2.5 and 8 -hour
Ozone Standards
PM2.5: 2015
• Building Blocks
Sox, PM2.5, NOx. VOC
8 -Hour ozone: 2021/2024
• Building Blocks
VOC. NOx
Recent CARB Health
Impact Estimates
• 6,500 premature deaths / year
2,400 from goods movement
• 9,000 hospitalizations / year
• 1.7 million cases respiratory illness / yr
• 1.3 million school absences
• 2.8 million lost workdays / year
Source: CARB 2004, California Estimates
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2005 South Coast Air Basin Air Quality
Compared to Other California Air Basins
200% Percent of Standard
150%
100% Federal Standard
50%
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■ Ozone (8 -hour) ■ PM2.5 (Annual)
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Demographic Projections and
Ozone Air Quality TI&n M
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• 300 % growth'tri
through the ports
170% growth in truck travel
• 150% growth in rail cargo
Additional Emission Reductions
to meet PM 2.5 Standard
(Annual Average)
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• 2014
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■ 2014 Goal
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Goods Movement
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• 300 % growth'tri
through the ports
170% growth in truck travel
• 150% growth in rail cargo
Additional Emission Reductions
to meet PM 2.5 Standard
(Annual Average)
Udy
141111
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• 2014
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■ 2014 Goal
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Emission Reduction
to meet 8 -hour Ozone Standard
(Planning Inventory)
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NOx VOc
Emissions by Major Category
PM2.5, 2014
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8 -Hr Ozone, 2020
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Area Sources
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(NOx, SOx, PM) (VOC, NOx)
Emissions Responsibility by Agency
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PM2.5, 2014
ARB
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8 -Hr Ozone, 2020
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Consequences of Non -attainment
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• Adverse Public Health Impacts
• Economic Impacts due to Health C<
Loss of Productivity
• Stigma —Poor A.Q.
• Federal Sanctions
Offset Requirements
Loss of Federal Transportation Funds
• Federal Implementation Plan
Elements Essential for Success
#0t.
• Close collaboration among agencies and
businesses for finding best solutions
• Significant reductions from existing levels
required while accommodating projected
growth
• Implementation Mechanisms
Rulemaking
Incentive -Based Programs
Public /Private Funding
Legislative Support
Need for Additional Mobile
Source Controls
• Mobile sources account for 70 to 80% of
emissions in the Basin
• CARB /U.S. EPA have not met their
previous reduction commitments
• Recent CARB's state strategy falls short of
needed reductions for attainment
• Fair share reductions from mobile sources
essential for attainment
Next Steps
• Public Workshops, Briefings to Focus
Groups — Oct to Nov 2006
• CARB's State Strategy — Feb 2007
• Final Draft AQMP — Feb 2007
• Public Workshops — March — April 2007
• Adoption Hearing — May 2007
• CARB Hearing — tbd
• Submittal to U.S. EPA — tbd
Going -Away Messages
• California has worst A.Q. in nation
• Health impacts higher than previously
estimated
• Meeting federal attainment deadlines
difficult to almost impossible
• Sanctions will be severe
• All feasible control strategies needed,
especially for mobile sources
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