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HomeMy WebLinkAboutFinance Committee Agenda - October 12, 2017CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH FINANCE COMMITTEE AGENDA - Final 100 Civic Center Drive - Crystal Cove Conference Room, Bay 2D Thursday, October 12, 2017 - 3:00 PM Finance Committee Members: Diane Dixon, Chair / Council Member Kevin Muldoon, Mayor Will O'Neill, Council Member William Collopy, Committee Member Patti Gorczyca, Committee Member Joe Stapleton, Committee Member Larry Tucker, Committee Member Staff Members: Dave Kiff, City Manager Carol Jacobs, Assistant City Manager Dan Matusiewicz, Finance Director / Treasurer Steve Montano, Deputy Director, Finance Marlene Burns, Administrative Specialist to the Finance Director The Finance Committee meeting is subject to the Ralph M. Brown Act. Among other things, the Brown Act requires that the Finance Committee agenda be posted at least seventy-two (72) hours in advance of each regular meeting and that the public be allowed to comment on agenda items before the Committee and items not on the agenda but are within the subject matter jurisdiction of the Finance Committee. The Chair may limit public comments to a reasonable amount of time, generally three (3) minutes per person. The City of Newport Beach’s goal is to comply with the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) in all respects. If, as an attendee or a participant at this meeting, you will need special assistance beyond what is normally provided, we will attempt to accommodate you in every reasonable manner. Please contact Dan Matusiewicz, Finance Director, at least forty-eight (48) hours prior to the meeting to inform us of your particular needs and to determine if accommodation is feasible at (949) 644-3123 or dmatusiewicz@newportbeachca.gov. NOTICE REGARDING PRESENTATIONS REQUIRING USE OF CITY EQUIPMENT Any presentation requiring the use of the City of Newport Beach’s equipment must be submitted to the Finance Department 24 hours prior to the scheduled meeting. I.CALL MEETING TO ORDER II.ROLL CALL III.PUBLIC COMMENTS Public comments are invited on agenda and non-agenda items generally considered to be within the subject matter jurisdiction of the Finance Committee. Speakers must limit comments to three (3) minutes. Before speaking, we invite, but do not require, you to state your name for the record. The Finance Committee has the discretion to extend or shorten the speakers’ time limit on agenda or non-agenda items, provided the time limit adjustment is applied equally to all speakers. As a courtesy, please turn cell phones off or set them in the silent mode. IV.CONSENT CALENDAR MINUTES OF SEPTEMBER 14, 2017A. Recommended Action: Approve and file. DRAFT MINUTES 091417 October 12, 2017 Page 2 Finance Committee Meeting V.CURRENT BUSINESS INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE REVIEWA. Summary: Staff and/or investment advisor will provide a brief economic update, review the performance of the City's investment portfolio and potential strategies moving forward. Recommended Action: Receive and file. STAFF REPORT INVESTMENT ADVISOR CONTRACT DISCUSSIONB. Summary: Committee member Gorczyca requests that the Finance Committee reconsider its recommendation to award investment advisor contract, solely, to Chandler Asset Management. Recommended Action: Receive and file. STAFF REPORT ATTACHMENT A ATTACHMENT B ATTACHMENT C DEBT POLICYC. Summary: Staff and a municipal advisor from KNN will present a brief history of debt issued by the City and discuss proposed changes to current Debt Policy F-6. Most proposed changes are required per Senate Bill No. 1029 (SB 1029), but the Committee may also wish to address any issues concerning the City’s debt policy. Note that SB 1029 changes require approval by City Council before any new debt can be issued including pending assessment district financings. Recommended Action: Review, comment and provide further staff direction, if appropriate. STAFF REPORT ATTACHMENT A October 12, 2017 Page 3 Finance Committee Meeting BUDGET AMENDMENTSD. Summary: Receive and file a staff report on the budget amendments for the prior quarter. Recommended Action: Receive and file. STAFF REPORT ATTACHMENT A PENSION DISCUSSIONE. Summary: Agenda item reserved for discussion regarding the status of the City's pension liability, payment strategies, CalPERS policy updates and or advocacy efforts. Recommended Action: Discussion if applicable. LONG-TERM FINANCIAL FORECASTF. Summary: Review of potential forecast scenarios that may be considered in the development of the FY 2018-2019 budget and beyond. Staff will provide a brief revenue update, review pension funding scenarios including less aggressive payment plans and other financial updates that are relevant to the current and future budgets. Recommended Action: Receive and file. STAFF REPORT ATTACHMENT A REVIEW OF FINANCE COMMITTEE WORKPLANG. Summary: Staff will review with the Committee the agenda topics scheduled for the remainder of the calendar year. Recommended Action: Receive and file. ATTACHMENT A VI.FINANCE COMMITTEE ANNOUNCEMENTS ON MATTERS WHICH MEMBERS WOULD LIKE PLACED ON A FUTURE AGENDA FOR DISCUSSION, ACTION OR REPORT (NON-DISCUSSION ITEM) VII.ADJOURNMENT Finance Committee Meeting Minutes September 14, 2017 Page 1 of 11 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH FINANCE COMMITTEE SEPTEMBER 14, 2017 MEETING MINUTES I. CALL MEETING TO ORDER The meeting was called to order at 3:00 p.m. in the Crystal Cove Conference Room, Bay 2D, 100 Civic Center Drive, Newport Beach, California 92660. II. ROLL CALL PRESENT: Council Member Diane Dixon (Chair), Council Member Will O'Neill, Committee Member Patti Gorczyca, Committee Member Joe Stapleton, and Committee Member Larry Tucker ABSENT: Mayor Kevin Muldoon and Committee Member William Collopy (Excused) STAFF PRESENT: City Manager Dave Kiff, Assistant City Manager Carol Jacobs, Finance Director/Treasurer Dan Matusiewicz, Deputy Director, Finance Steve Montano, Budget Manager Susan Giangrande, Senior Budget Analyst Shannon Espinoza, Budget Analyst Tam Ho, Budget Analyst Katherine Warnke-Carpenter, and Administrative Specialist to the Finance Director Marlene Burns MEMBERS OF THE PUBLIC: Planning Commissioner Lauren Kleiman and Mr. Jim Mosher III. PUBLIC COMMENTS Chair Dixon opened public comments. Jim Mosher spoke regarding citizen appointees to the Committee and reported City Council has extended their terms of service to June 30, 2018. In terms of arrangements regarding the association with Council Members, the Harbor Commission was told to discontinue those arrangements, due to concerns by the City Manager and City Attorney relative to serial meetings. Mr. Mosher reported the City budget was adopted three months ago, but is not available on the City's website. Additionally, he referenced a previous City Council Closed Session Item B, regarding overtime compensation, the possibility of it being miscalculated and the potential employees may be due back overtime pay that may affect the budget substantially. He noted he was impressed by the open budget overview. Finance Director Dan Matusiewicz reported the City's new year budget is included in the City's portal but printed summaries have not been generated. The live budget is available through Socrata in the City's portal. Council Member Will O'Neill confirmed that terms for Finance Committee Members have been extended. He made a distinction between the Harbor Commission and the Finance Committee relative to City Council arrangements and acknowledged discussion in Closed Session regarding overtime compensation but noted he is unable to comment, as it is a Closed Session matter. At Chair Dixon's request, Finance Director Matusiewicz explained the case came out of the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals (Flores v. City of San Gabriel) and that it was a surprising change of direction across the State of California. He stated staff believes the Court overreached, in terms of assessed liability, the City has accrued a liability that management believes to be sufficient to cover the potential liability, but it is still unclear how the case will be ultimately resolved. Finance Committee Meeting Minutes September 14, 2017 Page 2 of 11 Chair Dixon closed public comments. IV. CONSENT CALENDAR A. MINUTES OF JUNE 29, 2017 Recommended Action: Approve and file. Chair Dixon noted corrections to the minutes as submitted by Mr. Jim Mosher. Committee Member Gorczyca thanked Mr. Mosher for the corrections he submitted to the minutes and agreed when the minutes indicate, "in response to someone's question," the point made is lost. MOTION: Committee Member Gorczyca moved, and Council Member O'Neill seconded, to approve the June 29, 2017, Finance Committee Minutes, as corrected. The motion carried, unanimously. V. CURRENT BUSINESS A. INVESTMENT ADVISOR CONTRACT DISCUSSION AND RECOMMENDATION Summary: Staff respectfully requests that the Finance Committee reconsider its recommendation to award contracts to two investment advisors and award a contract solely to Chandler Asset Management (Chandler) on the basis that the City's invested assets will remain sufficiently diverse and safe under one investment advisor; the use of one investment advisor is efficient, less costly and appropriate for a City of Newport Beach's size; and Chandler manages assets for several agencies with assets in excess of $100 million and has shown greater responsiveness to the City's needs over the years. Recommended Actions: (1) Retain the services of Chandler Asset Management as the City's sole investment advisor and enter into a five-year contract based on the firm's proposal for an annual savings of more than $25,000 per year as compared to a two-investment advisor arrangement and (2) Terminate the existing investment management contract with PFM Asset Management. Finance Director Matusiewicz provided background information including the extensive Request for Proposals (RFP) process to determine the number of financial advisors the City should have and negotiated fees. Subsequently, the matter was placed on hold and is being presented again for the Committee's consideration. He introduced and deferred to Terry McCall of Portfolio Services for Government, LLC, for a presentation. Terry McCall, Portfolio Services for Government, LLC, provided information about his company and listed his experience. He addressed the scope of his work for the City of Newport Beach, including the RFP process for Financial Advisors. Mr. McCall commented on the respondents, evaluation, ranking, interview and selection of candidates. Committee Member Gorczyca asked regarding the presumptions made in terms of the applicant's proposed fees and the assumed level of assets under management when comparing fees. Mr. McCall noted the original assumption was based on 185 million assets under management. He added applicants had the ability to negotiate fees and could restate their proposals. Finance Director Matusiewicz explained one of the reason staff likes to discuss flexibility in the fee schedule is the City would like to compensate investment advisors at the same level, when the City employs more than one investment advisor. Finance Committee Meeting Minutes September 14, 2017 Page 3 of 11 Mr. McCall addressed public trust, assets under management, and reported both chosen firms are reliable, have municipal and public agency accounts, and do good work. They both do some private business, but primarily focus on the public sector. Discussion followed regarding the number of accounts added by Chandler Asset Management in the last two years. Mr. McCall addressed account closures for Chandler and PFM and overall performance in the short- and long-term. Committee Member Gorczyca commented on the two different company profiles and stated when comparing the two, there cannot be a direct application. Mr. McCall agreed, noted some differences in the two and commented on the accounts of each. He expressed challenges in comparing apples-to-apples, but reported that he and staff felt the City only needs one investment advisor. Committee Member Larry Tucker asked regarding the advantage of having a five-year contract and Mr. McCall reported cities, counties and government typically do not want to extend contract terms for more than five years and prefer to go out to bid towards the end of a contract. Committee Member Tucker commented on the possibility of avoiding the RFP process and Finance Director Matusiewicz reported there is a thirty-day out clause on virtually all contracts. It is standard on most contracts except those requiring a large capital investment. Committee Member Gorczyca reported in her experience, she saw more contracts with two- or three-year terms and one-year renewal, after evaluation of benchmarks. Chair Dixon reported the Finance Committee gets monthly reports and reviews contracts once a year. Committee Member Tucker asked if the City would have to go through the RFP process if it chose to terminate the contract and Finance Director Matusiewicz reported bids are good for eighteen months and staff would terminate one and execute a new contract with another. Beyond eighteen months, the City would have to initiate an RFP process, which would take between four-to-five months, plus contracting. Committee Member Gorczyca noted that would be one advantage of having two advising entities, especially in terms of market and organizational changes. Mr. McCall stated in his experience, having one investment advisor worked well through various changes. Committee Member Gorczyca reported when there are changes, having two advisors would ensure uninterrupted service. Mr. McCall stated the possibility of that happening is slim. Finance Director Matusiewicz stated in such cases, the City could contract with an interim advisor on an emergency basis Mr. McCall stated the City would be better off using one advisor rather than two and supports staff recommendation to contract with Chandler. Chair Dixon reported the study was a year ago and asked whether anything had changed. Mr. McCall stated nothing has changed since then. Finance Director Matusiewicz stated that the City will still maintain a diversified portfolio, will have the opportunity to measure performance against benchmarks, and noted the strategies between Finance Committee Meeting Minutes September 14, 2017 Page 4 of 11 both firms are similar. He addressed long-term returns in income and total returns for Chandler and PFM and noted they are neck-and-neck. Committee Member Stapleton commented on the possibility of over-diversification by having two firms. Finance Director Matusiewicz added there is not great risk in using only one firm, investment advisors do not hold the securities; the investments are held by the Bank of New York, registered in the City's name and investment advisors do not have access to them, other than how they invest them. The City independently monitors them on how they are invested. The City does not rely on information from advisors but rather directly from information that derives from its custodial bank, the Bank of New York. The City receives its market pricing on investments, independently from investment advisors, giving the ability to review three different pricing sources as well as securities' ratings and accounting and investment activities which are reconciled, daily. He noted it is less efficient to have two investment advisors and reported staff has more flexibility working with one, in terms of strategies. He addressed the relative size of other cities compared to Newport Beach. In terms of flexibility, he reported, some of the City's reserves have a long investment horizon while others need to be very liquid, and because of recent opportunities to beat the Local Agency Investment Fund (LAIF) returns, the City is pulling money out of its short-term portfolio and matching asset maturities with specific liabilities come due to improve performance at both ends of the spectrum. Chair Dixon asked regarding the source of the data and Finance Director Matusiewicz explained that most data is derived directly from the custody bank and analyzed through a third-party software product. He also made reference to a monthly conference call to review cash flow needs. Chair Dixon stated that requires staff to be intimately involved. Committee Member Stapleton asked regarding Chandler's responsiveness and Finance Director Matusiewicz explained they are more responsive and accessible than PFM. Brief discussion followed regarding pricing tiers. Chair Dixon noted the City has about $250 million total of which $180 million goes into two accounts and the difference goes to LAIF. Finance Director Matusiewicz reported staff is starting to look at alternatives to LAIF as part of the overall strategy. He stated staff thought it was streamlining operations and reducing costs and former Finance Committees wanted the City to reduce the number of investment advisors. Committee Member Stapleton noted servicing costs. He asked how decisions are implemented in terms of percentages to apply to the various investments, Finance Director Matusiewicz stated the contract's investment policy statement is the driving document. Council Member O'Neill stated this presentation changed his mind. Brief discussion followed regarding the City of Anaheim doing its own investing. Committee Member Tucker stated he accepts staff's recommendations but noted he is uniquely unqualified to comment, but it seems reasonable to him. He liked the fact that the City has a way to correct itself if it is determined it was heading in the wrong direction. Committee Member Gorczyca reported the City of Newport Beach is a unique public agency, partly prompted by the Orange County bankruptcy, and has felt it important to have multiple investment advisors. She added PFM has had a relationship with the City for over 25 years. She noted diversification is important and having two advisors provides a built-in competition with incentives to perform. She addressed market changes and felt it important to have different sources of advice. Finance Committee Meeting Minutes September 14, 2017 Page 5 of 11 Relative to servicing, PFM and Chandler have different business models but provide stability in terms of future changes in the market and circumstances. Committee Member Stapleton pointed out that by having one advisor, the City will save 20 percent of the total cost of the portfolio. He addressed benchmarking and stated it is all about asset allocation and noted it is almost impossible to compare two different firms. If it turns out that Chandler is not performing as agreed, he would rely on staff to initiate the thirty-day termination process. Chair Dixon opened public comments. Jim Mosher expressed agreement with the recommendation, especially if staff is comfortable and the City saves money. Chair Dixon closed public comments. Chair Dixon noted her past advocacy for two advisors but has changed her mind, based on performance and cost of service. She reported she was surprised at PFM's disinclination to negotiate fees, but in terms of performance and efficiency, she was comfortable with staff's due diligence and regular updating to keep the City on track. MOTION: Committee Member Stapleton moved, and seconded by Committee Member Tucker, to recommend that City Council (1) Retain the services of Chandler Asset Management as the City's sole investment advisor and enter into a five-year contract based on the firm's proposal for an annual savings of more than $25,000 per year as compared to a two-investment advisor arrangement and (2) Terminate the existing investment management contract with PFM Asset Management. The motion carried with Committee Member Gorczyca, opposed. B. REVIEW OF PUBLIC EMPLOYEES RETIREMENT SYSTEM (PERS) VALUATION Summary: Staff will discuss the latest actuarial valuation, changes to actuarial assumptions, review investment returns, the potential impact of future rates, and the results of employee cost sharing. Recommended Action: Receive and file. Finance Director Matusiewicz reported last year the City's unfunded liabilities ran in the $275 million range and this year it increased to $321 million. Staff estimated the change in discount rate is $16.5 million and there will be approximately $25 million as a credit forthcoming due to positive investment experience of 11.2 percent for fiscal year ended June 30, 2017. During 2017-2018, the City will pay $8.9 million more than the required payments, which should drive down principal. Looking forward to future discount rate reductions, he reported the target amount to payoff is about $324 million. Council Member O'Neill asked regarding revenue estimates and Finance Director Matusiewicz reported property taxes are great but staff has not yet reviewed the Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT), which should be available after the summer, and sales taxes underperformed last year, but property taxes more than made up for the shortfall. He added this is an open discussion and he is not seeking any decision at this point. Committee Member Gorczyca noticed property tax bills have gone up steadily in the last three years, explained the rationale and stated the rate may be lower next year. Finance Director Matusiewicz pointed out the 2017-2018 property tax levies were already set based on January 1, 2017, market values which increase more than what had been projected. Finance Committee Meeting Minutes September 14, 2017 Page 6 of 11 Regarding a comparison of prior numbers, Chair Dixon noted $25 million is the expected payment in 2018-2019. Finance Director Matusiewicz clarified that is the City's minimum, required payment. The 2017-2018 budget is $33.8 million. He stated that minimum payment will steadily ramp up well beyond $33.8 million and the intent is to get ahead of it. Finance Director Matusiewicz addressed things that play into CalPERS’ decisions and the Board is set to make many decisions by December 2017. He suggested proceeding with caution and noted the need to see the whole picture. Speculating, he indicated there is likely to be a lower inflation assumption and presumed it will offset the last phase of discount rate changes. Committee Member Tucker asked for clarification and Finance Director Matusiewicz stated the gross investment return less inflation will equates to the real rate of return. The current rate is 2.75 percent. John Bartel, Bartel Associates, LLC, added that all seven percent rates of return are not created equally and explained the calculations. Committee Member Tucker stated the Committee has not spent any time on how the final number is determined; the actuarial number as to what the City's obligations are. That number has an inflation number to keep the benefits constant. Mr. Bartel added it includes salary increases on which the benefits are based. He reported just because the actuarial staff makes a recommendation does not mean the CalPERS Board will approve it. He believed there is pressure on the Board to not increase the real rate of return from 4.25 percent to 4.5 percent. Chair Dixon commented on the inflation rate and noted the rate of return is a direct result of how the investment is managed by CalPERS. Mr. Bartel explained rate of return can be measured historically, adding that going forward, it is an assumption with two components including what the CalPERS Board thinks inflation will be and what they think they will earn, above inflation, in the long run. Chair Dixon noted it is subjective in terms of projecting future rate of return because of certain constraints imposed on their investment policy. Committee Member Gorczyca added it is also based on risk-taking, and there are many other factors influencing that number. Finance Director Matusiewicz reported last year he stated CalPERS may have overshot their mortality projection but warned that staff now believes they are unlikely to roll back the increase in mortality projections. Mr. Bartel opined that CalPERS staff spoke sooner than they should have and concluding that CalPERS will maintain a similar level of improvement. People are living longer and CalPERS is anticipating it and building that into their numbers. Finance Director Matusiewicz added that the previous increase to mortality assumption was already factored into their assumption losses and had hoped for relief if CalPERS were to roll it back, but it is not likely to happen now. Finance Director Matusiewicz said he anticipated that the City would be budgeting between $32 to $35 million towards unfunded liabilities in 2018-2019. Chair Dixon stated this is where the City's long-term financial planning tool will come into play because the City will be able to play with the numbers. Finance Director Matusiewicz stated this is only one of many options in the City's financial plan, along with other objectives for the City to meet in its long-term goals. He added there may an opportunity for the City to lower its minimum required contribution by taking credit for significant positive investment gains credits sooner than later. Investment gains are normally amortized into the rate over a 30-year period. He noted there is a range of budget options to consider and suggested if the City were to continue a 15-year pace, the City could lower its payment to $33.1 million. He addressed Fresh Start, the effect of other discretionary payments and stated, excluding the Fresh Start base, the remaining bases may net to a credit position as of June 30, 17. He reported more discussions will ensue with the budget. Finance Committee Meeting Minutes September 14, 2017 Page 7 of 11 Mr. Bartel reported his company's projections and opined the City should wait and see to determine what CalPERS will do and by the end of the calendar year, the City will have a better feel for the rate of return and what CalPERS will do. He highlighted Item No. 6 in the staff report and suggested the Finance Committee review it closely during a future Finance Committee meeting. The City's actions will revolve on what CalPERS is going to do, so presently it is all speculation. He addressed a CalPERS demographic experience study noting they have been quiet about it, they are not expecting any changes, and stated early retirements can be problematic. Chair Dixon stated they are problematic because they are on pension for longer. City Manager Dave Kiff commented on a conversation he had with a person running a large public safety agency who said they are actively recruiting immediate retirees because there are no good candidates coming in at the bottom level. Chair Dixon offered the scenario of a young person working for the Police Department for ten years and going to work for another CalPERS agency, at a higher salary. Mr. Bartel reported the City would be responsible for the benefit formula they received during the period they worked, for using the service that they worked. The compensation used to calculate that benefit is reciprocal. The City would still have a ten-year commitment, but at a higher salary. Mr. Bartel explained the City's liability is split between the participating agencies and the type level of benefit each agency had offered. Chair Dixon asked why the City of Newport Beach is financially responsible for the benefits at a higher salary rate than what was paid by the City. Mr. Bartel explained reciprocity exists to encourage movement from one agency to the next. Chair Dixon felt the taxpayers of Newport Beach should not be responsible for the pension of a past employee, making a fraction of what they ended up with. Mr. Bartel clarified the City would pay a portion of the benefit, based on the City's formula and based on the salary at retirement. City Manager Kiff reported the City assumes an employee will stay in Newport Beach and will make a progression through the steps of promotion, while it sets aside money. Chair Dixon opened public comments. Jim Mosher noted the City also hires people who have worked for other agencies. Chair Dixon closed public comments. Mr. Bartel suggested discussing the issue further at a future meeting. C. ENGAGING CALPERS Summary: The Chair will provide a brief oral update on her plans and recent activities to engage CalPERS staff and policymakers with the intent to influence future pension policies and practices. Recommended Action: Receive and file. D. OPPOSITION LETTER TO CALPERS BOARD IMPOSED DIVESTMENT DIRECTIVES Summary: From time to time, the CalPERS Board imposes divestment directives on the CalPERS Investment Office to promote certain social objectives. Divestment directives can create Finance Committee Meeting Minutes September 14, 2017 Page 8 of 11 enormous opportunity costs to the pension system at a time when the system, plan sponsors and plan participants cannot afford to compromise investment return. Recommended Action: With the Finance Committee's concurrence, staff will seek the support of the Mayor and Finance Committee Chair to urge the CalPERS Board to cease and reverse divestment directives that create artificial barriers for the Investment Office and lessen potential investment return. The foregoing items were heard concurrently. Chair Dixon provided an update on her trip to visit with the CalPERS Investment Committee staff and reported they are a highly-regarded group of experts and reported their recommendations will go to the Board where it changes from a financial recommendation to a political recommendation. She noted improvements in the market and explained the reason is that there are no constraints on those investments. However, CalPERS is dictated by legislative regulations that restrict certain investments for political and social correctness. The consequence is the approximate loss to the corpus of a CalPERS total investment is about $3 billion and growing; the gap is being met by California taxpayers. Mr. Bartel reported some would argue that the retirement system should not only focus on return, but also on social issues. He reported their job is to maximize investment return and when you focus on social issues, there is a backslash and noted it should be a transparent approach. Chair Dixon reported the Investment staff is looking for allies in the employer groups as well as the public employee associations. Mr. Bartel reported the reason the Investment staff are socially investing is because they are being directed to by the California Legislature, which takes its direction from bargaining groups. Chair Dixon reported Investment staff would like an advocate for pointing out they are not poor investment advisors and that they are being directed by the politically-appointed Board. Chair Dixon reported the group is organizing to increase presence before the Board to state the effects of their investment strategy. Committee Member Stapleton opined it is a great idea to be active. It was noted that socially-responsible funds are not cheap. Committee Member Gorczyca noted the importance of becoming engaged. Mr. Bartel stressed the importance of having realistic expectations. He reported there is one representative appointed to the Board by the Governor and addressed bargaining group representatives. He reported bargaining groups focus on short-term compensation. He agreed that the City should work closely with bargaining groups. Chair Dixon opened public comments. Jim Mosher commented on engaging stakeholders and on the targeted bullet points. Chair Dixon closed public comments. A suggestion was made to forward the letter to the City of Huntington Beach for their possible use. Committee Member Tucker suggested stating the City recommends that Council send out the letter and asking that all other Orange County cities support and co-sign it. Finance Committee Meeting Minutes September 14, 2017 Page 9 of 11 MOTION: Committee Member Tucker moved, and seconded by Committee Member Stapleton, to direct staff to seek the support of the Mayor and Finance Committee Chair to urge the CalPERS Board to cease and reverse divestment directives that create artificial barriers for the Investment Office and lessen potential investment return. The motion carried, unanimously. Council Member O'Neill departed the meeting at this juncture (5:06 p.m.). E. LONG RANGE FINANCIAL PLANNING Summary: As another input to the City's Long Financial Planning model, staff will provide a brief demonstration of the "GovInvest" software tool that the City is using to assist in the modeling of long-term pension plan costs and liability projections. Recommended Action: Receive and file. Finance Director Matusiewicz demonstrated the pension liability forecasting software tool known as GovInvest. The software tool will be another tool for the City to model pension data using different discount and investment assumptions. Committee Member Gorczyca asked whether for long-term modeling, the City will use Mr. Bartel's projections and Finance Director Matusiewicz reported it will depend on where the City is but reported that GovInvest has actuaries on staff and their figures are good enough for budgeting and long-term financial planning. F. BONITA CANYON COMMUNITY FACILITIES DISTRICT UPDATE Summary: The City entered into a Joint Powers Agreement (JPA) to form a Community Facilities District (CFD) in 1997 to finance certain road, park and school improvements associated with the Bonita Canyon development. The JPA board believes there is an opportunity to refinance outstanding bonds of the JPA on a current refunding basis to provide an economic benefit to the assessed property owners in excess of $2.5 million. The Committee will be provided a brief report summarizing the financing effort. Recommended Action: Receive and file. Finance Director Matusiewicz provided background noting the City has been a member of the JPA since 1998 and addressed the City's interest in the Community Facility’s District (CFD) including the site acquisition and construction of Bonita Canyon Park and certain road improvements. The City refinanced it once in 2012 and he reported typically the school districts drive the CFDs. Since there is a financial savings that meets the typical matrix for refinancing, staff recommends proceeding assuming the market metrics hold. Chair Dixon asked whether this is a line item the City pays and Finance Director Matusiewicz reported it will be a savings to property owners within the City. Committee Member Gorczyca asked staff to look at the Placement Agent fee and commented positively on this approach. Chair Dixon asked about the Placement Agent fee and Finance Director Matusiewicz reported it was not covered in this memo, but would be included in the closing memorandum. G. BUDGET AMENDMENTS Summary: Finance Committee Meeting Minutes September 14, 2017 Page 10 of 11 Receive and file a staff report on the budget amendments for the prior quarter. Recommended Action: Receive and file. Chair Dixon noted nothing extraordinary relative to the budget amendments. H. REVIEW OF FINANCE COMMITTEE WORKPLAN Summary: Staff will review with the Committee the agenda topics scheduled for the remainder of the calendar year. Recommended Action: Receive and file. Finance Director Matusiewicz reported receiving one correction and stated the City wants a review of the City's insurance coverage and stated it will be placed on the December agenda. The City just finished contract negotiations for a risk-based reserve analysis and work should begin shortly. Committee Member Gorczyca asked regarding the broker's experience and capabilities and Finance Director Matusiewicz reported the City's insurance broker can explain the City's coverage most efficiently and can talk about the City's exposure. The reserve analysis will focus on the General Fund revenues and expenditures volatility. Chair Dixon asked whether this delays the Committee's discussion on reserves and Finance Director Matusiewicz responded not necessarily. He addressed respondents to the RFP and reported he will provide an update on the City's reserve analysis in November. Committee Member Gorczyca suggested the need for information on how reserves cross-collateralize. Committee Member Tucker noted the discussion should be mentioned on the December work plan. Brief discussion followed regarding Section 115 and Chair Dixon reported the Investment Committee at CalPERS is in support of creating 115 funds for the sole purpose of having a separate investment strategy. VI. FINANCE COMMITTEE ANNOUNCEMENTS ON MATTERS WHICH MEMBERS WOULD LIKE PLACED ON A FUTURE AGENDA FOR DISCUSSION, ACTION OR REPORT (NON-DISCUSSION ITEM) Chair Dixon reported the next meeting of the Finance Committee will include an investment performance review and a review of the City's debt policy. Finance Director Matusiewicz reported there will be a study session on Tuesday, October 10, 2017, to study the City's debt policies and direction is expected from Council as to the participation of the Finance Committee. VII. ADJOURNMENT The Finance Committee adjourned at 6:25 p.m. to the next regular meeting of the Finance Committee on Thursday, October 12, 2017, at 3:00 p.m. Filed with these minutes are copies of all materials distributed at the meeting. Finance Committee Meeting Minutes September 14, 2017 Page 11 of 11 The agenda for the Regular Meeting was posted on September 7, 2017, at 6:15 p.m., in the binder and on the City Hall Electronic Board located in the entrance of the Council Chambers at 100 Civic Center Drive. Attest: ___________________________________ _____________________ Diane Dixon, Chair Date Finance Committee r 4 /ln -- - *?f Finance Committee Meeting MinutesL. I Vaaa' C@lv September-14,2017 Mr. McCall addressed public trust, K"re.r?^"agement, and reported both chosen firms are reliable, have municipal and public agency accounts, and do good work. They both do some private business, but primarily focus on the public sector. Discussion followed regarding the number of accounts added by Chandler Asset Management in the last two years. Mr. McCall addressed account closures for Chandler and PFM and overall performance in the short- and long-term. Committee Member Gorczyca commented on the two different company profiles and stated when companng differences comparing advisor. Committee Mr. McCall the two, there in the two and be a direct application. Mr. McCall agreed, noted some on the accounts of each. He expressed challenges in but that he and staff felt the City only needs one investment asked regarding the advantage of having a five-year contract and nties and government typically do not want to extend contract terms for more than five prefer to go out to bid towards the end of a contract. Committee Member Tucker commented on the possibility of avoiding the RFP process and Finance Director Matusiewicz reported there is a thirty-day out clause on virtually all contracts. lt is standard on most contracts except those requiring a large capital investment. Committee Member Gorczyca reported in her experience, she saw more contracts with two- or three-year terms and one-year renewal, after evaluation of benchmarks. Chair Dixon reported the Finance Committee gets monthly reports and reviews contracts once a year. Committee Member Tucker asked if the City would have to go through the RFP process if it chose to terminate the contract and Finance Director Matusiewicz reported bids are good for eighteen months and staff would terminate one and execute a new contract with another. Beyond eighteen months, the City would have to initiate an RFP process, which would take between four-to-five months, plus contracting. Committee Member Gorczyca noted that would be one advantage of having two advising entities, especially in terms of market and organizational changes. Mr. McCall stated in his experience, having one investment advisor worked well through various changes. Committee Member Gorczyca reported when there are changes, having two advisors would ensure uninterrupted service. Mr. McCall stated the possibility of that happening is slim. Finance Director Matusiewicz stated in such cases, the City could contract with an interim advisor on an emergency basis Mr. McCall stated the City would be better off using one advisor rather than two and supports staff recommendation to contract with Chandler. Chair Dixon reported the study was a year ago and asked whether anything had changed. Mr McCallstated nothing has changed since then. Finance Director Matusiewicz stated that the City will still maintain a diversified portfolio, will have the opportunity to measure performance against benchmarks, and noted the strategies between Page3of11 Item No. 4A1 Draft Minutes of September 14, 2017 Correspondence October 12, 2017 Finance Committee Meeting Minutes September 14,2017 both firms are similar. He addressed long-term returns in income and total returns for Chandler and PFM and noted they are neck-and-neck. Commiftee Member Stapleton commented on the possibility of over-diversification by having two firms. Finance Director Matusiewicz added there is not great risk in using only one firm, investment advisors do not hold the securities; the investments are held by the Bank of New York, registered in the City's name and investment advisors do not have access to them, other than how they invest them. The City independently monitors them on how they are invested. The City does not rely on information from advisors but rather directly from information that derives from its custodial bank, the Bank of New York. The City receives its market pricing on investments, independently from investment advisors, giving the ability to review three different pricing sources as well as securities' ratings and accounting and investment activities which are reconciled, daily. He noted it is less efficient to have two investment advisors and reported staff has more flexibility working with one, in terms of strategies. He addressed the relative size of other cities compared to Newport Beach. ln terms of flexibility, he reported, some of the City's reserves have a long investment horizon while others need to be very liquid, and because of recent opportunities to beat the Local Agency lnvestment Fund (LAIF) returns, the City is pulling money out of its short-term portfolio and matching asset maturities with specific liabilities come due to improve performance at both ends of the spectrum. Chair Dixon asked regarding the source of the data and Finance Director Matusiewicz explained that most data is derived directly from the custody bank and analyzed through a third-party software product. He also made reference to a monthly conference call to review cash flow needs. Chair Dixon stated that requires staff to be intimately involved. Commiftee Member Stapleton asked regarding Chandler's responsiveness and Finance Director Matusiewicz explained they are more responsive and accessible than PFM. Brief discussion followed regarding pricing tiers. Chair Dixon noted the City has about $250 million total of which $180 million goes into two accounts and the difference goes to LAIF. Finance Director Matusiewicz reported staff is starting to look at alternatives to LAIF as part of the overall strategy. He stated staff thought it was streamlining operations and reducing costs and former Finance Commiftees wanted the City to reduce the number of investment advisors. Committee Member Stapleton noted servicing costs. He asked how decisions are implemented in terms of percentages to apply to the various investments, Finance Director Matusiewicz stated the contract's investment policy statement is the driving document. Council Member O'Neill stated this presentation changed his mind. Brief discussion followed reqardino the Citv of Anaheirn doino its own investino. .rt/; dVt' WV.-qhr^arda'zVw ?VLzr;rmZ- Commiftee Member Tucftr stated he accepts staffs recommendati5ns but noted he is uniquely unqualified to commen( but it seems reasonable to him. He liked the fact that the City has a way to correct itself if it is determined it was heading in the wrong duectionh? 4 " O e7 fAU44^b Commiftee Member Gorczyca reported the City of Newport Beach is a unique public agency, partly 4i/d prompted by the Orange County bankruptcy, and has felt it important to have multiple investment advisors. She added PFM has had a relationship with the City for over 25 years. She noted diversification is important and having two advisors provides a built-in competition with incentives to perform. She addressed market changes and felt it important to have different sources of advice. Page 4 of 11 Finance Committee Meeting Minutes September 14,2017 Regarding a comparison of prior numbers, Chair Dixon noted $25 million is the expected payment in2018-2019. Finance Director Matusiewicz clarified that is the City's minimum, required payment. The2017-2018 budget is $33.8 million. He stated that minimum payment will steadily ramp up well beyond $33.8 million and the intent is to get ahead of it. Finance Director Matusiewicz addressed things that play into CaIPERS' decisions and the Board is set to make many decisions by December 2017. He suggested proceeding with caution and noted the need to see the whole pi inflation assumption and presumed Committee Member Tucker asked gross investment return less inflation equates to the real rate of return. The current rate is 2.75 LLC, added that all seven percent rates of return are notpercent. John Bartel, Bartel created equally and explained the has not spent any time on how the City's obligations are. That number has an inflation Bartel added it includes salary increases on which the the actuarial staff makes a recommendation does not believed there is pressure on the Board to not 4.5 percent. ember Tucker stated the Committee ,the actuarial number as to what thf- keep the benefits constant. Mr are based. He reported just because the CaIPERS Board will approve it. He lculations. Committee M *rr 4 the real rate of return from 4.25 percent to4*a?n- Chair Dixon commented on the inflation rate and noted the rate of return is a direct result of how the investment is managed by CaIPERS. Mr. Bartel explained rate of return can be measured historically, adding that going fonruard, it is an assumption with two components including what the CaIPERS Board thinks inflation will be and what they think they will earn, above inflation, in the long run. Chair Dixon noted it is subjective in terms of projecting future rate of return because of certain constraints imposed on their investment policy. Committee Member Gorczyca added it is also based on risk-taking, and there are many other factors influencing that number. Finance Director Matusiewicz reported last year he stated CaIPERS may have overshot their mortality projection but warned that staff now believes they are unlikely to roll back the increase in mortality projections. Mr. Bartel opined that CaIPERS staff spoke sooner than they should have and concluding that CaIPERS will maintain a similar level of improvement. People are living longer and CaIPERS is anticipating it and building that into their numbers. Finance Director Matusiewicz added that the previous increase to mortality assumption was already factored into their assumption losses and had hoped for relief if CaIPERS were to roll it back, but it is not likely to happen now. Finance Directed Matusiewicz said he anticipated that the City would be budgeting between $32 to $35 million towards unfunded liabilities in 2018-2019 Chair Dixon stated this is where the City's long-term financial planning tool will come into play because the City will be able to play with the numbers. Finance Director Matusiewicz stated this is only one of many options in the City's financial plan, along with other objectives for the City to meet in its long-term goals. He added there may an opportunity for the City to lower its minimum required contribution by taking credit for significant positive investment gains credits sooner than later. lnvestment gains are normally amortized into the rate over a 30-year period. He noted there is a range of budget options to consider and suggested if the City were to continue a 1S-year pace, the City could lower its payment to $33.1 million. He addressed Fresh Start, the effect of other discretionary payments and stated, excluding the Fresh Start base, the remaining bases may net to a credit position as of June 30, 17. He reported more discussions will ensue with the budget. Page6of11 1 Burns, Marlene From:O'Neill, William Sent:Thursday, October 12, 2017 12:49 PM To:Burns, Marlene Cc:Dixon, Diane Subject:Minutes Alteration For today’s Finance Committee meeting, page 1 references my comments to Jim.  It states: “and acknowledged  discussion in Closed Session regarding overtime compensation but noted he is unable to comment, as it is a Closed  Session matter.”  That is incorrect.  It should read: “and acknowledged that a matter was agendized for discussion at  Closed Session concerning the Flores issue but noted he is unable to comment, as it is a Closed Session matter.”  There is  a really big difference.  Will O’Neill  City of Newport Beach  City Councilmember  100 Civic Center Drive  Newport Beach, CA 92660  woneill@newportbeachca.gov  Item No. 4A2 Draft Minutes of September 14, 2017 Correspondence October 12, 2017 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH FINANCE COMMITTEE STAFF REPORT Agenda Item No. 5A October 12, 2017 TO: HONORABLE CHAIR AND MEMBERS OF THE COMMITTEE FROM: Finance Department Dan Matusiewicz, Finance Director (949) 644-3123 or danm@newportbeachca.gov SUBJECT: INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE REVIEW EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This memorandum provides a financial markets overview and reports the performance of the City’s investment portfolio relative to the City’s investment objectives through September 30, 2017. All investments are in compliance with California Government Code and the City’s adopted Statement of Investment Policy. DISCUSSION Financial Markets Overview The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left the fed funds target rate unchanged at a range of 1.00-1.25 percent at the September 19-20 meeting. As expected, the Committee announced it will initiate its balance sheet normalization program in October. The process of unwinding the Fed's $4.5 trillion balance sheet will begin gradually by allowing $6 billion per month in Treasury securities and $4 billion per month in mortgage-backed and agency securities to roll off the balance sheet. Over time, the amounts will slowly increase to $30 billion per month in Treasury securities and $20 billion per month in mortgage-backed and agency securities. The Fed's plans to unwind the balance sheet was widely telegraphed and the policy statement was generally in line with expectations. There were no dissenting votes among FOMC members in September. The Fed's updated economic projections still indicate one more rate hike before year-end is expected. However, the Fed lowered its median longer-run fed funds rate projection to 2.8 percent from 3.0 percent. The Fed's other economic projections were little changed, although the median 2018 inflation forecast was lowered slightly, suggesting that the Committee now thinks inflation may remain below the Fed's 2.0 percent target until 2019. GDP grew by 3.1 percent in the second quarter, following growth of 1.2 percent in the first quarter. The consensus forecast currently calls for GDP growth of about 2.6 percent in the current quarter. We believe economists may trim their forecast for third quarter GDP growth, to reflect disruptions caused by Hurricanes Harvey and Irma. Tax reform or fiscal stimulus may ultimately help fuel stronger economic growth, but the timing and magnitude of such programs remains uncertain. The Treasury yield curve steepened in September, partially reversing some of the curve flattening that has happened year-to-date. The 2-year Treasury yield increased 16 basis points in September to 1.48 percent and the 10-year Treasury yield increased about 22 basis points to 2.33 percent. On a year-to-date basis, Investment Performance Review October 12, 2017 Page 2 the 2-year Treasury yield increased 29 basis points and the 10-year Treasury yield declined 11 basis points. Since the beginning of this year, some experts believe market participants have grown skeptical that the Trump administration will deliver on many of their legislative objectives. However, the administration recently outlined a general framework for tax reform, sparking some renewed optimism that changes to the tax code may help boost economic growth. (Source: Chandler) Second quarter GDP grew at an annualized pace of 3.1 percent, following growth of 1.2 percent in the first quarter. Second quarter GDP growth was revised up slightly from the second estimate of 3.0 percent, after being revised up from the advance estimate of 2.6 percent. Growth was driven by consumer spending and business investment. The Consensus forecast currently calls for GDP growth of about 2.6 percent in the third quarter. (Source: US Department of Commerce) 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% US Treasury Yield Curve Sep-17 Jun-17 Sep-16 Yi e l d ( % ) -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% Gross Domestic Product (GDP) GDP QOQ % Change GDP YOY % Change Investment Performance Review October 12, 2017 Page 3 Nonfarm payrolls rose 156,000 in August, weaker than the 180,000 consensus estimate of economists. In addition, June and July payrolls were revised down by a total of 41,000. On a trailing 3-month and 6-month basis, payrolls increased by an average of 185,000 and 160,000 per month, respectively. The unemployment rate increased to 4.4 percent in August from 4.3 percent in July, and the labor participation rate held steady at 62.9 percent. A broader measure of unemployment called the U-6, which includes those who are marginally attached to the labor force and employed part time for economic reasons, was unchanged from the prior month at 8.6 percent. Wages increased 0.1 percent in August and 2.5 percent on a year-over-year basis. (Source: US Department of Labor) (Source: US Department of Labor) 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% 11.0% 12.0% 13.0% Unemployment Rate Underemployment Rate (U6) Unemployment Rate (U3) Ra t e ( % ) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 MO M C h a n g e I n ( 0 0 0 ' s ) Nonfarm Payroll (000's) Investment Performance Review October 12, 2017 Page 4 Investment Portfolio Overview The City’s strategy continues to focus on identifying value from high quality marketable securities among the full range of investment options ensuring the portfolio continues to be well diversified. As of September 30, 2017, the City’s entire investment portfolio totaled over $236 million. These investments are pooled assets of the City Newport Beach, which includes the General Fund, special revenue funds, internal service funds, the enterprise funds (i.e., Water and Wastewater), as well as various other funds. Ultra Short-Term Portfolio The City uses a combination of demand deposit accounts (DDA), the Local Agency Investment Fund (LAIF), and short-term securities to provide sufficient liquidity to meet its day-to-day operating requirements. Municipal deposits in DDA accounts are 110 percent collateralized by bank assets, and the City received a compensating balance credit against bank fees at an average rate of 0.51 percent during September 2017. The average investment life of LAIF was 194 days at June 30, 2017. LAIF’s earning’s rate for the quarter ending June 30, 2017, was 0.92 percent. (LAIF reports this information quarterly. At the time of this writing, LAIF had not yet released the information for the quarter ending September 30, 2017.) Money that is likely to be spent in the near future, that is not needed immediately, is invested in a short-term investment account, and will be withdrawn when the City’s cash in-flow is at its slowest pace. As of September 30, 2017, this account held about $26 million in securities. These securities may be either new purchases, or securities transferred from one of the City’s short-term accounts. Securities maturing when the City’s cash in-flow is more than sufficient to cover its cash out-flow will be reinvested for maturity when cash in-flows are not sufficient. It is anticipated that these investments will be expended commensurately with the City’s anticipated cash needs during that time period. By laddering security maturities, the City is able to earn a slightly higher rate of return than it would otherwise earn with LAIF. As of September 30, 2017, the average yield-to-maturity on this group of securities was 1.391 percent. Short-Term Portfolio The City’s core investment portfolio of almost $174 million is actively managed in accordance with the California Government Code and the City’s investment policy. The investments are held by a custody bank and are registered in the City’s name. The City accounts for and monitors the portfolio independently of the investment advisors, by a direct feed from the custody bank and the use of third party analytical software. The core portfolio also follows a relatively short-term bond strategy. At the end of September 2017, the core portfolio’s weighted average life was approximately 1.8 years. With that life, the core portfolio has an average yield-to-maturity of 1.58 percent (forward looking measure). This portfolio aims to find value and maximize yield within the high quality fixed income market within the duration range of the City’s strategic benchmarks. The City currently uses the Bank of America Merrill Lynch 1-3 Year US Treasuries index as one benchmark. The City also uses a second benchmark, the Bank of America Merrill Lynch 1-3 Year US Gov/Corp A Rated and Above securities index, which is more reflective of the portfolio’s risk and return characteristics. The use of two benchmarks provides a means to evaluate the added value that high quality corporate bonds bring to the portfolio. The City’s core portfolio finished the twelve months ending September 30, 2017, with a total return of 0.68 percent. As illustrated in the chart on the following page, by the end of those twelve months, virtually all of the total return was from the income return on the securities in the portfolio. Price return for the portfolio by the end of that time period was negative, partially offsetting the positive income return. The likely explanation of this is the Federal Reserve increasing its target federal funds rate by 25 basis points three times (December 2016, March 2017, and June 2017). As interest rates increase, bond prices decrease creating unrealized losses and therefore significantly diluting total return as is illustrated on the following Investment Performance Review October 12, 2017 Page 5 chart. It is important to note however, that unrealized losses only become realized if securities are sold prior to maturity. Cumulative Monthly Returns for the Twelve Months Ending September 30, 2017 In the comparisons below, the portfolio’s return compares favorably to both of its benchmarks. The favorable comparison was driven primarily due to active management and security selection. Short-Term Portfolio Two Year Comparison of For the Twelve Months Ending September 30, 2017 and 2016 2017 2016 Portfolio Returns Income Return 1.286%1.083% Price Return -0.606%0.128% Total Return 0.680%1.211% Benchmark Returns B of A ML 1-3 Year US Treasuries 0.237%0.884% B of A ML 1-3 Year US Gov/Corp A Rated and Above 0.489%1.119% Ending Duration Short-term Portfolio 1.787 1.756 B of A ML 1-3 Year US Treasuries 1.879 1.903 B of A ML 1-3 Year US Gov/Corp A Rated and Above 1.885 1.896 September 30 Investment Performance Review October 12, 2017 Page 6 Short-Term Portfolio Benchmark Comparisons 1, 3 & 5 Year Returns Prepared by: Submitted by: /s/Jeremiah Lim /s/Dan Matusiewicz Jeremiah Lim Dan Matusiewicz Accountant Finance Director Annualized Returns at 9/30/2017 1 Year Ending 3 Years Ending 5 Years Ending Short-Term Portfolio 9/30/2017 9/30/2017 9/30/2017 Income Return 1.286%1.085%0.956% Price Return -0.600%-0.048%-0.115% Total Return 0.686%1.038%0.845% B of A ML 1-3 Year US Treasuries 0.237%0.758%0.628% B of A ML 1-3 Year US Gov/Corp A Rated and Above 0.489%0.937%0.810% 9255 Towne Centre Drive | Suite 350 | San Diego, CA 92121-3039 | Phone800.317.4747 | Fax 858.546.3741 | www.chandlerasset.com CHANDLER ASSET MAN AGEMEN T Period Ending September 30, 2017 City of Newport Beach Investment Report Item No. 5A1 Investment Performance Review Presentation October 12, 2017 Table of Contents Economic Update Financial Market Landscape Portfolio Review SECTION 1 SECTION 2 SECTION 3 2 SECTION 1 Economic Update 3 GDP grew by 3.1%in the second quarter,following growth of 1.2%in the first quarter.The consensus forecast currently calls for GDP growth of about 2.6%in the current quarter.We believe economists may trim their forecast for third quarter GDP growth,to reflect disruptions caused by Hurricanes Harvey and Irma.Tax reform or fiscal stimulus may ultimately help fuel stronger economic growth,but the timing and magnitude of such programs remains uncertain. Economic Update    The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)left the fed funds target rate unchanged at a range of 1.00%-1.25%at the September 19-20 meeting.As expected,the Committee announced it will initiate its balance sheet normalization program in October.The process of unwinding the Fed’s $4.5 trillion balance sheet will begin gradually by allowing $6 billion per month in Treasury securities and $4 billion per month in mortgage-backed and agency securities to roll off the balance sheet.Over time,the amounts will slowly increase to $30 billion per month in Treasury securities and $20 billion per month in mortgage-backed and agency securities.The Fed’s plans to unwind the balance sheet was widely telegraphed and the policy statement was generally in line with expectations.There were no dissenting votes among FOMC members in September.The Fed’s updated economic projections still indicate one more rate hike before year- end is expected.However,the Fed lowered its median longer-run fed funds rate projection to 2.8%from 3.0%.The Fed’s other economic projections were little changed,although the median 2018 inflation forecast was lowered slightly, suggesting that the Committee now thinks inflation may remain below the Fed’s 2.0% target until 2019. The Treasury yield curve steepened in September,partially reversing some of the curve flattening that has happened year-to-date.The 2-year Treasury yield increased 16 basis points in September to 1.48%and the 10-year Treasury yield increased about 22 basis points to 2.33%.On a year-to-date basis,the 2-year Treasury yield increased 29 basis points and the 10-year Treasury yield declined 11 basis points.Since the beginning of this year,we believe market participants have grown skeptical that the Trump administration will deliver on many of their legislative objectives. However,the administration recently outlined a general framework for tax reform,sparking some renewed optimism that changes to the tax code may help boost economic growth. 4 Nonfarm payrolls rose 156,000 in August,weaker than the 180,000 consensus estimate of economists.In addition,June and July payrolls were revised down by a total of 41,000.On a trailing 3-month and 6-month basis,payrolls increased by an average of 185,000 and 160,000 per month,respectively.The unemployment rate increased to 4.4%in August from 4.3%in July,and the labor participation rate held steady at 62.9%.A broader measure of unemployment called the U-6,which includes those who are marginally attached to the labor force and employed part time for economic reasons,was unchanged from the prior month at 8.6%.Wages increased 0.1%in August and 2.5% on a year-over-year basis. Employment Source: US Department of Labor Source: US Department of Labor 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 MO M C h a n g e I n ( 0 0 0 ' s ) Nonfarm Payroll (000's) 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% 11.0% 12.0% 13.0% Unemployment Rate Underemployment Rate (U6) Unemployment Rate (U3) Ra t e ( % ) 5 The Consumer Price Index (CPI)was up 1.9%year-over-year in August,versus up 1.7%year-over-year in July.Core CPI (CPI less food and energy)was up just 1.7%year-over-year in August,unchanged from the prior month.The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE)index was up 1.4%year-over-year in August,unchanged from June or July.Core PCE (excluding food and energy) was up just 1.3% year-over-year in August, versus up 1.4% year-over-year in July. Inflation remains below the Fed's 2.0% target. Inflation Source: US Department of Labor Source: US Department of Labor -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% Consumer Price Index (CPI) CPI YOY % Change Core CPI YOY % Change YO Y ( % ) C h a n g e -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) PCE Price Deflator YOY % Change PCE Core Deflator YOY % Change YO Y ( % ) C h a n g e 6 On a year-over-year basis,total retail sales were up 3.2%in August compared with a 3.5%increase in July.On a month-over-month basis,retail sales declined 0.2%in August,below expectations for a 0.1%increase.Excluding autos and gas,retail sales fell 0.1%in August.Overall,August retail sales were lackluster.Although August results may have been negatively impacted by Hurricane Harvey, the retail sales figures for July were also revised down.Meanwhile,the consumer confidence index remained strong in September at 119.8 versus 120.4 in August, despite weakness in the hurricane states of Texas and Florida. Consumer Source: US Department of Commerce Source: Federal Reserve 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% Retail Sales YOY % Change YO Y ( % ) C h a n g e 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 In d e x L e v e l Consumer Confidence 7 The Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI)rose 0.4%in August,following a 0.3%increase in July.The increase in the LEI suggests economic growth may improve through year-end.However,the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI)decreased to - 0.04 in August on a 3-month moving average basis from zero in July.According to the Chicago Fed,the CFNAI points to subpar economic growth. Overall, we believe the economy remains on a slow growth trajectory. Economic Activity -0.4% -0.3% -0.2% -0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) MO M ( % ) C h a n g e -0.60 -0.40 -0.20 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3 M o n t h A v e r a g e Source: The Conference Board Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 8 Total housing starts fell slightly in August but were still stronger than expected.Single-family starts increased 1.6%in August,partially offsetting a 6.5%decline in multi-family starts.Permits were stronger than expected in August,up 5.7%,driven by a 19.6%surge in multi-family permits.Overall,the August housing starts report was favorable,particularly considering it includes some effects from Hurricane Harvey.According to the Case-Shiller 20-City home price index,home prices were up 5.8%year-over-year in July,versus up 5.6% year-over-year in June. Housing Source: US Census Bureau Source: S&P 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 MO M C h a n g e ( I n T h o u s a n d s o f U n i t s ) Housing Starts Multi Family Housing Starts Single Family Housing Starts 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% S&P/CaseShiller 20 City Composite Home Price Index YO Y ( % ) C h a n g e 9 The Institute for Supply Management (ISM)manufacturing index increased to 60.8 in September from 58.0 in August.A reading above 50.0 suggests the manufacturing sector is expanding.Meanwhile,capacity utilization,which is production divided by capacity, decreased to 76.1%in August from 76.9%in July.The capacity utilization rate remains below the long-run average of 79.9%(1972- 2016), suggesting there is still excess capacity in the industrial sector. Manufacturing Source: Institute for Supply Management Source: Federal Reserve 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 Institute of Supply Management Purchasing Manager Index Expanding Contracting 74.0% 75.0% 76.0% 77.0% 78.0% 79.0% Capacity Utilization Ra t e ( % ) 10 Second quarter GDP grew at an annualized pace of 3.1%,following growth of 1.2%in the first quarter.Second quarter GDP growth was revised up slightly from the second estimate of 3.0%, after being revised up from the advance estimate of 2.6%. Growth was driven by consumer spending and business investment.The consensus forecast currently calls for GDP growth of about 2.6%in the third quarter. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Source: US Department of Commerce Source: US Department of Commerce 9/16 12/16 3/17 6/17 1.9%2.0%1.3%2.2% 0.4%1.3%-0.2%0.6% 0.4%-1.6%0.2%0.2% 0.1%0.0%-0.2%0.1% 0.0%0.1%0.1%-0.2% 2.8%1.8%1.2%3.1% Federal Government Expenditures Total Net Exports and Imports Personal Consumption Expenditures Gross Private Domestic Investment State and Local (Consumption and Gross Investment) Components of GDP -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% Gross Domestic Product (GDP) GDP QOQ % Change GDP YOY % Change 11 SECTION 2 Financial Market Landscape 12 Investment Landscape Highlights ■Reshaping the Federal Reserve: ■On October 13, 2017 there will be three vacancies on the Federal Reserve. ■Balance Sheet reduction starts October 2017. ■Chair Yellen’s four-year term ends on February 3, 2018. ■Interest rates have moved off their extreme historical lows mitigating some of the risks related to rising rates on bond portfolios. ■Low yield over the last 10 years: ■2 Year US Treasury note: 0.16% (9/19/2011) ■5 Year US Treasury note: 0.54% (7/24/2012) 13 Federal Reserve Federal Open Markets Committee 2017 Members Janet Yellen Chair, Board of Governors William Dudley Vice Chair, New York Lael Brainard Board of Governors Jerome Powell Board of Governors Stanley Fischer* Board of Governors Randal Quarles** Board of Governors VacantBoardof Governors VacantBoard of Governors Charles EvansChicago Robert KaplanDallas Neel KashkariMinneapolis Patrick HarkerPhiladelphia Federal Open Markets Committee Alternate Members Raphael Bostic Atlanta Loretta Mester Cleveland Mark Mullinix First Vice President, Richmond John Williams San Francisco Michael Strine First Vice President, New York *Retires on October 13,2017 **Randal Quarles was confirmed by the Senate on October 5,2017. Source:Federal Reserve and US Department of Commerce 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% -10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% Fe d ' s B a l a n c e S h e e t % o f G D P GD P Q o Q % G r o w t h Fed's Balance Sheet as a % of GDP GDP QoQ 14 Central Bank Balance Sheets 15 Source: Bloomberg (In Billions)(In Billions) Historical US Treasury Rates 16 Source: Bloomberg The yield curve has flattened meaningfully this year. The spread between 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields was just 85 basis points at the end of September,compared to 126 at the end of 2016.In the three months ending in September,the 2-year Treasury yield increased about ten basis points while the 10-year Treasury yield increased just three basis points.Immediately following the US Presidential election last fall,the Treasury yield curve steepened meaningfully,driven by heightened expectations for tax reform,fiscal stimulus,and above-trend economic growth under the Trump administration.However,market participants are skeptical the Trump administration will deliver on their legislative agenda. Bond Yields Source: Bloomberg 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% US Treasury Note Yields 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year Yi e l d ( % ) 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% US Treasury Yield Curve Sep-17 Jun-17 Sep-16 Yi e l d ( % ) 17 SECTION 3 Portfolio Review 18 Segmenting the Portfolio LAIF and Money Market Funds Matching maturities to known expenditures Money market instruments Agency Discount Notes Commercial Paper Certificates of Deposit Target generally to a higher duration to enhance the potential to increase earnings Investment Strategies: Limited Maturity 1-3 Year Short Term Bond 1-5 Year* Intermediate Bond 1-10 Year* Total Portfolio Reserve PortfolioLiquidity Portfolio 19 (Ultra Short-term) *Not Currently Utilized Sector Distribution City of Newport Beach, California September 30, 2017 20 Sector Mkt Value % of Portfolio ABS 10,047,301 5.0% Agency 83,830,504 41.9% Commerical Paper 7,232,785 3.6% Money Market Fund FI 165,591 0.1% Negotible CD 14,500,954 7.2% Supranational 8,016,042 4.0% US Corporate 46,854,297 23.4% US Treasury 29,528,108 14.8% Total 200,175,582 100.0% ABS5.0% Agency41.9%Commerical Paper 3.6% Money Market Fund FI 0.1% Negotible CD7.2% Supranational 4.0% US Corporate 23.4% US Treasury14.8% Liquidity Alternatives Effective Yield Bank Compensating Credit 0.60% Money Market 0.82% LAIF as of 8/30/2017 1.08% Portfolio Segment Yield to Maturity Ultra Short-term 1.39% Limited-Term 1.58% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 0-0.25 0.25-0.50 0.50-1.0 1.0-2.0 2.0-3.0 3.0-4.0 4.0-5.0 5+ Portfolio BAML 1-3 Year Treasury Duration Distribution City of Newport Beach, California September 30, 2017 21 Cumulative Monthly Returns September 2016 to 2017 Short-Term Portfolio Performance CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH FINANCE COMMITTEE STAFF REPORT Agenda Item No. 5B October 12, 2017 TO: HONORABLE CHAIR AND MEMBERS OF THE COMMITTEE FROM: Finance Department Dan Matusiewicz, Finance Director (949) 644-3123 or danm@newportbeachca.gov SUBJECT: INVESTMENT ADVISOR CONTRACT DISCUSSION DISCUSSION Committee member Gorczyca requests that the Finance Committee reconsider its recommendation to award investment advisor contract, solely, to Chandler Asset Management. The previous investment advisor recommendation staff reports and presentations are attached. Prepared by: Submitted by: /s/ Steve Montano /s/ Dan Matusiewicz Steve Montano Dan Matusiewicz Deputy Finance Director Finance Director Attachments: A. Investment Advisor Discussion and Recommendation, September 14, 2017 B. Investment Advisor Recommendation, September 15, 2016 C. PowerPoint Presentations (2) Used During the September 14, 2017, Finance Committee Meeting ATTACHMENT A INVESTMENT ADVISOR DISCUSSION AND RECOMMENDATION, SEPTEMBER 14, 2017 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH FINANCE COMMITTEE STAFF REPORT Agenda Item No. 5A September 14, 2017 TO: HONORABLE CHAIR AND MEMBERS OF THE COMMITTEE FROM: Finance Department Dan Matusiewicz, Finance Director (949) 644-3123 or danm@newportbeachca.gov SUBJECT: INVESTMENT ADVISOR DISCUSSION AND RECOMMENDATION SUMMARY: Staff respectfully requests that the Finance Committee reconsider its recommendation to award contracts to two investment advisors and award a contract solely to Chandler Asset Management (Chandler) on the basis that the City’s invested assets will remain sufficiently diverse and safe under one investment advisor. The use of one investment advisor is efficient, less costly and appropriate for a City of Newport Beach’s size; and Chandler manages assets for several agencies with assets in excess of $100 million and has shown greater responsiveness to the City’s needs over the years. RECOMMENDATIONS: (1) Retain the services of Chandler Asset Management as the City’s sole investment advisor and enter into a five-year contract based on the firm’s proposal for an annual savings of more than $25,000 per year as compared to a two-investment advisor arrangement. (2) Terminate the existing investment management contract with PFM Asset Management. With Finance Committee concurrence of staff’s recommendation, staff will proceed with the recommended action and bring the new investment advisor contract with Chandler to the City Council for approval. DISCUSSION: As part of its due diligence, staff conducts a complete and competitive selection process for investment advisory services at the end of every five-year contract term. The contracts for the City’s two investment advisory firms Chandler Asset Management (Chandler) and PFM Asset Management (PFM), were originally set to expire in June 2016, but were extended through December 2017, in order to allow sufficient time to solicit new proposals from investment advisory firms. The City issued a Request for Proposal (RFP) for Investment Advisory Services on May 16, 2016. By the proposal due date of June 17, 2016, six firms submitted proposals. The City hired the firm Portfolio Services for Government, LLC (PSG) to review RFP expectations and logistics with the City, prepare the RFP documents, analyze and summarize RFP responses, and facilitate the finalist interview process. Investment Advisor Contract Discussion and Recommendation September 14, 2017 Page 2 Staff evaluated proposals from investment advisory firms to evaluate the possibility of reducing its number of investment managers in order to greatly improve efficiency and reduce fees in the process. During the September 15, 2016, Finance Committee meeting, staff recommended retaining the investment advisory services of Chandler Asset Management (Chandler) as its sole investment advisor and that the City enter into a five-year contract based on the firm’s new proposal. (See Attachment A). The Finance Committee recommended the City Council enter into five-year contracts with two firms, PFM and Chandler, and expressed the following concerns with hiring only one investment advisor: • The City would not realize a diversification of asset classes through the use of only one investment advisory firm. • Maintaining two investment advisors provides the means to evaluate the relative performance of each firm (check and balance) and facilitate a spirit of competition that will result in higher performance. • Chandler is a relatively small firm that has few clients with assets under management greater than $100 million, or at least the size of Newport Beach’s portfolio. Staff respectfully requests that the Finance Committee reconsider its recommendation and award the investment advisor contract solely to Chandler based on the additional information provided below. The City’s Invested Assets Will Remain Sufficiently Diverse and Safe Under One Investment Advisor California Government Code contains very specific provisions regarding the types of investments and practices permitted and statute specifies a percentage restriction on a certain categories of investment. These legal requirements are designed to meet the broad requirement of preserving principal and maintaining liquidity before seeking yield. As the result, there is no variability in the asset classes used by PFM and Chandler and only differences in the relative size of the asset classes utilized by each firm. Market performance for both firms over the years has been nearly the same. Lastly, the City’s assets are registered in the City’s name and held by a custodial bank so the likelihood of embezzlement is eliminated. Investment Advisor Contract Discussion and Recommendation September 14, 2017 Page 3 The Use of One Investment Advisor is Efficient, Less Costly and Appropriate for a City of Newport Beach’s Size In moving to one investment manager from two, the City will lower its fee structure; further optimize the investment program by better managing short-term liquidity and long-term funds under one manager; reduce coordination efforts and the number of quarterly meetings with investment advisors from eight to four per year; conduct fewer account reconciliations and substantially reducing the incremental cost of investing from 7 basis points (bps) to 4 bps on newly invested capital. Chandler’s proposal would provide an annual savings of more than $25,000 per year as compared to the City’s current two-investment advisor arrangement. Responding firms proposed a tiered fee structure based on the total assets under management. The relative rankings, average fee rate and cost based on $185 million are summarized in the table to the right. Staff was not successful with negotiating a lower fee structure than was originally proposed by PFM. When asked, Chandler did accept a lower counter fee proposal. Staff surveyed all Orange County cities and found that Newport Beach is the only City in the County that uses more than one investment advisor and approximately half manage their investments in- house. Six cities in Orange County have portfolios larger than Newport Beach. Chandler Manages Assets for Several Agencies with Assets in Excess of $100 Million and Has Shown Greater Responsiveness to the City’s Needs Over the Years Chandler manages assets for 22 public agencies in California with assets greater than Newport Beach, and for nine agencies with assets greater than $300 million. While PFM is a larger firm, Chandler has a higher qualitative dedication of portfolio management resources. The average number of accounts served per portfolio manager for Chandler is 21 while for PFM it is 40. This may explain why PFM has experienced a greater rate of client attrition than Chandler. The number of discontinued firm’s services in the last three years for Chandler has been three; whereas for PFM the number is 31. Investment Advisor Contract Discussion and Recommendation September 14, 2017 Page 4 Chandler is currently the best fit for City at present because of their narrow focus on fixed income investments, frequent direct communication with portfolio managers, customizable solutions, favorable pricing when compared to PFM and other intangibles. Chandler, unlike PFM, also has a proven track record of understanding and delivering on the City’s cash flow needs. Chandler also has a history of providing excellent service and has consistently performed well in up and down market conditions. Since 1991, Chandler’s portfolio managers have worked diligently to invest the City’s portfolio in a manner that fulfills the specific objectives for safety, liquidity and income in a prudent manner at a very competitive price. Prepared by: Submitted by: /s/ Steve Montano /s/ Dan Matusiewicz Steve Montano Dan Matusiewicz Deputy Finance Director Finance Director Attachment: A. Investment Advisor Recommendation Staff Report to the Finance Committee, September 15, 2016 ATTACHMENT B INVESTMENT ADVISOR RECOMMENDATION, SEPTEMBER 15, 2016 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH FINANCE COMMITTEE STAFF REPORT Agenda Item No. 5B September 15, 2016 TO: HONORABLE CHAIR AND MEMBERS OF THE COMMITTEE FROM: Finance Department Dan Matusiewicz, Finance Director (949)644-3123 or danm@newportbeachca.gov SUBJECT: INVESTMENT ADVISOR RECOMMENDATION SUMMARY: The Finance Department has outsourced the management of the City’s investment portfolio for more than twenty-five years. With increased staff workloads over the years, it is increasingly clear that the City’s portfolio has benefited from full time expert management by professionally managed investment firms. As part of its due diligence, staff intends to continually evaluate the City’s comprehensive investment program needs and conduct a complete and competitive selection process for investment advisory services at the end of every five-year contract term. The City issued a Request for Proposal (RFP) for Investment Advisory Services on May 16, 2016. By the proposal due date of June 17, 2016, six firms submitted proposals. Staff narrowed its selection to three firms, conducted interviews, and selected Chandler Asset Management (Chandler) as the sole investment manager. We believe Chandler to be the best overall fit for the City at this time. In moving to one investment manager from two, the City will lower its fee structure; further optimize the investment program by better managing short-term liquidity and long-term funds under one manager; reduce coordination efforts and the number of quarterly meetings with investment advisors from eight to four per year; conduct fewer account reconciliations and substantially reducing the incremental cost of investing from 7 basis points (bps) to 4 bps on newly invested capital. RECOMMENDED ACTION: Staff recommends retaining the services of Chandler and the City enter into a five-year contract based on the firm’s new proposal for an annual savings of more than $25,000 per year as compared to a two investment advisor arrangement. In addition, staff recommends terminating the existing investment management contract with PFM Asset Management as of December 31, 2016. With Finance Committee concurrence of staff’s recommendation, staff will proceed with the recommended action and bring the new investment advisor contract to the City Council for approval. DISCUSSION: The Finance Department has outsourced the management of the City’s investment portfolio for more than twenty-five years. With increased staff workloads over the years, it is increasingly clear that the City’s portfolio has benefited from full time expert management by professionally managed investment firms. During the last eight years, the Federal Government has kept interest rates historically low, and reduced the inventory of agency securities making investing the City’s idle money and diversifying the portfolio more challenging. Contracting for investment advisory services avails the City to a full complement of investment services that would not be possible to do in-house without the economy of scale that full-time Investment Advisor Recommendation September 15, 2016 Page 2 investment advisory services command. This means our investment portfolio is invested more safely because it benefits from full-time professional attention, ongoing credit analysis and the industry tools and resources to manage public funds effectively and prudently. The City previously engaged five separate investment managers and five separate custodial banks to oversee and safeguard its investment portfolio. In 2011, the City evaluated proposals from investment advisory firms to evaluate the possibility of reducing its number of investment managers and custody banks greatly improving efficiency and reducing fees in the process. Based on the circumstances at that time, the City reduced the number of service providers to Chandler, Cutwater Asset Management (Cutwater), and PFM Asset Management (PFM) who each were awarded five-year contracts. On October 6, 2014, the firm BNY Mellon, our current custody bank, announced its intention to acquire Cutwater. The City terminated its contract with Cutwater shortly after and transferred the assets previously managed by Cutwater to Chandler and PFM proportionately. As part of its due diligence, staff intends to conduct a complete and competitive selection process for investment advisory services at the end of every five-year contract term. The contracts for Chandler and PFM, originally set to expire in June 2016, were extended through December 2016 in order to allow sufficient time to solicit new proposals from investment advisory firms. Staff has traditionally undertaken the task of planning, preparing and facilitating the RFP process for investment advisory services. Since the City had already engaged two excellent firms, the task to differentiate the quality of services and best fit was going to be a difficult task. Staff thought it was prudent to hire a consultant with (1) years of industry experience who could attract a group of highly qualified firms to respond to the RFP; (2) a demonstrated commitment to government excellence; (3) and the ability to undertake this important and detailed work during a time when staff was consumed with preparing the Fiscal Year 2016-2017 Budget and undertaking the ERP implementation. The City hired the firm Portfolio Services for Government, LLC (PSG) to review RFP expectations and logistics with the City, prepare the RFP documents, analyze and summarize RFP responses, and facilitate the finalist interview process. Together with PSG, the City issued a Request for Proposal (RFP) for Investment Advisory Services on May 16, 2016. By the proposal due date of June 17, 2016, six firms submitted proposals, including: Atlanta Capital, Chandler, Eaton Vance Management, PFM, Public Trust Assets, and Reams Asset Management. Proposals were submitted in two parts, including a written technical proposal and a separated sealed dollar cost bid. Under the coordination of the Finance Director and PSG, proposals were reviewed and ranked by a three-person Selection Committee comprised of the Finance Director, the Deputy Finance Director and a staff Accountant in charge of investment accounting and reconciliation. The written technical proposals were reviewed and ranked by the Committee before the sealed dollar cost bids were opened and scored. Staff evaluated and ranked each firm’s proposals based on qualifications and experience, management approach and discipline, value added services, and fees. Due to the lower rankings assigned to Reams, Atlanta Capital, and Eaton Vance, staff did not advance these three firms for further consideration. Staff narrowed their selection consideration to Chandler, PFM, and Public Trust – all reputable firms that have experience with meeting investment goals while providing continuity through challenging market cycles. These firms were then invited back to a finalist presentation and interview responding to sixteen specific questions that were provided to them in advance, and to respond to any other questions the Selection Committee chose to probe further into. While the three finalists met the qualifications; based on the technical content of the proposals, the quality and experience of the proposed engagement staff, comparable clients, and other intangibles; the Selection Committee ranked Chandler as the top overall proposer deemed best able to meet the City’s overall needs. Sealed dollar cost bids were opened and revealed annual cost. Firms proposed a tiered fee structure based on the total assets under management. The relative rankings, average fee rate and cost based on $185 million are summarized in the table to follow: Investment Advisor Recommendation September 15, 2016 Page 3 While any of the three finalists would make a great choice, staff selected Chandler as the sole investment manager. The City values the relationship it has had with its past investment advisors, we believe Chandler is currently the best fit for City at present because of their narrow focus on fixed income investments, frequent direct communication with portfolio managers, customizable solutions, favorable pricing and other intangibles. Chandler also has proven track record of understanding and delivering on the City’s cash flow needs, a history of providing excellent service and has consistently performed well in up and down market conditions. Since 1991, Chandler’s portfolio managers have worked diligently to invest the City’s portfolio in a manner that fulfills the specific objectives for safety, liquidity and income in a prudent manner at a very competitive price. Chandler Asset Management is an SEC-registered investment advisor and woman-owned business enterprise with its principal place of business located in San Diego, California. Chandler’s primary focus is managing funds for public agencies and other conservative-minded clients who are guided by the objectives of preservation of principal, access to cash, and maximization of investment outcome without undue exposure to risk. Public Trust is a relatively new firm that has been in operation for five years. While Public Trust has highly experienced financial professionals, staff believes that having a few more years as an established firm would make it more attractive. Although the City has been very satisfied with the past expert performance of PFM, City Staff believes that a single investment manager could more efficiently manage its portfolio at a lower cost and streamline treasury operations without introducing new portfolio risk. In moving to one investment manager, the City will lower its fee structure from approximately $140,000 to $114,000, a savings of over $25,000 per year based on a $185 million average balance. The City will also optimize the investment program by making better use of liquidity and long-term funds. There will be additional staff efficiency by reducing coordination efforts, reducing the number of quarterly meetings with investment advisors year and fewer account reconciliations. The incremental cost of investing new funds is also reduced by reaching lower tiered pricing through one investment advisor. Prepared by: Submitted by: /s/ Steve Montano /s/ Dan Matusiewicz Steve Montano Dan Matusiewicz Deputy Finance Director Finance Director Attachment: A. Chandler Asset Management RFP Proposal ATTACHMENT C POWERPOINT PRESENTATIONS (2) USED DURING THE SEPTEMBER 14, 2017, FINANCE COMMITTEE MEETING City of Newport Beach Finance Committee September 14, 2017 Presented by Terry McCall, Principal Portfolio Services for Government, LLC Item No. 5A1 Investment Advisor Contract Discussion and Recommendation Presentation September 14, 2017 Terry McCall, Principal Experience: Principal and Owner of PSG, has advised numerous cities , counties , special districts and federal agencies since 2008 Former CFO City of Gresham, OR Former Vice President, US Bank PSG Scope Assess the overall effectiveness of investment portfolio and investment policies Investment Advisor RFP development and selection Investment Advisor Selection Process Portfolio Services for Government (PSG) facilitated process Issued Request for Proposals (May 2016) 6 firms responded PSG analyzed/compared proposals Staff narrowed to 3 finalists for interviews: Chandler Asset Management PFM Asset Management Public Trust Advisors Firms were evaluated and ranked based on qualifications and experience, management approach and discipline, value added services, and fees. Staff narrowed finalists to Chandler and PFM Notable Qualification Topics Chandler Asset Mgt PFM Asset Mgt Firm highly qualified?Yes Yes Assets Under Management 255 accounts $9.5 Bn 668 accounts $94.8 Bn Accounts added last 3 years 153 210 Accounts closed last 3 years 3 (1.2% of 255)31 (4.6% of 668) Reported performance compared to benchmarks (Note: Fairly similar; differences were slight) •Short-term lower •Long-term higher •Short-term higher •Long-term lower Selected Qualification Topics Chandler Asset Mgt PFM Asset Mgt Average accounts per portfolio manager 21 40 Agree just 1 advisor needed?Yes Yes Advantage to City Workload & Costs Workload & Costs Willingness to negotiate fees?Yes No Things to consider: City’s portfolio size is a better fit for 1 advisor versus 2 or more (Portfolios over $1 Billion may be able to justify multiple firms) Staff likes both firms but sees the overall fit as better with Chandler Reconsideration of Investment Advisor Recommendation Finance Committee Meeting September 14, 2017 Background •During the September 16, 2016, Finance Committee meeting, staff recommended retaining the investment advisory services of Chandler Asset Management (Chandler) as its sole investment advisor and that the City enter into a five-year contract based on the firm’s new proposal. •The Finance Committee recommended the City Council enter into five-year contracts with two firms, PFM and Chandler. Background The Finance Committee expressed the following concerns with hiring only one investment advisor: •The City would not realize a diversification of asset classes through the use of only one investment advisory firm. •Maintaining two investment advisors provides the means to evaluate the relative performance of each firm (check and balance) and facilitate a spirit of competition that will result in higher performance. •Few local agencies only use one investment advisor, or at least those with a portfolio size similar to Newport Beach Strategies and Performance has been very similar •California Government Code contains very specific provisions regarding the types of investments and practices permitted and statute specifies a percentage restriction on a certain categories of investment. •There has been little variability in duration and asset class selection used by PFM and Chandler and in recent years. •Market performance and strategies for both firms over the years has been very similar •The City can measure relative performance relative to appropriate well known transparent benchmarks Similar Performance over time 0.000% 1.000% 2.000% 3.000% 4.000% 5.000% 6.000% Trailing 12 Months Income Return Prior Year Income Return Prior 3 Years Income Return Trailing 5 Years Income Return Income Return Comparison CNB-Chandler CNB-PFM 0.000% 0.200% 0.400% 0.600% 0.800% 1.000% 1.200% 1.400% 1.600% 1.800% Year to Date Total Return Prior Year Total Return Trailing 3 Years Total Return Prior 5 Years Total Return Total Return (Includes Unrealized Gains & Losses) CNB-Chandler CNB-PFM The City’s Investments Will be Exposed to no additional risk under one vs. two Investment Advisors The City’s Investments are registered in the City’s name and held by a custodial bank (Bank of New York) so the likelihood of embezzlement by investment advisor is extremely limited. Investments will continue to be broadly diversified over market classes, sectors and concentration will be limited amongst entities that may pose a default risk (Corporate Bonds) City receives a direct feed from the custodial bank City monitors compliance with investment policy and risk metrics including corporate and sector concentration risk, security ratings all independently from investment advisor City receives market value pricing independently from investment advisor Accounting for investment activity is reconciled daily The Use of One Investment Advisor is Efficient, Less Costly and Appropriate for a City of Newport Beach’s Size •In moving to one investment manager from two, the City will: •Lower its fee structure •Better manage short-term liquidity and long-term funds under one manager •Streamline coordination efforts and allow staff to focus on matching assets with liabilities and appropriate investment strategies •Reducing the incremental cost of investing from 7 basis points (bps) to 4 bps on newly invested capital. •Chandler’s proposal would provide an annual savings of more than $25,000 per year as compared to the City’s a two investment advisor arrangement. •Staff was not successful with negotiating a lower fee structure than was originally proposed by PFM. When asked, Chandler did accept a lower counter fee proposal. Cities with Investment Assets Larger Than Newport Beach ($ millions) Staff surveyed all Orange County cities and found that Newport Beach is the only City in the County that uses more than one investment advisor and approximately half manage their investments in- house. Six cities in Orange County have portfolios larger than Newport Beach. Chandler Manages Assets for Several Agencies with Assets in Excess of $100 Million and Has Shown Greater Responsiveness to the City’s Needs Over the Years •Chandler manages assets for 22 public agencies in California with assets greater than Newport Beach, and for nine agencies with assets greater than $300 million. •The average number of accounts served per portfolio manager for Chandler is 21 while for PFM it is 40. •The number of discontinued firm’s services in the last three years for Chandler has been three; whereas for PFM the number is 31. Assets Under Sole Chandler Management in California ($ millions) Flexibility in Executing Portfolio Strategies 4% 14% 82% ONE-SIZE-FITS-ALL STRATEGY Checking LAIF 1-3 Yr Strategy 1%10% 14% 61% 14% CUSTOM STRATEGY Checking LAIF 6-18 Month ALM 1-5 Yr Strategy 1-10 YR ALM or 115 Trust Transition In Summary: Benefits of Single Investment Asset Management with Chandler •The City benefits from working with Chandler serving largely California institutions with a public sector focus. Located in San Diego vs. Harrisburg Pennsylvania. •Portfolio manager, Jayson Schmitt, CFA, Executive Vice President, is a Principal of Chandler and a member of the firm’s Executive Committee. Jayson has been working with the City of Newport Beach since 1995. •As the City’s portfolio has grown and investment needs have changed, Chandler has provided opportunities to enhance returns through a custom investment strategies appropriate for related liabilities. •The City benefits from Chandler’s portfolio manager-to-client ratio. Chandler has in-depth knowledge of the City’s investment program, risk tolerances, and objectives, and strives to be an extension of staff. Client since 1992. Reconsideration of Investment Advisor Recommendation Finance Committee Meeting September 14, 2017 REQUEST FOR PROPOSALS 16-55 (INVESTMENT ADVISORY SERVICES) PROCUREMENT PROCESS OVERVIEW Item No. 5B1 Investment Advisor Contract Staff Presentation October 12, 2017 ∗Assistance provided by a consultant (Portfolio Services for Government, LLC) ∗Procurement conducted as a Request for Proposal (RFP), using a QBS (Qualifications-Based Selection) process ∗Process phases (PCI): 1.Proposal analysis 2.Cost analysis 3.Interview analysis RFP PROCESS OVERVIEW (1 of 2) ∗Six (6) firms submitted proposals ∗Three (3) firms advanced to interviews ∗Chandler Asset Management and PFM Asset Management, LLC identified as most-qualified proposers RFP PROCESS OVERVIEW (2 of 2) ∗Was the City unclear the potential of retaining one or possibly multiple investment advisors? ∗Did the proposers understand the City was looking into retaining one or possibly multiple investment advisors? PROCESS QUESTIONS ∗RFP stated the possibility that the City may retain 2 investment advisors (Process) ∗RFP Questionnaire contained questions regarding the benefits or disadvantages of retaining 1 vs. multiple investment advisors (Process) ∗RFP called for proposers to submit discretionary fee schedules based on assets under management up to $400 million (Cost) ∗Panel interviews involved a discussion on the merits of a 1 vs. 2 investment advisor model (Interview) CITY ACTIONS BY PHASE ∗Questionnaire responses PROPOSER AWARENESS – PROPOSAL PHASE PROPOSER AWARENESS – PROPOSAL PHASE PROPOSER AWARENESS – COST PHASE Average Assets Under Advisement (in $ millions) Chandler Asset Management PFM Asset Management 0-25 Basis Point Tier 1 Basis Point Tier 1 25-50 Basis Point Tier 2 Basis Point Tier 2 50-75 Basis Point Tier 3 75-100 100-125 Basis Point Tier 3 Basis Point Tier 4 125-150 150-175 Basis Point Tier 4 175-200 200-225 225-250 250-275 275-300 300-325 325-350 350-375 375-400 PROPOSER AWARENESS – INTERVIEW PHASE CLARIFICATION POINTS ∗Intent of the RFP process ∗Resulting narrative CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH FINANCE COMMITTEE STAFF REPORT Agenda Item No. 5C October 12, 2017 TO: HONORABLE CHAIR AND MEMBERS OF THE COMMITTEE FROM: Finance Department Dan Matusiewicz, Finance Director (949) 644-3123 or danm@newportbeachca.gov SUBJECT: DEBT POLICY SUMMARY: Revisions are proposed to the City’s Debt Management Policy F-6 to include recent revisions to California Government Code Section 8855. RECOMMENDATION: Based on the changes made to comply with Senate Bill No. 1029 (SB 1029), possible City Council directives and Finance Committee recommendations, staff recommends submitting revisions to Policy F-6 for City Council consideration and approval. DISCUSSION: The City’s Debt Management Policy (Policy) needs to be updated periodically to ensure compliance with the California Government Code regarding how local agency debt is managed. Senate Bill No. 1029, which became effective on January 1, 2017, amends California Government Code Section 8855 related to local government debt management. SB 1029 expands the information that a municipal debt issuer (the “City) is required to provide to the California Debt and Investment Advisory Commission (CDIAC). Under SB 1029, local governments that issue debt and certain other financing obligations must certify, in a report to the CDIAC at least 30 days prior to the sale of such financing obligations, that it has adopted a debt policy addressing the use of debt and that the contemplated debt issuance is consistent with its debt policies. Prior to SB 1029, debt policies have been adopted at the discretion of municipal debt issuers. The City previously adopted a Debt Management Policy on May 14, 2013. Staff has prepared updates to the Policy to be in conformance with SB 1029. The City’s Debt Management Policy is designed to ensure that a due diligence review is performed for each debt transactions. This includes evaluating potential risks and Debt Policy October 12, 2017 Page 2 benefits, as well as analyzing the impact that the transaction will have on city creditworthiness, debt affordability, and capacity. It is important to note that the proposed Policy predominantly reflects these practices, all of which are in place to safeguard the City’s funds and maintain fiscal stability. The updated Debt Management Policy that is being proposed for consideration meets all of the requirements of California Government Code Section 8855, as amended by SB 1029. Specific requirements mandated by SB 1029, which are all incorporated in to the City’s revised Debt Management Policy, include the following: • That agencies adopt a Debt Management Policy before issuing any new debt • That agencies comply with the adopted policy when issuing new debt and managing existing debt • That agencies submit an annual report to CDIAC on the status of new and existing debt • That agencies include the following five elements in their Debt Management Policy: 1. The purposes for which the debt proceeds may be used 2. The types of debt that may be issued 3. The relationship of the debt to, and integration with, the issuer’s capital improvement program or budget, if applicable 4. Policy goals related to the issuer’s planning goals and objectives 5. The internal control procedures that the issuer has implemented, or will implement, to ensure that the proceeds of the proposed debt issuance will be directed to the intended use. Other Changes Separate from the revisions required by SB 1029, the introduction of the following and other policy guidelines improve the governance parameters of the policy: 1. The City will utilize debt obligations only after giving due consideration to all available funding sources, including available cash reserves in the City’s Facilities Financial Plan (FFP), Harbor & Beaches master plan, other strategic savings programs, available current revenues, potential future revenue sources, potential grants, and all other financial sources legally available to be used for such purposes. Debt Policy October 12, 2017 Page 3 2. The City shall seek to issue debt in a timely manner to avoid having to make unplanned expenditures for capital improvements or equipment from its general fund. Long-term debt will not be used to fund City operations. 3. Call Provisions - In general, the City’s securities will not include an optional redemption feature that is longer than 10 years or allow a “make-whole” option. If market conditions exist where a call option greater than 10 Years or a “make-whole” call would benefit the City, the authorizing bond resolution must explicitly provide staff the authorization to negotiate these options. Based on the changes made to comply with SB 1029, City Council directives and Finance Committee recommendations, staff will bring revisions to Policy F-6 to the City Council for consideration and approval. . Prepared by: Submitted by: /s/Steve Montano /s/Dan Matusiewicz Steve Montano Dan Matusiewicz Deputy Finance Director Finance Director Attachment: A. Debt Policy Revisions ATTACHMENT A DEBT POLICY REVISIONS F-6 1 DEBT MANAGEMENT POLICY A. PURPOSE The purpose of this policy is to establish guidelines and parameters for the effective governance, management and administration of City debt. This Debt Policy is intended to comply with Government Code Section 8855(i) and shall govern all debt undertaken by the City. The City hereby recognizes that a fiscally prudent debt policy is required in order to: 1. Maintain the City’s sound financial position. 2. Ensure the City has the flexibility to respond to changes in future service priorities, revenue levels, and operating expenses. 3. Protect the City’s credit-worthiness., including maintaining the City’s AAA/Aaa/AAA credit ratings. 4. Ensure that all debt is structured in order to protect both current and future taxpayers, ratepayers and constituents of the City. 5. Ensure that the City’s debt is consistent with the City’s planning goals and objectives and capital improvement program or budget, as applicable. B. BACKGROUND The City is committed to fiscal sustainability by employing long-term financial planning efforts, maintaining appropriate reserves levels and employing prudent practices in governance, management, budget administration and financial reporting. Debt levels and their related annual costs are important long-term obligations that must be managed within available resources. A disciplined thoughtful approach to debt management includes policies that provide guidelines for the City to manage its debt program in-line with those resources. Therefore, the objective of this policy is to provide written guidelines and restrictions concerning the amount and type of debt issued by the City and the ongoing management of the debt portfolio. F-6 2 This debt management policy is intended to improve the quality of decisions, provide justification for the structure of debt issuance, identify policy goals and demonstrate a commitment to long-term financial planning, including a multi-year capital plan. Adherence to a debt management policy signals to rating agencies and the capital markets that a government is well managed and should meet its obligations in a timely manner. C. CONDITIONS AND PURPOSES OF DEBT ISSUANCE 1. Acceptable Conditions for the Use of Debt The City believes that prudent amounts of debt can be an equitable and cost-effective means of financing major infrastructure and capital project needs of the City. Debt will be considered to finance such projects if: a) It meets the City’s goal of distributing the payments for the asset over itsfor no longer than its useful life so that benefits more closely match costs for both current and future residents. b) It is the most cost-effective funding means available to the City, taking into account cash flow needs and other funding alternatives. c) It is fiscally prudent and meets the guidelines of this Policy. Any consideration of debt financing shall consider financial alternatives, including pay-as-you-go funding, proceeds derived from development or redevelopment of existing land and capital assets owned by the City, and use of existing or future cash reserves, or combinations thereof. 2. Acceptable Uses of DebtPurposes for Which Debt May Be Issued The City will consider financing for the acquisition, substantial refurbishment, replacement or expansion of physical assets, including land improvements. The primary purpose of debt is to finance one of the following: a) Acquisition and or improvement of land, right-of-way or long-term easements. b) Acquisition of a equipment or a capital asset with a useful life of 3 or more years. c) Construction or reconstruction of a facility. F-6 3 d) Refunding, refinancing, or restructuring debt, subject to refunding objectives and parameters discussed in Section E. e) Although not the primary purpose of the financing effort, project reimbursables that include project planning design, engineering and other preconstruction efforts; project-associated furniture fixtures and equipment; capitalized interest, original issuer’s discount, underwriter’s discount and other costs of issuance. f) Interim or cash flow financing, such as tax, revenue or bond anticipation notes. g) Refinancing or advance funding of City pension obligations, but only to the extent significant financial benefit is achieved and limited by Section FE. 3. Prohibited Uses of Debt Prohibited uses of debt include the following: a) Financing of operating costs except for anticipation notes with a term of less than one year. b) Debt issuance used to address budgetary deficits. c) Debt issued for periods exceeding the useful life of the asset or projects to be financed. F-6 4 D. RELATIONSHIP OF DEBT TO CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PROGAM AND BUDGET The City has established long-term plans for replacing aging physical infrastructure. The City strives to maintain a level funding plan that will minimize the peaks and valleys in General Fund support levels and that allows for the cash funding of projects over time. The City will utilize debt obligations only after giving due consideration to all available funding sources, including available cash reserves in the City’s Facilities Financial Plan (FFP), Harbor & Beaches master plan, other strategic savings programs, available current revenues, potential future revenue sources, potential grants, and all other financingcial sources legally available to be used for such purposes. When and if deemed necessary, the City will issue debt for the purposes stated in this Debt Policy and to implement policy decisions incorporated in the City’s Facilities Financing, Harbor and Beaches, and Capital Improvement Plans. The City shall strive to fund the upkeep and maintenance of its infrastructure and facilities due to normal wear and tear through the expenditure of available operating revenues. The cCity shall seek to avoid the use of debt to fund infrastructure and facilities improvements that are the result of normal wear and tear. The City shall integrate its debt issuances with the goals of its capital improvement program by timing the issuance of debt to ensure the projects are available when needed in furtherance of the City’s public purposes. The City shall seek to issue debt in a timely manner to avoid having to make unplanned expenditures for capital improvements or equipment from its general fund. Long-term debt will not be used to fund City operations. E. POLICY GOALS RELATED TO PLANNING GOALS AND OBJECTIVES The City is committed to long-term financial planning, maintaining appropriate reserve levels, and employing prudent practices in governance, management, and budget administration. The City intends to issue debt for the purposes stated in this Debt Policy and to implement policy decisions incorporated in the City’s Facilities Financing, Harbor F-6 5 and Beaches, and Capital Improvement Plans. Adoption of this Debt Policy will help ensure that debt is issued and managed in a manner that protects the public interest. It is a policy goal of the City to protect taxpayers, ratepayers (if applicable) and constituents by utilizing conservative financing methods and techniques so as to obtain the highest practical credit ratings (If applicable and the lowest practical borrowing costs. The City will comply with applicable state and federal law as it pertains to the maximum term of debt and the procedures for levying and imposing any related taxes, assessments, rates, and charges. F. STRUCTURE OF DEBT (Fixed Rate) 1. Term of Debt – Debt will be structured with the goal of distributing the payments for the asset over its useful life so that benefits more closely match costs for both current and future residents. Borrowings by the City should be of a duration that does not exceed the useful life of the improvement that it finances. The standard term of long-term borrowing is typically 15-30 years. 2. Rapidity of Debt Payment – Accelerated repayment schedules reduce debt burden faster and reduce total borrowing costs. The Finance Department will amortize debt through the most financially advantageous debt structure and to the extent possible, match the City’s projected cash flow to the anticipated debt service payments. “Backloading” of debt service will be considered only when one or more of the following occur: a) Natural disasters or extraordinary or unanticipated external factors make payments on the debt in early years prohibitive. b) The benefits derived from the debt issuance can clearly be demonstrated to be greater in the future than in the present. c) Such structuring is beneficial to the City’s aggregate overall debt payment schedule or achieves measurable interest savings. d) Such structuring will allow debt service to more closely match project revenues during the early years of the project’s operation. 3. Level Payment – To the extent practical, bonds will be amortized on a level repayment basis, and revenue bonds will be amortized on a level repayment basis F-6 6 considering the forecasted available pledged revenues to achieve the lowest rates possible. Bond repayments should not increase on an annual basis in excess of 2% without a dedicated and supporting revenue funding stream. 4. Serial Bonds, Term Bonds, and Capital Appreciation Bonds – For each issuance, the City will select serial bonds or term bonds, or both. On the occasions where circumstances warrant, Capital Appreciation Bonds (CABs) may be used. The decision to use term, serial, or CAB bonds is driven based on market conditions. 5. Reserve Funds – The City shall strive to maintain fund balance in the Facilities Replacement Plan Reserve at a level equal to or greater than the maximum annual debt service of existing obligations. 6. Capitalized Interest - The City will seek to avoid the use of capitalized interest, which defers debt service by increasing the size of a debt issue to fund interest. On occasion, capitalized interest will be considered to the extent that the City wishes to defer the beginning of debt service until project completion, in order to match project revenues with debt service. 7. Discount Bonds - While discount and deep discount bonds may reduce the interest cost of the bonds below that of par or premium bonds, they should only be recommended in limited situations as they reduce the potential for future savings from refunding of the bonds. 8. Premium Bonds - Premium bonds may provide for a lower overall interest cost compared to par or discount bonds. An analysis should be prepared comparing the yield to maturity and yield to call of the premium bond structure compared to alternative couponing. This comparison should be done on maturity by maturity basis. The value of the call option of the higher coupon with respect to the future ability to refund should be reviewed as well. 9. Call Provisions - In general, the City’s securities will not include an optional redemption feature that is longer than 10 years or allow a “make-whole” option. If market conditions exist where a call option greater than 10 Years or a “make- whole” call would benefit the City, the authorizing bond resolution must F-6 7 explicitly provide staff the authorization to negotiate these options.In general, the City’s securities will not include an optional redemption feature that is longer than 10 years. It is the City’s intent to maximize prepayment flexibility on all bond issues. Shorter call provisions should be considered on a case-by case basis. D.G. USE OF ALTERNATIVE DEBT INSTRUMENTS The City recognizes that there are numerous types of financing structures and funding sources available, each with specific benefits, risks, and costs. All potential funding sources are reviewed by management within the context of the Debt Policy and the overall portfolio to ensure that any financial product or structure is consistent with the City’s objectives. Regardless of what financing structure(s) is utilized, due-diligence review must be performed for each transaction, including the quantification of potential risks and benefits, and analysis of the impact on City creditworthiness and debt affordability and capacity. Because fixed rate debt transfers most financial risks to bondholders, fixed rate debt will always be considered the preferred method of financing long-term capital needs. 1. Variable Rate Debt Variable rate debt affords the City the potential to achieve a lower cost debt depending on market conditions. However, the City will seek to limit the use of variable-rate debt due to the potential risks of such instruments. a) Purpose The City shall consider the use of variable rate debt for the purposes of: i. Reducing the costs of debt issues. ii. Increasing flexibility for accelerating principal repayment and amortization. iii. Enhancing the management of assets and liabilities (matching short- term “priced debt” with the City’s short-term investments). iv. Diversifying interest rate exposure. iv.v. As a short-term source of construction/acquisition financing, i.e., commercial paper, to reduce interest cost F-6 8 b) Considerations and Limitations on Variable-Rate Debt The City may consider the use of all alternative structures and modes of variable rate debt to the extent permissible under State law and will make determinations among different types of modes of variable-rate debt based on cost, benefit, and risk factors. The Finance Director shall consider the following factors in considering whether to utilize variable rate debt: i. Any long-term issuance of variable rate debt should not exceed 20% of total City General Fund supported debt. ii. Any long-term issuance of variable rate debt should be fully hedged by expected future Facility Financing Plan reserves or unrestricted General Fund reserve levels. iii. Whether interest cost and market conditions (including the shape of the yield curves and relative value considerations) are unfavorable for issuing fixed rate debt. iv. The likelihood of projected debt service savings when comparing the cost of fixed rate bonds. v. Costs, implementation and administration are quantified and considered. vi. Cost and availability of liquidity facilities (lines of credit necessary for variable rate debt obligations and commercial paper in the event that the bonds are not successfully remarketed) are quantified and considered. vii. Ability to convert debt to another mode (daily, monthly, fixed) or redeem at par at any time is permitted. viii. The findings of a thorough risk management assessment. c) Risk Management Any issuance of variable rate debt shall require a rigorous risk assessment, including, but not limited to factors discussed in this section. Variable rate debt subjects the City to additional financial risks (relative to fixed rate bonds), including interest rate risk, tax risk, and certain risks related to providing liquidity for certain types of variable rate debt. The City will properly manage the risks as follows: F-6 9 i. Interest Rate Risk and Tax Risk – The risk that market interest rates increase on variable-rate debt because of market conditions, changes in taxation of municipal bond interest, or reductions in tax rates. Mitigation – Limit total variable rate exposure per the defined limits and match the variable rate liabilities with short term assets. ii. Liquidity/Remarketing Risk – The risk that holders of variable rate bonds exercise their “put” option, tender their bonds, and the bonds cannot be remarketed requiring the bond liquidity facility provider to repurchase the bonds. This will result in the City paying a higher rate of interest to the facility provider and the potential rapid amortization of the repurchased bonds. Mitigation - Limit total direct variable-rate exposure. Seek liquidity facilities which allow for longer (5-10 years) amortization of any draws on the facility. Secure credit support facilities that result in bond ratings of the highest short-term ratings and long- term ratings not less than AA. If the City’s bonds are downgraded below these levels as a result of the facility provider’s ratings, a replacement provider shall be sought. iii. Liquidity/Rollover Risk – The risk that arises due to the shorter term of most liquidity provider agreements (1-5 years) relative to the longer- term amortization schedule of the City’s variable-rate bonds. In particular, (1) the City may incur higher renewal fees when renewal agreements are negotiated and (2) the liquidity bank market constricts such that it is difficult to secure third party liquidity at any interest rate. Mitigation – Negotiate longer terms on provider contracts to minimize the number of rollovers 2. Derivatives The use of certain derivative products to hedge variable rate debt, such as interest rate swaps, may be considered to the extent the City has such debt outstanding or under consideration. The City will exercise extreme caution in the use of derivative instruments for hedging purposes, and will consider their utilization only when sufficient understanding of the products and sufficient expertise for their appropriate use has been developed. A comprehensive derivative policy will be adopted by the City prior to any utilization of such instruments. E.H. REFUNDING GUIDELINES F-6 10 The Finance Director shall monitor at least annually all outstanding City debt obligations for potential refinancing opportunities. The City will consider refinancing of outstanding debt to achieve annual savings. Absent a compelling economic reason or financial benefit to the City, any refinancing should not result in any increase to the weighted average life of the refinanced debt. The City will generally seek to achieve debt service savings which, on a net present value basis, are at least 3% of the current debt being refinanced. Any potential refinancing executed more than 90 days in advance of the outstanding debt optional call date shall require at least a 5% present value savings threshold. If there is negative arbitrage in an advance refunding, the escrow efficiency should at least be 50%. Under any savings scenario, tThe net present value assessment shall factor in all costs, including the total cost of issuance, escrow, and foregone interest earnings of any contributed funds on hand. Any potential refinancing shall additionally consider whether an alternative refinancing opportunity with higher savings is reasonably expected in the future. Any potential refinancing executed more than 90 days in advance of the outstanding debt optional call date shall require a higher savings threshold. Consideration of this method of refinancing shall place greater emphasis on determining whether an alternative refinancing opportunity with higher savings is reasonably expected in the future. F.I. MARKET COMMUNICATION, ADMINISTRATION AND ADMINISTRATION, AND REPORTING, AND INTERNAL CONTROL PROCEDURES 1. Rating Agency Relations and Annual or Ongoing Surveillance – The Finance Director shall be responsible for maintaining the City's relationships with Standard & Poor's Ratings Services, Fitch Ratings and Moody’s Investor’s Service. The City is committed to maintaining its existing rating levels. In addition to general communication, the Finance Director shall: a) Ensure the rating agencies are provided updated financial information of the City as it becomes publically available. b) Communicate with credit analysts at each agency at least once each year, or as may be requested by the agencies. c) Prior to each proposed new debt issuance, schedule meetings or conference calls with agency analysts and provide a thorough update on the City’s financial position, including the impacts of the proposed debt issuance. F-6 11 2. Council and Finance Committee Communication – The Finance Director should report feedback from rating agencies, when and if available, regarding the City's financial strengths and weaknesses and recommendations for addressing any weaknesses as they pertain to maintaining the City’s existing credit ratings. Continuing Disclosure Compliance – The City shall remain in compliance with Security and Exchange Commission Rule 15c2-12 by filing its annual financial statements and other financial and operating data for the benefit of its bondholders within 270 days of the close of the fiscal year, or as required in any such agreement for any debt issue. The City shall maintain a log or file evidencing that all continuing disclosure filings have been made promptly.Arbitrage Rebate – The use of bond proceeds and their investments must be monitored to ensure compliance with all Internal Revenue Code Arbitrage Rebate Requirements. The Finance Director shall ensure that all bond proceeds and investments are tracked in a manner which facilitates accurate calculation; and, if a rebate payment is due, such payment is made in a timely manner. 3. 3. Debt Issue Record-Keeping – A copy of all debt-related records shall be retained at the City’s offices. At minimum, these records shall include all official statements, bond legal documents/transcripts, resolutions, trustee statements, leases, and title reports for each City financing (to the extent available). 4. Compliance - When issuing debt, in addition to complying with the terms of this Debt Policy, the city shall comply with any other applicable policies regarding initial bond disclosure, continuing disclosure, post-issuance compliance, and the investment of bond proceeds in accordance with applicable bond indentures and City Administrative Procedures (AP-009), concerning tax compliance with tax exempt bonds and Build America Bonds (BABs). Without limiting the foregoing, the City will periodically review the requirements of and will remain in compliance with the following: a. Continuing Disclosure – The City will comply with federal securities law, including any continuing disclosure undertakings entered into by the City in accordance with Securities and Exchange Commission Rule 15c2-12. The City will file by filing its annual financial statements and other financial and operating data for the benefit of its bondholders within 270 days of the close of the fiscal year, or as required in any such agreement for any debt issue. The City shall maintain a log or file evidencing that all continuing disclosure filings have been made promptly. F-6 12 b. Arbitrage Rebate – The use of bond proceeds and their investments will be monitored to ensure compliance with all Internal Revenue Code Arbitrage Rebate Requirements. The Finance Director shall ensure that all bond proceeds and investments are tracked in a manner that facilitates accurate calculation; and, if a rebate payment is due, such payment is made in a timely manner. c. Government Code section 8855(k) and the annual reporting requirements therein. d. Other compliance requirements imposed by regulatory bodies. 5. Proceeds Administration - Proceeds of debt will be held either (a) by a third-party trustee or fiscal agent, which will disburse such proceeds to or upon the order of the City upon the submission of one or more written requisitions by the Finance Director/City Treasurer (or his or her written designee), or (b) by the City, to be held and accounted for in a separate fund or account, the expenditure of which will be carefully documented by the City. On a quarterly basis, the City Treasurer shall monitor the proceeds and the disposition of unexpended proceeds. [Probably should expand the monitoring of proceeds and the disposition on any unexpended proceeds.] 4. 5.1.Arbitrage Rebate – The use of bond proceeds and their investments must be monitored to ensure compliance with all Internal Revenue Code Arbitrage Rebate Requirements. The Finance Director shall ensure that all bond proceeds and investments are tracked in a manner which facilitates accurate calculation; and, if a rebate payment is due, such payment is made in a timely manner. G.J. CREDIT RATINGS The City will consider published ratings agency guidelines regarding best financial practices and guidelines for structuring its capital funding and debt strategies to maintain the highest possible credit ratings consistent with its current operating and capital needs. H.K. LEGAL DEBT LIMIT Newport Beach Charter section 1109 indicates that the City shall not incur an indebtedness evidenced by general obligation bonds which shall in the aggregate exceed the sum of fifteen percent (15%) of the total assessed valuation, for purposes of City taxation, of all the real and personal property within the City. While this limit defines F-6 13 the absolute maximum legal debt limit for the City, it is not an effective indicator of the City’s affordable debt capacity. I.L.AFFORDABILITY Prior to the issuance of debt to finance a project, the City will carefully consider the overall long-term affordability of the proposed debt issuance. The City shall not assume more debt without conducting an objective analysis of the City’s ability to assume and support additional debt service payments. The City will consider its long-term revenue and expenditure trends, the impact on operational flexibility and the overall debt burden on the tax payers. The evaluation process shall include a review of generally accepted measures of affordability and will strive to achieve and or maintain debt levels consistent with its current operating and capital needs. The Finance Director shall review benchmarking results of other California cities of comparable size with the City’s Finance Committee prior to any significant project financing. 1. General Fund-Supported Debt – General Fund Supported Debt generally include Certificates of Participation (COPs) and Lease Revenue Bonds (LRBs) which are lease obligations that are secured by an installment sale or by a lease-back arrangement between the City and another public entity. The general operating revenues of the City are pledged to pay the lease payments, which are, in turn, used to pay debt service on the bonds or Certificates of Participation. These obligations do not constitute indebtedness under the state constitutional debt limitation and, therefore, are not subject to voter approval. Payments to be made under valid leases are payable only in the year in which use and occupancy of the leased property is available, and lease payments may not be accelerated. Lease financing requires the fair market rental value of the leased property to be equal to or greater than the required debt service or lease payment schedule. The lessee (City) is obligated to place in its Annual Budget the rental payments that are due and payable during each fiscal year the lessee has use of the leased property. The City should strive to maintain its net General Fund-backed debt service at or less than 8% of available annually budgeted revenue. This ratio is defined as the City’s annual debt service requirements on Certificates of Participation and Lease Revenue Bonds compared to total General Fund Revenues net of interfund F-6 14 transfers. This ratio, which pertains to only general fund backed debt, is often referred to as “lease burden.” 2. Revenue Bonds – Long-term obligations payable solely from specific pledged sources, in general, are not subject to a debt limitation. Examples of such long- term obligations include those which achieve the financing or refinancing of projects provided by the issuance of debt instruments that are payable from restricted revenues or user fees (Enterprise Revenues) and revenues generated from a project. In determining the affordability of proposed revenue bonds, the City will perform an analysis comparing projected annual net revenues (exclusive of depreciation which is a non-cash related expense) to estimated annual debt service. The City should strive to maintain a coverage ratio of at least 125% using historical and/or projected net revenues to cover annual debt service for bonds. The City may require a rate increase to cover both operations and debt service costs, and create debt service reserve funds to maintain the required coverage ratios. 3. Special Districts Financing – The City’s Special Districts primarily consist of Community Facilities Districts (CFDs) and 1913/1915 Act Assessment Districts (Assessment Districts). The City will consider requests for Special District formation and debt issuance when such requests address a public need or provide a public benefit. Each application will be considered on a case by case basis, and the Finance Department may not recommend a financing if it is determined that the financing could be detrimental to the debt position or the best interests of the City. 4. Conduit Debt – Conduit financing provides for the issuance of securities by a government agency to finance a project of a third party, such as a non-profit organization or other private entity. The City may sponsor conduit financings for those activities that have a general public purpose and are consistent with the City’s overall service and policy objectives. Unless a compelling public policy rationale exists, such conduit financings will not in any way pledge the City’s faith and credit. F-6 15 J. [ I would suggest we move this up before we discuss debt alternatives]STRUCTURE OF DEBT 1. Term of Debt – Debt will be structured with the goal of distributing the payments for the asset over its useful life so that benefits more closely match costs for both current and future residents. Borrowings by the City should be of a duration that does not exceed the useful life of the improvement that it finances. The standard term of long-term borrowing is typically 15-30 years. 2. Rapidity of Debt Payment – Accelerated repayment schedules reduce debt burden faster and reduce total borrowing costs. The Finance Department will amortize debt through the most financially advantageous debt structure and to the extent possible, match the City’s projected cash flow to the anticipated debt service payments. “Backloading” of debt service will be considered only when one or more of the following occur: a) Natural disasters or extraordinary or unanticipated external factors make payments on the debt in early years prohibitive. b) The benefits derived from the debt issuance can clearly be demonstrated to be greater in the future than in the present. c) Such structuring is beneficial to the City’s aggregate overall debt payment schedule or achieves measurable interest savings. d) Such structuring will allow debt service to more closely match project revenues during the early years of the project’s operation. 3. Level Payment – To the extent practical, bonds will be amortized on a level repayment basis, and revenue bonds will be amortized on a level repayment basis considering the forecasted available pledged revenues to achieve the lowest rates possible. Bond repayments should not increase on an annual basis in excess of 2% without a dedicated and supporting revenue funding stream. 4. Serial Bonds, Term Bonds, and Capital Appreciation Bonds – For each issuance, the City will select serial bonds or term bonds, or both. On the occasions where circumstances warrant, Capital Appreciation Bonds (CABs) may be used. The decision to use term, serial, or CAB bonds is driven based on market conditions. 5. Reserve Funds – The City shall strive to maintain fund balance in the Facilities Replacement Plan Reserve at a level equal to or greater than the maximum annual F-6 16 debt service of existing obligations.[This is a little confusing given the fact that you did not fund a DSR in the 2010 financing, Is this meant to be an internal reserve. The Adopted – May 14, 2013 Amended – _____________ Finance Committee PresentationDebt Policy October 12, 2017 Item No. 5C1 Debt Policy Staff Presentation October 12, 2017 Importance of a Debt Policy •Essential financial management tool to ensure acceptable levels of indebtedness are maintained and future generations are not burdened by large amounts of debt. •Demonstrates to investors and rating agencies that the City is committed to sound financial management. •Provides consistency and continuity to public policy development when elected officials work from guidelines that govern the planning and execution of projects for which debt is used.2 Purpose of Debt Policy Revisions •Good practice to review policies frequently •New legal requirements mandated by SB 1029* •Opportunity to improve upon current policy •Allow for more public input into Debt issuance terms 3*It is important to note that no new debt can be issued until SB 1029 provisions are adopted by City Council including pending assessment district financings. New Requirements of SB 1029 4 •Agencies shall adopt a Debt Management Policy before issuing any new debt •Agencies shall comply with the adopted policy when issuing new debt and managing existing debt •Agencies shall submit an annual report to CDIAC on the status of new and existing debt •Agencies shall include the following five elements in their Debt Management Policy: 1.The purposes for which the debt proceeds may be used 2.The types of debt that may be issued 3.The relationship of the debt to,and integration with,the issuer’s capital improvement program or budget, if applicable 4.Policy goals related to the issuer’s planning goals and objectives 5.The internal control procedures that the issuer has implemented,or will implement,to ensure that the proceeds of the proposed debt issuance will be directed to the intended use. Options to retain more control over terms? Prescriptive Policy, Process & Restrictions •Policy restriction to not allow make-whole call provision or lock-out periods greater than 10 Years without explicit authorization in authorizing bond resolution. •Require Finance Committee, which includes four members of the public, to craft and recommend terms of authorizing bond resolution, with the benefit of a financial advisor, underwriter and bond counsel. •Council to be as explicit and restrictive in authorizing bond resolution language as is desired with full understanding of current market conditions. 5 Options to gather Public Input: Protest Hearing •Mirror Prop 218 Notice and Protest Hearing Procedures Ballot Initiative Required for Capital Improvement Projects •Require Ballot initiative for all Capital Improvement Projects over $___Million Ballot Initiative Required for new Debt Issuance •Require Ballot initiative for all Lease Financings over $___ Million 6 Suggested Phasing of Changes Phase I •SB1029 •KNN Suggestions •Staff Suggestions •Initial Committee Input •Get Council approval so we have an SB1029 Compliant Policy for pending Assessment District Financing(s)7 Phase II •Public Input Revisions •KNN to study and return to future Finance Committee with Pros and Cons •Phase II Options return to Finance Committee •If applicable, charter amendment could take some time Next Steps? • • • • • 8 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH FINANCE COMMITTEE STAFF REPORT Agenda Item No. 5D October 12, 2017 TO: HONORABLE CHAIR AND MEMBERS OF THE COMMITTEE FROM: Finance Department Dan Matusiewicz, Finance Director (949) 644-3123 or danm@newportbeachca.gov SUBJECT: BUDGET AMENDMENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The purpose of this memorandum is to report on the budget amendments for the first quarter of Fiscal Year 2017-2018. All budget amendments are in compliance with City Council Policy F-3, Budget Adoption and Administration. DISCUSSION The Finance Committee requested that staff provide a quarterly report of budget amendments including their effect on fund balance. City Council Policy F-3, Budget Adoption and Administration, identifies how appropriations can be transferred, amended or reduced. Please find the list of budget amendments for the quarter ending September 30, 2017, as Attachment A. Prepared by: Submitted by: /s/ Susan Giangrande /s/ Dan Matusiewicz Susan Giangrande Dan Matusiewicz Budget Manager Finance Director Attachment: A. Budget Amendments Fiscal Year 2017-2018 Quarter Ending September 30, 2017 ATTACHMENT A BUDGET AMENDMENTS FISCAL YEAR 2017-2018 QUARTER ENDING SEPTEMBER 30, 2017 Date Amount Amendment Type Fund Net Effect on Fund Balance Increase/(Decrease)Department Explanation General Fund (3,000.00) To increase expenditures by $3,000 from the General Fund for the City Clerk's records storage services and to increase expenditure appropriations by $2,000 from AQMD 07/11/17 5,000.00 City Manager AQMD (2,000.00) City Clerk for program enhancements to the City Rideshare Program. 07/17/17 10,011.00 City Manager General Fund - City Council To transfer expenditure appropriations from the Signature Special Event Budget to the Community and Charitable Event Grant budget to cover additional City fee credits granted by Council at their meeting on 7/11/17. 07/25/17 250,000.00 City Council General Fund - To increase revenue estimates and expenditure appropriations for library and literacy programming and materials funded by a donation from the Friends of the Library. 08/08/17 200,000.00 City Council Water Capital (200,000.00) Public Works To increase expenditure appropriations for the Big Canyon Reservoir Flow Metering Vault and Treatment Improvements Project. 09/12/17 300,000.00 City Council OTS Fund - Police To increase revenue estimates and expenditure appropriations for the 2018 State of California Office of Traffic Safety (OTS) Grant. 09/12/17 155,025.00 City Council General Fund - Library To increase revenue estimates and expenditure appropriations for Library and Literacy supplies, materials, furniture, and programming funded by a donation from the Newport Beach Library Foundation. Public Arts (804,393.25) To transfers funds from Public Arts & Cultural, Facilities Financing Plan, and Business Excise Tax to increaseFFP(2,305,606.75) expenditure appropriations in the Fire Station Fund for the BET (900,000.00) Community purchase of the property for the Lido Fire Station09/12/17 4,010,000.00 City Council Fire Station Fund 4,010,000.00 Development relocation project. 09/12/17 280,305.00 City Council Tidelands CIP - Public Works To transfer expenditure appropriations from the Harbor Dredging/Planning project to the Regional General Permit-RGP54 project. Gas Tax 96,250.00 To decrease expenditure appropriations in the Gas Tax fund for the Coast Highway Traffic Signal project which will 09/13/17 96,250.00 City Manager Contributions 96,250.00 Public Works instead be funded by a contribution from OCTA. 09/13/17 4,058.00 City Manager AQMD (4,058.00) City Clerk To increase expenditure appropriations related to the City Rideshare Program. The funding for the quarterly awards were omitted during development of the FY 2017-18 budget. 09/26/17 18,000.00 City Council General Fund (18,000.00) Library To increase expenditures for literacy services funded by a grant from the California Library Literacy services. Grant revenue was included in FY 18 adopted budget. City of Newport Beach Budget AmendmentsFiscal Year 2017-18Quarter Ending September 30, 2017 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH FINANCE COMMITTEE STAFF REPORT Agenda Item No. 5F October 12, 2017 TO: HONORABLE CHAIR AND MEMBERS OF THE COMMITTEE FROM: Finance Department Dan Matusiewicz, Finance Director (949) 644-3123 or danm@newportbeachca.gov SUBJECT: LONG-TERM FINANCIAL FORECAST DISCUSSION The Finance Committee Chair requested that staff provide a performance summary of the City’s top three revenue sources. The attached report summarizes the budget and actual receipt history for property, sales, and transient occupancy taxes between fiscal years 2014 and 2017 and projects the same for fiscal years 2018 through 2020. Staff will also review pension funding scenarios including less aggressive payment plans and other financial updates that are relevant to the current and future budgets. Prepared by: Submitted by: /s/ Steve Montano /s/ Dan Matusiewicz Steve Montano Dan Matusiewicz Deputy Finance Director Finance Director Attachment: A. Top Three Revenue Historical Analysis and Projection ATTACHMENT A TOP THREE REVENUE HISTORICAL ANALYSIS AND PROJECTION CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH TOP 3 REVENUE SOURCES Historical Analysis and Future Projection Historical Projected Property Tax 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Budget 77,434,791 81,965,214 85,770,279 91,685,344 97,120,660 104,021,074 108,181,917 /77,954,939 82,298,226 88,810,860 94,350,181 99,067,690 104,021,074 109,222,128 Variance (Actual +Over/-Under Budget)520,148 333,012 3,040,581 2,664,837 1,947,030 - 1,040,211 Pct Var From Budget 0.7%0.4%3.5%2.9%2.0%0.0%1.0% YOY Growth 4,343,286 6,512,635 5,539,320 4,717,509 4,953,384 5,201,054 Pct YOY Growth 5.6%7.9%6.2%5.0%5.0%5.0% Sales Tax 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Budget 30,193,894 32,800,745 37,000,093 34,612,648 35,932,370 35,487,307 35,867,041 /30,869,941 32,878,836 36,808,460 33,702,895 34,872,297 35,487,307 35,867,041 Variance (Actual +Over/-Under Budget)676,047 78,091 (191,633) (909,753) (1,060,073) - - Pct Var 2.2%0.2%-0.5%-2.6%-3.0%0.0%0.0% YOY Growth 2,008,895 3,929,624 (3,105,566) 1,169,402 615,010 379,734 Pct YOY Growth 6.5%12.0%-8.4%3.5%1.8%1.1% Transient Occupancy Tax 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Budget 17,291,420 19,377,767 20,656,850 22,578,447 24,327,966 23,975,985 25,174,784 /18,176,369 20,369,158 21,083,199 22,382,361 23,053,832 23,975,985 25,174,784 Variance (Actual +Over/-Under Budget)884,949 991,391 426,349 (196,086) (1,274,134) - - Pct Var 5.1%5.1%2.1%-0.9%-5.2%0.0%0.0% YOY Growth 2,192,789 714,041 1,299,162 671,471 922,153 1,198,799 Pct YOY Growth 12.1%3.5%6.2%3.0%4.0%5.0% Property Tax Notes: Consistent and vigorous demand for coastal property has allowed the City to enjoy long-term growth trends with its number one revenue source. Value changes along with infill development in Newport Beach result in continued appreciation in property values through FY 17. We project continued strong growth through FY 20. Property taxes are calculated by multiplying the property's tax assessed value by the tax rate, which is set at 1%, per Proposition 13. Properties are valued by the Assessor on January 1st annually by reviewing the values from the prior year. Proposition 13 allows a maximum of 2% CPI applied to the property valuation. The most recent CPI that will be applied for the 2018-19 tax roll valuation is 2.0%. Sales Tax Notes: FY 17 sales tax is, and FY 18 to FY 20 sales tax receipts are projected to be, lower than expected due to the tapering of high-end auto sales, especially Tesla and Mercedes, an increase in the number of auto leases which results in lower sales tax when compared to auto sales, negative audit corrections and an increase in on-line shopping overall. In FY 16, approximately $2.7 million of the sales tax increase is due to a one- time true-up payment from the state known as the “triple-flip.” TOT Notes: The rate of year-over-year growth in TOT revenue is anticpated to be lower over the next few years due to the confluence of simultaneous hotel renovations. See bar chart below that depicts historical TOT revenue growth. Renovations are scheduled at Pelican Hill beginning in September 2017 through June 2018 that will result in lower hotel tax. The Duke Hotel will undergo room renovations from October 2017 through June 2018 and will open as a Renaissance hotel. All 498 rooms will be renovated and TOT revenue is anticipated to decrease for the duration of the renovations. The Radisson Hotel started undergoing significant renovations in October 2016 and is anticipating completion and rebranding as a Hyatt in May 2018. Nearly half of all Radisson rooms will be unavailable during the renovation; however higher room rates are anticipated when the hotel is rebranded as a Hyatt. Projected Projected Projected Historical Historical Historical All General Fund Revenue 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Budget 170,130,361 181,451,410 194,296,230 200,105,331 210,193,365 218,664,157 225,224,082 /174,432,930 185,828,583 199,245,805 204,832,321 212,295,298 218,664,157 225,224,082 Variance (Actual +Over/-Under Budget)4,302,568 4,377,173 4,949,575 4,726,990 2,101,934 - - Pct Var 2.5%2.4%2.5%2.4%1.0%0.0%0.0% YOY Growth 11,395,653 13,417,222 5,586,517 7,462,977 6,368,859 6,559,925 Pct YOY Growth 6.5%7.2%2.8%3.6%3.0%3.0% ProjectedHistorical 1October 12, 2017 History 1932 CalPERS established 1937 Counties allowed to establish plans 1939 Counties and other public agencies allowed to participate in CalPERS Item No. 5F1 Long -Term Financial Forecast Presentation October 12, 2017 2October 12, 2017 CalPERS 13 Member Board 6 Elected by Members 2 all members 1 active State members 1 active School members 1 active Public Agency members 1 retired members 3 Appointed: 2 Governor 1 Legislature 3October 12, 2017 CalPERS 13 Member Board 4 Ex Officio State Treasurer State Controller Director Department of Human Resources State Personnel Board designee 4October 12, 2017 Proposition 162 In 1992 gave CalPERS (and most other retirement system boards) plenary authority to Invest plan assets Set actuarial methods & assumptions Determine contribution rates Designates Board’s highest priority is to provide benefits to members and beneficiaries Prevents legislature from changing Board make up without voter approval 5October 12, 2017 Investment History 1953 CalPERS allowed to invest in real estate > Bonds only prior to 1953 1966 Prop 1–Allowed to invest up to 25% in equities 1984 Prop 21 –25% limit removed 6October 12, 2017 CalPERS Benefit History Benefit levels essentially unchanged for 30+ years 1.43%@ 65 formula 1968 2% COLA 1970 2%@60 became option for Public Agencies 1983 Safety 2.5%@55 & 2.7%@55 (aka 2%@50) became option for Public Agencies 1990 2%@55 became option for Public Agencies 1991 Previous formulas closed to new State hires with new hires getting 1.25%@65 formula 7October 12, 2017 CalPERS Benefit History 1999 Safety 3%@55 & 3%@50 became option for Public Agencies & eliminated 1991 State reform 2001 Miscellaneous 2.5%@55, 2.7%@55 and 3%@60 became option for Public Agencies 2012 PEPRA provided lower formulas for new Members 2%@62 for Miscellaneous 2.7%@57 for Safety 8October 12, 2017 CalPERS Divestment January 2017 Wilshire report said: $7.9 billion losses over past 30 years < 0.1% lower return on average each year Primarily due to tobacco and South Africa Does not include relatively recent coal divestment imposed by legislature Generally opposed by CalPERS staff 9October 12, 2017 Address Unfunded Liability Make payments directly to CalPERS Set up Internal Service Fund Establish IRC §115 Supplemental Pension Trust 10October 12, 2017 Make Payments to CalPERS Target specific amortization bases Longer amortization bases give you: Bigger long term savings but Lower short term rate reductions Shorter amortization bases give you: Smaller long term savings but Higher short term rate reductions 11October 12, 2017 Establish Internal Service Fund Could be used for rate stabilization Restricted investments: Likely low (0.5%-1.0%) investment returns Short term/high quality Designed for preservation of principal Assets could be used by Council for other purposes 12October 12, 2017 Establish (§115) Irrevocable Supplemental Pension Trust Typically used for rate stabilization Investments significantly less restricted than City investments: Designed for long term returns Likely much higher (4%-6%) investment returns Investments will likely earn less than CalPERS investments 13October 12, 2017 Establish Irrevocable Supplemental (§115) Trust Can only be used to : Reimburse for CalPERS contributions Make payments directly to CalPERS Assets could not be used by Council for other purposes PARS, PFM & Keenan > 100 California agencies 14October 12, 2017 Establish Irrevocable Supplemental (§115) Trust Improves City flexibility but Likely gets lower investment returns than CalPERS 15October 12, 2017 16October 12, 2017 17October 12, 2017 CalPERS Background John E. Bartel Bartel Associates, LLC October 12, 2017 18October 12, 2017 Agenda CalPERS History 1 CalPERS Divestment 8 Addressing the Unfunded Liability & 9 Rate Stabilization ATTACHMENT A FINANCE COMMITTEE WORKPLAN I:\Users\FIN\Shared\Admin\Finance Committee\WORKPLAN\2017\2017 FC Workplan 1 Updated 09/07/2017 Scheduled Date Agenda Title Agenda Description Thursday, September 14, 2017 Investment Advisor Contract Discussion & Recommendation Staff will review the previous request for proposal process and recommendations. Public Employees Retirement System (PERS) Valuation Update Staff and independent actuary John Bartel discuss the latest changes to actuarial valuation, changes to actuarial assumptions, a review of recent investment returns and the potential impact on future plan contribution rates. Long Range Financial Planning Staff will demonstrate the "GovInvest" software tool that the City is using to assist in the modeling of long-term pension plan liabilities and cost. Budget Amendments Receive and file a staff report on the budget amendments for the prior quarter. Review of Finance Committee Workplan Staff will review with the Committee the agenda topics scheduled for the remainder of the calendar year. Thursday, October 12, 2017 Investment Performance Review Staff and/or one or more investment advisors will describe the performance of the City's investment portfolio. Reconsider of Investment Advisor Contract Finance Committee Member Request to reconsider committee recommendation to award financial advisor contract solely to Chandler Asset Management Budget Amendments Receive and file a staff report on the budget amendments for the prior quarter. Debt Policy Staff and a municipal advisor from KNN will present changes to current Debt Policy F-6 that are required per SB1029 and other aspects of the policy the committee wishes to discuss. Long Range Financial Planning Staff will review the performance and provide future projections of the City's top three revenue sources. Pension Discussion Agenda item reserved for any discussion regarding the status of the City's pension liability.Review of Finance Committee Workplan Staff will review with the Committee the agenda topics scheduled for the remainder of the calendar year. Thursday, November 09, 2017 Review of Post Employment Retiree Insurance Actuarial Valuation (AKA OPEB)The City's OPEB actuary will review the City's latest OPEB valuation and liability. Risk Based Reserve Analysis Update Only Pension Discussion Agenda item reserved for any discussion regarding the status of the City's pension liability, funding policy and Section 115 Pension Prefunding Funding Trust. Review of Finance Committee Workplan Staff will review with the Committee the agenda topics scheduled for the remainder of the calendar year. Thursday, December 14, 2017 Year-End Closing Results Staff will present the preliminary year-end closing results for Fiscal Year 2016- 2017. Risk Based Reserve Analysis City staff and or consultant will provide an update or present the results of the study current reserve policies and risk exposure. Insurance Coverage The City's insurance broker will prepare a presentation of current insurance coverage, market conditions and or changes in coverage that the City might Pension Discussion Agenda item reserved for any discussion regarding the status of the City's pension liability, funding policy and Section 115 Pension Prefunding Funding Review of Finance Committee Workplan Staff will review with the Committee the agenda topics scheduled for the remainder of the calendar year. November December City of Newport Beach Finance Committee Work Plan 2017 October September